LTA's NBA Plays

[mikea33]

Okay. I ask LTA if his card is final a few times per week. That is 100% relative asking the whole reason we are on this thread if his card is final. That is not clogging the thread. Rather what this thread is for, discussing LTAs plays. Rather than responding to trolls. By the way, #thisisnttwitter

No need to start a fight on here, BOL

[fitguy67]

LTA#0192(Utah to Chicago) arrived right on schedule...thanks for yet ANOTHER winning evening...AND, especially, for putting up with your extended family (that must seem to you like a lot "special needs" cases during/just-after games, lol)...

keep it light, guyz...we're all here for the same thing...the escarole

[jas19illini]

Having Korver in there instead of Deng tonight was huge. Idk how Utah almost scored 100 pts, their offense looked so putrid and sluggish.

[jimmy007oc]

Thanks LTA. Most of my bet this season are on the Bull. And all of them are winning bet. Thanks again

[Roto97]

Yes he is and for christ's sake your all more retarted for responding to him

Ironic. Would help your cause if you spelled retarded correctly.




Plus whatever happened to starting a separate thread for in game commentary?

[STAY STRONG]

Lakers under looks juicy tomorrow.

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season Recap 3/10/2012

1 - 0 = +1x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

99 - 78 = +20.85x

A nice win with the Bulls over, but an even better decision in laying off the Mavs. It is just as important to lay off the losers as it is to pick the winners and illustrates why discipline is one of the most important attributes of a profitable sports investor. Let's get back to work. Good luck on Sunday.

[Speedy88]

Good Luck LTA

[JM92]

Personally I got f'ed up last night for not playing detroit and GSW/OVER. Classic case of "overthinking". Still I'll take this 1-0 plus my pick on the Wizards over everyday for a 2-0 night.

LTA, how much fg's of value does your model gives us with the Sixers?

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 3/11/2012

Play #1

Sixers (+3) 1x (Locked)

Back later with a writeup if I have time, but the lines are moving and I need to stay on top of them. Philly has a statistical advantage on both offense and defense in some of the most important and controlling categories. I have the Sixers set at a +0.5 giving us about 2.5 points of value and I'm rolling with Philly for 1x. Good luck.

[dshaffe4]

yep like the 6ers play

[remypom]

Knicks at home n lost 4 consecutive. Hmmm

[imaricer86]

They don't have to lose. Hmmm

[PS3]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 3/11/2012

Play #1

Sixers (+3) 1x (Locked)

Back later with a writeup if I have time, but the lines are moving and I need to stay on top of them. Philly has a statistical advantage on both offense and defense in some of the most important and controlling categories. I have the Sixers set at a +0.5 giving us about 2.5 points of value and I'm rolling with Philly for 1x. Good luck.

I like the under on this game. What do you think LTA?

[SiMON2g]

I like the under on this game. What do you think LTA?

Like the under aswell, I've got it.

[remypom]

Well. If lta is on it, blindly follow

[Love The Action]

I like the under on this game. What do you think LTA?

I think the Philly/NY under is a very solid play. I have a strong lean with the under, but was hoping to get 196. It's down to 194.5 and I'm not going to play it that low. My model has this total at 193. I view Philly on the side as the stronger play, but I think the under is a good play as well. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 3/11/2012

Play #1

Sixers (+3) 1x (Locked)

Back later with a writeup if I have time, but the lines are moving and I need to stay on top of them. Philly has a statistical advantage on both offense and defense in some of the most important and controlling categories. I have the Sixers set at a +0.5 giving us about 2.5 points of value and I'm rolling with Philly for 1x. Good luck.

Almost the whole market dropped back down to 2.5....let's hope it stays that way or hits 2.

[JM92]

I have mixed feelings. These teams can play a half-court game with emphasis on defense... but they can also run. Look at the Knicks pace over the last 5. Its scary. And if the Knicks start turning it over as usually, specially with Turner getting more minutes now, bye bye under. I see the Sixers eclipsing the 100 point mark in this game. So I'm only playing the side.

Great call as always LTA.

[unitedlad]

I think the Philly/NY under is a very solid play. I have a strong lean with the under, but was hoping to get 196. It's down to 194.5 and I'm not going to play it that low. My model has this total at 193. I view Philly on the side as the stronger play, but I think the under is a good play as well. Good luck.

Hey LTA, If I could get my hands on u195.5 at -109, would you say that's good value?

[Sixla]

If it stays at 2.5 LTA, would u recommend buying the half point? Thanks and GL

[absolutkaos]

i think the Bucks at -1 over the Raps is a ton of value.....Calderon is out with a bad ankle sprain he suffered last night, and Toronto just got hammered by 20 to Detroit...Bucks have been playing some good ball lately 2-1 on this road trip, beating 76ers & Knicks and only falling to the Bulls by a basket (Rose and his ultra clutch game winner)...

[dshaffe4]

If it stays at 2.5 LTA, would u recommend buying the half point? Thanks and GL

just take the 2.5 buying the half point only gives you a push if it lands on 3

[imaricer86]

Lta would u consider taking the money line on Phili?

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 3/11/2012

Play #1

Sixers (+3) 1x (Locked)

Philly has a statistical advantage on both offense and defense in some of the most important and controlling categories. They are dominate across the board in both the offensive and defensive "four factors." Here we have another matchup that gives us defensive strengths versus offensive strengths with Philly's defensive prowess at deferring shots at the rim and efficiency at the perimeter against the high pace of NY and three point assault. The situational factors also point to Philly or otherwise cancel out. Both teams need this game and when people say it's a must win for NY, I can say the same for Philly. Both teams are rested, but Philly is playing with revenge from earlier this year and last year. More than anything, however, this is a statistical play with Philly dominating NY across the board and I have to trust my model. I have the Sixers set at a +0.5 giving us about 2.5 points of value and I'm rolling with Philly for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Celtics/Lakers under (180.5) 1x (Locked)

This one scares me on multiple levels. We cashed the last under in this matchup last month despite OT. We had that one at 177 and it closed around 174. In this game, the books opened up at 180 and it's up to 180.5. So are they telling us they expect a higher scoring game or are they simply accounting for the recent play of both teams. For the most part, both teams have been playing better offensive basketball as of late. However, the defensive stats still dominate this matchup and the overall offensive stats pale in comparison. Doc has been urging his troops to play fast lately so that is another concern, but in this matchup I expect both teams to revert back to what is most comfortable to them: half-court sets and a methodical pace. Both teams are dominate defensive clubs and both coaches stress defense first so I have no reason not to think the same will happen today. The refs are rather neutral with Crawford, Blair and Wood so I have no reason to expect an abnormal amount of calls. Bottom line is this is a classic high-intensity, playoff-atmosphere under type matchup and if I see value, I will generally make this play. In this case, I have the total set at 176 giving us over two fg's of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[pacocn]

Lta, good luck on your 2 plays,
keep up the good work, you truly do
provide a public service

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 3/11/2012

Play #1

Sixers (+3) 1x (Locked)

Philly has a statistical advantage on both offense and defense in some of the most important and controlling categories. They are dominate across the board in both the offensive and defensive "four factors." Here we have another matchup that gives us defensive strengths versus offensive strengths with Philly's defensive prowess at deferring shots at the rim and efficiency at the perimeter against the high pace of NY and three point assault. The situational factors also point to Philly or otherwise cancel out. Both teams need this game and when people say it's a must win for NY, I can say the same for Philly. Both teams are rested, but Philly is playing with revenge from earlier this year and last year. More than anything, however, this is a statistical play with Philly dominating NY across the board and I have to trust my model. I have the Sixers set at a +0.5 giving us about 2.5 points of value and I'm rolling with Philly for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Celtics/Lakers under (180.5) 1x (Locked)

This one scares me on multiple levels. We cashed the last under in this matchup last month despite OT. We had that one at 177 and it closed around 174. In this game, the books opened up at 180 and it's up to 180.5. So are they telling us they expect a higher scoring game or are they simply accounting for the recent play of both teams. For the most part, both teams have been playing better offensive basketball as of late. However, the defensive stats still dominate this matchup and the overall offensive stats pale in comparison. Doc has been urging his troops to play fast lately so that is another concern, but in this matchup I expect both teams to revert back to what is most comfortable to them: half-court sets and a methodical pace. Both teams are dominate defensive clubs and both coaches stress defense first so I have no reason not to think the same will happen today. The refs are rather neutral with Crawford, Blair and Wood so I have no reason to expect an abnormal amount of calls. Bottom line is this is a classic high-intensity, playoff-atmosphere under type matchup and if I see value, I will generally make this play. In this case, I have the total set at 176 giving us over two fg's of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Warriors/Clippers over (198.5) 1x (Locked)

This is a matchup of offense versus defense in strike contrast to play #2. In this matchup, we see two of the top 10 teams in OEFF against two of the bottom 10 teams in DEFF. The Clippers don't play at a fast pace, but are efficient with the possessions they have, whereas GSW has been running since mid-January and also plays efficiently. In this game, GSW is on a b2b but the travel was minimal going from the coast to LA. I don't see fatigue being an issue for GSW on offense, especially considering all of their starters played limited minutes due to their blowout win last night (even Ellis was only at 31 mins). I think we see two teams that choose to light it up tonight rather than try to play lock-down D. The ref assignments are acceptable with Stafford, Fehr and Richardson. I have this game set at 203 giving us over four points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

[eastern2]

keep em coming lta

[rjp322]

Missed the Philly play due to waking up late but BOL LTA. I will be on the next 2 plays. Was at the bulls game last night and the place was going crazy!

[PS3]

The game in MSG is sooo quiet. LMAO. I can hear the players calling the plays.

[groovybrandone]

Missed the Philly play due to waking up late but BOL LTA. I will be on the next 2 plays. Was at the bulls game last night and the place was going crazy!

I missed it too. Damn that daylight savings!

[TC Woods]

I missed the tip off too but just got my wager in (live betting) at Philly +4 1/2

Let's get this

[groovybrandone]

ah, 5dimes isnt giving me live plays ((

[PS3]

Hoping for Philly to step-up their D.

[chief42]

what site is the best site for live betting?