tired of losing money -make my own picks instaed

masticore · 03-23-11, 01:33 AM

3/22 "Sum up"

Winnings +10470

5* spread 32-25
3* spread 56-30

5* o/u 27-18
3* o/u 39-39

"POD/strong" 13-2
"POD/strong" spread 9-1
"POD/strong" o/u 4-1

all 5* 59-43
all 3* 95-69

spread 88-55
o/u 66-57

all plays:154-112

masticore · 03-23-11, 01:44 AM

If you have played my picks from strat with my "personal" unit size:

10* 13-2 (+10800)
5* Spread 79-54 (+9800) <--- includes both 3* and 5*
5* o/u 23-17 (+2150) <---will start play them as 3* (so winning then will be "only" 1290)

tot 115-73(+22750) <-- after change with o/u to 3* the winning will be +21890

A final question...Why didnt I start picking by myself long time ago?

mikke

masticore · 03-23-11, 01:58 AM

12 games to analyse today...best to start with analyses at once...

Be preperd - lot of action today

mikke

masticore · 03-23-11, 02:18 AM

3/23

5* OKC/UTA un202.5 <--- POD
5* MIL -8.5 <--- strong
5* PHI -6 <--- strong
5* BOS -6.5 <--- strong
5* HOU/GSW ov216 <--- strong

5* NJN -3.5
5* UTA +10

3* BOS/MEM ov188
3* MIA -8.5
3* NYK +1.5
3* NYK/ORL un203
3* DEN -4
3* PHO -8
3* IND +2.5
3* LAC/WAS un201

shopbar picks · 03-23-11, 02:26 AM

get'em mikke. Your doing a great job. Still the capper on sbr that my picks agree with.

shopbar picks · 03-23-11, 02:32 AM

Sort of a rookie to MLB betting will your system be a ML or a -1.5 run spread. But dont want to interrupt your NBA thought process.

BigBurk · 03-23-11, 02:40 AM

Oh yeah very nice night going 3-0!!

I went 3-0 myself also, just with slightly different picks! My last 23 plays went 19-4

Hope we can hold on to this winning streak!!

Toples · 03-23-11, 02:51 AM

nicew going man

shopbar picks · 03-23-11, 03:02 AM

nice job bigburk!

masticore · 03-23-11, 03:12 AM

Originally posted by shopbar picks

Sort of a rookie to MLB betting will your system be a ML or a -1.5 run spread. But dont want to interrupt your NBA thought process.

I guess it will be: total RL ml...

I will use same way I pick the games in NBA...statistical

The problem I have is to grade the games

It's easier in NBA because there the odds -110 all the time...but in MLB the odds is difrent all the time

And in the MLB base will I get out the results both in hit% and roi%

ex.

game A: hit% 10 and roi 90%

game B hit% 90 and roi 10%

game A is better then game B ..but still will you grade game B higher then game A...

Any help how to do it, would be greatfull

But I will start slow at start to see if I found some good way to grade the games

Will probly change things under the season...I have done it a few times here in NBA

mikke

mikke

shopbar picks · 03-23-11, 03:48 AM

thats what i like to see. I semi labby system in mlb. Pick a 3 game series. Win and quit betting either of those teams. Btw hope your system likes phil or char. Thanx SBP

masticore · 03-23-11, 04:20 AM

Originally posted by shopbar picks

thats what i like to see. I semi labby system in mlb. Pick a 3 game series. Win and quit betting either of those teams. Btw hope your system likes phil or char. Thanx SBP

I personally doesnt like chase sytem...so probly will not looking for that

Phi was a strong play today...Cha lines havent come up for me yet

mikke

BigBurk · 03-23-11, 04:27 AM

Originally posted by shopbar picks

nice job bigburk!

Thanks! Although I should be thanking the cappers here on this forum since they are the ones making the picks, I just follow/fade them.

masticore · 03-23-11, 04:50 AM

Originally posted by BigBurk

Thanks! Although I should be thanking the cappers here on this forum since they are the ones making the picks, I just follow/fade them.

Its also a skill to fade/follow

mikke

shopbar picks · 03-23-11, 05:07 AM

k but what is roi%

masticore · 03-23-11, 05:28 AM

Originally posted by shopbar picks

k but what is roi%

return of investment

ex: I have 10 bets a 100

On this 10 bets I go +500

So 500 winning of 1000 investment...then get a ROI 500/1000=.5= 50%

Will not garantee thats the way to count roi....

Its a more accurate value of bets then hit percent..(if I use above example)

all bets get +500 and I win of them I will get a roi of 50 but a hit % of 10

and if all gives +100 i need a hit % of 50 to get a roi of 50%

mikke

mikke

BigBurk · 03-23-11, 05:37 AM

Return on investment actually, rent is a whole different thing

I know your english isn't the best so just helping out here

masticore · 03-23-11, 05:42 AM

Originally posted by BigBurk

Return on investment actually, rent is a whole different thing

I know your english isn't the best so just helping out here

Thx...this time it was a typo by me...probly because my bad english

mikke

masticore · 03-23-11, 05:58 AM

Almost all-in today with all the bets...so far risking 75 units (=75%) and still 3 games left to analys

I almost go broke if a 0-xx day

In future will 1 unit= ½ %.....I have not nervs for this

mikke

BigBurk · 03-23-11, 06:16 AM

Originally posted by masticore

Almost all-in today with all the bets...so far risking 75 units (=75%) and still 3 games left to analys

I almost go broke if a 0-xx day

In future will 1 unit= ½ %.....I have not nervs for this

mikke

Haha true! Days in which you almost risk your entire bankroll are too much to handle! Let's hope you atleast make a 150% margin tonight!

And yes, bankroll management is key if you want to make money over a larger period of time. Usually for me 1 unit is approximately 4-5% of my bankroll, but that also is a bit too high! If I hit a bad streak I end up broke.

paed · 03-23-11, 08:01 AM

Just found this thread. Great job Masticore

Smogs · 03-23-11, 08:27 AM

He's a sleeping giant on this forum

masticore · 03-23-11, 10:07 AM

Analyses is done

Fade or follow at your own risk

BOL
mikke

masticore · 03-23-11, 03:37 PM

Originally posted by Smogs

He's a sleeping giant on this forum

Thx..for this and other nice coments

But really dont know if I deserve them....I have been lucky so far

mikke

Troillunge · 03-23-11, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by Smogs

He's a sleeping giant on this forum

Totally agree! Thanks for the work mikke!

SharkMerc · 03-23-11, 04:05 PM

Damn never seen so many strong plays in one day.. Hope its a really good night again lol GL

masticore · 03-23-11, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by SharkMerc

Damn never seen so many strong plays in one day.. Hope its a really good night again lol GL

I know there are many

But I have not done any diffrent then I usually do...maybe a good card today

Hopefully will I win at least 3 of them

I have been good the last 2 nights...hopefully will this one not be too bad

mikke

BigBurk · 03-23-11, 04:54 PM

Following:

5* OKC/UTA un202.5 <--- POD
5* MIL -8.5 <--- strong
5* PHI -6 <--- strong
5* HOU/GSW ov216 <--- strong

5* NJN -3.5

3* MIA -8.5
3* NYK +1.5
3* DEN -4
3* PHO -8

Also playing (which you don't);

Memphis +6.5
Detroit/Miami ov198
OKC -10.5

BOL tonight and may our mutual bets win

BigBurk · 03-23-11, 04:57 PM

Oh, and thanks for the picks ofcourse!!!

sinhdinh · 03-23-11, 05:23 PM

Thank you for posting.

shopbar picks · 03-24-11, 12:53 AM

The NBA was tough tonight. Wow. Now we bounce back. Gettem mikke. Keep on picking. These nights happen. Thanx

masticore · 03-24-11, 01:00 AM

Not good day

tracking:5-9 (-1750)

personal 4-7 (-2550)

Hopefully will I buns back tomorrow

mikke

masticore · 03-24-11, 01:10 AM

3/23 "Sum up"

Winnings +8720

5* spread 33-29
3* spread 57-33

5* o/u 29-18
3* o/u 40-41

"POD/strong" 15-5
"POD/strong" spread 9-4
"POD/strong" o/u 6-1

all 5* 62-47
all 3* 98-74

spread 90-62
o/u 69-59

all plays:159-121

bradleysnyder · 03-24-11, 01:11 AM

i agree 100%

bradleysnyder · 03-24-11, 01:13 AM

I agree 100%..........wise move