Leans for Tuesday 1/19/09 CK vs. hoockeytown11 Challenge

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  • jaymac82980
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 3416

    #106
    dex, I also LOVE the idea on the Celts. They are back to their old tricks, and I don't see miami beating them. I am nervous that it is the only game that doesn't have a spread, I think the linesmakers are going extra careful on this one. But whatever it is, I'm sure we'll all be taking it ASAP before it has a chance to change.
    Comment
    • peterpan19
      Restricted User
      • 11-02-08
      • 3377

      #107
      How did CLE respond this year to a loss ?
      Loss to Bos -> next game against Char at home won by 17 pts
      Loss to NO -> against Dal on the road won by 19 pts
      Loss to Det -> win at home against ATL by 14 pts
      Loss to ATL -> win on the road against Min by 23 pts
      Loss to Mia -> win at home against CHI by 25 pts
      Loss to Was -> win at home vs Char by 30 pts
      Loss to Chi -> win at home vs noh by 14 pts
      Loss to Lak -> ??
      Comment
      • jaymac82980
        SBR MVP
        • 01-08-09
        • 3416

        #108
        GS/OKC over 223. Lot of points, LOT OF POINTS. GS can score, and we have seen that given the correct environment, so can OKC. that environment being a team like GS that doesnt play defense. I think I'll be hitting this one up tonight after I cash in my winnings, this way the over doesn't have a chance to grow overnight.
        Comment
        • djpremier36
          SBR MVP
          • 12-11-08
          • 3479

          #109
          Originally posted by jaymac82980
          dex, I also LOVE the idea on the Celts. They are back to their old tricks, and I don't see miami beating them. I am nervous that it is the only game that doesn't have a spread, I think the linesmakers are going extra careful on this one. But whatever it is, I'm sure we'll all be taking it ASAP before it has a chance to change.
          Reason for no BOS/MIA spread...linesmakers are waiting to see if Marion will play or not.

          Anything around -6 for BOS and I'm throwing down.
          Comment
          • Dfjay9
            SBR MVP
            • 12-04-08
            • 1576

            #110
            Boston by DD tomorrow.

            Rolling Bulls -4
            Indy Over 208
            BC +3 today

            GL
            Comment
            • jaymac82980
              SBR MVP
              • 01-08-09
              • 3416

              #111
              marion? whos that? I thought the only player Miami had was D Wade. huh, go figure.
              Comment
              • Dexter
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-24-08
                • 25829

                #112
                yup...even when the celts dont cover, i never second guess myself. always a solid investment.
                Comment
                • africanroller
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-30-08
                  • 936

                  #113
                  Hockeytown I just believe both goalies are beginning to wake up and I honestly wouldnt play either side even thou everything points to an under. Was just curious to why you choose to go heavy on a coin flip instead of a nice Det/Pho over or LA/ Minny Under. Even thou I have seen everyone and their brother on that Minny under. The last time I saw that many bets on a Hockey under it went over by like 3. GL
                  Comment
                  • cocknocker
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-06-08
                    • 8001

                    #114
                    I agree with that Wizzleskins pick for tomorrow Dexter, here's my card for tomorrow:

                    Tomorrow I am taking

                    Wizards+3
                    Cavs+1
                    Boston-anything (Miami meets the buzzsaw, I told you I would be part of the parade)
                    Nets+6
                    BYU-7.5
                    San Diego State-4
                    Comment
                    • mixpicks
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-09-09
                      • 280

                      #115
                      cleveland & wash. tomarrow, two "B"
                      wounder IF there will be a "C" ???
                      _________________________
                      Thanks for that Depaul Info. Just don't understand why smart (Big) wagers are on them then.
                      classic 80% Public on so. fla & line drops, just something I Must take Note of...

                      Don't think I'll play anything today, I don't play everyday anyway,
                      P/S I feel a "c" bet coming...
                      OK, I'm playing small (Generate Play)
                      3 Teame Dog Par:
                      Pacers+7.5
                      Kings+10
                      Colorado+10
                      adding 2pts on every game
                      ________________________
                      Another 3 teamer SMALL
                      DUKE (Buying all 3 pts here
                      Bulls (-1.5 or m/l) which makes more sence??
                      Cleve NBA Tomarow
                      GLTA...
                      Comment
                      • mixpicks
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-09-09
                        • 280

                        #116
                        trends are met tobe broken, plus if trends were so so important I really think that there would be much more winning gamblers then losers.
                        but thanks for the DePaul Info.
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #117
                          mixpicks, the Bulls moneyline is a better way to go than buying the three points!
                          Comment
                          • mixpicks
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-09-09
                            • 280

                            #118
                            Just :Like I think ZONA Wins SB By a FG
                            Comment
                            • mixpicks
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-09-09
                              • 280

                              #119
                              Thanks CK will do that, do u also feel thats a good play?
                              Comment
                              • mixpicks
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-09-09
                                • 280

                                #120
                                I like to ask you because seems you have the feel and know about the team, players etc... I have a system that runns the numbers simulate, and probaility, then I look at the market, maninly based on the market, BULLS Seem Like a Good Play??? Everything else seems about even.My thing says should be a Pikum, and thats because Bulls are Home>?
                                Comment
                                • mixpicks
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-09-09
                                  • 280

                                  #121
                                  you did say that CK regarding Boston which I took note of,Thanks. makes sence+$ Love When a good team has a couple bad ATS outings, then gamblers forget all about them, and start saying "They Screwed Me" etc... then they jump on Boston to late, Now The Question is when, will the oddmakers cath up?
                                  Comment
                                  • cocknocker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-06-08
                                    • 8001

                                    #122
                                    A reader asked me via private message what is the craziest thing that i ever wagered on. The craziest thing i ever wagered on is something I do all the time, which is a game called mound ball that involves MLB baseball, wherein after the final out of an inning, the umpire gets the ball from the catcher at home plate.He will then either change balls or use the same ball. Then the game begins. He will roll the ball back out to the mound. What we wager on is if the ball will stay on the mound or go over it or stop short of it. The umpires are really good at rolling the ball back to the mound and it sticks on the mound more often than not, but of course there are times when the ball rolls over the mound and ends up on the grass or goes off the side of the mound. It's a fun way to pass time in between innings at the Oakland A's games....We usually wager 5 bucks per roll... I know it's pathetic, stop the laughter...
                                    Comment
                                    • shoebox
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-26-08
                                      • 5710

                                      #123
                                      CK, 2.5 should be covered with ease, I dont mind all that chalk!!!!

                                      Three Hardwood plays


                                      Evansville +2
                                      Maryland -8
                                      Northern Illinois -4

                                      GL everyone have a good day!!
                                      Comment
                                      • cheesehead004
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-24-08
                                        • 715

                                        #124
                                        Well, when you're at an A's game, I cant really blame you for wanting to entertain yourself.
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #125
                                          mixpicks, it won't take long for the linemaker to catch up to the Celtics ways, believe that. But I just wanted to be in on the parade instead of deciding to take tem after they have reeled off 4 straight covers. I look at the schedules and look for opportunities for a team to get two or three covers per week, and i just ride them that week. I think according to my system, Houston is in for a big week next week, an I will ride them next week with the hopes that the stars continue to sit out, lol!
                                          Comment
                                          • nonsense48
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-15-08
                                            • 2927

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                            now your betting the pucks non?!
                                            not yet dex
                                            Comment
                                            • BevoStevo
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 12-23-08
                                              • 4

                                              #127
                                              I want to bet on one of the early cbb games. I like BC +2.5 and Creighton -1.5. Any of you cbb cappers have an opinion either way on these picks? Thanks in advance.
                                              Comment
                                              • africanroller
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-30-08
                                                • 936

                                                #128
                                                Locking in

                                                Illinois -7.5
                                                BC +2.5
                                                Penn St -2

                                                GL all
                                                Comment
                                                • joanapoker
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-09-08
                                                  • 2275

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                  joanapoker, I think it makes it a lot easier for the over to happen. There are 74% of bettors on the under, so it was bound to happen, but nothing about the Pacers playing the Spurs shows me that this game will go under.

                                                  Take the over.. you'll feel good afterwards.
                                                  Already locked $300 on the OVER 208 and another $300 riding Vandy pk

                                                  Thx CK
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cocknocker
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                    • 8001

                                                    #130
                                                    I'm taking Georgia Tech BIG! Naw let me stop. I'm not messing with y'all and that game. I just don't get what everybody sees in placing money on Boston College, but i guess that we'll find out later on tonight. I like JohnMorr's idea of taking a prop bet on Rice's points for the Eagles. That guy is their only chance of winning.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ManBearPig
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-04-08
                                                      • 2473

                                                      #131
                                                      I'm trying to narrow this down to 1. I can't make it to the casino by 4 so I won't make any of those games to play. I just wanted to play at last 1 college game today.

                                                      Here's what I got...kinda tough. Although I'm liking that duke play but worry about the backdoor and that S. Fl game worried me cuz the line has dropped huge with 80% on them. Any or none?

                                                      TT -10.5
                                                      South FL -5.5
                                                      Duke -19
                                                      Vandy +1.5
                                                      Penn St -2
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MindGames
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 01-20-09
                                                        • 94

                                                        #132
                                                        CK, I just signed up for this forum but have been following your threads for months now and really appreciate your write ups and tips. I just wanted to ask which sportsbook you would recommend me using for good service and easy payout methods. I am not very pleased with the one I am using right now. Also, I am a student at Tennessee so good luck with the Vandy game. We'll see which TN squad comes out tonight. GL everyone!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cheesehead004
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 715

                                                          #133
                                                          I took SAS/IND Under 210 for a pretty big play last night. I just dont see how there will be 210 points scored on San Antonio's home floor when they are playing a mediocre team. San Antonio is tired and on a slump, so I see them slowing the tempo of this game way down. I'm expecting San Antonio to take advantage of playing a mediocre shot-jacking team and win something like 103-85. Either I will be right and this game will go way under or I will be horribly wrong and this game will go way over. Everyone seems to love the over, so I see that as a good sign so far.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cocknocker
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-06-08
                                                            • 8001

                                                            #134
                                                            cheezee,

                                                            That's just here that everyone likes the over. According to the consensus nationwide, the majority is on the under by a count of 65-35%, just so you'll know
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cocknocker
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-06-08
                                                              • 8001

                                                              #135
                                                              MindGames,

                                                              I use Betus, Greek, and Linesmaker
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jakeandba
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-13-09
                                                                • 1033

                                                                #136
                                                                CK:
                                                                Yes when we go to the baseball game to watch those World Series Texas Rangers...we gamble the same way but we put the $$ in a cup and pass the cup around..when some1 wins..they just collect all the $$ in the cup and we start again...it is great b.c that game is easier to watch than those World Series Champs the Texas Rangers..lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #137
                                                                  jakeandba,

                                                                  Ah man don't hate on your team. The Rangers were my favorite team to take the over with last year. They have insane run production, and just as insanely bad pitching. Losing Bradley to the Cubs is gonna cut down on the production some, but he gets hurt too often because of the way he plays. I just hope that they continue to have the same combination of talent next year, both the good and the bad!

                                                                  MOUNDBALL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nonsense48
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-15-08
                                                                    • 2927

                                                                    #138
                                                                    i don't care much for the card this eve but as you all know, we can't let a day go by with no action or it wouldn't be a good day win or lose but we all need that fix. so here goes. locked as follows:nba:chi-4' indy/sa over 208' cbb:vandy+1 for a dime each. good luck everyone
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cs11787
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-26-08
                                                                      • 1088

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Hey Mixpicks,
                                                                      Technically Washington will not be a "B" play if you follow Johnmorr08. Him, along with myself and Im pretty sure CK, dismissed Washington from the series because we did not have much faith in them for the series. I think CK is playing Wash at Sac so technically that would be considered an "A" game since we skipped the first game and they still have 3 out of conference road games left. So the only "B" that we will be playing so far is Cleveland. Am I correct everyone?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hockeytown11
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                                        • 1102

                                                                        #140
                                                                        One more late play for me in pucks, I am going fairly big on over 6 in Atlanta/MonTREAL GAME,I see lots of NHL teams who arent going to play much defense with the all star break right in front of them,some teams are already mentally on break
                                                                        Comment
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