Sj55 nba playoff picks

**MarkHammond** · 04-20-10, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

we know we know sweetjones....we've heard this line before.

lets continue this discussion with CK shall we lol

**Dexter** · 04-20-10, 08:55 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

And what happened after I said that?

As for the public favorites, you have to be crazy if you really think I am just looking at the betting public % and making my play. That is just one small, small factor. I am not using that as an excuse, It just is what it is. Please don't come in here and tell me that I can't be a little pissed about bad beats by 0.5 points, who do you think you are? I don't go into your thread and tell you how to post so show me the same respect.

that was an interesting comment - i never once said that you just fade the public. please quote the post.

no, but you did come into my thread after an 0-4 night and clearly point out that i was 0-4. then when i asked you if you went 0-4 as well you never replied which confirmed that you were simply pointing out my bad night.

sure you can be pissed - but you also give no credit to people who had the right side of the game - instead you cry that the winners were "squares" and that you're losses were still "sharp" plays.

**Dexter** · 04-20-10, 08:56 AM

Originally posted by MarkHammond

lets continue this discussion with CK shall we lol

small, medium, big, supersized???

**MarkHammond** · 04-20-10, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

small, medium, big, supersized???

PC Play supersweets vs wang challenge

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 09:21 AM

Double Post

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 09:22 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

that was an interesting comment - i never once said that you just fade the public. please quote the post.

no, but you did come into my thread after an 0-4 night and clearly point out that i was 0-4. then when i asked you if you went 0-4 as well you never replied which confirmed that you were simply pointing out my bad night.

sure you can be pissed - but you also give no credit to people who had the right side of the game - instead you cry that the winners were "squares" and that you're losses were still "sharp" plays.

I kinda felt you were implying this when you said this "you're too much into this "joe public" mentality. i cant tell you how many "sharp" plays i lost on this year, while the "sucker" bets came in and cashed. "

I wasn't trying to throw you under the bus saying you went 0-4. I meant more like "ok you had a bad night 0-4, it happens to everyone but you are too good and you will bounce back the next night". I respect you as a capper and wouldn't disrespect you like that. Let's just make some money today and stop arguing! I have ZERO problem with you and value your opinion. Take PHX 1H as well, it's a strong play

**Dexter** · 04-20-10, 09:26 AM

ok. no prob..

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 09:27 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

ok. no prob..

I'm serious Dexter, I know there are a little of sarcastic idiots and you can never really tell what they mean but that wasn't my intention.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 09:29 AM

Ok guys, I am for sure going to take the Thunder +whatever and Suns 1H. I am going to wait on these lines to see if I get a better number. If the lines start going against our favor at some sites, just jump on them both immediately.

**HoulihansTX** · 04-20-10, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Ok guys, I am for sure going to take the Thunder +whatever and Suns 1H. I am going to wait on these lines to see if I get a better number. If the lines start going against our favor at some sites, just jump on them both immediately.

Agreed. I already posted those plays. I'm excited to see your reasoning.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 11:02 AM

Thunder +7.5 -127 LOCKED HEAVY

**shoebox** · 04-20-10, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Thunder +7.5 -127 LOCKED

nice job yesterday

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Agreed. I already posted those plays. I'm excited to see your reasoning.

Phoenix 1H -4.5 The Blazers upset the Suns last game and I see PHX coming out pissed tonight. They let that last game slip and they will make it a point to come out and get a lead on Portland. The Blazers goal was to win one in PHX and they have done it, the motivation and effort will be far more minimal than game 1. Also, Phoenix is a MUCH better 1H team than 2nd half team and the exact opposite is true for Portland. Portland is a much better 2H team than 1H. Also, do you guys reall think that NBA is going to allow Phoenix to go down 0-2? I don't see that happening.
Phoenix is 30-13 ATS after giving up 105 or more for all you stat/trend guys.

OKC +7.5 -127 HEAVY This one is pretty simple. The Lakers came out and jumped out to a huge lead vs OKC in the 1st quarter as most expected. OKC was playing very tight/nervous with it being their first ever playoff game and they really knocked themselves out of the game in the 1st. The fact is that OKC won the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quarter by 6 points. They got it together and competed with LAL. OKC got the cover and they really didn't play well at all. Durant had a horrible game. I think this one goes down to the last minute.

Two of the best refs in the NBA for road teams are reffing the OKC matchup. Tom Washington is 38-27 ATS for the road team and Greg Willard is 36-28 for the road team. A tidbit on the OKC/LAL line movement, 70% of the public is on the Lakers and the line dropped from LAL -6.5 to -5.5, one full point of reverse line movement.

**jgbgsox** · 04-20-10, 11:58 AM

good job last nite ,im also leaning the thunder

**dume walker** · 04-20-10, 12:00 PM

Are you buying points to get OKC at +7.5? Line opened at OKC +6.5 and seems to be +6 across the board at the moment. Do you still recommend Thunder at +6? BOL tonight.

**lovetogamble** · 04-20-10, 01:45 PM

Sweet, what do you think about the over in Lakers / OKC game tonight? up to 192 and climbing from 189 now.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 02:37 PM

No opinion on that total.. I am leaning over on Mia/Bos but probably won't pull the trigger

**BamaCBass** · 04-20-10, 03:27 PM

Sweet, what's the best way to look up previous games between teams and their stats? I'm just curious what previous scores have been between Boston and Miami. I have very little knowledge in the NBA to back up any opinions, but it seems like the public would be all over this total (literally and figuratively).

Also, I haven't seen much from you recently regarding RLM or lines holding despite public action. Does line movement support either of your plays today?

**rvfrank** · 04-20-10, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by BamaCBass

Sweet, what's the best way to look up previous games between teams and their stats? I'm just curious what previous scores have been between Boston and Miami. I have very little knowledge in the NBA to back up any opinions, but it seems like the public would be all over this total (literally and figuratively).

Also, I haven't seen much from you recently regarding RLM or lines holding despite public action. Does line movement support either of your plays today?

I actually think this is pretty good although I do not play here anymore

404

http://www.sportsbook.com/statfeed/betting/statfeed.php?page=nba/expanded&gameid=20100420BOSTON

**rvfrank** · 04-20-10, 03:38 PM

based on that sheet looks like boston is the play -1

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by BamaCBass

Sweet, what's the best way to look up previous games between teams and their stats? I'm just curious what previous scores have been between Boston and Miami. I have very little knowledge in the NBA to back up any opinions, but it seems like the public would be all over this total (literally and figuratively).

Also, I haven't seen much from you recently regarding RLM or lines holding despite public action. Does line movement support either of your plays today?

Oddshark is good and covers NBA matchups is good too.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 04:12 PM

A tidbit on the OKC/LAL game. 70% of the public is on the Lakers and the line dropped from LAL -6.5 to -5.5, one full point of reverse line movement.

**lakerboy** · 04-20-10, 04:15 PM

Its still 6 at all the big shops. Did you buy a point to get 7.5?

**shoebox** · 04-20-10, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

A tidbit on the OKC/LAL game. 70% of the public is on the Lakers and the line dropped from LAL -6.5 to -5.5, one full point of reverse line movement.

What makes this interesting is Durant was broke in game 1, if he performs as he should they can win SU

**lyon804** · 04-20-10, 04:42 PM

I see this being a cleaner game on both ends tonite. I see this game as being an entertaining one that goes to the wire and also goes over the posted total. I think Kobe will get his opportunity to close tonite on the heels of another 30+% shooting performance. Durant wil be more agressive tonite and will get to the FT as usual and hit more open jumpers. Artest did a good job with him last game as we expected, but some of those shots were just misses. It's hard to shut down somebody that is 6'10 and can move.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Its still 6 at all the big shops. Did you buy a point to get 7.5?

Yes I did.. I saw 5.5 on 5Dimes

**Premierr23** · 04-20-10, 05:00 PM

Great night yesterday!
BOL!

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by lyon804

I see this being a cleaner game on both ends tonite. I see this game as being an entertaining one that goes to the wire and also goes over the posted total. I think Kobe will get his opportunity to close tonite on the heels of another 30+% shooting performance. Durant wil be more agressive tonite and will get to the FT as usual and hit more open jumpers. Artest did a good job with him last game as we expected, but some of those shots were just misses. It's hard to shut down somebody that is 6'10 and can move.

I like the sound of this. I also agree Durant will get to the FT line. Hopefully the two refs that heavily favor road teams will make that happen.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 05:21 PM

Good luck tonight to everyone on their plays.

**jonblayze8** · 04-20-10, 05:21 PM

SJ whats your opinion on the first game? U think The bucks have a shot at covering the +8?

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by jonblayze8

SJ whats your opinion on the first game? U think The bucks have a shot at covering the +8?

I honestly haven't looked at that game AT ALL. My gut feeling with zero research says Hawks cover again tonight. They are just too good a home playoff team. I think MIL may cover the 1H though.

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 05:38 PM

BOL, SJ!

**lakerboy** · 04-20-10, 05:42 PM

Best of luck on your wagers tonight.

**brumbies** · 04-20-10, 09:15 PM

Where are you getting +7.5 Okla?

**greenstingray5** · 04-20-10, 09:18 PM

braves