NBA Road Favorites system

[leo2302]

Now that we have a better idea of who the better teams are, I will be posting daily plays. Feel free to tag along for a nice profit. This is the system that I found a few years ago and has done pretty well:

Bet on road favorites (with at least a 16% higher win percentage than their opponents, added to which is over .500, unless opponents are horrible [winning percentage of .300 or less]) ATS in the 1st quarter. If they fail to cover in the 1st quarter, double your wager in the 2nd half.If that fails to cover, take the loss.


Monday's bets:

SAN ANTONIO 1Q -2


-----------------------
1Q: 0-0
2nd HALF: 0-0
YTD: 0-0
UNITS: 0

[leo2302]

easy W in the 1st Q!

[laca07]

Interesting stuff, will keep an eye on this.

[Dom177]

Any results that you've kept of it? Sounds pretty interesting

[leo2302]

Any results that you've kept of it? Sounds pretty interesting

Unfortunately, I don't have results from previous seasons, as I played the system on and off (always with success though). I figured if I posted here, it would give me a reason to track all plays as well as help other people out.

Looking forward to making some $$

[leo2302]

One play today:

Phoenix Suns 1Q -½

-----------------------
1Q: 1-0
2nd HALF: 0-0
YTD: 1-0
UNITS: 1

[laca07]

Tailing with low $, let's see how things go. BOL.

[Dom177]

I'll be watching! Good luck

[leo2302]

another easy W in the 1Q!

[laca07]

Right on, congrats again.

[leo2302]

3 plays today:

Portland Trailblazers 1st Quarter -½ vs Washington Wizards
San Antonio Spurs 1st Quarter -2 vs Orlando Magic
Utah Jazz 1st Quarter -½ vs New Orleans Hornets

-----------------------
1Q: 2-0
2nd HALF: 0-0
YTD: 2-0
UNITS: +2

[jooshoowa]

how come the knicks -.5 doesn't fit with your system?

[laca07]

Knicks winning %: 69
Bucks winning %: 58
Diff: 11%, which is <16%

leo can correct me if i'm wrong.

[jooshoowa]

oh okay. thanks a lot man! been tailing since day 1. BOL

[leo2302]

Knicks winning %: 69
Bucks winning %: 58
Diff: 11%, which is <16%

leo can correct me if i'm wrong.

I think you answered your own question

"Bet on road favorites (with at least a 16% higher win percentage than their opponents)"
the differential is only 11%. Needs to be AT LEAST 16%

[dante1]

4-0 correct?

[sbrhgary]

Your system is working very well. Cheers.

[leo2302]

Utah Jazz 2nd Half -1½*

[16johnnymac]

Nice job ill be tailing tomorrow !! $$ in the Bank bro yeah

QUOTE=leo2302;16935838]I think you answered your own question

"Bet on road favorites (with at least a 16% higher win percentage than their opponents)"
the differential is only 11%. Needs to be AT LEAST 16%[/QUOTE]

[16johnnymac]

So if not less can u play the other team ?

[sbrhgary]

Double down on Utah 2nd half following your system. Your system is awesome.

[leo2302]

So if not less can u play the other team ?

Unfortunately, I don't think it works that way. Or at least I haven't kept track of those plays. No games today, but have a beer with the winnings from yesterday!

-----------------------
1Q: 4-1
2nd HALF: 1-0
YTD: 5-0
UNITS: +5

[StephenSmith]

Unfortunately, I don't think it works that way. Or at least I haven't kept track of those plays. No games today, but have a beer with the winnings from yesterday!

-----------------------
1Q: 4-1
2nd HALF: 1-0
YTD: 5-0
UNITS: +5

This is very interesting. Seems to be working out nicely, will tail tomorrow..no plays today, correct?

[thunderous]

Interesting...will have to follow this

[16johnnymac]

great action Great Job lets get it going keep up the money breaking books lol QUOTE=leo2302;16944766]Unfortunately, I don't think it works that way. Or at least I haven't kept track of those plays. No games today, but have a beer with the winnings from yesterday!

-----------------------
1Q: 4-1
2nd HALF: 1-0
YTD: 5-0
UNITS: +5[/QUOTE]

[leo2302]

This is very interesting. Seems to be working out nicely, will tail tomorrow..no plays today, correct?

Correct... we're off today, but Friday we should have a few plays:
PHX
BKN
DEN

Will have to wait to see if they are road favorites first though. Enjoy your Thursday everyone!

[leo2302]

Not sure what I was smoking yesterday... DEN not a play, and PHX is not a road favorite, so we'll have to pass on that one. Here are Friday's plays:

Brooklyn Nets 1st Quarter -1
Indiana Pacers 1st Quarter -½

Good luck everyone!


-----------------------
1Q: 4-1
2nd HALF: 1-0
YTD: 5-0
UNITS: +5

[uncynd]

Nice idea! Do you factor in much for injuries? Keep up the good work man, awesome.

[leo2302]

Nice idea! Do you factor in much for injuries? Keep up the good work man, awesome.

I think that's why we only take road favorites. But yes, I'll stay away if a key player gets injured.

[professorzu]

Looks like 5-1 now with the Nets covering.

[sbrhgary]

Pacers are locked 1st qtr. You are awesome!

[brigade125]

great day... glad i saw your thread today..

[16johnnymac]

Way to go ill loading more units tomorrow you have a nice system keep up the good work

[leo2302]

Awesome night last night with two 1Q wins. Only one play today:


Oklahoma City Thunder* -2 1Q



-----------------------
1Q: 6-1
2nd HALF: 1-0
YTD: 7-0
UNITS: +7

[laca07]

And another one bites the dust. I know the second I up the units I'm putting on these things will not end well...