Formulawiz, I also see PHI as a play at -1.5. Did you get this?
New nba power rating system
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eanelsonSBR Hustler
- 12-23-08
- 86
#141Comment -
djpremier36SBR MVP
- 12-11-08
- 3479
#142PHI/NYK game.... i got 101(PR) - 97(PR) = 4 - 2(SPREAD) = 2..so no play unless spread goes to 1 or 1.5.Comment -
eanelsonSBR Hustler
- 12-23-08
- 86
#143Yeah, looks like it is back to -2 most places. No play on PHI.Comment -
larryacraigSBR Hustler
- 11-08-08
- 52
#144wow....hope this worksComment -
IrwinFletcherSBR Hustler
- 11-10-08
- 96
#145Why is Utah at Dal not a play?.. UT/102.5-DAL/100.5 = +2+5(spread) = 7Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#148It has nothing to do with a team being home. You can have a scenario where the away team has a lower PR then the home team and is laying pts. This does not happen too often but I have seen it. I should have explained this better originally.Comment -
MexicanStallionSBR Posting Legend
- 09-08-08
- 20429
#149What are the final plays now?Comment -
Plu$MoneyRestricted User
- 10-28-08
- 395
#150games are about to start, does anyone have the official plays??Comment -
gameday10SBR Wise Guy
- 01-16-09
- 601
#151portland -2.5
New Orleans -2.5
for the early games. I seen NO at -1 last night and almost took it. Decide to wait before game time and now it's -2.5.
edit: 1-0 for today with boston
edit: also like to add NO -3 is not play, if you get that.Comment -
Plu$MoneyRestricted User
- 10-28-08
- 395
#152thanks.. detroit is still having problems the hornets should be able to cover anywayComment -
Plu$MoneyRestricted User
- 10-28-08
- 395
#154this is my signature, it has absolutely nothing to do with your systems record... i'm tracking my picks not yoursComment -
MeestermikeSBR Sharp
- 11-21-06
- 329
#156
Above the record says from Jan 14th 3-3
Jan 15th had two plays that went 1-1 so now we're at 4-4. with me so far I hope.
Jan 16th we saw 8 plays that went 5-3 so after yesterday we're now at 9-7.
Magic has taken on a new meaning...
Thanks for the info on the line posting. That was kind of what I figured.
My bad on the interpretation of rule 3. I thought you were making that a hard and fast thing. It makes sense to keep track on the side and see how it plays out.
So as of now, the system is:
System Record:
Win 16
Loss 4
80.00%
Rule 3 Plays:
Win 0
Loss 1
00.00%Comment -
djpremier36SBR MVP
- 12-11-08
- 3479
#158Looking forward to Sunday, from my calculations...it looks like Miami is a play (+4.5 number equated).
It is a B2B game for Miami and OKC have been really good at home as well as excellent against the spread, so it is no "gimmie".
I feel the line will go up so... I broke rule #1 and am playing MIA at -1.5.Comment -
gameday10SBR Wise Guy
- 01-16-09
- 601
#159Looking forward to Sunday, from my calculations...it looks like Miami is a play (+4.5 number equated).
It is a B2B game for Miami and OKC have been really good at home as well as excellent against the spread, so it is no "gimmie".
I feel the line will go up so... I broke rule #1 and am playing MIA at -1.5.Comment -
gameday10SBR Wise Guy
- 01-16-09
- 601
#160Also, formulawiz if you could post the sheet for college bb for tomorrow that would be great. ThanksComment -
gameday10SBR Wise Guy
- 01-16-09
- 601
#161For the MIL game, the play was MIL -1. If you got them at +1, then you have a great book b/c at my book they were -1.
If you are using H/W PR, you should first calculate the difference no differently, then just add or subtract 3 based on whether the home or away team had the higher PR (add 3 for home team, subtract 3 for away team). That make sense.
As far as record, the system went 4-3 tonight. Wins were CLE, UTA, MIL, ORL. Losses were NY, TOR, ATL. The Wizards were a Rule 3 pick and they one. The records are:
System Record:
Win 21
Loss 8
72.49%
Rule 3 Plays:
Win 1
Loss 1
50.00%Comment -
eanelsonSBR Hustler
- 12-23-08
- 86
#1622-2 Today on system plays. Wins were BOS, NOH. Losses were MIL, POR.
1-1 on Rule 3 plays. Win was DAL. Loss was DEN.
System Record:
Win 23
Loss 9
71.88%
Rule 3 Plays:
Win 2
Loss 2
50.00%
To clear it up, since we have been tracking this system in this thread (1/14/09), the system is 10-7 according to my records. We get the 23-9 because Formulawiz wanted to count the previous 2 days on the system record (1/12, 1/11). I think 10-7 might be more accurate, but time will tell.Comment -
-*MeMpHiS*-SBR Rookie
- 01-15-09
- 18
#163I tested Friday night and went
6 wins
1 loss
it does work!Comment -
jcz889SBR Rookie
- 01-18-09
- 5
#164Hmm...10-7 doesn't sound too impressive, but 23-9 is not bad at all! And if Memphis' results are representative of the system....Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#165If you use the H/A PR's system instead of the OV PR system add 3 points to the home team. Thats the only difference. I always use the overall system and dont apply 3 pts for HCA. Lets not get confused here.Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#1662-2 Today on system plays. Wins were BOS, NOH. Losses were MIL, POR.
1-1 on Rule 3 plays. Win was DAL. Loss was DEN.
System Record:
Win 23
Loss 9
71.88%
Rule 3 Plays:
Win 2
Loss 2
50.00%
To clear it up, since we have been tracking this system in this thread (1/14/09), the system is 10-7 according to my records. We get the 23-9 because Formulawiz wanted to count the previous 2 days on the system record (1/12, 1/11). I think 10-7 might be more accurate, but time will tell.Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#168college hoops pr chart
Guys its just too much work. You can imagine the task I had today entering the college hoops schedule, scores and odds from yesterday. Thats why its important to get the NBA spreadsheet automated first and then work on the college spreadsheet.
To make things easier for me just go to sportrends following link and the PR chart is already there. Remember add 3 points to home team and the rules are the same. By the way I went 4-2 yesterday in college hoops. The system worked real nice. I believe rule #3 plays split and there were alot of them.
Also forgot to mention be careful with the # of games a team has at home or away. You need at least 2 to 3 games played. In other words dont take a team with only 1 road game if they are playing on the road today.
Comment -
MeestermikeSBR Sharp
- 11-21-06
- 329
#169Guys its just too much work. You can imagine the task I had today entering the college hoops schedule, scores and odds from yesterday. Thats why its important to get the NBA spreadsheet automated first and then work on the college spreadsheet.
To make things easier for me just go to sportrends following link and the PR chart is already there. Remember add 3 points to home team and the rules are the same. By the way I went 4-2 yesterday in college hoops. The system worked real nice. I believe rule #3 plays split and there were alot of them.
Also forgot to mention be careful with the # of games a team has at home or away. You need at least 2 to 3 games played. In other words dont take a team with only 1 road game if they are playing on the road today.
http://www.sportrends.com/team_pr_cbb.htm
Thanks again to both yourself and eanelson for all your hard work on these sheets.Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#170Just want to ay a huge thank you to you F-wiz. This is very time consuming to say the least. Enjoy your day and we'll get this thing moving along as well and as soon as is humanly possible. We need to keep in mind that this PR rating is one of many tools for handicapping and the forum members must realize we do not do this as a service or as a job full time. I enjoy new ideas and learning how to tweak things. This is a hobby for me and it will remain that.
Thanks again to both yourself and eanelson for all your hard work on these sheets.Comment -
FormulawizRestricted User
- 01-12-09
- 1589
#171Todays NBA plays
Watch out. MIA fell into rule#3. OKL is now a 1 pt Fav.
therefore no play today unless it goes to pickem.Comment -
curiousRestricted User
- 07-20-07
- 9093
#172What is a good source for the closing line the day before?
I can get the current line from lots of places but having trouble finding the closing line from the day before.
CuriousComment -
MeestermikeSBR Sharp
- 11-21-06
- 329
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eanelsonSBR Hustler
- 12-23-08
- 86
#175System plays were 0-0 today.
Rule 3 plays were 0-1. Loss was on OKC.
System Record:
Win 23
Loss 9
71.88%
Rule 3 Plays:
Win 2
Loss 3
40.00%Comment
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