2014/15 NBA Thread

**Seto** · 12-07-14, 08:15 AM

Originally posted by pupung

Wizards +4?

Oops, I meant Celtics.

**Seto** · 12-07-14, 08:15 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Hawks-5 -115 (betcris) (risking 1.15x to win 1x)
Celtics+4 -107 (5dimes) (risking 1.07x to win 1x)

Not sure why cris are hanging -5 -115 with every book at 5.5 or 6. Might be a "trap", but if it's as much of a trap as those pinny leads the last year and a half, I don't have too much to be worried about lol.

fixed.

**NBA Maniac** · 12-07-14, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Lakers+2.5 -105 (5dimes) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)

That's (probably) it for today. Hopefully I can have a 3-0 Sunday like last Sunday.

For me, my play on this game is Pelicans

Originally posted by Seto

Hawks-5 -115 (betcris) (risking 1.15x to win 1x)
Wizards+4 -107 (5dimes) (risking 1.07x to win 1x)

Not sure why cris are hanging -5 -115 with every book at 5.5 or 6. Might be a "trap", but if it's as much of a trap as those pinny leads the last year and a half, I don't have too much to be worried about lol.

bookmaker, sbet, guardian, and a few more, still hanging on (-5).
Any reason you like Boston ? Fading Pierce ?

**Seto** · 12-07-14, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

For me, my play on this game is Pelicans

bookmaker, sbet, guardian, and a few more, still hanging on (-5).
Any reason you like Boston ? Fading Pierce ?

Pelicans are trash. They had that one good game against okc but ultimately something is really not right with this team. I thought about fading them yesterday and am doing it today... Seems to be the right move for now.

Nah nothing to do with Pierce I'd even forgot he was coming back there today. Celtics are decent enough, they were just blowing leads in every game. Now that they're heating up a bit they could be a team to watch.

**NBA Maniac** · 12-07-14, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Pelicans are trash. They had that one good game against okc but ultimately something is really not right with this team. I thought about fading them yesterday and am doing it today... Seems to be the right move for now.

Nah nothing to do with Pierce I'd even forgot he was coming back there today. Celtics are decent enough, they were just blowing leads in every game. Now that they're heating up a bit they could be a team to watch.

Orlando is a covering machine when play away

**Seto** · 12-07-14, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

Orlando is a covering machine when play away

Assuming you meant another team?

**NBA Maniac** · 12-07-14, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Assuming you meant another team?

They are 11-5 ATS playing away....

BTW typical Boston brain melt ahahahah

**Seto** · 12-07-14, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

They are 11-5 ATS playing away....

BTW typical Boston brain melt ahahahah

Nah I meant what does that have to do with anything? They aren't playing today.

Fukking Celtics yeah

**NBA Maniac** · 12-07-14, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Nah I meant what does that have to do with anything? They aren't playing today.

Fukking Celtics yeah

Is very easy, you was talking about Celtics, that they are a team to watch...(team that can make us somes bucks...)
And thats why i talked about Orlando. Somehow Indiana is also a coverings machine playing away.
And Bucks in general... ( I like them against Dallas )

**Seto** · 12-07-14, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

Is very easy, you was talking about Celtics, that they are a team to watch...(team that can make us somes bucks...)
And thats why i talked about Orlando. Somehow Indiana is also a coverings machine playing away.
And Bucks in general... ( I like them against Dallas )

Oh ok got it. I thought you had one of the matchups wrong.

Bucks might be a decent play but Dallas always seem to play well off a loss. Not sure how the fact that the Bucks and Mavs played just a few days ago. Not often you say an East/West matchup happen twice in a week.

**NBA Maniac** · 12-07-14, 03:46 PM

Many ppl out today, from Denver team...

**Seto** · 12-07-14, 05:50 PM

Nuggets

Been just fading them on this trip for a unit a pop cause they're so bad. Probably should be doing it for 2 or 3 units.

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 06:15 AM

Today: 2-1, +0.95x
Total: 57-91-1, +11.06x

Can't figure out these stupid Pelicans. Still think they're shit. Lakers can't win if Kobe doesn't have a great game.

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 08:44 AM

Celtics+9 -105 (5dimes) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)
Celtics ml +400 (5dimes) (risking 0.25x to win 1x)

**t-wizzle** · 12-08-14, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Celtics+9 -105 (5dimes) (risking 1.05x to win 1x)
Celtics ml +400 (5dimes) (risking 0.25x to win 1x)

**oldscho0led** · 12-08-14, 10:01 AM

Wow. That's a home and home Seto. Not worried on Wizards revenge? What do u think bout the Pacers?

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 10:39 AM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Wow. That's a home and home Seto. Not worried on Wizards revenge? What do u think bout the Pacers?

Nah not really. I'm gonna be riding the Celtics a bit. The revenge angle in these home and home situations doesn't really work in my experience. It's not like there's any kind of rivalry between these teams either.

I like Atlanta them being red hot and the Pacers being off the trip but idk why they're not favoured. Game has a weird feeling about it. Probably a pass.

**t-wizzle** · 12-08-14, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Nah not really. I'm gonna be riding the Celtics a bit. The revenge angle in these home and home situations doesn't really work in my experience. It's not like there's any kind of rivalry between these teams either.

I like Atlanta them being red hot and the Pacers being off the trip but idk why they're not favoured. Game has a weird feeling about it. Probably a pass.

Agreed on both. Surprised Hawks weren't a slight fave.

I kind of like Denver.

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Agreed on both. Surprised Hawks weren't a slight fave.

I kind of like Denver.

Are you considering taking Atlanta anyway? I sort of still am but it's tough.

9.5 points seem like a lot but they're always a disaster waiting to happen. I would sort of lean that way if I had to pick that game though I guess.

What's the deal with the Nets? Why are they so fukking bad? They've had an easy schedule and are still getting pounded routinely. I sort of like them getting 7.5 points to the Cavs but I'm not quite sure what's up with them. Lopez is out, maybe that will wake them up a bit or something. Plumlee has been out of the rotation and he played ok for them last year.

**t-wizzle** · 12-08-14, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by Seto

Are you considering taking Atlanta anyway? I sort of still am but it's tough.

9.5 points seem like a lot but they're always a disaster waiting to happen. I would sort of lean that way if I had to pick that game though I guess.

What's the deal with the Nets? Why are they so fukking bad? They've had an easy schedule and are still getting pounded routinely. I sort of like them getting 7.5 points to the Cavs but I'm not quite sure what's up with them. Lopez is out, maybe that will wake them up a bit or something. Plumlee has been out of the rotation and he played ok for them last year.

I will almost certainly pass on both those games. The Nets are just a flimsy team. Williams and Johnson can still create their own shot but both guys are past their prime. Lopez is solid but he's not much of a defensive presence. Garnett should just retire and they really aren't that deep of a team.

I want to take Suns but the Clippers are hot right now.

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I will almost certainly pass on both those games. The Nets are just a flimsy team. Williams and Johnson can still create their own shot but both guys are past their prime. Lopez is solid but he's not much of a defensive presence. Garnett should just retire and they really aren't that deep of a team.

I want to take Suns but the Clippers are hot right now.

They did lose Pierce Livingston and Blatche who were 3 important guys for them. But looking back to 2 years ago the roster was pretty similar to what they have this year so I am a bit confused, I guess you're right about Williams and Johnson declining.

Probably the right move to pass on both. I just want to fade the Cavs getting that many points against them on the road. Everyone feels they've figured it out but I'm still not convinced at all yet.

I will fade then hard in OKC on Thursday almost for sure. I wish the game were a couple weeks later for the Thunder to be more in a groove but I really feel like OKC will batter them.

Random feeling - Suns first half, Clippers second. I really have no clue though tbh.

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Lakers+2 -108 (5dimes) (risking 1.08x to win 1x)
Lakers-5 +230 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.15x)
Lakers-9.5 +550 (paddy power) (risking 0.25x to win 1.38x)
Lakers-20.5 +2000 (william hill) (risking 0.15x to win 3x)
Lakers-20.5 +3300 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.1x to win 3.3x)

There is a mistake here - the -9.5 bet was +450 not +550 (stupid euro/US odds difference sometimes makes me make mistakes) so I won 1.13x not 1.38x

Accurate record is 57-91-1, +10.81x instead of 11.06x

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 05:31 PM

Nets+8.5 -110 (skybet) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)
Nets ml +360 (5dimes) (risking 0.5x to win 1.8x)

Fukk it. Gonna try these clowns.

**Seto** · 12-08-14, 06:13 PM

Tomorrow

Bucks+10.5 -110 (betvictor) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)
Bucks ml +550 (skybet) (risking 0.5x to win 2.75x)

**oldscho0led** · 12-08-14, 09:07 PM

Seto, i like the Suns today. Clipps are being overrated because of their streak and blowing weak teams. 7.5 is a big spread for a Suns team w/c can go toe to toe with them.

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 08:48 AM

I'm pissed about Celtics ml. It was obviously fortunate that they covered the spread at all, but fukk they had 7 point leads in BOTH overtimes and couldn't close it out once. What a sorry team.

Also pissed about leaving Atlanta because I thought the line was weird.

Nets were a stupid play otoh. Serves me right.

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 08:49 AM

Originally posted by oldscho0led

Seto, i like the Suns today. Clipps are being overrated because of their streak and blowing weak teams. 7.5 is a big spread for a Suns team w/c can go toe to toe with them.

Crazy game. I thought about betting Suns HT/Clippers FT but decided it was too random of a lean. It wouldn't have won anyway so no regrets there.

I actually thought the spread was lower than where I would've had it. Thought it would be at 8.5. Not a big difference though tbh.

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 08:53 AM

Yesterday: 1-3, -0.85x
Total: 58-94-1, +9.96x

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 09:01 AM

Like the Mavs quite a bit today. Time for them to beat a WC rival and Memphis is one of the WC teams they seem to do the best against.

I like Toronto over Cleveland but maybe I should wait til they cool off a bit before starting to fade them.

**oldscho0led** · 12-09-14, 09:19 AM

With you on Toronto plus the points. Expect the Raps to give full effort in this game. They won't just let the Cavs beat them twice within a week.

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 10:10 AM

Mavs+3.5 -110 (betvictor) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)
Mavs ml +135 (paddy power) (risking 1x to win 1.35x)

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 10:17 AM

Pistons+8.5 -120 (skybet) (risking 1.2x to win 1x)

Getting 1 full extra point for not much extra juice made me end up giving this a try.

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 10:19 AM

Lakers-2.5 -110 (paddy power) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

Deciding against Toronto for now. May revisit later.

**NBA Maniac** · 12-09-14, 04:32 PM

I'm not SBR PRO yet, and neither you, this is just

!!
You requested way before me...

**Seto** · 12-09-14, 06:30 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

I'm not SBR PRO yet, and neither you, this is just

!!
You requested way before me...

yeah it's usually faster idk what's up.

gonna mp one of the mods later on if i can get my lazy self to type up a 4 line pm.