nba chase 12/13

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  • Steeler65
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-15-13
    • 43

    #3886
    Originally posted by Stifler
    records:
    S1: W 52 | L 2 (+15,10 units)
    S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
    S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
    S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
    additional: -1,10 units Den fade

    pending:
    - S1 Sac fade, B Bet on 09.02.2013
    - S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
    - S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
    - S1 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
    - S3 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013

    ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

    all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586



    I was wondering how come in your S2 series, you have a 25-2 record but show a negative unit amount.
    Comment
    • Stifler
      SBR MVP
      • 11-11-09
      • 3511

      #3887
      Originally posted by Kababayan
      I was also curious how the 4th quarter system is doing. Would someone mind please restating what the 4th quarter system is. Is it following a team to cover each quarter during live better? Thank you.
      post #1213 page 35
      Comment
      • Kababayan
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-19-10
        • 193

        #3888
        Originally posted by Stifler
        post #1213 page 35
        Thanks Stifler
        Comment
        • olmec
          SBR Hustler
          • 11-30-12
          • 50

          #3889
          Hi Stifler, Just a little question: we will go on take Pacers 2u also B,C,D bets? or will we accept 1u lost and go on with normal B,C,D?
          Comment
          • Grinder12000
            SBR MVP
            • 04-21-11
            • 1809

            #3890
            I was wondering how come in your S2 series, you have a 25-2 record but show a negative unit amount.
            When a chase loses the TOTAL units loss is 18.45.

            Thus 25 - (2*18.45) = -11.90

            If you look at wagering this way - I don't.

            Once a bet has been lost you never get that back - move on. So yea, INSIDE the structure you can pretend you have not lost any units yet but in reality, those games are gone. Move on, raise your bets and win the next one.


            NOTE - I gotta say - I'm a little disappointed Stifler. With only 8 games on Wallco's NHL chase today I was hoping for a big ticket here so we could REALLY have some fun tonight!
            Comment
            • jimmy007oc
              SBR MVP
              • 08-25-10
              • 1699

              #3891
              Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
              Do you know where 4th quarter system stands currently? Last I heard it was hitting at an amazing rate like 75% SU. Its no wonder you can bet props or whatever that a team doesn't win all 4 quarters at like -1000.
              Heat- Clippers game 4Q opened at + 22. which was tie bet. For 4Q system bet, I based on Stiffer's theory, but I added one condition which is wait for a line till the first TO in 4Q. cuz team usually let their stater play around first 4 mins in 4Q. I'll double my bet if the winning team get b2b schedule.
              btw, since i first saw Sitffer' post abt this system, im 19-1 -_- The only game I lost was Spurs against some shitty team. Spurs cover all 4Q
              Comment
              • parlay100
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-23-09
                • 117

                #3892
                Originally posted by Stifler
                OFFTOPIC

                I already mentioned a nice 4Q system for single betting. This system thread was posted last year on this forum but somehow didnt get updated later in the season. I really really like this system and would like to play it myself. Problem is those nba games are too late to follow them live.

                rules:

                - whenever a team wins the first 3 quarters and heading into the 4Q with a lead of atleast 10 points fade them on the spread in the 4Q (a point differential of 10 will also qualify for the system)
                - the team has to win every single of the previous 3 quarter


                This system was well above 60% as long asit was posted last year. Ive backtested this system for this year by using the sbr historical lines on 4Q for bet365. Thing is those lines are no live lines right after the 3rd quarter, still i think its close to a realistic number. This year this system sits at 35-15-1 (lines from sbr). I could bite myself for not being able to play this system. If anyone can get instant 4Q lines right after the 3rd quarter and is willing to play or track it i would like to see the record for actual real lines.

                4Q historical numbers can be found here, but as i said those lines are no live lines unfortunately:

                http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds...?date=20121210


                Stiff Man,
                What book do you use for live betting all games in the 4th?
                Comment
                • Ceebizcut
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 02-07-13
                  • 17

                  #3893
                  So this means if
                  OKC and Chicago are playing
                  OKC wins the 1st Q
                  Second Q
                  3rd Q
                  And is going into the 4th Q 92-80
                  Bet Chicago to win the 4th?
                  Comment
                  • jimmy007oc
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-25-10
                    • 1699

                    #3894
                    IF it was 92-80, i wouldnt bet Chicago 4Q, since it wasnt a blow out game. It has to be up around 20+
                    Comment
                    • Ceebizcut
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 02-07-13
                      • 17

                      #3895
                      Originally posted by jimmy007oc
                      IF it was 92-80, i wouldnt bet Chicago 4Q, since it wasnt a blow out game. It has to be up around 20+
                      Ohh, but you bet the team thats down, because in theory the other teams going to stop trying?
                      Comment
                      • dlunc3
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-31-09
                        • 9129

                        #3896
                        Here is a link to last yrs thread:

                        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                        Comment
                        • Stifler
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-11-09
                          • 3511

                          #3897
                          - Cleveland line added.

                          09.02.2013


                          S1

                          (B Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u

                          S2

                          (A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +6 1,10u

                          S4

                          (A Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u



                          ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                          all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                          Comment
                          • Stifler
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-11-09
                            • 3511

                            #3898
                            Originally posted by Ceebizcut
                            So this means if
                            OKC and Chicago are playing
                            OKC wins the 1st Q
                            Second Q
                            3rd Q
                            And is going into the 4th Q 92-80
                            Bet Chicago to win the 4th?
                            if OKC wins the first 3 quarter and is up 10 or more points going into the 4th ur going to fade them. Means ur playing Chicago.

                            Stiff Man,
                            What book do you use for live betting all games in the 4th?
                            im not playing this system yet. NBA time= night time in germany, so hard to follow live. I would go with pinnacle or bet365, bet365 offers 4Q bets, pinnacle live spreads.
                            Last edited by Stifler; 02-09-13, 03:02 PM.
                            Comment
                            • Grinder12000
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-21-11
                              • 1809

                              #3899
                              Off Topic here - about NFL handicapping and why you might as well play the slots because there is no skill in it. LOL

                              I disagree.



                              When football season comes around remind me to post Bridgejumper - 21 years and I'm 541-372 59.2% ATS
                              Last edited by Grinder12000; 02-09-13, 03:29 PM.
                              Comment
                              • Nino7
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-11-09
                                • 798

                                #3900
                                Stifler,if you ever think of a solution to be able to play the 4th Q system at night I'm interested since I'm in europe also.
                                Comment
                                • Huego
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-23-11
                                  • 265

                                  #3901
                                  Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                  Off Topic here - about NFL handicapping and why you might as well play the slots because there is no skill in it. LOL

                                  I disagree.



                                  When football season comes around remind me to post Bridgejumper - 21 years and I'm 541-372 59.2% ATS
                                  I'll try to remember you when NFL season comes around. I've been very profitable past two NFL seasons betting mostly teasers and team totals.
                                  Comment
                                  • GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-13-12
                                    • 8428

                                    #3902
                                    Hey Stifler your on American Pie 2 on Bravo CST

                                    Heya Stiff,

                                    How's your mom doing????

                                    Love American Pie and American Pie 2!!
                                    Comment
                                    • itsjhurley
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 11-09-12
                                      • 43

                                      #3903
                                      It's crazy how this thread is really quiet today
                                      Comment
                                      • abzflabz
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-04-12
                                        • 195

                                        #3904
                                        Bad day at the office. Erbody be chillin takn the night off ready for tomoro
                                        Comment
                                        • gamewinninglv
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-18-12
                                          • 207

                                          #3905
                                          Happy Chinese New Year to those who celebrates it !!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Stifler
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-11-09
                                            • 3511

                                            #3906
                                            Originally posted by olmec
                                            Hi Stifler, Just a little question: we will go on take Pacers 2u also B,C,D bets? or will we accept 1u lost and go on with normal B,C,D?
                                            Still thinking about this...will make my decision tomorrow when the B bet starts. I still like the series tbh.
                                            Comment
                                            • Stifler
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-09
                                              • 3511

                                              #3907
                                              Originally posted by Stifler

                                              09.02.2013


                                              S1

                                              (B Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u

                                              S2

                                              (A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +6 1,10u

                                              S4

                                              (A Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u
                                              records:
                                              S1: W 52 | L 2 (+15,10 units)
                                              S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
                                              S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
                                              S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
                                              additional: -1,10 units Den fade

                                              pending:
                                              - S1 Sac fade, C Bet on 10.02.2013
                                              - S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
                                              - S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
                                              - S1 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
                                              - S3 Ind, B Bet on 11.02.2013
                                              - S2 Cle, B Bet on 11.02.2013
                                              - S4 Sac fade, B Bet on 10.02.2013

                                              ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                              all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                              Comment
                                              • Stifler
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-11-09
                                                • 3511

                                                #3908
                                                10.02.2013

                                                S1

                                                (C Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u | Houston - waiting on line movement
                                                (A Bet) Bos: Boston - waiting on line movement

                                                S4

                                                (B Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Houston - waiting on line movement
                                                (A Bet) Tor fade: New Orleans +4,5 1,10u


                                                ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                                all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                                Comment
                                                • Steeler65
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-15-13
                                                  • 43

                                                  #3909
                                                  Anybody have a updated spreadsheet to share so I could follow like the one Degengamble shared back in post 40 something?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stifler
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                    • 3511

                                                    #3910
                                                    - Boston line added.

                                                    10.02.2013


                                                    S1

                                                    (C Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u | Houston - waiting on line movement
                                                    (A Bet) Bos: Boston -2 1,10u

                                                    S4

                                                    (B Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Houston - waiting on line movement
                                                    (A Bet) Tor fade: New Orleans +4,5 1,10u


                                                    ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                                    all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stifler
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-11-09
                                                      • 3511

                                                      #3911
                                                      - Houston line added.

                                                      10.02.2013


                                                      S1

                                                      (C Bet) Sac fade: Utah - 8 1,10u | Utah +1,5 2,31u | Houston -6 4,85u
                                                      (A Bet) Bos: Boston -2 1,10u

                                                      S4

                                                      (B Bet) Sac fade: Utah +1,5 1,10u | Houston -6 2,31u
                                                      (A Bet) Tor fade: New Orleans +4,5 1,10u


                                                      ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                                      all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                                      Comment
                                                      • J.M. Disciple
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-16-10
                                                        • 5154

                                                        #3912
                                                        Someone want to help put together the 4th quarter history from this season? This is what I have so far (includes preseason). We can break it down or split it up by months. Ill work on NOV now. I do not know the live lines though, that would definitely be the biggest help.

                                                        OCT 9th, CLE
                                                        OCT 10th IND
                                                        OCT 12TH NOH
                                                        OCT 13TH DET
                                                        OCT 14TH MIA
                                                        OCT 15TH BOS
                                                        OCT 16TH MIL
                                                        OCT 16TH CHA
                                                        OCT 16TH LAL
                                                        OCT 18TH DET
                                                        OCT 19TH IND
                                                        OCT 20TH DAL
                                                        OCT 20TH LAC
                                                        OCT 22ND GSW
                                                        OCT 23RD CLE
                                                        OCT 24TH DAL
                                                        OCT 25TH DEN
                                                        OCT 26TH ORL
                                                        OCT 26TH ATL
                                                        OCT 26TH DEN
                                                        OCT 26TH MIL
                                                        OCT 30TH WAS
                                                        OCT 30TH BOS
                                                        OCT 31ST LAL
                                                        OCT 31ST DEN
                                                        OCT 31ST SAC
                                                        NOV 2ND BOS
                                                        NOV 2ND CLE
                                                        NOV 2ND POR
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stifler
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-11-09
                                                          • 3511

                                                          #3913
                                                          since 10.12.2012, record before was 35-15-1 (backtested lines)

                                                          team listed is always the team that should have been played:

                                                          10.12 Char
                                                          14.12 Wash
                                                          14.12 GS
                                                          15.12 Wash
                                                          16.12 NO
                                                          16.12 Phil
                                                          16 Sac
                                                          17 SA
                                                          19 Utah
                                                          19 Wash
                                                          19 Cle
                                                          19 Char
                                                          19 NO
                                                          20 Dal
                                                          21 NYK
                                                          21 Wash
                                                          21 Char
                                                          22 Utah
                                                          22 Mem
                                                          22 Char
                                                          23 Dal
                                                          23 Phoe
                                                          25 Chic
                                                          26 Tor
                                                          26 Utah
                                                          26 Sac
                                                          27 Bos
                                                          28 Port
                                                          29 Hou
                                                          02.01.2013 LAC
                                                          02 Orl
                                                          02 Port
                                                          04 Phil
                                                          04 LAL
                                                          05 Min
                                                          05 Phil
                                                          05 GS
                                                          09 Atl
                                                          09 LAL
                                                          10 Dal
                                                          11 Char
                                                          11 Hou
                                                          11 NYK
                                                          12 Mem
                                                          12 Sac
                                                          14 Atl
                                                          14 Mem
                                                          14 Min
                                                          14 Mia
                                                          15 Char
                                                          16 Brook
                                                          16 Den
                                                          16 GS
                                                          18 Sac
                                                          19 Cle
                                                          20 Orl
                                                          22 Orl
                                                          23 LAC
                                                          23 Wash
                                                          25 Dal
                                                          25 Min
                                                          26 NYK
                                                          26 Sac
                                                          28 Utah
                                                          30 Char
                                                          01.02 LAC
                                                          01 Mia
                                                          01 Orl
                                                          02 Sac
                                                          04 Min
                                                          04 Dal
                                                          05 GS
                                                          06 Char
                                                          06 Mem
                                                          07 LAL
                                                          08 SA
                                                          08 LAC
                                                          08 Port
                                                          09 Utah
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr.Bushido
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 11-30-08
                                                            • 338

                                                            #3914
                                                            nice Terry.lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • John Deere
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-19-11
                                                              • 581

                                                              #3915
                                                              hahaha sick cover. (Boston game)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • abzflabz
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-04-12
                                                                • 195

                                                                #3916
                                                                lets go rocketsssssssssssss
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Grinder12000
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-21-11
                                                                  • 1809

                                                                  #3917
                                                                  I gotta buy another red pen!

                                                                  Between Wallco and Stiffler I've won 8 out of the last 32 games! hmmmm What kind of wagering system can make a winner out of 25% LOL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • illisdre
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 06-22-12
                                                                    • 360

                                                                    #3918
                                                                    Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                                    I gotta buy another red pen!

                                                                    Between Wallco and Stiffler I've won 8 out of the last 32 games! hmmmm What kind of wagering system can make a winner out of 25% LOL
                                                                    atleast with stiflers system its not 30 units to win one.
                                                                    and at +1.5 odds of -200 .. isnt that supposed to mean you win half of the time atleast... hockey is more messed than basketball.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cubfan2121
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                                      • 188

                                                                      #3919
                                                                      Originally posted by abzflabz
                                                                      lets go rocketsssssssssssss
                                                                      rockets up by 10 with 5 min left
                                                                      they are going to lose outright

                                                                      brutal
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Askii
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 01-25-13
                                                                        • 45

                                                                        #3920
                                                                        Anyone has the standing of each play? Just for example.
                                                                        EX:
                                                                        S1-A 6-4
                                                                        S1-B 8-8
                                                                        S1-C 5-7
                                                                        S1-D 2-2

                                                                        Just asking thanks. S1 to S4 would be great.
                                                                        Comment
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