LTA's NBA Plays

[Trivial]

All the games except Bulls/Lakers (-2.5) are off the board.....i wonder why....

I see that at Pinnacle, but they are still up at The Greek and 5 Dimes.

[EasyPicks]

don't u play the preseason LTA?

lines are really soft so far....

[Love The Action]

don't u play the preseason LTA?

lines are really soft so far....

I dont play preseason in any sport because there are too many variables. Its tough for the lines to be soft when neither book nor player can depend on set player rotations.

Good luck if you play preseason. That's too volatile for me

[kobstopa]

NBA 2011-2012 12/25/2011

Play #1

Bulls (+3) 1x (Locked)

Full writeup to come. I may add a taste to the ML or this play. I love the Bulls in this spot and it's all about continuity. The Bulls have been quiet in the free agent market, instead deciding to tweak the team and make it better by adding Hamilton. Led by Rose, the Bulls are the silent assassin of top caliber teams that is always underrated compared to the Heat, Lakers, etc. However, on this opening day, I expect the Bulls to run all over the Lake Show. As I said, this one is about continuity of players and knowing how to play together. The Bulls have that, while the Lakers are a mess right now. Players are on eggshells in fear of being traded and even if they made a blockbuster trade, they won't have enough time before Christmas Day to come together as a team in order to beat the Bulls. The Lakers are already without Odom because of their off-season mess and McRobers is nothing more than a role player -- he does not possess anywhere near the skillset to replace Odom. The Bulls stay humble and quiet led by Rose and are just getting ready to attack. I have a LOT more to say about this game and will provide a full writeup in the coming days. However, I wanted to get this one posted up as some have been asking what my first play of the season was going to be. Make no mistake, I think the Bulls win this game outright, but I will take them with the points for now. I am rolling with the Bulls for 1x. Good luck.

after today's game, I wouldnt be surprised to see Chicago move to -1.5 at around game time

[70kgman]

Good luck this year LTA.

[Love The Action]

Good luck this year LTA.

Same to you buddy. Are you tweaking your model based on the new scheduling factors this year?

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 12/25/2011

Play #1

Bulls (+3) 1x (Locked)

Full writeup to come. I may add a taste to the ML or this play. I love the Bulls in this spot and it's all about continuity. The Bulls have been quiet in the free agent market, instead deciding to tweak the team and make it better by adding Hamilton. Led by Rose, the Bulls are the silent assassin of top caliber teams that is always underrated compared to the Heat, Lakers, etc. However, on this opening day, I expect the Bulls to run all over the Lake Show. As I said, this one is about continuity of players and knowing how to play together. The Bulls have that, while the Lakers are a mess right now. Players are on eggshells in fear of being traded and even if they made a blockbuster trade, they won't have enough time before Christmas Day to come together as a team in order to beat the Bulls. The Lakers are already without Odom because of their off-season mess and McRobers is nothing more than a role player -- he does not possess anywhere near the skillset to replace Odom. The Bulls stay humble and quiet led by Rose and are just getting ready to attack. I have a LOT more to say about this game and will provide a full writeup in the coming days. However, I wanted to get this one posted up as some have been asking what my first play of the season was going to be. Make no mistake, I think the Bulls win this game outright, but I will take them with the points for now. I am rolling with the Bulls for 1x. Good luck.

Bulls now +1 at Pinny

The only thing that sucks is that I wanted to get a good ML price as well, but that's obviously not going to happen. Hopefully, we get some Lakers buy back at some point.

[kobstopa]

Bulls now +1 at Pinny

The only thing that sucks is that I wanted to get a good ML price as well, but that's obviously not going to happen. Hopefully, we get some Lakers buy back at some point.

if they some how pull a homer & trade through Dwight Howard, which is not gonna change the outcome of this game still

[70kgman]

Same to you buddy. Are you tweaking your model based on the new scheduling factors this year?

Hypothetically, my model should mostly tweak itself based on the results. Other stuff I should be able to pick up on with the eye test through repetition.

By the way, I am posting all my basketball plays in the NCAAB forum this year if you didn't know. My thread is here: http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-baske...hoops-ect.html

[reppin_the_847]

Best we can hope for here is to break even on the juice. You and Lakerboy are in agreement on this one. I think the time has finally come. The former Western Conference giants (LA Lakers) had to fall at some point, and we saw cracks in the armor during the Lakers' last year. During last year's playoffs, hinges fell loose on the Lakers, and the thread became thinner as Phil Jackson departed & finally during the past couple weeks of trade politics, the once mighty Lakers basically fell off the ledge. The Lakers, as you so eloquently stated, are in complete disarray now & the Bulls are looking SUPER sharp. I checked the couple pre-season games they had vs. the Pacers (granted it's pre-season but still), and man these Bullies are looking super sharp. Carlos Boozer shed 20 lbs & he is QUICK now. The team has a ton of depth. BOL!

Bulls now +1 at Pinny

The only thing that sucks is that I wanted to get a good ML price as well, but that's obviously not going to happen. Hopefully, we get some Lakers buy back at some point.

[GChild]

Bulls -1 now ha

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 12/25/2011

Play #1

Bulls (+3) 1x and Bulls (PK) 1x for total of 2x (Locked)

Full writeup to come. I may add a taste to the ML or this play. I love the Bulls in this spot and it's all about continuity. The Bulls have been quiet in the free agent market, instead deciding to tweak the team and make it better by adding Hamilton. Led by Rose, the Bulls are the silent assassin of top caliber teams that is always underrated compared to the Heat, Lakers, etc. However, on this opening day, I expect the Bulls to run all over the Lake Show. As I said, this one is about continuity of players and knowing how to play together. The Bulls have that, while the Lakers are a mess right now. Players are on eggshells in fear of being traded and even if they made a blockbuster trade, they won't have enough time before Christmas Day to come together as a team in order to beat the Bulls. The Lakers are already without Odom because of their off-season mess and McRobers is nothing more than a role player -- he does not possess anywhere near the skillset to replace Odom. The Bulls stay humble and quiet led by Rose and are just getting ready to attack. I have a LOT more to say about this game and will provide a full writeup in the coming days. However, I wanted to get this one posted up as some have been asking what my first play of the season was going to be. Make no mistake, I think the Bulls win this game outright, but I will take them with the points for now. I am rolling with the Bulls for 1x. Good luck.

Added 1x to Play #1 for total of 2x. Correct units denoted above.

Without Andrew Bynum, the Lakers will struggle inside with only Gasol, McRobers and Murphy the only real threats down low. Artest is a wack job that Kobe is over dealing with and Brown is a new head coach struggling to earn the respect of his players. The key to this play is really Bynum though, because without him they will struggle with the Bulls front court. Obviously, no one can guard Kobe or D.Rose, but with Kobe's injury and the young hustle and work ethic that Rose employs, I think the superstar edge also goes to the Bulls. Brown is not anywhere near as good a coach as Thibodeaux and the Bulls have the edge in that department. At this point of the season, the Bulls have the better offense, defense, coaching and team chemistry. I love the Bulls to win this game and the market agrees. I am rolling with the Bulls for 2x, with 1x at (+3) and 1x at a PK. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 12/25/2011

Play #1

Bulls (+3) 1x and Bulls (PK) 1x for total of 2x (Locked)

Full writeup to come. I may add a taste to the ML or this play. I love the Bulls in this spot and it's all about continuity. The Bulls have been quiet in the free agent market, instead deciding to tweak the team and make it better by adding Hamilton. Led by Rose, the Bulls are the silent assassin of top caliber teams that is always underrated compared to the Heat, Lakers, etc. However, on this opening day, I expect the Bulls to run all over the Lake Show. As I said, this one is about continuity of players and knowing how to play together. The Bulls have that, while the Lakers are a mess right now. Players are on eggshells in fear of being traded and even if they made a blockbuster trade, they won't have enough time before Christmas Day to come together as a team in order to beat the Bulls. The Lakers are already without Odom because of their off-season mess and McRobers is nothing more than a role player -- he does not possess anywhere near the skillset to replace Odom. The Bulls stay humble and quiet led by Rose and are just getting ready to attack. I have a LOT more to say about this game and will provide a full writeup in the coming days. However, I wanted to get this one posted up as some have been asking what my first play of the season was going to be. Without Andrew Bynum, the Lakers will struggle inside with only Gasol, McRobers and Murphy the only real threats down low. Artest is a wack job that Kobe is over dealing with and Brown is a new head coach struggling to earn the respect of his players. The key to this play is really Bynum though, because without him they will struggle with the Bulls front court. Obviously, no one can guard Kobe or D.Rose, but with Kobe's injury and the young hustle and work ethic that Rose employs, I think the superstar edge also goes to the Bulls. Brown is not anywhere near as good a coach as Thibodeaux and the Bulls have the edge in that department. At this point of the season, the Bulls have the better offense, defense, coaching and team chemistry. I love the Bulls to win this game and the market agrees. I am rolling with the Bulls for 2x, with 1x at (+3) and 1x at a PK. Good luck.

Play #2

Clippers/Warriors under (214) 1x (Locked)

The numbers are jumping all over the place between 215 and 211 at the open. I was able to get 214 before it started moving lower to the 213 it's at while I type. I just think this game is set too high for the late Christmas game where the Warriors will be playing a more defensive minded style and the Clippers have yet to gel as a team. I think the under is the play in all the games for Christmas, but especially this one. I have this game set at 208 and I'm getting 214. However, with this being the first day of the season, I'm not going bigger than 1x on a total. However, I do think we're getting great value at this number and I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[Dexter]

Good Luck with hoops and Happy Holidays LTA..

[Love The Action]

Good Luck with hoops and Happy Holidays LTA..

Same to you sir

[Love The Action]

Current numbers are bulls -4 and the clip total down to 211.5, so we were WAY ahead of the market on those plays. For those who didnt get my numbers, I would play the clip total as low as 210, but I would not play the Bulls any worse than -1. I will have some more plays, including a possible teaser. Good luck today guys. Lets start the season off with a big day.

[Trivial]

Current numbers are bulls -4 and the clip total down to 211.5, so we were WAY ahead of the market on those plays. For those who didnt get my numbers, I would play the clip total as low as 210, but I would not play the Bulls any worse than -1. I will have some more plays, including a possible teaser. Good luck today guys. Lets start the season off with a big day.

Thanks LTA. Got the Bulls for +3 earlier in the week, and just did the ML and Clip at 211.5 today.

Not sure about if doing the ML play at -170 was worth it or not for 1 unit, but did it anyhow.

Thanks again for all your work.

[Love The Action]

Leaning to the under in the Knicks/Celtics game, but only at 194 or better. Right now, it's all the way down to 193. I was hoping it would go back up to 194 so I didn't lock it in yet. I missed the early steam as each time I tried locking it in, the line would move and I couldn't get it until it was down to 193.5.

[Love The Action]

Thanks LTA. Got the Bulls for +3 earlier in the week, and just did the ML and Clip at 211.5 today.

Not sure about if doing the ML play at -170 was worth it or not for 1 unit, but did it anyhow.

Thanks again for all your work.

Good luck. I would strongly against ever spending -170 on a away favorite going against a team like the Lakers. That is -ev.

With that said, however, you will cash that ticket so no worries. Just remember, that's not a good play long term and you're better off passing on the game than buying into bad numbers.

GL

[SimonSayz]

Bulls absolutely roll in this one...i expect an 8 pt victory....this is their year and they make a statement from game 1. Bulls -3.5.

[szyy604]

i really DON'T think the celtics game will be close to that total...i played it a 191.5, don't think it'll hit 190. Best of luck tho.

[Trivial]

Good luck. I would strongly against ever spending -170 on a away favorite going against a team like the Lakers. That is -ev.

With that said, however, you will cash that ticket so no worries. Just remember, that's not a good play long term and you're better off passing on the game than buying into bad numbers.

GL

Thanks as always LTA. I appreciate the advice as always. These are my first ever NBA bets. :-). This is the biggest juice I have ever given up. What did you get? When I saw your ML bet, I thought you must have gotten similar odds with the line being -3.5 ? Am I wrong?

Family is doing well. I am now sleeping with a CPAP machine after receiving a sleep apnea diagnosis. Hopefully this gets to the root cause of my issues. Only night two tonight but it is expected to help. Keeping fingers crossed. Happy Holidays!

[poloman]

Happy Holidays to all here. Let's keep faith, NFL is not over yet.

[Trivial]

Boston line is now 192.5 in most places. I can still manage 193 at one of my books, but the rest are down to 192.5. Thinking about that one, but I know little to nothing about NBA.

[BIGPOPPA144]

I am liking the Mavs, I think Odom is too much down low..... . thoughts?

[svenodds]

GL this season

[Love The Action]

Thanks as always LTA. I appreciate the advice as always. These are my first ever NBA bets. :-). This is the biggest juice I have ever given up. What did you get? When I saw your ML bet, I thought you must have gotten similar odds with the line being -3.5 ? Am I wrong?

Yes, you are wrong. I am playing the bulls for 1x at (+3) & for 1x at a (pk). I did not play the ml. Check a few posts above.

Family is doing well. I am now sleeping with a CPAP machine after receiving a sleep apnea diagnosis. Hopefully this gets to the root cause of my issues. Only night two tonight but it is expected to help. Keeping fingers crossed. Happy Holidays!

That's great news! Merry xmas to you and your family

[Trivial]

Yes, you are wrong. I am playing the bulls for 1x at (+3) & for 1x at a (pk). I did not play the ml. Check a few posts above.



That's great news! Merry xmas to you and your family

Thanks LTA - you are right. I misread the post for ML instead of PK. What odds did you get at the PK? Even still, I didn't see the PK when you did, as everything was already at -3.5 or worse at the time I saw your post.

Merry xmas to you and your family as well. Appreciate the support with my health issues.

[Love The Action]

Thanks LTA - you are right. I misread the post for ML instead of PK. What odds did you get at the PK? Even still, I didn't see the PK when you did, as everything was already at -3.5 or worse at the time I saw your post.

Merry xmas to you and your family as well. Appreciate the support with my health issues.

A pk is always -110.

Putting in a few more plays right now that you should be able to get my number....stay tuned

[YOUNGBUCK]

Back to a sport we both play LTA hope ur havin a good Xmas buddy

[2daBank]

I am liking the Mavs, I think Odom is too much down low..... . thoughts?

i dont think anyone has ever used the phrase "odom to much down low" before...personally i think this the kind of meaningless gm bron will shine in, no Chandler is a huge deal and i just dont think mavs gel all that fast...honestly feel like im flipping coins in 1st of season so hell if i really know but im already down on Heat-4... bol

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 12/25/2011

Play #1

Bulls (+3) 1x and Bulls (PK) 1x for total of 2x (Locked)

I love the Bulls in this spot and it's all about continuity. The Bulls have been quiet in the free agent market, instead deciding to tweak the team and make it better by adding Hamilton. Led by Rose, the Bulls are the silent assassin of top caliber teams that is always underrated compared to the Heat, Lakers, etc. However, on this opening day, I expect the Bulls to run all over the Lake Show. As I said, this one is about continuity of players and knowing how to play together. The Bulls have that, while the Lakers are a mess right now. Players are on eggshells in fear of being traded and even if they made a blockbuster trade, they won't have enough time before Christmas Day to come together as a team in order to beat the Bulls. The Lakers are already without Odom because of their off-season mess and McRobers is nothing more than a role player -- he does not possess anywhere near the skillset to replace Odom. The Bulls stay humble and quiet led by Rose and are just getting ready to attack. Without Andrew Bynum, the Lakers will struggle inside with only Gasol, McRobers and Murphy the only real threats down low. Artest is a wack job that Kobe is over dealing with and Brown is a new head coach struggling to earn the respect of his players. The key to this play is really Bynum though, because without him they will struggle with the Bulls front court. Obviously, no one can guard Kobe or D.Rose, but with Kobe's injury and the young hustle and work ethic that Rose employs, I think the superstar edge also goes to the Bulls. Brown is not anywhere near as good a coach as Thibodeaux and the Bulls have the edge in that department. At this point of the season, the Bulls have the better offense, defense, coaching and team chemistry. I love the Bulls to win this game and have the game set at a PK. The market agreed and we were ahead of the curve by getting great numbers. I am rolling with the Bulls for 2x, with 1x at (+3) and 1x at a PK. Good luck.

Play #2

Clippers/Warriors under (214) 1x (Locked)

The numbers are jumping all over the place between 215 and 211 at the open. I was able to get 214 before it started moving lower to the 213 it's at while I type. I just think this game is set too high for the late Christmas game where the Warriors will be playing a more defensive minded style and the Clippers have yet to gel as a team. I think the under is the play in all the games for Christmas, but especially this one. I have this game set at 208 and I'm getting 214. However, with this being the first day of the season, I'm not going bigger than 1x on a total. However, I do think we're getting great value at this number and I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Teaser

Heat (PK)/Bulls (PK) 1.1x to win 1x (Locked)

As you know, I love the Bulls to win this game and my thoughts on that one are above. I also really think the Heat win today as well. I should played the Heat upon the open at a PK. However, I wanted to see where this Maverick roster ended up after losing Butler, Chandler and Barrea. While Odom is a great role player, he does not make up for the lack of fire power provided by the three players the Mavs lost. Therefore, on this opening day, I think the Mavs are worse off offensively by losing Butler, defensively by losing Chandler and in their backcourt depth by losing Barrea. While Odom sort of fills the void lost by Chandler and Butler, I just don't think that's enough for an already-old team that just got older. Plus, there are more distractions for the Mavs in this game than the Heat. After all, this will be the day that the Mavs get their championship rings and raise the banner, plus it's Christmas with the Mavs playing at home where they will have familial distractions. The Heat don't have to worry about the familial distractions and they have been stewing all offseason waiting for this rematch. I think we see a razor sharp focus from the Heat today which will lead to great games from the Big-3 and an especially big game from Bron-Bron. I have the Heat set at -1 and the Bulls set at a PK. I will tease them down for 1x and bank on both road team pulling out the victory. Good luck.

[The Coach's Desk]

BOL LTA
Merry Xmas

[Love The Action]

Back to a sport we both play LTA hope ur havin a good Xmas buddy

Same to you Buck! Merry Xmas and let's make some money

[Love The Action]

BOL LTA
Merry Xmas

Coach! Merry Christmas pal