2014/15 NBA Thread

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 12:14 AM

I have finally seen an NBA player do something smart in a game. That was really clever by Lowry.

I have to question on the other hand whether Jeremy Lin actually went to Harvard.

**NBA Maniac** · 12-01-14, 12:17 AM

Seto has exceeded their stored private messages quota and cannot accept further messages until they clear some space.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 12:19 AM

Today: 3-0, +3.28x
Total: 48-68, +17.09x

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

Seto has exceeded their stored private messages quota and cannot accept further messages until they clear some space.

That's been happening a bit lately since I lost my Pro status and was lazy in renewing it.

I did finally put the application in a couple days ago so I should be Pro again by Tuesday at the latest I think. I'll clear it a bit so I can get your message now though

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 09:44 AM

Jazz+3 -105 (5dimes) (risking 0.58x to win 0.5x)
Jazz ml +150 (5dimes) (risking 1x to win 1.5x)

The ml went back up up +150 (even though the spread didn't move) so I'm gonna lock in now.

Highly doubt the points come into play here so I'm gonna go this way. Waiting for alternates to come out on a few books, definitely playing a couple of them.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 12:27 PM

Jazz-10.5 +650 (paddy power) (risking 0.25x to win 1.63x)
Jazz-20.5 +2200 (william hill) (risking 0.15x to win 3.3x)
Jazz-25.5 +4000 (william hill) (risking 0.05x to win 2x)
Jazz-30.5 +15000 (paddy power) (risking 0.05x to win 7.5x)
Jazz-20.5 +3300 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.04x to win 1.25x)

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 02:10 PM

Spurs-20.5 +850 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.25x to win 2.13x)
Spurs-25.5 +750 (william hill) (risking 0.2x to win 1.5x)
Spurs-30.5 OR Sixers-30.5 +1800 (william hill) (risking 0.1x to win 1.8x)

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Jazz-20.5 +3300 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.04x to win 1.25x)

Managed to add a bit to this. Had £3.79 to win £125.07 (rounded to what I posted obviously). Was able to add £1.21 to win £39.93. So no rounding needed now.

Total bet is Jazz-20.5 +3300 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.05x to win 1.65x)

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Jazz+3 -105 (5dimes) (risking 0.58x to win 0.5x)

Looks like I switched my brain off here. Obviously 0.53x to win 0.5x. Was probably thinking in terms of a 1.5x bet which is 1.58x to win 1.5x.

**NBA Maniac** · 12-01-14, 02:22 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Looks like I switched my brain off here. Obviously 0.53x to win 0.5x. Was probably thinking in terms of a 1.5x bet which is 1.58x to win 1.5x.

I just woke up....
Missed 76'ers (+14), Jazz (+3).... so now will wait to see what happens.
Probably will go to bed again, i am in the night shifts lol
see you later

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

I just woke up....
Missed 76'ers (+14), Jazz (+3).... so now will wait to see what happens.
Probably will go to bed again, i am in the night shifts lol
see you later

Hah just like me your sleep schedule makes no sense.

Have a bad cold at the moment too. Doesn't help that I went all the way up to fukking Sunderland on Saturday which is basically a near 24-hour round trip when I was already ill. Unless I'm physically unable to move I ain't missing a game for a sickness though

Sixers line moved because the Spurs are resting guys. Now that it has moved I think the Spurs are the side with value here. We'll see. It's not like I went large on them.

**RavensFan2k3** · 12-01-14, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Jazz-10.5 +650 (paddy power) (risking 0.25x to win 1.63x)
Jazz-20.5 +2200 (william hill) (risking 0.15x to win 3.3x)
Jazz-25.5 +4000 (william hill) (risking 0.05x to win 2x)
Jazz-30.5 +15000 (paddy power) (risking 0.05x to win 7.5x)
Jazz-20.5 +3300 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.04x to win 1.25x)

Wow

So are we guaranteeing a Jazz win here?

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Wow

So are we guaranteeing a Jazz win here?

How am I guaranteeing anything? I just have 2 units or so on this game total. Nothing big at all. I just think if they win they'll win by a bunch.

**unitedlad** · 12-01-14, 02:50 PM

Paddypower have limited me to £3.44 on alt spreads

F**king amateurs.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by unitedlad

Paddypower have limited me to £3.44 on alt spreads

F**king amateurs.

Yeah I guess it's bound to happen to me too at some point.

You can always bet in their shops though I guess.

**RavensFan2k3** · 12-01-14, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by Seto

How am I guaranteeing anything? I just have 2 units or so on this game total. Nothing big at all. I just think if they win they'll win by a bunch.

Ok, let me rephrase. Are you confident that the Jazz at least cover the original spread?

**labones00** · 12-01-14, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Ok, let me rephrase. Are you confident that the Jazz at least cover the original spread?

You would think he would be confident when placing a bet that the Jazz would win by 10+. Would be nice to hear some reasoning as to why if the Jazz win they will "win by a bunch." That write-up/reasoning doesn't convince me one bit...

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Ok, let me rephrase. Are you confident that the Jazz at least cover the original spread?

I think they will win the game. I doubt the spread will come into play. If they lose they won't cover either to me.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by labones00

You would think he would be confident when placing a bet that the Jazz would win by 10+. Would be nice to hear some reasoning as to why if the Jazz win they will "win by a bunch." That write-up/reasoning doesn't convince me one bit...

I didn't provide any writeup/reasoning at all I don't think. Maybe last night a bit.

When Denver loses they usually lose by a lot. Their games are rarely close in general. That's the only reasoning behind the alternate bets.

There's a lot of gut feeling involved in my plays, I'm not one to research stuff or bet on stats/trends. I've done very well that way in the NBA Regular Season so I'm not about to change anything. Whether anyone wants to tail/fade or whatever is entirely up to them.

**KRIT** · 12-01-14, 03:53 PM

Jazzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 04:01 PM

BOL had the Pistons as 4.5 point faves to the Lakers. It's already down 2 points after CRIS' opener.

Seriously who makes these lines? Do they just throw darts at a board and put in a random number?

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Jazzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

**labones00** · 12-01-14, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I didn't provide any writeup/reasoning at all I don't think. Maybe last night a bit.

When Denver loses they usually lose by a lot. Their games are rarely close in general. That's the only reasoning behind the alternate bets.

There's a lot of gut feeling involved in my plays, I'm not one to research stuff or bet on stats/trends. I've done very well that way in the NBA Regular Season so I'm not about to change anything. Whether anyone wants to tail/fade or whatever is entirely up to them.

Appreciate it, well whatever works for you. Good luck with your plays

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by labones00

Appreciate it, well whatever works for you. Good luck with your plays

Thanks. Same to you.

**RavensFan2k3** · 12-01-14, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I think they will win the game. I doubt the spread will come into play. If they lose they won't cover either to me.

Yeah I was leaning that way, and when I saw that you have made wagers of them winning upwards of double digits, made me confident in my play, but I know sometimes people like to just throw out plays as a long shot, because there's a "chance" not necesarily thinking it will hit, know what I mean? And then I saw another poster has Denver as their "lock" of the night, so having someone guaranteeing a Nugget win and then having something thinking Utah wins by double digits threw me off a bit. But I appreciate your thoughts man, good luck tonight.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Yeah I was leaning that way, and when I saw that you have made wagers of them winning upwards of double digits, made me confident in my play, but I know sometimes people like to just throw out plays as a long shot, because there's a "chance" not necesarily thinking it will hit, know what I mean? And then I saw another poster has Denver as their "lock" of the night, so having someone guaranteeing a Nugget win and then having something thinking Utah wins by double digits threw me off a bit. But I appreciate your thoughts man, good luck tonight.

Hitting 10% on +1000 and up plays is enough to make a profit on them. Last season I think I went like 5-44 or something on plays in that range and easily made a profit from that. You can't really ask for more. But yeah, nobody makes bets thinking they will lose so I do think I have a chance of winning them.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 08:05 PM

Absolutely sickening loss on that Spurs 21+ at the half considering the +850 odds. Up by 24 with a couple minutes left smh. Gotta hit one of those fullgame plays or I'm gonna be proper pissed off by this game.

**NBA Maniac** · 12-01-14, 08:30 PM

I'm going to start watching games, and just noticed:

Nerlens Noel (hip) LOL

And Derrick Favors won't play

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 09:31 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

I'm going to start watching games, and just noticed:

Nerlens Noel (hip) LOL

And Derrick Favors won't play

Hopefully Utah can still win.

At least the Spurs didn't cover the original spread if they weren't going to cover my alternates. I can't complain at all about the full game bets. The halftime one is a really tough one to take though especially given it was the biggest play. It's all part of the game but it still never fails to annoy me.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 09:52 PM

I should've played that largest lead over prop. They're basically free money with Denver.

Of course the only time I played one with them no team led by more than 7 all game.

Either way, you can generally tell pretty early where games are headed with the Nuggets.

Spurs ruined the night with that close to the first half.

Gonna try a pathetic mushing technique and call the game over and wake up to the result tomorrow

Today: 0-10, -2.68x
Total: 48-78, +14.41x

Can hardly wait for that pupung guy to check in and spin this 0-10 day as some kind of disaster.

Good night guys

**KRIT** · 12-01-14, 09:56 PM

Are the Jazz for real? How can you be down 20 at home to such a mediocre team.

**DOM-Ganador** · 12-01-14, 10:51 PM

Utah showed some 3Q spunk...lets hope they didn`t blow their load and left enough in the take to finish.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 11:39 PM

Couldn't sleep lol. Watched the last couple minutes. Crazy shot making by Hayward and Lawson. Good look for Burke on the go-ahead 3 with a few ticks left, can't ask for much better than that.

My strategy of going for more on the ml backfired. It sucks but it is what it is. I went with my guy, can't blame myself for that. At least I did recover something from the spread.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 11:41 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Are the Jazz for real? How can you be down 20 at home to such a mediocre team.

Jazz think games start in the 2nd half apparently. They do this every single time. Largest lead over was seriously free money in this game. I just had cold feet cause I'm 0-2 with those this year. That's really the only thing I regret from the way I went about with my bets tonight.

**Seto** · 12-01-14, 11:43 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Utah showed some 3Q spunk...lets hope they didn`t blow their load and left enough in the take to finish.

At least they got the cover.

The "NBA is fixed" gang will probably be out in full force tonight. Like it's actually possible to fix a tip-in at the buzzer lol. Logic doesn't really exist to those guys. I used to be a bit like that a couple years ago though to be fair.