Testing my modification of JM and reverse

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • thebestthereis
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-01-09
    • 11459

    #71
    i am playing it as utah is .500 team (even though they are 3-3 now) and always play well on the road ats. they will be 10 point+ underdogs at miami and at orlando will cover one of these two games. i think it will be the first game at miami.
    Comment
    • Seth
      SBR High Roller
      • 07-02-10
      • 166

      #72
      Yeah, to me the filter will be 500 and up, it it's exactly 500, it'll be a play on the road team. 499 or below, a play on the home team. So Utah's gonna be a play under the system.
      Comment
      • Seth
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-02-10
        • 166

        #73
        For record keeping purposes, the lines have come out and I've placed my bets:

        System 1:
        (A)GS +5 (-170) $340 to win $200
        (A)CHI ML (-155) **Against Denver** $310 to win $200
        (A) DAL ML (-165) **Against Boston** $330 to win $200

        System 2:
        (B)GS +2 (-110) $220 to win $200
        Comment
        • homerbush
          SBR MVP
          • 11-17-08
          • 2317

          #74
          Blast I am opposite side of all of these.... I guess there is 3 points on each where we both can win.
          Comment
          • Mashaka
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-03-09
            • 237

            #75
            Clippers started a 3 road games series at denver on friday (they covered the spread with and without buying 3 pts), game B was at utah on saturday (they also covered with and without buying 3 pts), game C will be tomorrow at charlotte. Will you be playing on charlotte to cover game C because this also qualifyies as a reverse 3 game series?
            Comment
            • Seth
              SBR High Roller
              • 07-02-10
              • 166

              #76
              Originally posted by Mashaka
              Clippers started a 3 road games series at denver on friday (they covered the spread with and without buying 3 pts), game B was at utah on saturday (they also covered with and without buying 3 pts), game C will be tomorrow at charlotte. Will you be playing on charlotte to cover game C because this also qualifyies as a reverse 3 game series?
              Nope can't say that I will play on this one, it's a V3 under JM's system. I'll never touch these, straight or reverse. Too risky in my opinion.
              Comment
              • dvb02
                SBR MVP
                • 06-30-09
                • 2941

                #77
                Let's make some money tonight Seth!!!!
                Comment
                • Seth
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-02-10
                  • 166

                  #78
                  Originally posted by dvb02
                  Let's make some money tonight Seth!!!!
                  Looking that way right now buddy!
                  Comment
                  • soldier1047
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-26-10
                    • 332

                    #79
                    Good work gentlemen!
                    Comment
                    • Seth
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-02-10
                      • 166

                      #80
                      Getting tomorrow's bets in now as I think both of these lines are going to move against us:

                      System 2:
                      Utah: +10 (-110) 220 to win 200
                      Portland: -10.5 (-110) 220 to win 200 **AGAINST DETROIT**
                      Comment
                      • thebestthereis
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-01-09
                        • 11459

                        #81
                        Utah is covering
                        Comment
                        • dvb02
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-30-09
                          • 2941

                          #82
                          Nice job tonight Seth!!
                          Comment
                          • Seth
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 07-02-10
                            • 166

                            #83
                            Great job to all who played the same plays I did tonight!! Here are my updated records, I've already posted the 2 plays for the 9th.

                            System 1 Record: (3-1) +$175
                            System 2 Record: (1-0) +$200

                            **Note the records and profit may not match up to what you have earned so far, but I am tracking this for myself, the one loss on system one was only played as a single game, so I didn't take the full 6.29 unit loss. Also, that first play was 425 to win 250, which lost, and now I've dropped my unit to 200.

                            Let's keep this going guys!
                            Comment
                            • Seth
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 07-02-10
                              • 166

                              #84
                              November 9th Overview:

                              System 1: Only Monitoring Today
                              UTAH +13 vs MIAMI -7
                              DETROIT +13.5 vs PORTLAND -7.5

                              System 2: 2 plays today
                              (A) UTAH +10 220 to win 200
                              (A) PORTLAND -10.5 220 to win 200
                              Comment
                              • isg2010
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-28-10
                                • 126

                                #85
                                Nice picks last night. Here's hoping for a Portland win by 11 tonight!
                                Comment
                                • joanapoker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-09-08
                                  • 2275

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by Seth
                                  November 9th Overview:

                                  System 1: Only Monitoring Today
                                  UTAH +13 vs MIAMI -7
                                  DETROIT +13.5 vs PORTLAND -7.5

                                  System 2: 2 plays today
                                  (A) UTAH +10 220 to win 200
                                  (A) PORTLAND -10.5 220 to win 200

                                  I'm kinda lost....what's the system 2? I've read some previous posts from u and dvb...but I'm still confused....

                                  thx for the help
                                  Comment
                                  • Pavv4
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-16-09
                                    • 464

                                    #87
                                    What I think on the system 2 it's that teams over.500 it's covering on their 2nd game on the road this year? I will watch tonight but if I'm correct the play will be Piston and Miami.
                                    Comment
                                    • Seth
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 07-02-10
                                      • 166

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by joanapoker
                                      I'm kinda lost....what's the system 2? I've read some previous posts from u and dvb...but I'm still confused....

                                      thx for the help
                                      No problem I'll help you out. System 2 is simply this: It's another 2 game chase, no buying points. You look at the JM V1 schedule, and look at the road team that you'd be playing according to the JM system. If their record is over 500, you play on them for the first two games, only the first two games, no points. If their record is below 500, then you play against them for the first two games, no points.

                                      I hope that helps, let me know if you're still unclear.
                                      Comment
                                      • Seth
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 07-02-10
                                        • 166

                                        #89
                                        What a finish for Utah! Congratz to those on the play!

                                        November 10 is looking like this so far, this isn't final:

                                        System 1:
                                        (A) Orlando (no line yet) **AGAINST UTAH**
                                        **Pending play depending how Portland's game turns out**
                                        Monitoring:
                                        Houston ML vs Washington +5.5
                                        Philadelphia vs OKC (no line yet)

                                        System 2:
                                        **Pending play on Portland if they don't cover today**
                                        (A)Washington +2.5
                                        (A)OKC (no line yet)
                                        Comment
                                        • Seth
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 07-02-10
                                          • 166

                                          #90
                                          Loving the way system 2 is performing!! 2-0 tonight!! Here are my updated records:

                                          System 1 Record: (3-1) +$175
                                          System 2 Record: (3-0) +$600
                                          Comment
                                          • Seth
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 07-02-10
                                            • 166

                                            #91
                                            Alright now that the Portland game is decided I have a full card for tomorrow, some lines are still not posted:

                                            System 1:
                                            10/10 (A) Orlando (no line yet + 3 points) **AGAINST UTAH** $340 to win $200
                                            10/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points)
                                            Monitoring:
                                            Houston ML vs Washington +5.5
                                            Philadelphia vs OKC (no line yet)

                                            System 2:
                                            (A)Washington +2.5 $220 to win $200
                                            (A)OKC (no line yet) $220 to win $200
                                            Comment
                                            • joanapoker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-09-08
                                              • 2275

                                              #92
                                              Thx Seth for the help!

                                              nice to see the systems are running good!
                                              Comment
                                              • joanapoker
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-09-08
                                                • 2275

                                                #93
                                                I'm guessing that the ORL line will open anywhere between -7 and -9

                                                Also the UNDER there could be a good idea....
                                                Comment
                                                • joanapoker
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-09-08
                                                  • 2275

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by Seth
                                                  Alright now that the Portland game is decided I have a full card for tomorrow, some lines are still not posted:

                                                  System 1:
                                                  10/10 (A) Orlando (no line yet + 3 points) **AGAINST UTAH** $340 to win $200
                                                  10/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points)
                                                  Monitoring:
                                                  Houston ML vs Washington +5.5
                                                  Philadelphia vs OKC (no line yet)

                                                  System 2:
                                                  (A)Washington +2.5 $220 to win $200
                                                  (A)OKC (no line yet) $220 to win $200
                                                  where are u playing Seth? Lines for WAS are at +3 almost everywhere
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Seth
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 07-02-10
                                                    • 166

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by joanapoker
                                                    where are u playing Seth? Lines for WAS are at +3 almost everywhere
                                                    I'm only putting +2.5 because that's where it opened, I know it moved quickly to +3, which is where I got it at. I should change that, thanks. I just put that to see how the system works using opening lines. Btw I use bookmaker and phoenix, at bookmaker you can only buy 2 points so i use phoenix for 3.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dvb02
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-30-09
                                                      • 2941

                                                      #96
                                                      Seth, how much does Phoenix charge to buy 3 pts?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cmdyrds
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-20-09
                                                        • 522

                                                        #97
                                                        Seth,

                                                        I read the entire thread and thanks to you and others for all the work. Just so I completely understand this the systems are as follows:


                                                        System 1

                                                        Sit back and watch the A game, no wager on it whatsoever.

                                                        Whichever bet covers, play the B bet (A bet for us) on the side that didn't cover, either road or home, always buying 3 points as the system states.

                                                        If that A bet loses, we move onto the B bet, if it wins, we take the unit profit, and if it loses, we lose a total of 6.29 units.

                                                        That's the beauty of this at -170 odds, only playing a 2 game chase takes 6.29 units, as opposed to the roughly 18 units you would lose playing a regular 3 game chase.


                                                        System 2

                                                        It's a 2 game chase, no buying points.

                                                        You look at the JM V1 schedule, and look at the road team that you'd be playing according to the JM system.

                                                        If their record is over .500, you play on them for the first two games, only the first two games, no points.

                                                        If their record is below 500, then you play against them for the first two games, no points.


                                                        thanks in advance for the time.


                                                        ps
                                                        i don't think philly/okc is a morrison play b/c philly won the first game of their in-conference road trip by more than 3 points ats.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dvb02
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-30-09
                                                          • 2941

                                                          #98
                                                          cmdyrds, Sounds like you got it. FYI, on System 1, if they both cover on the JM A game, then you pass on the series.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Seth
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 07-02-10
                                                            • 166

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by dvb02
                                                            Seth, how much does Phoenix charge to buy 3 pts?
                                                            Best anywhere I've seen, -170. Sometimes it can drop to the -160 to -165 range, it's just 60 cents added to the original ATS line.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Seth
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 07-02-10
                                                              • 166

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by cmdyrds
                                                              Seth,

                                                              I read the entire thread and thanks to you and others for all the work. Just so I completely understand this the systems are as follows:


                                                              System 1

                                                              Sit back and watch the A game, no wager on it whatsoever.

                                                              Whichever bet covers, play the B bet (A bet for us) on the side that didn't cover, either road or home, always buying 3 points as the system states.

                                                              If that A bet loses, we move onto the B bet, if it wins, we take the unit profit, and if it loses, we lose a total of 6.29 units.

                                                              That's the beauty of this at -170 odds, only playing a 2 game chase takes 6.29 units, as opposed to the roughly 18 units you would lose playing a regular 3 game chase.


                                                              System 2

                                                              It's a 2 game chase, no buying points.

                                                              You look at the JM V1 schedule, and look at the road team that you'd be playing according to the JM system.

                                                              If their record is over .500, you play on them for the first two games, only the first two games, no points.

                                                              If their record is below 500, then you play against them for the first two games, no points.


                                                              thanks in advance for the time.


                                                              ps
                                                              i don't think philly/okc is a morrison play b/c philly won the first game of their in-conference road trip by more than 3 points ats.
                                                              Looks like dvb answered it for ya, you're right on the money amigo.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cmdyrds
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-20-09
                                                                • 522

                                                                #101
                                                                thanks for the quick answers guys. nice to see people willing to help out and not always rip on people. GL tonight all, happy vets day tomorrow.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Seth
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 07-02-10
                                                                  • 166

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Lines finally came out..here are the plays for tomorrow:

                                                                  System 1:
                                                                  11/10 (A) Orlando (-7.5) **AGAINST UTAH** $340 to win $200
                                                                  11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points)
                                                                  Monitoring:
                                                                  Houston ML vs Washington +5.5
                                                                  Philadelphia +12.5 vs OKC -6.5

                                                                  System 2:
                                                                  (A)Washington +3 $220 to win $200
                                                                  (A)OKC -9 $220 to win $200
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • oh_lol
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 196

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Been solid so far!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • joanapoker
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-09-08
                                                                      • 2275

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Seth u have the dates wrong!! the month is 11

                                                                      cheers
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • oh_lol
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 196

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Did the line move a shitton for Magic, or did you buy?
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...