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Gambling god.Comment -
Cheers boys, feels great when you nail a game like that. Had an outstanding run in football (soccer) this year, has actually been my best sport from an ROI point of view. Had this crazy run earlier in the year at the African Cup of Nations where I went 9-0 through that tournament. Anyway enough boasting, the real reason I dropped in was to mention that I very much like this week's NRL card (not so much the AFL games) and have my eye on a couple of very solid total's and some live dogs. Probably post tonight after teams are announced...
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Back with a bang. Hitting both 2 unit plays quite easily. Detroit Tigers took an early 4-0 lead after the 2nd innings and it was basically cruise control against the poor Whitesox as mentioned in pre game write up. Match finished 6-2. Marlins v Colorado finished way under the 9.5 total finishing 2-1 in favor of the Rockies. Unfortunately Seattle didnt turn up today and got a 8-1 beating, thats what happens when you bet on these average teams in the MLB, can be unpredictable.
MLB for the day: 2W - 1L
Profit: +2.2 Units
MLB TOTAL: 8W - 5L
Profit: +3.52 Units
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Im leaning with the wests/eagles total over 40.5 , but cant wait for your post. Been tailing a few of the soccer boys this week, very solidCheers boys, feels great when you nail a game like that. Had an outstanding run in football (soccer) this year, has actually been my best sport from an ROI point of view. Had this crazy run earlier in the year at the African Cup of Nations where I went 9-0 through that tournament. Anyway enough boasting, the real reason I dropped in was to mention that I very much like this week's NRL card (not so much the AFL games) and have my eye on a couple of very solid total's and some live dogs. Probably post tonight after teams are announced...
work in their threads.Comment -
Was pleasantly surprised after checking the score for the Detroit game soon after the start of play. Easy winner. Good work!Comment -
Boxing
*2.85 Lucas Browne (v Travis Walker)
$1.35, -285 Centrebet/Sportingbet (Risking 2.85 units to win 1)
Big Daddy a monster KO artist, undefeated (16-0 with 15 KO) and coming into his prime, he is the #1 ranked Australian heavweight (World ranked #30), and fighting a late replacement in another giant - American Travis Walker who is #23 ranked American heavyweight (World ranked #66). Browne’s last fight was a UD win over none other than James “lights out” Toney, albeit a well past his prime Toney. Walker a solid journeyman with a 39-10 record, but coming into this fight as a late replacement off the back of 3 straight losses is not exactly ideal preparation to fight Browne in his own backyard, plus his stamina is crap. Walker will come out hard for the first couple of rounds and then probably gas (if he lasts that long). Browne back in Australia after a successful stint fighting under Ricky Hatton promotions. Browne should be $1.25 for mine. Easy money.Comment -
I'm on it Sando! What time is the match?
got it - 630pm AEDTComment -
Walker has been pounded at Sportingbet, which is why you're getting such a good line on Browne. He was $3.50 this morning there.... i think he probably loses though - should be jet lagged as penetrate and he's never been the fittest (as you said) either. Punchers chance and thats about it.
You could have arbed it at 5dimes (OTB) but it was $4.30.
Rohan: not sure why it goes OTB in 20 minutes. Coverage on foxsports doesn't start until 8EST, so the Browne fight won't be until at least 9:30, probably more like 9:45.
I've also had a nibble on Jake Carr at $2.30. Massive step up for him, but impressed by his highlights and interviews. Kid is good.
edit: most books don't look like they've moved it off the $1.25ish.Comment -
My god, it's so sad seeing that Toney fight.Boxing
*2.85 Lucas Browne (v Travis Walker)
$1.35, -285 Centrebet/Sportingbet (Risking 2.85 units to win 1)
Big Daddy a monster KO artist, undefeated (16-0 with 15 KO) and coming into his prime, he is the #1 ranked Australian heavweight (World ranked #30), and fighting a late replacement in another giant - American Travis Walker who is #23 ranked American heavyweight (World ranked #66). Browne’s last fight was a UD win over none other than James “lights out” Toney, albeit a well past his prime Toney. Walker a solid journeyman with a 39-10 record, but coming into this fight as a late replacement off the back of 3 straight losses is not exactly ideal preparation to fight Browne in his own backyard, plus his stamina is crap. Walker will come out hard for the first couple of rounds and then probably gas (if he lasts that long). Browne back in Australia after a successful stint fighting under Ricky Hatton promotions. Browne should be $1.25 for mine. Easy money.
Walker's only chance in this fight is to win by KO and I don't know how good Browne's chin is. He's really not that good IMO.
Walker might not be the guy to beat him... but Browne's time will come.
Hell... Shane Cameron might even be able to beat him. Tua, if in shape and mentally right, could murder him.....Comment -
NRL – Friday Night Football
Eels @ Bulldogs
The Eels are the worst team to bet on in the NRL throughout the last 3 seasons (backing the Eels for $100 on the m/l every game would have resulted in a total loss of -$2403).<o
</o
25-37 ATS (Worst in NRL)
15-47 head to head (Worst in NRL)
4-34 (Away Record) with an astonishing 9-29 ATS
1-27 H2H and 5-23 ATS (Away games in NSW) Hard to believe right? They actually have a better record on interstate away game than they do in NSW.
When getting a start of 10+ in NSW Away games, the Eels are 0-5, both H2H and ATS.
The Bulldogs are basically at full strength this week, welcoming back J-Moz, Kasiano and Frank “the Tank” Pritchard, 3 massive in’s. They are well rested coming off the bye and in their last match they destroyed last season’s premiers 39-0, (albeit a depleted Melbourne side).
Big home favourites coming off a bye have covered ATS in six of 10 matches since 2009
Teams who scored 30+ points at their last start and go in as big home favourite (10+) cover 62.5% ATS since 2009
Last 5 @ ANZ stadium (Eels v Bulldogs) – 5 wins for the ‘doggies by an average of 16ppg.
The Eels 0-11 H2H and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 matches overall at ANZ stadium, with an astonishing average losing margin of 26ppg.
Conclusion – The Eels are absolutely horrible away from Parra stadium and in particular at ANZ stadium. These are some of the most damning stats I have ever seen in NRL. I smell carnage. Bulldog’s by lots.
2.5* Bulldogs -20 ($1.92 Sportsbet)
Bronco’s @ Cowboys
QLD may have won the State of Origin however I cannot hide my joy that no QLD teams will feature in the finals this year. The Titans are an outside chance, however the 2 QLD glamour clubs – the Cowboys and Broncos have both been very poor this year, with the Cowboys easily being the biggest disappointment of the season. So this traditional grudge match doesn’t carry anywhere near the hype of recent years and is more about pride (and also both coaches trying to keep their respective job’s) than anything else. Griffin doesn’t seem to want his job as he has made a bunch of just bizzare selection moves, dumping Corey Norman, dropping Wallace to the bench, and switching around the entire ¾ line – WTF? The Bronco’s are 2-13 with the man who replaces Wallace in the halves (Ben Hunt). The only smart move he has made is moving (the league's most overrated player) - Sam Thaiday back into the second row where he belongs. The Bronco’s could really use injured stars Reed and Yow Yeh back in their ¾ line. The Cowboys on the other hand welcome their “big4” back into the line up and with Matty Bowen back healthy and showing glimpses of his best form against Manly the Cowboys list looks as good as it has all year, especially with Johnson back and the exciting youngster Faifai Loa getting another shot after his great effort against Manly a f/n ago. Morgan also replaces Lui at h/b, not sure about this one? but with JT back in the team and running the halves, it is not as relevant anyway.
The Cowboys have had the wood over the Bronco’s in recent times, winning 4 of the last 6. The line is too short and should be -6 to -6.5, however upsets are very common in QLD derbies (all three teams). One thing that always catches my eye in league is when a team has an advantage in all three areas across the park and in this situation the Cowboys do indeed have a small advantage in the forwards, halves and ¾ line. The Bronco’s are 3-0 in QLD derbies this year, the Cowboy’s 0-2. Statistically both teams are garbage this season, however the Cowboys are 5-0 coming off the bye in recent times, which shows that they play well when rested. This makes sense considering how much work their engine room (Scott & Tamou) put in every week.
Conclusion - Brisbane's line-up too unsettled and injury hit makes me question how their on-field cohesion will be? The disappointing Cowboys at full strength and well rested, playing at home are at least 1 try better team and good for a small play in what I have as a defensively minded game, with a total set @ 34-36.
1.1* Cowboys -5.5 ($1.88 Pinnacle)
0.5* Under 38.5 ($1.90 Sportsbet)Comment -
Agree 100%. Tua (at full strength) would murder him and Cameron looked very good against Monte Barrett, although I think would struggle with Browne's power. Not saying Browne is anything special, just that he is significantly better and probably fitter than Walker who appears to be well past his best.Comment -
quite liking Tulsa -2.5 in the WNBA tomorrow.
indiana are playing their fourth game in 7 nights and HAHAHA making it worse.
they ran out of steam and NY ran over them in the last game Tuesday.
tulsa have won their last three and come in well rested.Comment -
am i cursed? had delbonis to win the 2nd set against granollers in the tennis, up 5-1...serving for the set and he ends up losing 7-5.....one of the most horrific losses i've hadComment -
Pretty bad beat. Hang in there Davopnz, was with Trigga on Oakland in MLB yesterday, the closer hadnt blown a save in 44 starts, Oakland were up 4-2 in the bottom 9th, and Astros scored 3 in the last to win 5-4. Horrific beat. Happened to pick the day he shat himself.
Just have to ride the waves... Long game that counts...Comment -
Anybody know what time and where I can watch the boxing?Comment -
Best value would be to take the -21.5 -110, pay the little extra juice for the -4.5.Comment -
Boxing pick not looking good Browne just got knocked in first round but he's up!Comment -
Browne knocks him down in the 3rd! But he gets up too!Comment -
10-8
10-9
8-10
9-10
Got the scorecard even but Browne looks on top nowComment -
Browne knocks him again down for 8 in the 5th! Looking good! Although you never know with these heavy weights!Comment -
Walker is down again and out and gets up somehow! In the 6th! He got up pretended he was dizzy and threw a big one at Browne almost knocked him down! Brownes infront here!Comment -
Walker says he has had enough after 7 rounds came out firing in the first 30sec of 7th round and I think that was all he had left in the tank! TKO to Browne! Good work Sando
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Thanks Sando!
All the books seem to be -21.5 on the doggies right now, crazy! I dont know if I can pull the trigger on this one!Comment -
Took cowboys -4 1.91 yesterday already into 1.8. Going to leave the Canterbury game and just watch the cowboys one. Big weekend in England this week with the two challenge cup semi finals.
london vs Wigan is on Saturday and the bookies have it priced up at -26 Wigan which is a little too high in my opinion , London withs soward have looked a lot more dangerous in attack and can score some points to hopefully cover the +26. It's a no play for me though as Wigan could blowout late on if the game is out of londons reach.
hull vs warrington is on Sunday, I can't wait for this one, I will be travelling to Huddersfield for this one and praying we can pull of the win and get to wembley, we can do it! We were +14 when we last played warrington at their ground in may and won 26-16. We are capable of winning and the whole club has been focused on getting to wembley this year! Small play hull to beat warrington at 4.0 and hull +12, finally play the under, our defence is awesome at the minute and will give us a chance.Last edited by Rugby21; 07-25-13, 09:23 AM.Comment -
WNBA +10.46
Indiana VS Tulsa
Ok so Tulsa have won 3 games straight at home against average teams and an out of form Atlanta squad. I still don't trust them to cover the 3 point line here, Indiana have the wood on Tulsa having won every game between these two sides over the last 3 seasons. Indiana have been hot lately before loosing to NY in an upset. Indiana had a shocking second half in that game and struggled to score against NY.
Indiana has one of the worst offences but boasts the best defence in the league, Tulsa put up reasonable numbers at home but allow one of the leagues worst points per game at 81.2points (at home). Tulsa have screwed me big time this season and they are unpredictable at the best of times which gives us value in posted lines.
Indiana have recently been slowly increasing their offence, putting up more points each game as they start to find form with some key players coming back from long term injury. Tulsa have a very good scoring average on home court at 83.2PPG and have some of the worst defence in the WNBA.
Injuries should not play any part in this match up, both teams have not listed any unexpected injuries and no one is being rested for the all star game. Indiana should come out to prove a point tonight and go into their all star break on a positive note, especially losing at home to NY.
Indiana +3 @$1.91 X1 UNIT to win .91 UNITS
Game total OVER 146 @$1.91 X3.5 to win 3.19Comment -
I've spent the last 3 hours crunching numbers and I'm going to post all my MLB totals! Ill be laying half a unit on each! And I'm expecting to finish the day in profits! Ill update odds abit later! I'm absolutely buggered and need some sleep! Early games again so jump on it soon!
ATL-NYM under 8 ($1.86 bet365)
NYY-TEX under 8.5 ($1.76 bet365)
SD-MIL under 8.5 ($2.00 bet365)
MIA-COL under 10 ($1.80 bet365)
HOU-TOR under 9.5 ($1.80 bet365)
TB-BOS under 9 ($1.83 bet365)
BAL-KC under 8.5 ($1.86 bet365)
CC-ARI under 9 ($2.05 bet365)
Goodluck!Comment -
Adding a couple more MLB plays
2 x Units Baltimore Orioles ML ($1.71 Bet365)
2 x Units Seattle Mariners ML ($1.56 Centrebet)
1 x Units Toronto Blue Jays ML ($1.52 Centrebet)Comment -
Finally the weekend !!!!
20 odd points start in a derby is alot ... you would Parra would be up mentally for this game, not that they have the players to stop the Dogs but 20+ points is a lot. We'll see ... every second day the whispers of Barba leaving are getting louder too
Broncos .. whats going on there ? complete reshuffle of the side, what affect will that have? Plenty of talk about Wallace not happy how he's being treated etc.
Dragons and Raiders ... alot of factors to consider !! Dragons are throwing caution to the wind .. watching the game on Monday they are offloading with and wthout purpose, they have clearly decided to throw the playbook out the window and just throw the ball around. The result was a win against the top team, so no doubt they will continue that way. They are still figuring out their roles and extra responsibilities since Soward has left, so although it sounds simple but players that are not used kicking for goal or kicking for touch or kicking a field goal and are now having to do it are a struggling a little but that win would have done their confidence a world of good.
Raiders have struggled for points a little lately, and why wouldnt you when your whole backline is out. Their backline at the start of the year would have included Dugan, Ferguson, Earl, Edrick Lee but with the drama and injuries Crocker is the only main stayer atm. But obviously Ferguson is back and Dugan with a point to prove against his former club. Also, Vidot back in the side against his former club but you would think Ferguson will have a field day with a bit of space up against Vidot.
I am blabbing on now but it is also a short turn around for the Dragons, they played Monday and now its the 5:30 game on Saturday, is that the shortest turnaround in league possible ?
So who do we go for ...? My gut says Dragons at home, but Ferguson back makes it difficult, should be a great game to watchComment
