lol sorry i just took up half the threadd in 3 posts
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Cleveland is à play tonight right?Comment -
Opening spread for Cleveland was +2.5.Comment -
Hello everyone. First-time-poster here. I purchased John Morrison's system yesterday morning. I received a receipt from clickbank and an email asking me to set up a BetUs account. I already had a BetUs account setup. So, I just hit reply to the email from raddles, and I have yet to receive anything else since then. Is John "out of the office" for a while or something? Or did I do something wrong? Thanks for your help; I can't wait to get going!
P.S. I've checked my spam folders and there's nothing there.Comment -
I did the same thing a few weeks back and he replied saying I need to confirm my email. I confirmed my email and yet i have not received any emails yet since then and its been about a month. You should email clickbank and get your money back. Several people had this problem. The good news for you is that there is this forum and all the picks are posted here. There is even a spread sheet with all the picks of the season posted on earlier pages for v1 - v3.Hello everyone. First-time-poster here. I purchased John Morrison's system yesterday morning. I received a receipt from clickbank and an email asking me to set up a BetUs account. I already had a BetUs account setup. So, I just hit reply to the email from raddles, and I have yet to receive anything else since then. Is John "out of the office" for a while or something? Or did I do something wrong? Thanks for your help; I can't wait to get going!
P.S. I've checked my spam folders and there's nothing there.
PS. There is a cleveland bet today at +5.
This might seem like a dumb question, but how do you do the math behind the chase system in order to figure out the win % of 97%?
Please correct my #s but if "A" wins 60% and "B" wins 70% and "C" wins 80% how does that come out to be 97%?Comment -
If your numbers are correct, then it does add up to 97%. A bets win 60% of the time, so 60% of the time you win a series right off the bat. For the remaining 40% of series, 70% of those are ended at the B bet. 40 * .7 = 28, so 28% of all series end at the B bet. Therefore 60 +28 = 88% of series are over by the A or B bet. Of the remaining 30% of series that lose the B, 80% of those win at C. So 40 * .3 * .8 = 9.6, which is the number of series that are won on C. Therefore, 60 + 28 + 9.6 = 97.6% of all series win.
The problem of course is that with a pure chase (the way Morrison claims you should do it), you're basically risking 18.7 units to win 1 on each series. This means you need to win 19 out of every 20 series to just about break even. This equals a 95% win rate. If you're doing a 3 step martingale, you will be lucky to break even or just BARELY turn a profit. And that's assuming these numbers you gave are correct.Comment -
Hello everyone. First-time-poster here. I purchased John Morrison's system yesterday morning. I received a receipt from clickbank and an email asking me to set up a BetUs account. I already had a BetUs account setup. So, I just hit reply to the email from raddles, and I have yet to receive anything else since then. Is John "out of the office" for a while or something? Or did I do something wrong? Thanks for your help; I can't wait to get going!
P.S. I've checked my spam folders and there's nothing there.
Email Clickbank ASAP to get your refund....
Part of Morrison's skullduggery is that when you sign up with BetUS with
his promo code......HE gets a kickback of all your losses when you bet his
plays.....
He doesnt like it if you have a present BetUS acct.....
You get ALL his plays here anyways....
Get that Refund now !!!!!Comment -
JMDYour question is at the heart of the system. I think its a cumulative effect, reflecting success with the series, not the individual bets within. Here's how:This might seem like a dumb question, but how do you do the math behind the chase system in order to figure out the win % of 97%?
Please correct my #s but if "A" wins 60% and "B" wins 70% and "C" wins 80% how does that come out to be 97%?
For every 100 series played there has to be 100 A bets, of which JFM claims that 60 win (60% success). Therefore there has to be 40 B bets, of which 28 win (70% success). This leaves 12 C bets, of which 9.6 win (80% success). This leaves 3 C bet losses, which means 3 series losses. 3 lost series from 100 series means 97% success.
The math theory is that 3 series will lose a total of 60 units (odds -180), if 1 unit is the target for each series. Therefore, he claims that we will gain, on average, 40 units for every 100 series in which we bet to win 1 unit. If your target unit is 2%, your bankroll will grow by 80% over 100 series. This is based on losing only 3 series per 100. The key is to keep the unit value down to a manageable level (2% max is recommended) so that you can play simultaneous B and C bets and ride out the inevitable series losses.
Hope this helps
RegardsComment -
cleveland needs to "D" up!!!Comment -
The Cavs have lost their last three games by a combined 81 points,Comment -
you guys still play that one?Comment -
Washington will not be a v1 (a) bet play because they have the worst road record.Comment -
true but they are tied with the Clippers as the worst road record in the league and plus I got Johns official email he sent out stating that Washington is a play for sunday so I guess bet it if u want or take a chance on emailing him and him responding back asking him why it is a play? let us know if u do and he responds back -)Comment -
here are the 2 v3.0 plays for sunday -)
Grizzlies (A) vs Denver 12/5/10
Warriors (A) vs Thunder 12/5/10
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don't forget cleve.(B) on sun. (V3).Comment -
jmjj:
I don't play V3, so you might be correct. However, here's an extract from post #1546 from JM Disciple. You guys are not singing from the same hymsheet....uh folks u need to check your facts again Cleveland wasnt a v3.0 play or any play look at the 3 teams they are playing its not a play for any series so just be careful when posting make sure is all -)
So, according to JMD, any 3-game road series is a V3 play, which I do think is correct, which is why I steer clear of it, its too random, with no back-testing. I'm also considering ceasing play on the V2. There's enough chasing going on with JFM's NFL, NBA V1 and NHL V1.V1: A team going on the road for at least 3 straight games against the opposing conference for each of the three games.
v2: A team going on the road for 3 straight games with at least 2 out of the 3 games being against the opposing conference. The order of the teams does not matter as long as 2 out of 3 are from opposing conference.
v3: A team going on a 3 game road series. Conference and division does not matter.
Be careful
RegardsComment -
Hey people
I have been keeping up with the this thread for a few days now keeping up wth the excitemnt
Have been a member of JM's since 08. on and off and receive the V1 bets I believe. Now back to do some serious money hopefully. As you all know its all to do with strict money management and not steering away from the system.
Ive noticed V2 V3 bets being posted can someone direct me to where i may be able to get more info on those versions,difference's etc.
kind regards
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Betsmrt, check my post above. By co-incidence, I posted it while you were writing out your question. Hope it helps.Comment -
KEV: Doesn't V2 have a somewhat good track record for the last few yrs.? I think it's probably better than NHL V2, anyways.Comment -
Kev the brit
much appreciatedComment -
I believe MIAMI is V2 on monday. I really gotta double check some of these spreadsheets. They don't always coincide at times. Nonetheless, they're great contributions.Comment -
I can upload a V1 V2 V3 spreadsheet if someone wants to check and correct due bets from today onwards as i'm not too sure of V2 & V3 criteria as the spreadsheet was downloaded from and earlier post?
Also does anyone by any chance have the James Jones NBA Triple Play System details or pdf, would gladly swap it for all of morrison's 4 systems in pdf form??Comment -
I think u are true about Cleveland , they are playing the Bulls at Home 8/12 i think!?Comment -
12/04/2010 Cleveland @ Minnesota- V3, A bet - LOST
V3 plays for today:
12/05/2010 Cleveland @ Detroit - V3, B bet
12/05/2010 Golden State @ Oklahoma City - V3, A bet
12/05/2010 Memphis @ Denver - V3, A betComment -
BTW, someone asked about V3 backtesting. This is what i have:
2009/2010: 67-2
2008/2009: 59-1
2007/2008: 63-1
2006/2007: 63-3
2005/2006: 63-7
2004/2005: 64-1Comment -
was the v2 any better for those same seasons, would ya happen to know?Comment -
V2 was sth. like this:
2009/2010: 28-0
2008/2009: 29-0
2007/2008: 27-0
2006/2007: 23-0
2005/2006: 32-1
2004/2005: 30-2Comment -
anyone gonna play washington?Comment -
Just remember Washington is not a system play because of their worst road record.Comment -
According to JM pick received today Washington is an A bet?Comment -
i skip themComment
hopefully it still wins.
