Sweetjones55 NBA Picks

[sweetjones55]

I'm going to be posting up my strongest NBA plays in here. Feel free to fade or tail, points are appreciated. I have a running record at another forum that I post at of
89-59-2 (60%). I've done well this year and feel like I have a good grip on the NBA and would like to help others win also. I play a good amount of quarter lines, in running halftime lines and the occasional favorite/dog moneyline. A play is official when it's in bold and says LOCKED. GL to everyone on their plays.

[Busterflywheel]

Well Just make sure you start your record on clean slate here please...I really hate when folks come from other forums with these impeccable records that we have no way to prove...Not saying its not true just saying start fresh...and Best of luck..Ready to see your picks..

[sweetjones55]

I want to keep a running track of my record for the full NBA year so I am going to update it accordingly. I can very much prove my record as it's all on the other forum I post at, sexymit can verify that my record is legit.

As for tommrow, I just took an early look at the lines. I am leaning Heat +1.5 . I should be able to wait and catch more points on this plays as the public is pounding Cleveland (77%). If the line drops down to Heat +1 then I will very strongly consider going heavy on this play. I should come up with a few more plays tommrow, Grizzlies game looks interesting.

[teecee]

It's true, Buster. Sweetjones has had quite a run the past week and a half. I think he was somewhere in the neighborhood of 41 up and 13 down in his last 54.

I'm on the Heat +1.5 for tomorrow as well. GL

[sweetjones55]

It's true, Buster. Sweetjones has had quite a run the past week and a half. I think he was somewhere in the neighborhood of 41 up and 13 down in his last 54.

I'm on the Heat +1.5 for tomorrow as well. GL

Yes I hit 14 games in a row then went 5-1 to hit 19-1 (95%) my last twenty and was at 41-13 (76%) my last 54 plays at one point last week. I went 13 straight days in the positive. I have a hit a little bump hitting around 50% the last 3 or 4 days but fully expect to have a great week this week. Nice to see you on the heat teecee.

[sweetjones55]

The Cavs have been playing out of their minds lately winning 14 of their last 17 games. Their three losses were to Charlotte by 3 @ home, @ Denver by 2 and @ Utah by 1. They have won a few close games in the last week and I think their luck runs out against a motivated Heat team. There will be serious revenge in the building as the Cavs already won @ Heat by 7.

The linesmaker is trying to trap the public by putting out this ridiuclously sweet looking line for the Cavs at -1.5. It's a trap and should be faded. Vegas doesn't give out any chicken dinners especially to the Cavs and LeBron, they lost way too much money on this team last year during the regular season.

[sweetjones55]

Miami had a players only meeting after the embarassing 40 point defeat to Charlotte and they have not looked the same winning by 24 @ Washington and 31 against Sacramento on B2B. This is the real test for them and they are fully aware of that, expect Wade and Beasley to have big games tommrow night.

[teecee]

I always like to play against the "better" team on the road giving 1.5 pts. I believe, but I may be wrong, that the linesmaker is just trying to make it look like an easy road win. I don't know how often it hits, but used this logic last week when the Sixers travelled to Minnesota and they walked out losers. Hey, it's worked a few times recently, so I'm rollin' with it.

[sweetjones55]

Miami is 7-3 SU their last 10 @ home against the Cavs but they have dropped the last two at home against Cleveland, makes me like Miami more.

[sweetjones55]

I always like to play against the "better" team on the road giving 1.5 pts. I believe, but I may be wrong, that the linesmaker is just trying to make it look like an easy road win. I don't know how often it hits, but used this logic last week when the Sixers travelled to Minnesota and they walked out losers. Hey, it's worked a few times recently, so I'm rollin' with it.

You are absolutely right teecee. This stratedgy may not always work as evidence with the Knicks today but I personally think it works the MAJORITY of the time. Look at what the Raptors did to LA with that low line today. I also like playing small homedogs in the 1st quarter/half in the NBA. I think if this game is going to be close that the Heat and homedogs in generaly will have to come out and play well early.

[lakerboy]

heat should be favored here considering the players that are out for the cavs. miami is playing decent and should be the pick lets see how the line moves

[sweetjones55]

heat should be favored here considering the players that are out for the cavs. miami is playing decent and should be the pick lets see how the line moves

Honestly I don't even think the public is aware of the players out, they know LeBron is playing and that's all they care about. The Heat are a very tough team to beat home, Wade plays well a at the AAA and gets a ton of calls. The Cavs are good but two injuries to key players on their team is going to make it very tough for them to compete, Shaq and LeBron have to have monster games. Neither Parker or Gibson are good enough point guards to run that team.

The biggest problem with the Heat at home is that they usually come out flat but against the Cavs it will not happen. I am from Miami and am a Heat fan so this is probably the team I am most knowledgable about in the NBA. I have hit a very high % fading and taking them this year.

[jsmithj88]

interesting .... does this mean memphis and rockets are plays?

[sportsguy04]

Absolutly love the Heat tommorrow + points. Cavs heavy public play tommorrow, hopefully we get more points or RLM.

Also like the Hawks +1. Houston to me is just not a good team.

[bygspenda]

This is the sort of analysis we need to see more of in this forum. I'm fairly new to betting on NBA games and really appreciate this kind of insight. Love your work already sweetjones55!

[sweetjones55]

This is the sort of analysis we need to see more of in this forum. I'm fairly new to betting on NBA games and really appreciate this kind of insight. Love your work already sweetjones55!

Your welcome bygspenda, about two years ago I think I was in the same boat of a lot of cappers here but I have really finetuned my capping and learned from the some of the best.

[sweetjones55]

Absolutly love the Heat tommorrow + points. Cavs heavy public play tommorrow, hopefully we get more points or RLM.

Also like the Hawks +1. Houston to me is just not a good team.

The average person might want to catch more points with the heat but I'd be estatic about some RLM on this game.

[sweetjones55]

The average person might want to catch more points with the heat but I'd be estatic about some RLM on this game.

And I got the huge RLM that I wanted to make this a big play, the Heat are now pick em. I have seen all I need to see for this game. This is my first official play.

Heat 0 HEAVY LOCKED

[paco]

Nice run SJ, I like heat also. Btw, magic will roll

[kobefanatic]

sweetjones what is your lean for ATL @ HOU? suggestions pls also for ORL @ MEM thanks in advance

[sweetjones55]

No lean Atlanta/Houston. I am leaning Memphis, Public is pounding Orlando but fact is that Memphis is 6-4 SU their last 10 vs Orlando and that is when the Grizzlies were downright horrible. Memphis is a completely different team and has the 2nd best record in the western conference since mid-december, this team is no fluke. If Orlando couldn't beat Memphis when they had a horrible squad why should you believe they would win now when Memphis is the hottest home team around and Magic are just above .500 on the road.

[sweetjones55]

No lean Atlanta/Houston. I am leaning Memphis, Public is pounding Orlando but fact is that Memphis is 6-4 SU their last 10 vs Orlando and that is when the Grizzlies were downright horrible. Memphis is a completely different team and has the 2nd best record in the western conference since mid-december, this team is no fluke. If Orlando couldn't beat Memphis when they had a horrible squad why should you believe they would win now when Memphis is the hottest home team around and Magic are just above .500 on the road.

The Rockets came out veryyy flat to the Bulls the other night losing the 1st quarter by 11and it cost them the game. The Rockets are one of the best 1st half teams around and a great home team. I am leaning strongly to Rockets 1st Quarter and 1st Half. I think Houston will win the game also but think the 1st quarter and 1st half is a stronger play.

[sweetjones55]

I am leaning Spurs 1st half. Chicago has somehow won two straight on the road and SA has dropped two in a row at home , perfect situation for SA to knock out the Bulls early. SA is a great 1st half home team and are 4-1 ats in the 1st half vs Chicago.

[sweetjones55]

The Rockets came out veryyy flat to the Bulls the other night losing the 1st quarter by 11and it cost them the game. The Rockets are one of the best 1st half teams around and a great home team. I am leaning strongly to Rockets 1st Quarter and 1st Half. I think Houston will win the game also but think the 1st quarter and 1st half is a stronger play.

Leaning Rockets -1 for the game now upon realizing this, The Rockets are 5-0 SU and ATS at home vs the Hawks since 2004 winning by an avg of 18.2 pts/gm. You cant ignore that.

[SpreadSniper]

I am leaning Spurs 1st half. Chicago has somehow won two straight on the road and SA has dropped two in a row at home , perfect situation for SA to knock out the Bulls early. SA is a great 1st half home team and are 4-1 ats in the 1st half vs Chicago.

Ya but SA lost to HOU and CHI beat HOU the other night

[sweetjones55]

Ya but SA lost to HOU and CHI beat HOU the other night

Yes that's my whole point, Chicago is really feeling themselves and SA is hungry for a win,

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I'm looking to tail you sweetjones. Hope you can win some serious units for yourself and others. Good luck buddy I'm with you this week

[sulica]

Great run sweetjones. it is good to se someone with a bit more "sciantific" aproach when caping games.

What do you think about Phily UNDER 107 pts.

In their last 10 matches they scored 107 only against Indiana. On the other hand it is also true that Indiana allowed over 107 pts in 6 of the last 10 matches (@ ORL, @ MIA, vs PHO, @OKL, @ MIN). But I rate all this teams much higher (excluding MIN) than phily.

[sweetjones55]

Great run sweetjones. it is good to se someone with a bit more "sciantific" aproach when caping games.

What do you think about Phily UNDER 107 pts.

In their last 10 matches they scored 107 only against Indiana. On the other hand it is also true that Indiana allowed over 107 pts in 6 of the last 10 matches (@ ORL, @ MIA, vs PHO, @OKL, @ MIN). But I rate all this teams much higher (excluding MIN) than phily.

I'd lean over but I'm not a big o/u guy. I'll try to take a better look at it later today.

[sweetjones55]

Rockets 1st half -0.5 LOCKED
Rockets -1 LOCKED
Spurs -4 -120 1st Half LOCKED

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

What would you say is your strongest play.

[sweetjones55]

I am playing the Heat at pick em heavy, that's my strongest play tonight. No delonte, No Mo, revenge, big RLM.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Thank you sweetjones, i'm on it with you buddy BOL to the both of us

[krazey47409]

Well Just make sure you start your record on clean slate here please...I really hate when folks come from other forums with these impeccable records that we have no way to prove...Not saying its not true just saying start fresh...and Best of luck..Ready to see your picks..

sweetjones record legit i seen him winning on the other site

[whatsgood5]

Wow, that's a rediculous run. I hope you can keep it, I like the Heta tonight too. GL