Sj55 nba playoff picks

**brumbies** · 04-19-10, 11:39 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

Amanda Knox

I googled her and was surprised to learn that she is a murderer. Gosh! I thought she's an actress or something. Looks are deceiving!

**sweetjones55** · 04-19-10, 11:40 PM

Originally posted by brumbies

Sweetjones, you are killing it today! Do you wager the same for each play?

No I have a 1-5 unit scale. I label some plays big/heavy and those are the ones I put 3-5 units on. If I don't label it with anything I am putting 1-2 units on it. I pretty much put 2 units on everything tonight except Utah 1H +3.5 and the added play of denver/utah Under 207 which I put just one unit on. I wish I had started keeping track of units from the beginning of the year but I didn't so I never started tracking with the units. I will though for sure for next year.

**brumbies** · 04-19-10, 11:50 PM

I believe you meant utah/denver under 107. I tailed you on all the plays today except the 1Q bulls/cavs over which wasn't available on matchbook. I went 4-0 as a result. I decided to call it a day, did not want to give it all back. So, I did not lock in the utah/denver plays. But I will be rooting for you!

Do you bet MLB too?

**sweetjones55** · 04-19-10, 11:55 PM

Originally posted by brumbies

I believe you meant utah/denver under 107. I tailed you on all the plays today except the 1Q bulls/cavs over which wasn't available on matchbook. I went 4-0 as a result. I decided to call it a day, did not want to give it all back. So, I did not lock in the utah/denver plays. But I will be rooting for you!

Do you bet MLB too?

Nice, I am glad you made a little money off my picks. I do bet MLB but I only tail PIMIKE. He posts his plays here on SBR. I also just blindly bet the A's when Gio Gonzalez is pitching lol, good buddy of mine from high school. He actually pitches tomorrow I think. I am not really good enough to tail in any other sport other than NBA to be honest and ACC basketball/football. I am pretty decent at WNBA but nothing special.

**brumbies** · 04-19-10, 11:58 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Nice, I am glad you made a little money off my picks. I do bet MLB but I only tail PIMIKE. He posts his plays here on SBR. I also just blindly bet the A's when Gio Gonzalez is pitching lol, good buddy of mine from high school. He actually pitches tomorrow I think. I am not really good enough to tail in any other sport other than NBA to be honest and ACC basketball/football. I am pretty decent at WNBA but nothing special.

You know Gio Gonzalez personally? Whoa! Any insider tips?

**hadjiro** · 04-20-10, 12:38 AM

good stuff out there sweetjones, i went 1-1 in the cavs game, but the jazz game is seconds away of being over and i cashed +7 1/2 + 3 12 at halftime, and i got ML jazz.. see how it goes!

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Ok a few quick reasons on each play. I'm sorry I can't put up full writeups but honestly I am just spending more time capping the games and trying to find winners that I just haven't had the time.

UTAH 1H WINNER!! and GAME WINNER!! why? Utah played Denver very tough last game but JR Smith went absolutely nuts in the fourth quarter. I just don't see that happening again and I am confident this game will go down to the last shot. Utah will be playing with a sense of urgency and I think Denver will play a little bit more lax. I see a strong defensive effort tonight from Utah. I really like the 1H because #1 Utah covered the 1H spread last game and we are getting an inflated line tonight since Denver won the full game last game. Utah is a much better 1H team than Denver. Denver comes out flat a lot of the times at home and then turns it up 2H. I don't think they will be able to just turn it on and off tonight and manage to beat the Jazz by 8.

Bulls 1H WINNER!! and Game WINNER!! The Bulls 1H line is heavilyy inflated. They are +6.5 1st half and that is just way too many points to give any playoff team. I think the Bulls will have the carryover effect in this game as they played very well in the 2H against Cleveland. Cleveland just played the best game I have seen them play all year last game and I think tonight will be much closer. Chicago at the worst just wants to be competitive and have a shot to win and I think that will be the case tonight. The Bulls don't match up that bad against Clev. Rose-Williams Hinrich-Parker Deng-James Noah-Shaq Jamison-Taj Gibson. I know Cleveland is better but I don't think they are 12 points better, especially off a double digt win ATS last game.

Bulls/Cavs 1Q push, 1H WINNER!! and Game WINNER!! OVER- This is pretty plain and simple. I do not see the Bulls coming out and scoring 83 points tonight. I think they were a little stunned at how good the Cavs played and they just got nervous and didn't move the ball well offensively. All the pressure is now off the Bulls as every single writer/tv figure is saying they have no shot in the world. I love situations like this. The Bulls are going to put up a good amount of points and the Cavs will be themselves at home and get their own as well. Vegas dropped the line 1.5 points from last game to this game from 193 to 191.5, I think this is just an overadjustment based on one game and is too much. I see Bulls in the high 90's and Cavs low 100's

Can anybody say MONSTER BOUNCE BACK NIGHT! You guys didn't really think I could possible go three nights in a row without a positive night? A nasty 6-1-1 night!! (i lost a added play right before tip on den/dal under, didn't put a writeup for it)

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 12:45 AM

Nicely done, SJ. Should've known that after yesterday's struggles, today would've been a perfect time to tail.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:00 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Nicely done, SJ. Should've known that after yesterday's struggles, today would've been a perfect time to tail.

Thanks, when I get hot I stay hot so look out tomorrow.

**trojanman** · 04-20-10, 01:04 AM

Thanks Sweet.........

That was awesome - all my buddies think I'm crazy for liking the dogs tonight but both came through - nice to cash big!

Can't wait for tomorrow! thanks again.

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 01:05 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Thanks, when I get hot I stay hot so look out tomorrow.

I'm not expecting perfection, but something tells me a losing night won't be in order, either.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:09 AM

I am all over Suns 1H. I'd like to get the -3.5 line from 5dimes and pay the juice. The Heat are a PK 1st Half and they are +1 for the game, that doesn't make much sense now does it. I like Heat 1H PK also. I also love the Thunder +6.5, they beat the lakers by 6 second quarter then tied the 3rd and 4th quarter with LA last game. They just came out very nervous in the 1st quarter them being so young and it being OKC 1st ever playoff game. I think 6.5 is too many points to give OKC. Durant didn't even play good last game and OKC still covered.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Monday Final Card

Bulls +6.5 1st Half LOCKED WINNER!!
Bulls +11 LOCKED WINNER!!
Bulls/Cavs Over 191.5 LOCKED WINNER!!
Bulls/Cavs Over 98.5 1H LOCKED WINNER!!
Bulls/Cavs Over 50 1Q LOCKED push
Utah 1H +4.5 -117 LOCKED WINNER!!
Utah +7.5 -115 LOCKED WINNER!!
Utah/Den Under 107 1H LOCKED ADDED PLAY loss

Updated my final card. 6-1-1 last night. I am now 6-6-1 for the Playoffs. I needed a night like this after starting out 0-5 in the playoffs posting my picks here.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by trojanman

That was awesome - all my buddies think I'm crazy for liking the dogs tonight but both came through - nice to cash big!

Can't wait for tomorrow! thanks again.

Joe Public is going to love the favorites at home almost always in the first round. They made a little money the last two nights but it's going to go downhill for them quick. They might get PHX tomorrow though.

No problem, I can't wait for tomorrow night either. I really like the card.

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 01:16 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

The Heat are a PK 1st Half and they are +1 for the game, that doesn't make much sense now does it.

Why doesn't that make sense?

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Why doesn't that make sense?

Usually a +1 for a game is a +0.5 for the 1st half.

**Goat Milk** · 04-20-10, 01:30 AM

Good job today SJ, that's a lot of plays for only two games lol.

Where's all the haters now? B*tches....

I was 2-0 today and 10-1 in the playoffs, I'm leaning towards the over 179/180 in the heat celts tmrw

**7secondsOrLess** · 04-20-10, 01:31 AM

nice sj

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:31 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Good job today SJ, that's a lot of plays for only two games lol.

Where's all the haters now? B*tches....

I was 2-0 today and 10-1 in the playoffs, I'm leaning towards the over 179/180 in the heat celts tmrw

10-1, Nice my man. I wouldn't take the OVER 179 in that Celtics game, stick with the Heat Team Total OVER. Wade should have a 35+ point night tomorrow.

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 01:34 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Usually a +1 for a game is a +0.5 for the 1st half.

Did you see Miami's 1st half vs. 2nd half in Game 1?

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 01:35 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

10-1, Nice my man. I wouldn't take the OVER 179 in that Celtics game, stick with the Heat Team Total OVER. Wade should have a 35+ point night tomorrow.

I would.

No KG opens things up on both ends of the court offensively.

I think this game winds up in the mid-180s at least.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:36 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Did you see Miami's 1st half vs. 2nd half in Game 1?

Yes I did Miami played well 1H. Vegas took notice and doesn't want to give the public +0.5 1st half which is why I like it.

**No coincidences** · 04-20-10, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Yes I did Miami played well 1H. Vegas took notice and doesn't want to give the public +0.5 1st half which is why I like it.

I think Boston wins this game, though I don't know about the first half.

I, for one, believe the C's are better off without him on the court. He's washed up.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 01:47 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I think Boston wins this game, though I don't know about the first half.

I, for one, believe the C's are better off without him on the court. He's washed up.

They play much more confident with him in the lineup though. He isn't what he used to be but he still brings it every night. He's always very active on defense, commits minimal turnovers and puts up a great FG%.

**phillybadboy** · 04-20-10, 02:07 AM

killer man

**7secondsOrLess** · 04-20-10, 02:10 AM

watup baby

**doctor_on_call** · 04-20-10, 02:47 AM

great night sj55. bring us to capping school again.

**migz** · 04-20-10, 07:04 AM

Nice hit SJ

**SparJMU** · 04-20-10, 07:40 AM

Congrats on a great night.

**gshock1** · 04-20-10, 07:50 AM

Congrats to a great night. Had a feeling you were going to break out. I'm w/ you on the Thunder today. Any thoughts on Bucks - Hawks? I'm liking the Bucks and even moreso that Joe Public is pounding Atlanta.

**fly fisher** · 04-20-10, 07:51 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Updated my final card. 6-1-1 last night. I am now 6-6-1 for the Playoffs. I needed a night like this after starting out 0-5 in the playoffs posting my picks here.

SJ, Congrats on a great night. That was a lot of fun being on the winning side. Thanks again for your posts. I will find your latest post and send some points your way. I was in a huge slump and you helped me out a lot yesterday.

**killersweet** · 04-20-10, 08:03 AM

Wow, that was some night SJ. U bounced back royally. Thanks for the picks. Let's keep this going

**Dexter** · 04-20-10, 08:11 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Joe Public is going to love the favorites at home almost always in the first round. They made a little money the last two nights but it's going to go downhill for them quick. They might get PHX tomorrow though.

No problem, I can't wait for tomorrow night either. I really like the card.

you're too much into this "joe public" mentality. i cant tell you how many "sharp" plays i lost on this year, while the "sucker" bets came in and cashed.

stop crying that "joe public" won the other night, you lost by .5 pt etc etc etc.

a loss is a loss, and it doesnt matter if it was a "sharp" loss or not.

**Dexter** · 04-20-10, 08:12 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Thanks, when I get hot I stay hot so look out tomorrow.

we know we know sweetjones....we've heard this line before.

**sweetjones55** · 04-20-10, 08:33 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

we know we know sweetjones....we've heard this line before.

And what happened after I said that?

As for the public favorites, you have to be crazy if you really think I am just looking at the betting public % and making my play. That is just one small, small factor. I am not using that as an excuse, It just is what it is. Please don't come in here and tell me that I can't be a little pissed about bad beats by 0.5 points, who do you think you are? I don't go into your thread and tell you how to post so show me the same respect.