Miami is coming off of a blowout loss to an up and coming team the Grizzlies last night 102-86, which was an ats shocker. In town come the Milwaukee Bucks fresh off a blowout win over the road weary and tired Pacers 121-103. The Heat will look to atone for the loss by beating the Bucks, a team that they own at home to the tune of 4-1 straight up and 4-1 ats. The Bucks have played a zillion games on the road, came home to play one, and now are back on the road again. I have the Heat as 6.5 point favorite in this game, with a total of 200, although their actual usual scores are 190.5. The under has cashed 2 out of the last 5 games between these two so a play for the over may be a light option for totals players.
Miami-6.5 (projected. if so buy a point and play it at 5.5)
Mike D'Antoni comes back into town seeing only a shell of the team that he left in the offseason. New York is playing well with 5 straight ats covers for their backers. It's hard to do 6, as adjustmets will be made by the linemaker. Gone are Raja Bell and Boris Diaw courtesy of the trade with the Bobcats. Shawn Marion is also gone now. This game features the comeback of Shaq from personal leave, and with David Lee being the New York center and having the dimensions of only 6'9" and 240 lbs facing the sheer girth of Shaq 7'1" 325 lbs, one gets the vision of someone playing in the backyard against their big brother. There is nothing that David Lee can do to stop Shaq from getting to any position on the floor that he wants to get to. With the infusion of Richardson, the Suns have suddenly gotten faster, and he is a dynamic finisher around the basket. Grant Hill has to pla more minutes now, which also means that the Suns play smarter. I think that Amare Stoudamire will go for 25 and 8 rebounds. new York is coming off of a blowout win over Sacramento. they won't have long to enjoy it. I had Phoenix pegged as a 10.5 favorite for this game, so the linemakers line is a little better than thought. I'll take the chalk in this one. the SUns should show teir old coach that they can still play. You know they want to beat him badly after leaving out of town so abruptly. Shaq feels that D'Antoni left because of his presence on the team messing with the chemistry that he had going for it.
Phoenix-9.5 lay the chalk
Okay Dallas looks to be in trouble in this game. They are the media darlings and have been playing well as of late, although I would discount the win over the Warriors, as they are pathetic in comparison to teams from the Bay Area of the past. The Nuggets have become too dependent upon Carmeo's scoring lately and the other players on the team are starting to grumble a bit, but they are putting on a mask of coolness. it ain't cool. The Mavs barely squeaked by the Thunder peeking ahead on their schedule at this game. They won't take the Nuggets lightly in this matchup. According to my rescoring model, i had the Mavs favored by 9, so with a line of 2, it is obvious that the linemaker is giving Denver more respect than they deserve in this game. The mavs are 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ats in games at home against the Nuggets and have revenge working on theirside in this game as they dropped a squeaker to the Nuggets in November 108-105. Dallas spreads against the Nuggets at home have been 8.5 or more the last 4 times that they have faced the Nuggets at home. The Mavs are 1-5 ats coming in and Denver has alternated ats wins and losses their last 5 games, covering in their last game against the lowly Warriors. I look for the Mavs to get it done Monday night and cover the short number against the Nuggets.
As a light option, I favor the under in this game as the Nuggets and Mavs have average over/unders of 209.5 and actual game scores of 198.5 which explains why they have gone under 3 out of the last 5 games in Texas.
Mavs-1.5 (of course buy a hook to get under the key number)
In NFL Football
Pass, No play for me... The Browns don't score points. The Eagles are known for playing down to the level of their competition. I'm not touching this one.
Miami-6.5 (projected. if so buy a point and play it at 5.5)
Mike D'Antoni comes back into town seeing only a shell of the team that he left in the offseason. New York is playing well with 5 straight ats covers for their backers. It's hard to do 6, as adjustmets will be made by the linemaker. Gone are Raja Bell and Boris Diaw courtesy of the trade with the Bobcats. Shawn Marion is also gone now. This game features the comeback of Shaq from personal leave, and with David Lee being the New York center and having the dimensions of only 6'9" and 240 lbs facing the sheer girth of Shaq 7'1" 325 lbs, one gets the vision of someone playing in the backyard against their big brother. There is nothing that David Lee can do to stop Shaq from getting to any position on the floor that he wants to get to. With the infusion of Richardson, the Suns have suddenly gotten faster, and he is a dynamic finisher around the basket. Grant Hill has to pla more minutes now, which also means that the Suns play smarter. I think that Amare Stoudamire will go for 25 and 8 rebounds. new York is coming off of a blowout win over Sacramento. they won't have long to enjoy it. I had Phoenix pegged as a 10.5 favorite for this game, so the linemakers line is a little better than thought. I'll take the chalk in this one. the SUns should show teir old coach that they can still play. You know they want to beat him badly after leaving out of town so abruptly. Shaq feels that D'Antoni left because of his presence on the team messing with the chemistry that he had going for it.
Phoenix-9.5 lay the chalk
Okay Dallas looks to be in trouble in this game. They are the media darlings and have been playing well as of late, although I would discount the win over the Warriors, as they are pathetic in comparison to teams from the Bay Area of the past. The Nuggets have become too dependent upon Carmeo's scoring lately and the other players on the team are starting to grumble a bit, but they are putting on a mask of coolness. it ain't cool. The Mavs barely squeaked by the Thunder peeking ahead on their schedule at this game. They won't take the Nuggets lightly in this matchup. According to my rescoring model, i had the Mavs favored by 9, so with a line of 2, it is obvious that the linemaker is giving Denver more respect than they deserve in this game. The mavs are 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ats in games at home against the Nuggets and have revenge working on theirside in this game as they dropped a squeaker to the Nuggets in November 108-105. Dallas spreads against the Nuggets at home have been 8.5 or more the last 4 times that they have faced the Nuggets at home. The Mavs are 1-5 ats coming in and Denver has alternated ats wins and losses their last 5 games, covering in their last game against the lowly Warriors. I look for the Mavs to get it done Monday night and cover the short number against the Nuggets.
As a light option, I favor the under in this game as the Nuggets and Mavs have average over/unders of 209.5 and actual game scores of 198.5 which explains why they have gone under 3 out of the last 5 games in Texas.
Mavs-1.5 (of course buy a hook to get under the key number)
In NFL Football
Pass, No play for me... The Browns don't score points. The Eagles are known for playing down to the level of their competition. I'm not touching this one.
