Easysaid - Rugby Union Picks

brettels · 09-06-12, 10:36 PM

under 45.5 in what game?

easysaid · 09-06-12, 11:01 PM

Originally posted by brettels

under 45.5 in what game?

All Blacks v Argentina

Vinnie Paz · 09-06-12, 11:46 PM

Fukk i keep missing this guys plays!
Ginna make damn sure i dont miss this argentina under this time

Thanks a lot man

brettels · 09-07-12, 12:02 AM

what about today's matches?

easysaid · 09-07-12, 12:13 AM

Originally posted by brettels

what about today's matches?

Nothing I liked sorry.

easysaid · 09-07-12, 07:30 AM

Adding two picks for tommorow -

Tasman ML over Manawatu (ITM Cup) - 3 Units

Manawatu come off the back of a big win and will look to prove themselves infront of their home crowd. However, Tasman have had a massive turnaround since last year, and lately they've been playing top 5 standard rugby, if they are to play like this again come gametime manawatu wont have no show.

Auckland ML over Waikato - 2 Units (Only take this is Kerr-Barlow is not playing or benched).

Auckland are playing great rugby right now and will look to add to their home record, waikato are definitely not worthy of this line (based on their performance this year). Remeber to check lineup as waikatos halfback (kerr-barlow) is a definite game changer, and Im certainly not taking any risk.

TBsp75 · 09-07-12, 05:10 PM

oh man, my income came in a bit late and TAB already changed to 43 for AB v Puma game. u think still worth a bet?
forecast says its gonna be hell of a windy night in wellington with rain.

hawley · 09-07-12, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by TBsp75

oh man, my income came in a bit late and TAB already changed to 43 for AB v Puma game. u think still worth a bet?
forecast says its gonna be hell of a windy night in wellington with rain.

bet365 has 44.5

easysaid · 09-07-12, 05:18 PM

take the 44.5 quick though and under 43 is worth 2 units, cant seem them getting past 40.

TBsp75 · 09-07-12, 05:57 PM

i dun hav CC to bet on other sites. back in my high school days i applied for a CC, didn't use it wisely and now having some credit issues. tat's why i can only use TAB atm. bank's sick eh, how can u give a CC to high school kid -_-

anyway prob gonna go for easysaid and bet 2 unit on u43. can't wait for the game and u certainly dun wanna miss haka in wind n rain

easysaid · 09-08-12, 05:55 AM

Cashed both bets today!!

Current Record 12-0-0 +39 Units

This weeks picks -

Auckland ML over Waikato - 2 Units
Otago -1 over Southland - 3 Units
New Zealand/Argentina game total under 45.5 Points - 4 Units

Current Pick - Tasman ML over Manawatu (ITM Cup) - 3 Units

hawley · 09-08-12, 08:38 AM

Unreal run mate

TheCalculator · 09-08-12, 04:43 PM

Unreal is right!

Vinnie Paz · 09-08-12, 08:06 PM

This fukkin guy must have inside knowledge

davopnz · 09-08-12, 08:27 PM

Bloody awesome stuff mate! I am a bit warey of the 7 changes tasman has made today, thoughts? I also like the overs in both games today

TBsp75 · 09-09-12, 03:45 AM

u r killing the books.

easysaid · 09-09-12, 04:09 AM

Current Record 13-0-0 +41 Units

Only a matter of time before I get an upset.. but with my picks you should atleast have a 70% chance of a winner, I have been capping rugby for over a year now (following it since a boy) and I find the lines are never as sharp as other sports (such as baseball, nba etc) so I am here to pick them out for you guys and keep you up plenty of units this season.

EDIT - thanks to everyone who is posting about the upcoming games the more info the better I can cap for you all.

twinky99 · 09-09-12, 05:57 AM

do u know that you're f*ckin awesome??

Vinnie Paz · 09-09-12, 09:27 AM

When are the next games start?

easysaid · 09-10-12, 12:04 AM

What do you guys want? heaps of plays that have around a 60% chance of winning or just 1 or 2 plays that have a 70% chance of winning.

I mean i could keep this winning streak running for a bit longer but you would probably make more profit of lots of picks, so far these small plays have all been winners too (sharing them with my mates).

TBsp75 · 09-10-12, 12:31 AM

wat's your thought on AUS v ARGEN game? i really like the +12.5 in TAB with genia out of the squad. might wanna go big early b4 it drops. Argen been playin real good def. and you can see their determination, they really wanna get a win in this competition.

IMO you should keep the winning streak goin

easysaid · 09-10-12, 12:59 AM

Yeah argie +12.5 is a bit of a gift, the only way aus would cover this is if they were to get a super dry track, which is highly unlikely.

Im going to jump on that tonight for few bucks myself

Cheers!

brettels · 09-10-12, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by easysaid

What do you guys want? heaps of plays that have around a 60% chance of winning or just 1 or 2 plays that have a 70% chance of winning.

I mean i could keep this winning streak running for a bit longer but you would probably make more profit of lots of picks, so far these small plays have all been winners too (sharing them with my mates).

Keep the streak with the 1 or 2 70% chance. You're on a roll and could possibly beat Acoochy's record of i think it was 21?

TBsp75 · 09-10-12, 01:15 AM

plus henry been helpin them for couple of weeks now and he sure knows this wallabie team inside out.

TheCalculator · 09-10-12, 01:21 AM

In the end -- we're here to make money. I would rather have 50 plays with 70% ($2000 profit), then 15 plays with 100% ($1500 profit).

Simply adjust unit size to show confidence level.

THANKS!!!

easysaid · 09-10-12, 04:09 AM

Decided Im going to have a shot at that record while im on a good run, If i lose a play ill start posting smaller plays.

Current Picks -

Argentina +12.5 for 4 Units

Talked about this earlier in the thread, basically these guys are hungry for their first win in the rugby championship and have got extremely close in their last two games. Books have this line at +12 because the argies are not necessarily known as a rugby giant and results over the years have been a mixed bag. Australia lose in my oppinion their best player for this game and wont have such a drive to win this after winning against SA last week, guys this line is a gift and will drop very fast (wouldn't be suprised to see the PUMAs win this either) so get your bets in..

Tasman -9 over Southland for 4 Units
Probably wondering why the books set this spread so high? dont worry its for every good reason. So far Tasman have been one of the hottest teams around this season, winning their opener against last years champions and putting up a good fight in the ranfurly challenge.
These guys are averaging over 30 points a game and will look to pile it on against a weak southland defense (whom never play great when are on the road).

TBsp75 · 09-10-12, 04:34 AM

looks like 14-0 and 15-0 to me

easysaid · 09-10-12, 04:56 AM

Originally posted by TBsp75

looks like 14-0 and 15-0 to me

Hope so..

By the way, I appreciate the updates.

Sawyer · 09-10-12, 02:43 PM

Oh my god. Wish I saw this thread earlier. AMAZING Work here mate, Congrats!

TBsp75 · 09-10-12, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by easysaid

Hope so..

By the way, I appreciate the updates.

no problem mate, always keen to help out

by the way, wat's ur opinion on the AB game? i somehow think this might be a blowout game. AB been determined to put up 80min performance and there's no better place than a roofed stadium. SA been struggling with offense under new coach and injuries.

easysaid · 09-10-12, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by TBsp75

no problem mate, always keen to help out

by the way, wat's ur opinion on the AB game? i somehow think this might be a blowout game. AB been determined to put up 80min performance and there's no better place than a roofed stadium. SA been struggling with offense under new coach and injuries.

Yeah, id rather leave this game alone to be honest. SA can turn it up any moment and they need a win to stay in the running.

TBsp75 · 09-10-12, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by easysaid

Yeah, id rather leave this game alone to be honest. SA can turn it up any moment and they need a win to stay in the running.

i see, i'll give 2nd thought on that game then. cheers.
wat abt tonite's match? anythin worth a small unit bet?

easysaid · 09-10-12, 09:41 PM

Id like to see the game total for this match, but the spread looks sharp to me.

davopnz · 09-10-12, 11:02 PM

over under 47.5? i'm from whakatane but i think waikato with TKB back could dominate here

easysaid · 09-11-12, 12:37 AM

I think so too, but just cant pull the trigger, I quite like the under tonight. Heavy winds and occasional rain (i knew this total would be high as these two team have gone over in every game they've played), but tonight Im feeling the under as no ITM cup game has gone over with poor weather, maybe im wrong but it looks alot more solid than the over.