LTA's NBA Plays

**Notorious_Donk** · 03-12-12, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

In the car....anyone know if barea is playing for minny? I thought he was a confirmed go....thanks

I'm sure he will be able to play. He didnt play Friday or Saturday, and then said "next week definitely, though." So it sounds like he should be good to go tonight.

**Capybara** · 03-12-12, 06:49 PM

O/U back up to 199 -- I grabbed the under.

**BrewCrew1** · 03-12-12, 06:53 PM

Roto has him as game time decision.

**convick** · 03-12-12, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by absolutkaos

He's failing to understand the basics of gambling terminology.

Definition: In sports gambling, the term "sharp" refers to an intelligent bettor.

Examples: Because he spent many hours studying every basketball game, LTA was considered one of the sharps.

Are you serious? Hes laughing because a 1 cent move is NOT sharp. Not sure if the dude asking about "sharp" movement was being serious or is truly clueless.

**Love The Action** · 03-12-12, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by convick

Are you serious? Hes laughing because a 1 cent move is NOT sharp. Not sure if the dude asking about "sharp" movement was being serious or is truly clueless.

In all fairness, it was not a 1 cent move that Jas was referring to. He said the total went from getting juiced at -110 on the over at Pinny to the under getting juiced at -109. That is basically a full 10 cent move at Pinny, which is significant because that's like a 20 cent move at any other book.

**JM92** · 03-12-12, 07:09 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

In the car....anyone know if barea is playing for minny? I thought he was a confirmed go....thanks

Questionable.

How about this liune hein? 4 points... after giving 6 with Rubio still there and Suns not playing as well. Just shows we really got unlucky on that one.

**jas19illini** · 03-12-12, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

In all fairness, it was not a 1 cent move that Jas was referring to. He said the total went from getting juiced at -110 on the over at Pinny to the under getting juiced at -109. That is basically a full 10 cent move at Pinny, which is significant because that's like a 20 cent move at any other book.

Thank you! At least someone can read.

**ifiwaspresident** · 03-12-12, 07:21 PM

Slow the hell down guys. You're wayyyy ahead of u199 pace.

**TC Woods** · 03-12-12, 07:21 PM

Quite the pace so far

**rjp322** · 03-12-12, 07:24 PM

Games that start fast dont ever hold the same pace the entire game. Pace will slow soon. Lets just limit the damage and hope for like a 54 point 1st quarter

**hondo5** · 03-12-12, 07:24 PM

Im sorry LTA. Idk what it is but everytime I tail you its like a curse. This will be the last play I tail. Nobody wins when I do it for some reason.

**hondo5** · 03-12-12, 07:26 PM

Originally posted by rjp322

Games that start fast dont ever hold the same pace the entire game. Pace will slow soon. Lets just limit the damage and hope for like a 54 point 1st quarter

O/U for the 1st quarter was 51 at my book. 54 wouldn't be horribly far ahead.

**rjp322** · 03-12-12, 07:29 PM

Originally posted by hondo5

Im sorry LTA. Idk what it is but everytime I tail you its like a curse. This will be the last play I tail. Nobody wins when I do it for some reason.

Because the game is over already? Pace isnt really far ahead right now. Bet is still looking fine

**JM92** · 03-12-12, 07:29 PM

Originally posted by hondo5

Im sorry LTA. Idk what it is but everytime I tail you its like a curse. This will be the last play I tail. Nobody wins when I do it for some reason.

Or maybe you should tail always? Or almost always at least. That way you wouldn't be susceptible to such variance. I guarantee you its not a question of you being cursed.

Oh... and when did you lose this play? So much game left...

**Dtown13** · 03-12-12, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by hondo5

Im sorry LTA. Idk what it is but everytime I tail you its like a curse. This will be the last play I tail. Nobody wins when I do it for some reason.

C'mon it just started. This game is no where near over.

**hondo5** · 03-12-12, 07:33 PM

I'm with you guys. When I first turned the game on I got that here we go again feeling. Hopefully they slow it down.

**slidingdoor5** · 03-12-12, 07:34 PM

We got this no problem boys keep your heads up.

**rjp322** · 03-12-12, 07:39 PM

Not even a 50 point quarter guys after a blistering start. Knicks shooting 50% from field too. Bulls are really gonna try to control the pace of the game

**jimmy007oc** · 03-12-12, 07:40 PM

They did slow down after TO. Can't believe in my eyes, this Quarter stays under 50

**NOREGRETS** · 03-12-12, 07:41 PM

settle boys... and hope they keep missing FT's

**Love The Action** · 03-12-12, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by hondo5

Im sorry LTA. Idk what it is but everytime I tail you its like a curse. This will be the last play I tail. Nobody wins when I do it for some reason.

Dude, you need to seriously change your outlook on sports investing. Much like in life, you need to be positive in sports investing to be profitable. If you think like a winner and expect to win, you will win. However, if you think like a loser and expect to lose, then that will happen.

Take tonight for example, you watched the first 6 minute and freaked out. However, what you need to remember is that this is a 48 minute game. At a total set as high as 199, the teams need to average more than 4 points per minute. Just a couple minutes per quarter without scoring really affects the over and keeps it from hitting unless the teams make that up which is difficult.

In this game, it was actually great for us that the teams came out running and firing. That bodes well for a slower pace with worse shooting as the game goes on and especially in the 2h. As long as we keep this at about 210 pace or less through 3 quarters, we should be fine as the 4th quarter will slow down considerably and the Bulls will really turn up the defensive intensity. Right around the 4 minute mark of every quarter, you will see Rose slow down the pace and start running their half court sets. This is how the Bulls operate.

Just relax and don't get too worked up during the game. If you want to get pissed, wait till the final result is decided. However, you should really try to approach this like a business and keep an even keel without getting too high or too low. Remember, this is business buddy. Making money is serious business...

Good luck.

**ifiwaspresident** · 03-12-12, 07:45 PM

1Q finished 1.5 under 198 pace

**5mike5** · 03-12-12, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Dude, you need to seriously change your outlook on sports investing. Much like in life, you need to be positive in sports investing to be profitable. If you think like a winner and expect to win, you will win. However, if you think like a loser and expect to lose, then that will happen.

Take tonight for example, you watched the first 6 minute and freaked out. However, what you need to remember is that this is a 48 minute game. At a total set as high as 199, the teams need to average more than 4 points per minute. Just a couple minutes per quarter without scoring really affects the over and keeps it from hitting unless the teams make that up which is difficult.

In this game, it was actually great for us that the teams came out running and firing. That bodes well for a slower pace with worse shooting as the game goes on and especially in the 2h. As long as we keep this at about 210 pace or less through 3 quarters, we should be fine as the 4th quarter will slow down considerably and the Bulls will really turn up the defensive intensity. Right around the 4 minute mark of every quarter, you will see Rose slow down the pace and start running their half court sets. This is how the Bulls operate.

Just relax and don't get too worked up during the game. If you want to get pissed, wait till the final result is decided. However, you should really try to approach this like a business and keep an even keel without getting too high or too low. Remember, this is business buddy. Making money is serious business...

Good luck.

probably best post ive read in months on sbr

**una13ombr** · 03-12-12, 07:55 PM

LTA YOU ARE FUKING NAILS BRO! class act

**eastern2** · 03-12-12, 07:56 PM

well said LTA

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-12-12, 07:56 PM

Didn't we just have an under bet on Chicago at home where the scoring just shut down in the second half?

**ifiwaspresident** · 03-12-12, 07:58 PM

Just keep the clock rolling. Very few points scored so far with the clock stopped.

**rjp322** · 03-12-12, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by Catchn_Picks

Didn't we just have an under bet on Chicago at home where the scoring just shut down in the second half?

We had an over bet on saturday where we got a 70 point 4th to go way over

**jimmy007oc** · 03-12-12, 08:01 PM

The only thing I worry is both teams foul too much. I don't like to see both team in penalty and shoot bunch of FT

**Love The Action** · 03-12-12, 08:07 PM

Rose out to make a point and embarrass Lin.

**eastern2** · 03-12-12, 08:08 PM

Refs making this a FT contest all of sudden

**jimmy007oc** · 03-12-12, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Rose out to make a point and embarrass Lin.

I can tell Rose is pissing off now.

**JM92** · 03-12-12, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Rose out to make a point and embarrass Lin.

Took over on the points. Classic spot for either a monster game or a 10-30 night. I rather have the second since it helps the Under better, but 'bout will do me just fine. Also took D-Wills overs when the Nets played them and Lin's unders against the Heat. I'm trying to develop a props system based on "situational plays". Thing is... props prices suck.

Ever bet player props LTA?

**Love The Action** · 03-12-12, 08:14 PM

Fouls killing us, but the refs are actually a favorable crew for the under. As long as they lay off the whistles in the 2h, we should be ok.

Damn technical on Thibs at the end was annoying.

**jimmy007oc** · 03-12-12, 08:15 PM

series bad calls by the ref.