Boston is gonna lose game 1

[Goat Milk]

l;akerboy will weep in sorrow before this is over and done with

This is LBs time to shine.




Do you guys still doubt some one that has studied this matchup for 2 years?

[domz248]

like i said lakers out match them now

[Goat Milk]

like i said lakers out match them now

[magic8ball]

should i feel comfortable wagering 2 units on Celtics at +5.5?

Why not bet your house in the Hamptons?

[PROfitableEnergy]

Only degenerates like you do something as dumb as that.

[Goat Milk]

All valid questions. If you're looking for this type of advice either ask Lakerboy or Paco. As well, I wouldn't put any money down right now (unless you're a pro and can expertly predict line movement). If you want to tail someone then there are much better out there. Paco is hitting sick atm and LB is a positive winner but has more ups and downs. If LB bets big tho, upwards of 10 units I would feel pretty confident especially if paco was on the same side.

No worries man, the sad thing is is that many people on here lose sight of why we all post -- to help one another out -- instead they just post their "this team will win" and offer no credible or comprehensive reasoning. I do that too sometimes but if you ever have any questions feel free to pm me and I'll answer the best I can.

You are correct about line movement and what it means. So let's take the Boston/LA line for game 1. It opened (at Pinnacle) at LA-6 -104, right now it's at LA-5.5 -103. So let's say by game time you think that the line will drop even further towards LA-4.5. That means if you believe LA is the stronger team you should wait to make your bet. However, if you believe Boston is the stronger team you should make your play right now while it has the best value.

How line movement usually operates goes like this.
Step 1) Vegas opens odds and only takes bets from sharps (sharps mean expert cappers)
Step 2) Vegas readjusts odds depending on how sharps bet
Step 3) This is when the public bets
Step 4) Near gametime, about the last 15 minutes you'll see the most substantial line movements -- these are typically sharp bets

So, because the line went from -6 to -5.5 in the first 40 minutes you can correctly assume it was sharp cappers taking Boston +6. This is because the sharps are predicting the public (i.e., goat milk) to bet heavy on the Lakers. Vegas readjusts their lines to LA-5.5. Now this is where 'reading' the lines becomes a talent. If the public is betting heavy on LA-5.5 yet the line stays at -5.5 and more money is coming in on LA it would typically mean Boston is the 'Sharp' play (or correct play). If the line goes to say -7 that means Vegas is wanting more money to come on Boston as they're trying to scare people away LA. That is only the elementary way of thinking and people will argue that it's one of Vegas's tricks and that there's RLM (Reverse Line Movement) and Vegas is trying to make you overthink.

So what's more profitable the Moneyline or Pointspread. There will be a split consensus on this topic and I am not at any authority to give an answer. However, what I can say is this. The Public loves to bet the spreads of the popular teams.... so LA, Boston, Cleveland, Miami, Denver etc. etc. will most commonly have losing records against the spread. This season here's the 2 finalists PS

LA 34-46-2
Boston 33-48-1

This happens year in year out and you could probably have a strategy of fading (betting against) the PS of the best teams.

Lakerboy's posts are typically very close to tipoff as he follows the line movements and makes many plays based on them. He had a thread in the nba forum titled 'Who Wants My Plays' or something like that.... it's the biggest thread and always near the top.

Paco often posts his plays in Lakerboy's thread but will always post all of his plays in the baseball forum thread titled 'My MLB'

months later these posts still make me laugh. everyone who was in lakerboy's thread knew i did a writeup for this entire series Hels. How will you put food on the table now that Lakerboy is not around? The part I bolded is fukkin priceless

[Pauulzcappin]

months later these posts still make me laugh. everyone who was in lakerboy's thread knew i did a writeup for this entire series Hels. How will you put food on the table now that Lakerboy is not around? The part I bolded is fukkin priceless

[hawley]

were you around for the carnage that went down last night paully?

[Pauulzcappin]

were you around for the carnage that went down last night paully?

No but someone talked about it earlier today so I went to check it out, did LB get banned?

[Ralphie1412]

Did u really just bump this thread?

[hawley]

dont think he was banned but not actually sure

go and read the last 30 odd pages of Paco's thread over in the baseball section

intense shit

[Pauulzcappin]

dont think he was banned but not actually sure go and read the last 30 odd pages of Paco's thread over in the baseball section intense shit

I read the last 10 or some shit after Titans made the last TD, looks like there was even worse shit said before. I knew they would eventually have an ugly fight. Seen them exchange sparks quite a few times.