WNBA Dating Tips

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  • SexyMit
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-06
    • 6139

    #6686
    With so many people knowing that this game is a (C) bet everyone is going to be on Seattle knowing that it hasn't lost all yr. So -1 is all that you are going to be able to do. With +1.5 your going to have to almost win out right anyway just like you are -1 so I don't think its going to matter!
    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
    Comment
    • FreeFall
      SBR MVP
      • 02-20-08
      • 3365

      #6687
      This is going to get shady if hes going to start using off-market lines with matchbook as we won't get his numbers.
      Comment
      • cs11787
        SBR MVP
        • 08-26-08
        • 1088

        #6688
        Originally posted by SexyMit
        With so many people knowing that this game is a (C) bet everyone is going to be on Seattle knowing that it hasn't lost all yr. So -1 is all that you are going to be able to do. With +1.5 your going to have to almost win out right anyway just like you are -1 so I don't think its going to matter!
        So did you guys just take the +1.5 because the ML wasnt available yet?
        Comment
        • SexyMit
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-12-06
          • 6139

          #6689
          Originally posted by cs11787
          So did you guys just take the +1.5 because the ML wasnt available yet?
          Pretty much! And with the line moving so fast that was really the only option.
          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
          Comment
          • SexyMit
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-06
            • 6139

            #6690
            Originally posted by FreeFall
            This is going to get shady if hes going to start using off-market lines with matchbook as we won't get his numbers.
            Everyone knew that we were going to play them anyway today cause it was a JM play (C) bet. It is the same as taking them -1 they still have to win out right anyway. When we post a play alot of times they don't get the same exact number that we post either, cause the line has already moved. So when the line 1st came out you should have pounded the +1.5 like everyone else did. If we wait till later tonight and take the ML it would be -130 or -140 by the time the ML comes out.
            Last edited by SexyMit; 08-17-09, 04:39 PM.
            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
            Comment
            • jcygts6
              SBR MVP
              • 04-05-09
              • 3316

              #6691
              man the refs better not fix the seattle game tomarrow or Imma be pissed
              DO WORK + KROW OD
              do work! do work! do work! do work!
              od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
              Comment
              • X-Rated
                SBR High Roller
                • 05-23-09
                • 232

                #6692
                It's possible because as of now seems like there's a lot of public money on Seattle.

                Originally posted by jcygts6
                man the refs better not fix the seattle game tomarrow or Imma be pissed
                Comment
                • jcygts6
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-05-09
                  • 3316

                  #6693
                  DO WORK + KROW OD
                  do work! do work! do work! do work!
                  od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                  Comment
                  • jcygts6
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-05-09
                    • 3316

                    #6694
                    DO WORK + KROW OD
                    do work! do work! do work! do work!
                    od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                    Comment
                    • jcygts6
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-05-09
                      • 3316

                      #6695
                      Last edited by jcygts6; 08-17-09, 05:03 PM.
                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                      Comment
                      • jcygts6
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-05-09
                        • 3316

                        #6696
                        DO WORK + KROW OD
                        do work! do work! do work! do work!
                        od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                        Comment
                        • jcygts6
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-05-09
                          • 3316

                          #6697
                          sexxy becky
                          DO WORK + KROW OD
                          do work! do work! do work! do work!
                          od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                          Comment
                          • corona
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-12-09
                            • 722

                            #6698
                            omg do want. cute as anything. wow
                            Comment
                            • texhooper
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 10001

                              #6699
                              seattle -2...ewww. i don't like that. detroit has been bouncing around with one days rest inbetween each of their last five games, all with travel involved, and they just got their wigs pushed back on saturday by indiana and will have had 2 days' recovery time before they meet the hapless, pathetic, pitiful-as-of-late storm. i will go out on a limb and say that i think the small market playing these games has pushed the line out too far and detroit +2 could very well be my personal play, but i don't know yet.

                              as far as going against the jm c play, here is the problem with playing a system like this in a small market: it's called "seattle is -2 on the road on tuesday when we all know they should be at least a slight dog, which, oops, they were before the line got ****ed up buy the chase money." jm money doesn't move nba lines like this, not to this degree at least....assuming that's what's moving this particular line and not ras or something else. jm will call it a win regardless of anything at all, so i'm not looking to be a part of the group that gets ****ed, because that sucks.

                              i don't know...might have to watch the line some more as i did want to play seattle until i saw this.
                              Comment
                              • SportsTerminator
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-18-09
                                • 5179

                                #6700
                                I was told the JM system lost once earlier this season with LA...
                                Bet To Win
                                Comment
                                • RoagBettor
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-20-09
                                  • 8355

                                  #6701
                                  There is no JM WNBA system. There's a Samson15 WNBA system that JM stole.
                                  Comment
                                  • brooks85
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-05-09
                                    • 44709

                                    #6702
                                    its always going to be the jm system when its applied to any sport.
                                    Comment
                                    • oda11
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-05-09
                                      • 3250

                                      #6703
                                      Day 65 Sunday 8/17/09:

                                      Day Beginning Bankroll - $6287.50

                                      Project Plays 8/18/09

                                      Seattle +1.5 -115 690 to win 600 (matchbook)
                                      Washington +6 -125 375 to win 300 (matchbook)

                                      Day Ending Bankroll - $6287.50
                                      WNBA Dating Tips Record
                                      52- 36 -0

                                      YTD Total: 25.15 units
                                      YTD Profit: 15.15 units ($250 per unit since we only used $300/unit for a short period of time)
                                      (All updated 8/17/09)
                                      Last edited by oda11; 08-17-09, 11:16 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • X-Rated
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 05-23-09
                                        • 232

                                        #6704
                                        Seattle's line moved from 1.5 to -2. Shit that's 3.5 points already I don't think I want to take Seattle. Even thought they are 2nd in the Western Conference I still don't think they should be favored at all. The JM System is cool, but with the refs on Detroit, it all even out, so this game is a coin toss.

                                        Washington @ Los Angeles, I think this game could end up with Washington getting blown out by the Sparks. There is the revenge angle for the Sparks as the Mystics blewed them out by 12 earlier this season. I think I'm going to have Monday off. Good luck guys.
                                        Comment
                                        • jcygts6
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-05-09
                                          • 3316

                                          #6705
                                          i agree... both of these games are not favorable
                                          DO WORK + KROW OD
                                          do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                          od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                          Comment
                                          • HANAshi
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 08-18-09
                                            • 1

                                            #6706
                                            bettin on what hmmmm det .. ..det .. .. det .. ..
                                            Comment
                                            • BL
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-11-09
                                              • 4070

                                              #6707
                                              99% on Seattle
                                              I think i just wait right until the game starts and put some coins on Detroit...
                                              Comment
                                              • SexyMit
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-12-06
                                                • 6139

                                                #6708
                                                Yes it really bothers me as well that 99% is on Seattle. Will talk to CK, JM play or not that is to much money on 1 side for my taste.
                                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                Comment
                                                • RoagBettor
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                  • 8355

                                                  #6709
                                                  I'll be parlaying Detroit, Phoenix and LA ML's with the over in the Phoenix game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hybris
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-22-09
                                                    • 1023

                                                    #6710
                                                    Originally posted by BL
                                                    99% on Seattle
                                                    I think i just wait right until the game starts and put some coins on Detroit...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Danskeren
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 05-27-09
                                                      • 498

                                                      #6711
                                                      Originally posted by BL
                                                      99% on Seattle
                                                      I think i just wait right until the game starts and put some coins on Detroit...
                                                      I totally agree. Let's hope the public will pound Seattle even more, so that we can get +4 or maybe even +5 before gametime. If the line raises to +5 i buy a point and roll with Det + 6 Heavy.

                                                      I like the sparks too with only around 30 % on 'em. Maybe a ML play? What you think on that one?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • texhooper
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-05-09
                                                        • 10001

                                                        #6712
                                                        i went ahead and grabbed detroit +3. this has gotten out of hand. i see you guys agree.

                                                        i also got phoenix +1 and washington +4.5 last night.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Danskeren
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 05-27-09
                                                          • 498

                                                          #6713
                                                          If you are a Detroit backer i would give th line some more time. Got it at my book at +3,5 now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BL
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-11-09
                                                            • 4070

                                                            #6714
                                                            Originally posted by Danskeren
                                                            I totally agree. Let's hope the public will pound Seattle even more, so that we can get +4 or maybe even +5 before gametime. If the line raises to +5 i buy a point and roll with Det + 6 Heavy.

                                                            I like the sparks too with only around 30 % on 'em. Maybe a ML play? What you think on that one?
                                                            This is exactly what i wanna do
                                                            Well i like the sparks but not that much i like the over. So the over is the only play for me in this game. maybe parlay both ?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Danskeren
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 05-27-09
                                                              • 498

                                                              #6715
                                                              Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                                              Wow I discovered a pattern... I think Detroit -1.5 might be the play. Detroit has always responded well to a big blowout. And which makes the play better is their returning home from a 3 game road trip. So their looking to redeem their last blowout lost with a victory at home. And Detroit only lost by 3 AT Seattle. And lets not forgot Seattle hasn't been playing well lately.

                                                              But about the pattern doing some research if the team is favored -1.5, and they were blown out the game before they should win. And guess what if the odd is -1.5 usually that means one of those team was blown out the game before. The bookies are using patterns... wow. I feel like a discovered a dinosaur bone lol.

                                                              But I will type out the data to prove this pattern soon.
                                                              Detroit has been blown out by 18 points or more three times this season:

                                                              1. time: Against the sparks by 20 points.
                                                              Next game: (also against the sparks) They won by 29 points.

                                                              2. time: Against Conneticut by 18 points.
                                                              Next game: Against New York, they won by 12 points.

                                                              3. time: Their last game, their were kicked out of inĂ­ana with a 23 point loose.
                                                              Next game: Tonight.

                                                              The two times Detroit won the following game, they were playing at home, just like tonight.

                                                              Of course two times is WAY too few to make a good trend - I just wanted to contribute with some info. Especially to all the JM backers.

                                                              A bit more info:

                                                              Detroit is 5-2 against the western Conf.
                                                              Seattle is 1-6 against the eastern Conf.

                                                              Good luck, whatever you choose to put your money on Detroit or Seattle tonight.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • Danskeren
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 05-27-09
                                                                • 498

                                                                #6716
                                                                Originally posted by BL
                                                                This is exactly what i wanna do
                                                                Well i like the sparks but not that much i like the over. So the over is the only play for me in this game. maybe parlay both ?

                                                                Also like the over.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hybris
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-22-09
                                                                  • 1023

                                                                  #6717
                                                                  i Can get +4 now, but i think ill wait
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • FreeFall
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-20-08
                                                                    • 3365

                                                                    #6718
                                                                    Are we playing games for tomorrow? I'd hate to get them after the line moves again.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 8355

                                                                      #6719
                                                                      No free chicken dinners tonight. The books are seeing BIG green tonight.

                                                                      Detroit +3.5 is my play in my parlay. I was going to take the ML but getting +3.5 at -110? Yep.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Danskeren
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 05-27-09
                                                                        • 498

                                                                        #6720
                                                                        Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                                        No free chicken dinners tonight. The books are seeing BIG green tonight.

                                                                        Detroit +3.5 is my play in my parlay. I was going to take the ML but getting +3.5 at -110? Yep.

                                                                        I would wait until gametime roag. the line just keep rising. Im with you on this one, let's cash and get the money ready for the football season
                                                                        Comment
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