id like to hear your opinion on the Hou@ Utah tilt this evening. Rode with you last night on your Den over 206 pick. Thank you much! Did a small parlay with No+11.5 and Den over. I am leaning Utah tonight
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This one is tough. As my leans for 1H and the entire game are contradicting this should be a noplay for me if I won't get any new insight for this game. I like Houston to cover 1H and Utah for the gameComment -
Line is reverse moving like a rollercoaster in the Utah-Game! Be aware of betting Utah!Comment -
I really start liking the OVER for Clippersgame. Yeah I know I am the only one but it looks decentComment -
adding:
Rockets@Utah
Rockets +8,5 120 to win 100
I can't stand away from a RLM like this. The public is poundung Utah and the Spread gets smaller every hour.
Rockets are one of the most underrated teams this year. MAybe they trail buy 15 in Q3 but they will fight back as they
have a lot of guys who know to throw 3s. I liked Rockets 1H even more but I am not allowed to
buy points for halfes so I am playing the entire game with a .5 pointbuy.
Memphis@Sacramento
1st half Kings -0,5 105 to win 100
Everybody on Memphis tonight. Line openes as PK and now is SAC -1. There's a lot of RLM going on tonight. I will go with the 1st half as I hope Memphis will go on struggling in the first 20minutes liek they did in the last quater of yesterdays game.Comment -
Plus Iverson will be back. It will take time to integrate him. Expect Memphis to struggle the entire 1st half and allow Sacramento tu run away!Comment -
Made some research and it caught my interest how bad the knicks are in the 1st Q!
Against Miami
1st Q -4
Against charlotte
1st Q -19
Against Philadelphia
1st Q -15
The hornets are neither good:
Against Spurs
1st Q -6
Against Sac
1st Q +2
Against Boston
1st Q -2
But they have obviously faced tougher teams than the knicks.
The Knicks are great in the 2nd half (except for the Macthup against the Heat, were they simply got killed troughout the whole game)
winning 2nd half against:
Charlotte by 15
and Philly by 19
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bottomline: I'm considering a play on the Hornets in the 1st Q and maybe 1st half, and if the knicks are down going into the 2nd half I make a play on them.
Can i get some respond on this?Comment -
Danskeren,
Your logic is certainly sound, my only warning to you would be that we are only a few games into the season, so take these results with a grain of salt. I'm thinking about play the over in this game as I feel the Hornets will try to set a fast tempo. The Knicks never set the tempo, they just respond to their opponent, but they are much better in a faster tempo game. The Bobcats game, for example, had a much different pace early on which cause the knicks to struggle. They don't do well in half court sets.
Just my thoughts. As always with games I'm not sure on, I will go light at first and reevaluate at halftime with a larger bet most likely.
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I like your thinking but to be honest I do not like to bet like this because you do not really know what you gotta do if you lose the first bet on the 1Q + 1H.
Those statistics are nice but they are only a trend and most times something looks so obvious it doesn't work out.
It could work out and give you a double-winner tonight, no question. But I doubt it will work for a long period if you playe bets like this frequently.
The thing is I like to place my bets before the game starts and not to do that much livebetting.
Maybe look out for ztballer on this forum. He's doing livebetting like this all the timeComment -
I really like this play because Iverson will not fit into this team like everybody is thinking right now. Teams with a changed starting-5 usually struggle in the first couple of minutes. I don't know what to expect in the second half but the first half should be a solid bet.Comment -
I like Memphis and thought the lined opened at Memphis + 2 with bookmaker. But Sacramento is the worst team lol. Memphis has a better squad and Iverson will only help in points. Iverson will prob. outscore Sacramento's bench. And these are professionals back to back games doesn't mean that much.Bet To WinComment -
I get your point Will, but something is going on here, and i intend to make money on it.
Look at theese lines:
1st Q: Hornets +1
1st half: Hornets -1.5
The books are almost begging us to play the Hornets in the first Quarter.
The play might actually be the knicks!Comment -
looked it up again. Line opened at Sac -1. But I think it opened SAC PK at pinnacle. Well, with the public all over Memphis the line not moving I feel quite confident with my play.Comment -
Well good luck to both of you. I believe I will be playing Memphis and Hornets 1Q. I don't like to make my picks by trying to read into the meaning of different line movements much. I think Iverson will be disruptive, but I don't think it will matter. Memphis has a lot of raw talent, and I think that is enough to overcome a poorly-coached Kings team.
For the Knicks game, the Hornets will be arguably the best team the Knicks have faced thus far and certainly have a more talented starting lineup than any team the Knicks have faced. I expect the Hornets to come out running here.Comment -
Like your Houston pick!
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anybody likes the UNDER 102 1st half in NY ?Comment -
Think i found a big game:
The under in the matchup between the Knicks and Hornets:
Knicks played two overtime games, the first one in double-overtime and the other one with a sky-high total!
Add the heavy RLM too! - The game opens at 205 with the public poundic the over (70%) and the total drops to 202½.
Tell me what you think.Comment -
The question is what's the better play... Under 1H or fulltime. The Line tells us we should play the UNDER Fulltime as the 1st half total is set higher...Comment -
ok Danskeren! I am with you:
Hornets@Knicks
Under 202.5 110 to win 100Comment -
no more plays for me. Hope I will end up with a positive note tonight. Let's cash them all
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I think I like the 1H under better than the full game, given the Knicks tendency for slow starts and strong second halves.Comment -
That has been my first idea. But the idea of knicks getting tired because of the 2 straight OT-Games should bring the under in the 4th quarter.
The 1H line is 102. The bookies want you to bet the under 1h. Would not be surprised if the 1st half goes over but the games stays under 202,5 points.Comment -
Bobcats -6,5 240 to win 200 WINNER
Rockets +8,5 120 to win 100 WINNER
NYK-NOH Under 202.5 110 to win 100 LOSER
1st half Kings -0,5 105 to win 100 WINNER
Starting bankroll: 2000 €
Actual bankroll: 2255 €
won/lost/push: 16 / 12 / 0Comment -
Plays I am looking at today: Bulls, Magic, Dallas OVERComment -
Mate glad to see you beating the books!
I blew about 9 units on preseason NBA, lowered by unit size from 100 to 20 lol slowly built it up by 3u, still down 6u.. U think I should start playing 100$ = 1unit again?
Need to limit myself to only a few plays a day (1-3) I went overboard chasing preseason.Comment -
if you want to raise unitsize again I would prefer to raise it to 50$ and when you are back in the winning zone to raise it to 100.
What are your leans for today? adding Miami to my leans. 76ers are worth a look, tooComment -
Looking at Cleveland 1H. I am not comfortable betting against Boston yet.
I like Magic, Bulls and Portland over
Haven't looked too much into the games yet. Got an exam tomorrow lol will study the games after
BOLComment -
Oklahoma should be looked closer at also! Lot of interesting games tonight. Best of success in studying zt! Gotta work now too.
Will have a closer look at the games at lunchtime.Comment -
Really like Denver -4.5, Boston -7, and Oklahoma +7.5. OKC is going to play hard against the Lakers tomorrow, and I like them to possibly win it outright. Lakers eating way too much chalk on this line...Comment -
strongest lean: Oklahoma City Thuner +7,5
Oklahoma motivated and strong enough to cover this spread. Plus Lakers looking forward to a tough back2back match vs Houston on Wednesday. Expect Gasol not to play. Leading by dd will probably give LA the chance to rest some players in the late quarters and bring a nice backdoorcover.
But I think a backdoor cover is not needed for the Thunder to cover the spread tonight.
After a really bad scoring performance vs Portland I expect Durant&Co. to put up a great show
Any thoughts ?Comment -
Good write up. I don't have the balls to bet on bad teams.
However, I think you're on to a good thing here. Lakers haven't been looking to blow out opponents, they seem to be content with just a win so they can rest their star players.Comment
