2013/14 NBA Thread

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  • Seto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-16-11
    • 12906

    #491
    Pacers/Suns largest lead under 16.5 -120 (ladbrokes) (risking 1.2x to win 1x) - 5dimes has 15.5 available for americans if you guys care

    feel like this is gonna be a good game.
    Comment
    • Seto
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-16-11
      • 12906

      #492
      Yesterday: 0-1, -1.2x
      Total: 147-121-1, +100.46x

      What an awful card tonight from a gambler and fan perspective. Already moving on to Friday.
      Comment
      • freeeze
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-12-11
        • 363

        #493
        Mavs look like a good play tomorrow night. They're coming of an embarrassing 4th quarter performance, Dirk was rested and Brooklyn have no one to guard him. The Nets have been great the last few games, but I don't think they can be that good consistently. The more I think about it, the more I like Dallas here and we're probably getting plus odds on them. What's your take on this game ?
        Comment
        • Seto
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-16-11
          • 12906

          #494
          Originally posted by freeeze
          Mavs look like a good play tomorrow night. They're coming of an embarrassing 4th quarter performance, Dirk was rested and Brooklyn have no one to guard him. The Nets have been great the last few games, but I don't think they can be that good consistently. The more I think about it, the more I like Dallas here and we're probably getting plus odds on them. What's your take on this game ?
          When do the Mavs ever have a good 4th quarter though? This is par for the course for them.

          That said, they have been great off a loss the last couple years. I think someone posted a stat that they were 38-17 ATS their last 55 off a loss or something like that in a recent thread.

          The short line seems to further suggest Mavs might be the play. I'll have to think about that one. Same goes for Washington in Phoenix.
          Comment
          • freeeze
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-12-11
            • 363

            #495
            Yeah, and I don't understand why Ellis keeps getting so many touches in key late game situations. I can't recall him having a good performance in the clutch since that game in Portland. We should hope for a Mavs blowout, I guess

            I was also thinking about the Wiz and based on the line alone they seem like the play. Will have to think more about that game.
            Comment
            • Seto
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-16-11
              • 12906

              #496
              Originally posted by freeeze
              Yeah, and I don't understand why Ellis keeps getting so many touches in key late game situations. I can't recall him having a good performance in the clutch since that game in Portland. We should hope for a Mavs blowout, I guess

              I was also thinking about the Wiz and based on the line alone they seem like the play. Will have to think more about that game.
              He had a great first month and a half but has been slumping yeah. His FT% is down a lot too (wtf? from like 85% to 70% or something) so it's tougher to trust him in the clutch. But other than getting Dirk an iso post up, I don't see how you can't involve him in the play really.

              The dumbest shit he did was when he took an awful contested 20-footer with 16 seconds on the shot clock or so with 40 seconds to go, up 4, instead of running down the clock, let the Clippers get a 2-for-1 and eventually win the game.

              Dallas needs him to be good if they're gonna have any kind of success this year (moderate success obviously, they aren't beating an elite team in a 7-game series).

              Mavs just haven't been the same in the 4th since Jason Terry left. Went from one of the clutchest to one of the most prone to choke teams in the league.
              Comment
              • vasilli07
                SBR MVP
                • 05-08-11
                • 3955

                #497
                Yes, Mavs are 39-17 ATS following a loss in their last 56 games.
                Comment
                • Catchn_Picks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-02-11
                  • 2984

                  #498
                  It has been reported by others that Nets are 7-1 ATS @ 2 days rest
                  Comment
                  • Seto
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-16-11
                    • 12906

                    #499
                    Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
                    It has been reported by others that Nets are 7-1 ATS @ 2 days rest
                    Maybe. Not sure if that really means anything though. I mean yeah they're an old team so I guess it can't hurt.
                    Comment
                    • Seto
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-16-11
                      • 12906

                      #500
                      As of now I'm thinking

                      Wizards (3x)
                      Mavs, Celtics, Pelicans, Grizz (1x)

                      These are NOT official plays though. The only one I'm 99% sure I'll play is Washington.
                      Comment
                      • freeeze
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-12-11
                        • 363

                        #501
                        Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
                        It has been reported by others that Nets are 7-1 ATS @ 2 days rest
                        Trends are meaningless, you can easily find trends that support each team in a game and most of them will mean almost nothing. Here are a couple of trends supporting Dallas in case that Brooklyn one worries you - Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

                        @Seto - Wizards are the best play on the board imo and I agree with the size of the play. Dallas is also a decent play but I can't see anything else worth betting in the nba tonight.
                        Comment
                        • Seto
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-16-11
                          • 12906

                          #502
                          Wizards+4 -104 (marathonbet) (risking 2.08x to win 2x)

                          Passing on most/all of the games I was leaning on earlier. However I now like Kings and maybe Wolves.
                          Comment
                          • Seto
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-16-11
                            • 12906

                            #503
                            Wolves+2 -111 (marathonbet) (first half) (risking 1.11x to win 1x)
                            Comment
                            • Seto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-16-11
                              • 12906

                              #504
                              Kings+11.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 0.53x to win 0.5x)
                              Kings+7 -105 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 0.53x to win 0.5x)
                              Comment
                              • Seto
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-16-11
                                • 12906

                                #505
                                Yesterday: 4-0, +4x
                                Total: 151-121-1, +104.46x
                                Comment
                                • Seto
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-16-11
                                  • 12906

                                  #506
                                  Originally posted by Seto
                                  As of now I'm thinking

                                  Wizards (3x)
                                  Mavs, Celtics, Pelicans, Grizz (1x)

                                  These are NOT official plays though. The only one I'm 99% sure I'll play is Washington.
                                  Huge SMH at this. Shoulda given those more consideration.

                                  And I would've 100% laid off the Celtics with KD out so maybe I would've gone 3 for 3, albeit Mavs woulda been lucky. Fukking idiots had to lose the game to piss me off as a fan and cover to piss me off as a gambler.
                                  Comment
                                  • Seto
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-16-11
                                    • 12906

                                    #507
                                    Wolves+4.5 -111 (marathonbet) (first half) (risking 1.11x to win 1x)
                                    Comment
                                    • JustSomeCash
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-26-13
                                      • 561

                                      #508
                                      Great job last night Seto,especially with Sac picks,well done!

                                      There is some enlightening info for today chief?

                                      Mem vs Hou b2b game after last night Mem won and the game was horrible,79 pts in the first and 96 in the 2nd(after Parsons hit 11/13 from downtown),this is the last leg of season series btw them,Hou lead 2:1 and all games went Under(192,175,179),line is 194,Hou are 2 pount dog,what's your thought?
                                      Comment
                                      • Seto
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-16-11
                                        • 12906

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by JustSomeCash
                                        Great job last night Seto,especially with Sac picks,well done!

                                        There is some enlightening info for today chief?

                                        Mem vs Hou b2b game after last night Mem won and the game was horrible,79 pts in the first and 96 in the 2nd(after Parsons hit 11/13 from downtown),this is the last leg of season series btw them,Hou lead 2:1 and all games went Under(192,175,179),line is 194,Hou are 2 pount dog,what's your thought?
                                        I sort of like Memphis.

                                        Books have adjusted the line by 2.5 points after yesterday's game so they might be expecting a Rockets revenge game, or maybe they're just doing this to get balanced action, idk. But I feel the line has moved a bit too much. The "revenge" angle hasn't worked very well this year when 2 teams play each other 2 times in a very short period of time.
                                        Comment
                                        • Seto
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-16-11
                                          • 12906

                                          #510
                                          Going over the record I've noticed an error in post #17 in pg 1. Warriors-13.5 +235 (risking 0.8x to win 2.68x) should be to win 1.88x, looks like I included the stake in the winnings.

                                          Also I keep forgetting 2 pushes in the record.

                                          Updated: Total: 151-121-3, +103.66x
                                          Comment
                                          • ChicagoCover
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-11-10
                                            • 661

                                            #511
                                            Originally posted by Seto
                                            Wolves+4.5 -111 (marathonbet) (first half) (risking 1.11x to win 1x)
                                            I like this pick! I'm on wolves +7.5 game
                                            Comment
                                            • Seto
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-16-11
                                              • 12906

                                              #512
                                              Tomorrow

                                              Cavs-1 -110 (sportsinteraction) (risking 3.3x to win 3x)
                                              Magic+7 -110 (sportsinteraction) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
                                              Comment
                                              • Seto
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-16-11
                                                • 12906

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by ChicagoCover
                                                I like this pick! I'm on wolves +7.5 game


                                                I still think they stink but they're a team that can get hot (kinda like the Nuggets) and I think this is one of those stretches for them.
                                                Comment
                                                • Seto
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                  • 12906

                                                  #514
                                                  Still tomorrow

                                                  Warriors-4.5 -110 (sportsinteraction) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DOM-Ganador
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-30-12
                                                    • 4479

                                                    #515
                                                    Originally posted by Seto
                                                    Still tomorrow

                                                    Warriors-4.5 -110 (sportsinteraction) (risking 1.65x to win 1.5x)
                                                    Yeah I get this one. Have to figure TB gonna be gassed and GS pissed after losing to Indy like they did.
                                                    Might jump on 1H. Of course, my book won`t give me a line until 12 or so tomorrow.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seto
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                      • 12906

                                                      #516
                                                      Originally posted by Seto
                                                      I sort of like Memphis.

                                                      Books have adjusted the line by 2.5 points after yesterday's game so they might be expecting a Rockets revenge game, or maybe they're just doing this to get balanced action, idk. But I feel the line has moved a bit too much. The "revenge" angle hasn't worked very well this year when 2 teams play each other 2 times in a very short period of time.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DOM-Ganador
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-30-12
                                                        • 4479

                                                        #517
                                                        Originally posted by Seto

                                                        Houston simply has no heart. Teams are going to strategize how they can meet them in the playoffs. For years to come.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Seto
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-16-11
                                                          • 12906

                                                          #518
                                                          Today: 0-1, -1.11x
                                                          Updated: Total: 151-122-3, +102.55x
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Seto
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-16-11
                                                            • 12906

                                                            #519
                                                            Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
                                                            Houston simply has no heart. Teams are going to strategize how they can meet them in the playoffs. For years to come.
                                                            They are pathetic, and it all starts with Dwight Coward. Will never forget how the quit v okc 10 days ago.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Seto
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-16-11
                                                              • 12906

                                                              #520
                                                              Spurs+4 -104 (marathonbet) (risking 1.04x to win 1x)
                                                              Spurs ml +176 (marathonbet) (risking 0.25x to win 0.44x)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Seto
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-16-11
                                                                • 12906

                                                                #521
                                                                That should read +4.5 not +4 sorry. Anyone doubting can check line history
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JustSomeCash
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-26-13
                                                                  • 561

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Hi Seto,I see you're expecting thriller tonight,or just think Heat dont show up in this early game(0-2 day games)..
                                                                  Love to hear your opinion on the total 202,and on the matchup btw Duncan and Bosh,here some homework that I did..


                                                                  The Greek set Duncan -1 @ 1.87,last year teams was met 9 tims,here the recap:

                                                                  Game 1: Spurs trio was rested so no matchup.
                                                                  Game 2: Duncan (17pts+12reb) Vs Bosh (23pts+9reb,James and Wade was out)
                                                                  Game 3: Duncan (20pts+14reb) Vs Bosh (13pts+5reb)
                                                                  Game 4: Duncan (11pts+9reb,3/13) Vs Bosh (12pts+10reb)
                                                                  Game 5: Duncan (12pts+14reb) Vs Bosh (12pts+10reb)
                                                                  Game 6: Duncan (20pts+5reb) Vs Bosh (20pts+13reb)
                                                                  Game 7: Duncan (17pts+12reb) Vs Bosh (16pts+6reb)
                                                                  Game 8: Duncan (30pts+17reb) Vs Bosh (10pts+11reb)
                                                                  Game 9: Duncan (24pts+12reb) Vs Bosh (7pts+0reb)

                                                                  Duncan own is ass (5-3) and his loss was first when LJ+DW was out,sec was when Timy shoot like Mcgee,and w/o Spilliter he should get more min today aginst the Heat,the only thing that can smash this bet IMO it if Heat blow them out and Pop will give him early rest...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Seto
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-16-11
                                                                    • 12906

                                                                    #523
                                                                    Sorry didn't see your post til now was at soccer game. That could be a good play but it's always hard to know what Pop will do with his guys' minutes. Gotta think they will want to make a statement by finally beating a good team even more so the team that nicked the title off them.

                                                                    But anyway not much point in answering now. GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DOM-Ganador
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-30-12
                                                                      • 4479

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Hope you are enjoying the soccer, B/C Cleveland just scored 9 points in the first 15 minutes of the 2nd half.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Seto
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                                        • 12906

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
                                                                        Hope you are enjoying the soccer, B/C Cleveland just scored 9 points in the first 15 minutes of the 2nd half.
                                                                        I've long been home. 3:30pm game, so 10:30am eastern for you guys. Got back for 2nd half of spurs/heat game.

                                                                        Yeah, that's kinda annoying isn't it.
                                                                        Comment
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