Wed, Jan 21 Plays

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  • curious
    Restricted User
    • 07-20-07
    • 9093

    #1
    Wed, Jan 21 Plays
    Games
    Boston -225 ML 6.75 to win 3 Win
    Detroit -220 ML 6.6 to win 3 Win
    New York +225 ML 1 to win 2.25 Win
    New York +6 -110 3.3 to win 3 Win
    New Orleans -190 ML 5.7 to win 3 Win
    Portland -105 ML 3.15 to win 3 Loss
    Lakers -15 -110 3.3 to win 3 Loss
    Oklahoma City +245 ML 1 to win 2.45 Win
    Oklahoma City +6 1/2 -110 3.3 to win 3 Win
    Milwaukee +105 3 to win 3.15 Win

    Halves - play these before the start of the game.
    1H
    Cleveland ML Win

    2H
    New Orleans ML Win
    LA Lakers ML Win

    Quarters - Play these quarter plays before the game starts. If you can do in-game Quarter plays martingale any losers until they win. For the 3Q plays, play the ones where 1 team is listed before the game starts. For the ones where two teams are listed, play the loser of the 1st Half. If you can play 4Q plays after the end of the 3Q martingale any 3Q losers.

    If your book does not offer favs on the money line use your own judgment if you should use the spread. I don't play favs on the spread personally.

    1Q
    Charlotte ML Win
    Phoenix ML Win
    Cleveland ML Win
    LA Lakers ML Loss
    Boston ML Win

    2Q
    Detroit ML Win
    Cleveland ML Win
    Washington + points Win
    Golden State ML Loss

    3Q
    New Orleans ML Win
    Utah + points Win
    LA Lakers ML Win
    Memphis/Charlotte (loser of 1st Half) Memphis +1 1/2 Win
    Toronto/Detroit (loser of 1st Half) Loss
    Phoenix/New York Knicks (loser of 1st Half) Win
    Dallas/Milwaukee Loss
    Cleveland/Portland (loser of 1st Half) Win
    Washington/Sacramento (loser of 1st Half) Loss
    Oklahoma City/Golden State (loser of 1st Half) Win
    Boston / Miami (loser of 1st Half) Miami -1/2 Win

    4Q
    Charlotte ML Win
    Toronto + points Loss
    New Orleans ML Loss
    LA Lakers ML Loss
  • brooks85
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-05-09
    • 44709

    #2
    Im liking these picks a lot. Did me good tonight. I wish I could martingale my loses tho. But, I can still get 1Q and 3Q.
    Comment
    • 50lipa
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-18-09
      • 409

      #3
      I've 12 Q wins and one double loss (Milwaukee), in 2 days with Curious, keep it up!
      Comment
      • 50lipa
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-18-09
        • 409

        #4
        Cleveland is only -1, and they go double figures whenever they bounce from a loss, this is a nice money shot, its in the sistem play aswell.

        Possibly worth upping aswell.
        Comment
        • Kidd Twist
          SBR Rookie
          • 01-15-09
          • 2

          #5
          Have afeeling that all 3 of your half plays win. GL!!
          Comment
          • Kidd Twist
            SBR Rookie
            • 01-15-09
            • 2

            #6
            As far as your 4th Qtr. plays,be careful with the Lakers.
            Comment
            • brooks85
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-05-09
              • 44709

              #7
              Originally posted by 50lipa
              I've 12 Q wins and one double loss (Milwaukee), in 2 days with Curious, keep it up!
              So does your book offer the ability to bet on the 4th Q right before it startS?
              Comment
              • curious
                Restricted User
                • 07-20-07
                • 9093

                #8
                Finally got the game info I needed...game picks are up

                Game picks are based on "Who's hot / Who's cold"
                Comment
                • BREAKmyBOOKIE
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-13-09
                  • 45

                  #9
                  Curious ...7 team parlay yesterday was looking golden....till Minny .....
                  Comment
                  • curious
                    Restricted User
                    • 07-20-07
                    • 9093

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BREAKmyBOOKIE
                    Curious ...7 team parlay yesterday was looking golden....till Minny .....
                    I'm not using the NHL any more in the parlays. I'll have a new parlay today.
                    Comment
                    • MJ
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-05-09
                      • 222

                      #11
                      Looks like I am getting back on the Curious train. Both NBA and NCAAB.
                      BOL Curious!
                      Comment
                      • BREAKmyBOOKIE
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 01-13-09
                        • 45

                        #12
                        hopefully we can roll in some dough
                        Comment
                        • NBA Hero
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-05-08
                          • 1886

                          #13
                          Originally posted by curious
                          Game picks are based on "Who's hot / Who's cold"

                          How do you come up which team is hot or cold? winning/ losing last __games or using sportsbook?
                          Comment
                          • curious
                            Restricted User
                            • 07-20-07
                            • 9093

                            #14
                            Originally posted by NBA Hero
                            How do you come up which team is hot or cold? winning/ losing last __games or using sportsbook?
                            I look at their record SU and ATS to see if I spot a team that is in a hot streak or a cold streak. A team might be cold SU but hot ATS.

                            I don't look at a fixed number of games, I just look at the W-L record on the schedule to see if a pattern emerges. One hot team might be 14-3 SU, another hot team might be 5-0 ATS. Just depends.

                            If the team is hot SU then I take them on the money line. If they are hot ATS then I take them on the spread. I tend to take favorites on the money line either way.
                            Comment
                            • smokin1
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 38

                              #15
                              hey curious, nice to see your system has been running well. i still remember our chat in another thread about big ml favs. was wondering, what units do you play on the 1/2 and quarters. Could you also describe the system you use to recover losses using in games 1/2s and quarters a little better. Which ones do you leave for in game betting, just the 3rd 1/4 ones tagged with bet loser of...?

                              thanks and gl!
                              Comment
                              • curious
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-20-07
                                • 9093

                                #16
                                Originally posted by smokin1
                                hey curious, nice to see your system has been running well. i still remember our chat in another thread about big ml favs. was wondering, what units do you play on the 1/2 and quarters. Could you also describe the system you use to recover losses using in games 1/2s and quarters a little better. Which ones do you leave for in game betting, just the 3rd 1/4 ones tagged with bet loser of...?

                                thanks and gl!
                                Quarters and halves are to risk 1 unit for plus odds and to win 1 unit for minus odds.

                                If a quarter play loses I double it up for the next quarter. Same for the 1st half loser, 3Q play. If that play loses I double it in the 4Q.
                                Comment
                                • cmnjr24
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-02-08
                                  • 38

                                  #17
                                  Hey, Curious I'm with you on all the plays but did you know that New Orleans is missing 2 starters West and Chandler. ?????
                                  Comment
                                  • curious
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 07-20-07
                                    • 9093

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by cmnjr24
                                    Hey, Curious I'm with you on all the plays but did you know that New Orleans is missing 2 starters West and Chandler. ?????
                                    I imagine that the lines makers know that too.
                                    Comment
                                    • 50lipa
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-18-09
                                      • 409

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by brooks85
                                      So does your book offer the ability to bet on the 4th Q right before it startS?
                                      Yeah bet365 offers live quarter to quarter progressive handicaps and money lines up till like 3/4 of each quarter and before the next one.
                                      Comment
                                      • Karayilan9
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-10-09
                                        • 3742

                                        #20
                                        Celtics 1st quarter Curious? what you think?
                                        Comment
                                        • curious
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 07-20-07
                                          • 9093

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Karayilan9
                                          Celtics 1st quarter Curious? what you think?
                                          Yes, great idea. For some reason Boston game was not in my Quarters spreadsheet.
                                          Comment
                                          • curious
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-20-07
                                            • 9093

                                            #22
                                            Adding Boston 1Q ML

                                            For some reason the Boston game was not in my Quarters spreadsheet.

                                            I also noticed that Charlotte ML was in my game picks sheet but didn't get posted. &*^%$#@(*!
                                            Comment
                                            • curious
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 07-20-07
                                              • 9093

                                              #23
                                              Does anyone like Milwaukee ML or Houston ML?

                                              There are some trends that favor these two but I didn't think they were that strong of plays.

                                              Anyone like either of these?
                                              Comment
                                              • Karayilan9
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-10-09
                                                • 3742

                                                #24
                                                Suns, Celtics and Bobcats 1st QTR all win! Bobcats and Celtics quarters were beautiful, absolutely no stress, this is the second time in a row Celtics have blown a team out 1st QTR.
                                                The Suns were getting me worried at the end!

                                                Hope the rest of the night goes this smooth for you Curious, GL



                                                Also what about Cleveland 1st QTR? they've been winning 75% of theirs comapred with Portlland;s 39%. However, is this information relavant in these big games between two strong teams? what else should we be considering?
                                                Comment
                                                • 50lipa
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-18-09
                                                  • 409

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by curious
                                                  For some reason the Boston game was not in my Quarters spreadsheet.

                                                  I also noticed that Charlotte ML was in my game picks sheet but didn't get posted. &*^%$#@(*!
                                                  I just realised i took 2x Charlotte 1Q ML and -spread on other, guess that second one was supposed to be Boston.

                                                  Got Boston 1H for 2 units right tho, atleast something.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • curious
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 07-20-07
                                                    • 9093

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Karayilan9

                                                    Also what about Cleveland 1st QTR? they've been winning 75% of theirs comapred with Portlland;s 39%. However, is this information relavant in these big games between two strong teams? what else should we be considering?
                                                    You are thinking too much. I only look at the win % for both teams by Quarter and try to find mismatches.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Karayilan9
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-10-09
                                                      • 3742

                                                      #27
                                                      Curious
                                                      You are thinking too much. I only look at the win % for both teams by Quarter and try to find mismatches.
                                                      Usually I'd take Cleveland with their recent 75% for winning first quarters compared with Portlands poor record but in these kind of intense matches it gets you thinking.

                                                      Your Laker tip looks hot though, Lakers has a great record, Clippers is dismal, when you add on to that Lakers form and being a better overall team its worth the risk.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 50lipa
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 01-18-09
                                                        • 409

                                                        #28
                                                        The LA game is gonna get ugly and ugly fast. Not having Camby aint gonna help the cause either.

                                                        Detroit -1.5 bringing home the cabbage. Not taking ML here was really sweet.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • curious
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 07-20-07
                                                          • 9093

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by 50lipa
                                                          The LA game is gonna get ugly and ugly fast. Not having Camby aint gonna help the cause either.

                                                          Detroit -1.5 bringing home the cabbage. Not taking ML here was really sweet.
                                                          Not trying to pick at you but the Quarters probabilities work using favs on the ML and dogs + the points. I'm not sure that they work taking favs minus the points. FYI
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 50lipa
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-18-09
                                                            • 409

                                                            #30
                                                            Oh yes, ofcourse, i know that, i went on my own on this one. Just that DET went 17 first Q, and i was watching the game and felt they had to pick up the pace in 2Q.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • alittlemoresound
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-14-08
                                                              • 472

                                                              #31
                                                              curious are serious about trying to find a way.
                                                              i got u bro all the way

                                                              but have u cashed out already? and everything was cool

                                                              ur brilliant man... i bow down to u

                                                              will u respnd to private message
                                                              Comment
                                                              • curious
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 07-20-07
                                                                • 9093

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by alittlemoresound
                                                                curious are serious about trying to find a way.
                                                                i got u bro all the way

                                                                but have u cashed out already? and everything was cool

                                                                ur brilliant man... i bow down to u

                                                                will u respnd to private message
                                                                The mods took my PMs away because I don't tolerate people talking shit to me and I offered to meet some posters who were talking shit in person so they can talk their shit to my face and the mods said I was "threatening" people. Freaking crybabies.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 50lipa
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-18-09
                                                                  • 409

                                                                  #33
                                                                  When did you take Memphis for +1.5, had it on +1 and a push. Bah

                                                                  3Q lookin' good 'cept Toronto, the 4Q monster.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • curious
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 07-20-07
                                                                    • 9093

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 50lipa
                                                                    When did you take Memphis for +1.5, had it on +1 and a push. Bah

                                                                    3Q lookin' good 'cept Toronto, the 4Q monster.
                                                                    At the end of the 1st Half. 7 books had it at +1 1/2

                                                                    If Toronto loses the 3Q double up on them in the 4Q
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • alittlemoresound
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-14-08
                                                                      • 472

                                                                      #35
                                                                      new orleans -3 second half
                                                                      Comment
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