For me NBA-wise, pretty big (though I'm admittedly not a big gambler bankroll wise -- this is much more recreation and much less of an income).
ODU ML on Thursday is bigger.
This is likely my only NBA play Wednesday.
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#5
Orlando (-5) is the safer bet.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#6
I love this new-look Denver team, BTW. I just think the Hawks get the job done on Wednesday.
As for Orlando, why are they only -5 (after opening at 5.5)? Bucks have been atrocious in their last two games, and they should be tired. Magic were favored by more in Phoenix against a much better Suns team (even sans Nash). Doesn't make any sense; I don't like it.
Comment
lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#7
this game will be good.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#8
I do like ORL/MIL under 180 a lot:
Under is 7-1 in ORL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 14-4 in ORL last 18 overall.
Under is 6-2 in ORL last 8 road games.
Under is 24-8 in MIL last 32 home games.
Under is 6-2 in MIL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 19-7 in MIL last 26 overall.
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#9
I think Magic getting blown out at Los Angeles was cause for concern. It's a buy low-sell high type of line here....perception of Orlando is that they are weak and out of sync. They are still better than Milwaukee however.
Comment
twelvejewelz
SBR MVP
01-29-11
2388
#10
I wont bet against this denver team right now. I was on Atlanta tonight but denver is deep. They can start their entire bench..How is atlanta on b2b?
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#11
Originally posted by No coincidences
I do like ORL/MIL under 180 a lot:
Under is 7-1 in ORL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 14-4 in ORL last 18 overall. Under is 6-2 in ORL last 8 road games. Under is 24-8 in MIL last 32 home games. Under is 6-2 in MIL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 19-7 in MIL last 26 overall.
Yes, I was also leaning towards this. However I think the Magic come out and need to make a statement after their Lakers bashing. This is why I favor the spread more.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#12
Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
I think Magic getting blown out at Los Angeles was cause for concern. It's a buy low-sell high type of line here....perception of Orlando is that they are weak and out of sync. They are still better than Milwaukee however.
And what would the perception be of Milwaukee after their last two performances?
IMHO, this should be at least -6.5.
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#13
This is a classic case of arbitrage. You need to take advantage of it. Magic (-5.5) or (-5) is the play here.
Comment
lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#14
milwaukee has never looked worse. magic 1H -3 is likely my POD.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#15
Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
This is a classic case of arbitrage. You need to take advantage of it. Magic (-5.5) or (-5) is the play here.
Good luck. I'm not touching it. Magic just lost to the Lakers -- they weren't blown out, and it was one game against the champs on their court. If they'd lost 5 in a row or something, you'd have me convinced. The line stinks IMHO.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#16
Originally posted by lunchbawks
milwaukee has never looked worse. magic 1H -3 is likely my POD.
They were outstanding Saturday night.
Comment
NYSportsGuy210
SBR Posting Legend
11-07-09
11347
#17
Also because the Magic lost at Milwaukee earlier this season by like 10.
That played into the spread too.
Comment
Goat Milk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-24-10
25850
#18
Originally posted by No coincidences
They were outstanding Saturday night.
no philly was just tired
Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
Comment
NBA_Brosuf
Restricted User
02-14-11
2489
#19
I'm not betting on this one but I'm liking Denver. Just sharing to stir up the pot a little bit. LOL
Comment
ThingsFallApart
SBR Wise Guy
12-24-10
880
#20
Thank you, I did like Denver now I can stick with it
Please don't switch to Denver because the line is moving though.
Comment
dchung53
SBR Rookie
11-23-10
11
#21
hawks blow out denver
Comment
Degenerate
SBR High Roller
06-25-07
159
#22
I like ATL, but I haven't bet it yet.
GL with your bet
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#23
bucks have dominated orlando ats in milwaukee for years, the line is too high (not too low) in that game but adjusted for the situation, hence -5.5. it isn't like orlando has won 10 straight. it's the bucks 4th game in 5 nights are they have only scored 8 points in two games including 4 garbage buckets. throw the last two games out (way out) and the line is too high. good luck!
Comment
doe
SBR High Roller
07-09-09
114
#24
Denver ml
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Jerm3462
SBR MVP
11-09-09
4454
#25
.....waiting for dynamite
Comment
begsy
SBR Rookie
03-16-11
2
#26
Originally posted by thebestthereis
bucks 4th game in 5 nights are they have only scored 8 points in two games including 4 garbage buckets. throw the last two games out (way out) and the line is too high. good luck!
what does this mean?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#27
Originally posted by Goat Milk
no philly was just tired
Philly was tired, but it's not like Milwaukee skated by. They blew them out.
Comment
CHAZ
SBR MVP
12-09-09
4978
#28
Why do you like ATL so much tonight?
Comment
gv12
SBR Sharp
08-05-10
459
#29
good luck today noco, really like the Atlanta play as well
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#30
Originally posted by CHAZ
Why do you like ATL so much tonight?
Hawks are still a very solid home team who plays up to their competition. Denver's on an ATS tear, but this is still a 13-20 road squad we're talking about here. I know they've played well on the road since the trade, but a lot of games have been against inferior competition and this game isn't it.
Denver hasn't won in Atlanta since I believe '07-08, and they're 2-18 L-20 there. They also have the Magic and Heat on deck. I just think this is a bad spot for them.
Comment
soxwin
SBR MVP
01-05-10
1885
#31
Atlanta -1 seems to be the popular play. Make the cash!!
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#32
Originally posted by Goat Milk
no philly was just tired
thought it was all about matchups...are you admiting that fatigue comes into play when capping the NBA ????...lets stay consistent
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#33
Originally posted by No coincidences
Hawks are still a very solid home team who plays up to their competition. Denver's on an ATS tear, but this is still a 13-20 road squad we're talking about here. I know they've played well on the road since the trade, but a lot of games have been against inferior competition and this game isn't it.
Denver hasn't won in Atlanta since I believe '07-08, and they're 2-18 L-20 there. They also have the Magic and Heat on deck. I just think this is a bad spot for them.
This is the same logic that made so many people on here so confident about the Pistons when the Nuggets went to Detroit on Jan 26th... Denver was a shit road team, on a B2B, that hadn't won at the Palace in a LONG time, and the Nuggets still beat them by 9. Such trends are worse than worthless because they're misleading.
It seems odd to me that with the factors contributing to the matchup: Hawks having this good home track record against the Nuggets and in a revenge situation (albeit not from a big blowout), while Denver is supposedly a shit team on the road, missing Arron Afflalo, and with the Magic & Heat coming up next... With all that, ATL is only a pk at open?
I like the Nuggets. Not a big bet, but I really wouldn't describe the Hawks as being in a favourable spot. More like neutral. Be careful going big, especially chasing yesterday's losses...
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#34
Originally posted by suicidekings
This is the same logic that made so many people on here so confident about the Pistons when the Nuggets went to Detroit on Jan 26th... Denver was a shit road team, on a B2B, that hadn't won at the Palace in a LONG time, and the Nuggets still beat them by 9. Such trends are worse than worthless because they're misleading.
It seems odd to me that with the factors contributing to the matchup: Hawks having this good home track record against the Nuggets and in a revenge situation (albeit not from a big blowout), while Denver is supposedly a shit team on the road, missing Arron Afflalo, and with the Magic & Heat coming up next... With all that, ATL is only a pk at open?
I like the Nuggets. Not a big bet, but I really wouldn't describe the Hawks as being in a favourable spot. More like neutral. Be careful going big, especially chasing yesterday's losses...
I appreciate and respect your thoughts, SK.
With that being said, the Hawks aren't the Pistons.