MrXYZ's NBL thread

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  • Gee
    SBR MVP
    • 04-08-10
    • 4547

    #176
    Wow. Sharp number.

    Cash the o/164.5... incredibly unlucky for those of you that didn't get the best number; plus the way it was played, they should have put up 180.
    Comment
    • hawley
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-10-10
      • 14270

      #177
      Originally posted by Gee
      Wow. Sharp number.

      Cash the o/164.5... incredibly unlucky for those of you that didn't get the best number; plus the way it was played, they should have put up 180.

      A lot of middle opportunities both live and in the pre-game lines that were being offered.
      Comment
      • therealdealau
        SBR MVP
        • 11-12-10
        • 3227

        #178
        I like Hawks in the next one, like them at the half time line too - putting half profits from Wildcats on this!
        Comment
        • MrXYZ
          SBR MVP
          • 02-18-11
          • 2342

          #179
          What a tough beat on that over...Congrats you guys who got it at 164.5. At least the Cats +3.5 cashed easily.

          1-1 so far. Let's go Hawks.
          Comment
          • Duff85
            SBR MVP
            • 06-15-10
            • 2920

            #180
            lost that Breakers game under, but had Perth at +4 and at $2.50 on the moneyline. They made up for it nicely.
            Comment
            • Duff85
              SBR MVP
              • 06-15-10
              • 2920

              #181
              Would set a number on the Hawks for you guys, but I can't set something high enough that would entice you. Hawks are a solid play here. -6.5 or better. I'm holding sprinklings at -5.5 and -6.
              Comment
              • MrXYZ
                SBR MVP
                • 02-18-11
                • 2342

                #182
                Originally posted by MrXYZ
                Adding:
                SYDNEY KINGS vs WOLLONGONG HAWKS
                HAWKS -6.5 @1.90 x1

                Hawks aren't a top 4 team this year but have a more solid roster than the dreadful Kings. They should win by double digits. The Gold Coast's Adrais Deleon was one of the best players in the NBL last year and should prove an excellent addition to the Hawks.

                That's it for today's NBL. The total has dropped to 164.5, but it doesn't worry me.
                Adding a live play:
                KINGS vs HAWKS
                GAME TOTAL OVER 164.5 @1.90 x1
                Comment
                • therealdealau
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-12-10
                  • 3227

                  #183
                  terrible 2q by the hawks hopefully they adjust, kings are lights out shooting though
                  Comment
                  • MrXYZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 2342

                    #184
                    Kings have a shot at an upset if they don't fall apart in the 4th quarter.
                    Comment
                    • MrXYZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-18-11
                      • 2342

                      #185
                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                      I'm back for another go at the NBL. We killed it last season, let's keep the winners flowing...

                      ROUND 1 - FRIDAY
                      PERTH WILDCATS vs NZL BREAKERS
                      WILDCATS +3.5 @1.90 x1
                      GAME TOTAL OVER 165.5 @1.90 x1
                      SYDNEY KINGS vs WOLLONGONG HAWKS
                      HAWKS -6.5 @1.90 x1


                      Adding a live play:
                      KINGS vs HAWKS
                      GAME TOTAL OVER 164.5 @1.90 x1
                      A disappointing start to the season. NBL is going to be tough this year. Already we're seeing sharper numbers and parity amongst teams.

                      I'll re-evaluate after this round as to whether it's worth it to keep going or just focus on the NBA. Don't want to bury anyone following the thread if my motivation isn't there to cap this league.

                      NBL season record: 1-3 -2.1 units
                      Comment
                      • MrXYZ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-18-11
                        • 2342

                        #186
                        Saturday
                        CAIRNS TAIPANS vs TOWNSVILLE CROCODILES
                        TAIPANS -5.5 @1.90 x3.5

                        The NBL's North QLD darbies are usually closely fought but the Taipans should win this one easily. Crocs are a mess, they sacked their imports just prior to the start of the season and will struggle tonight.

                        Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • MrXYZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-18-11
                          • 2342

                          #187
                          Adding a small action play
                          TAIPANS vs CROCS
                          Game Total OVER 152.5 @1.90 x 0.5
                          Comment
                          • hjrozay
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-28-11
                            • 103

                            #188
                            Good looking MrXYZ, easy cash on both wagers. Looking forward to tomorrows play.
                            Comment
                            • MrXYZ
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-18-11
                              • 2342

                              #189
                              Originally posted by hjrozay
                              Good looking MrXYZ, easy cash on both wagers. Looking forward to tomorrows play.
                              Thanks. Easy money tonight!
                              Comment
                              • MrXYZ
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-18-11
                                • 2342

                                #190
                                Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                Saturday
                                CAIRNS TAIPANS vs TOWNSVILLE CROCODILES
                                TAIPANS -5.5 @1.90 x3.5

                                The NBL's North QLD darbies are usually closely fought but the Taipans should win this one easily. Crocs are a mess, they sacked their imports just prior to the start of the season and will struggle tonight.

                                Good luck.

                                Adding a small action play
                                TAIPANS vs CROCS
                                Game Total OVER 152.5 @1.90 x 0.5


                                Taipans win 84-72 to cash both plays! As expected they dominated for most of the game. The total was sweet as well, hitting the bank with less than a minute to play.

                                Today: 2-0 +3.6 units
                                NBL season record: 3-3 +1.5 units
                                Comment
                                • MrXYZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-18-11
                                  • 2342

                                  #191
                                  Sunday
                                  ADELAIDE 36ers vs MELBOURNE TIGERS
                                  36ers -6.5 @1.90 x1

                                  36ers are shaping up as possible Grand Finalists this year. They were outstanding in the pre-season and should roll to a big win to kick off their campaign. Even though 6.5 is a tough number it's worth a shot - no way I'd take the Tigers.
                                  Comment
                                  • hawley
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-10-10
                                    • 14270

                                    #192
                                    Solid cash on the Taipans last night. Apart from the scoring drought to open they 4th they are a good looking team. Much more weapons than previously. Tragardh had a big preseason and his game looks like it has gone to a new level.


                                    Crocs will be a different team with Ervin. Their other import is pretty washed up but Ervin should be good.


                                    Good luck this afternoon. I like the over here. 36ers have a deep offensive team this season.
                                    Comment
                                    • binomial
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-02-10
                                      • 507

                                      #193
                                      Agree on Adelaide, looks to me like their bench would give Melbourne a run. Nothing to like about Melbourne that i can see.
                                      Comment
                                      • MrXYZ
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-18-11
                                        • 2342

                                        #194
                                        Thanks guys, let's close out the round with a winner.

                                        I like the over as well, 36ers should put up 85-90 without trouble but not sure the Tigers will keep up. Might pass on it or have a play at half time.
                                        Comment
                                        • MrXYZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-11
                                          • 2342

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                          Sunday
                                          ADELAIDE 36ers vs MELBOURNE TIGERS
                                          36ers -6.5 @1.90 x136ers are shaping up as possible Grand Finalists this year. They were outstanding in the pre-season and should roll to a big win to kick off their campaign. Even though 6.5 is a tough number it's worth a shot - no way I'd take the Tigers.
                                          36ers win 84-61 for the easy cash!

                                          Today: 1-0 +0.90 units
                                          NBL season record: 4-3 +2.4 units
                                          Comment
                                          • MrXYZ
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-18-11
                                            • 2342

                                            #196
                                            Round 2
                                            Friday
                                            MELBOURNE TIGERS vs SYDNEY KINGS
                                            TIGERS +4.0 @1.90 x1

                                            CAIRNS TAIPANS vs WOLLONGONG HAWKS
                                            Game Total OVER 153.5 @1.90 x1

                                            Despite last week's blowout I'm rolling with the Tigers. Kings won't shoot like they did against the Hawks & can't be relied on to cover a spread at home.

                                            In the other game we have a great spot for the over. Hawks are faster team this year & have good shooters, while the Taipans should have no problems putting up 80 points.

                                            Passing on the Breakers/36ers game. I don't like what the books are offering. -5.5 & 170.5 are coin toss numbers.

                                            Good luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • MrXYZ
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-18-11
                                              • 2342

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                              Round 2
                                              Friday
                                              MELBOURNE TIGERS vs SYDNEY KINGS
                                              TIGERS +4.0 @1.90 x1

                                              CAIRNS TAIPANS vs WOLLONGONG HAWKS
                                              Game Total OVER 153.5 @1.90 x1
                                              Despite last week's blowout I'm rolling with the Tigers. Kings won't shoot like they did against the Hawks & can't be relied on to cover a spread at home.

                                              In the other game we have a great spot for the over. Hawks are faster team this year & have good shooters, while the Taipans should have no problems putting up 80 points.

                                              Passing on the Breakers/36ers game. I don't like what the books are offering. -5.5 & 170.5 are coin toss numbers.

                                              Good luck.
                                              Tigers looked set for a road win, but the Kings reeled them in for an 82-85 score to cash the first play. But terrible shooting killed the over by half time with the Hawks grinding out a 68-58 win against the Taipans.

                                              1-1 -0.10 units
                                              NBL season record: 5-4 +2.3 units
                                              Comment
                                              • MrXYZ
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-18-11
                                                • 2342

                                                #198
                                                Round 2
                                                Sunday
                                                TOWNSVILLE CROCODILES vs PERTH WILDCATS
                                                WILDCATS ML @1.85 x2

                                                The Crocs are desperate to avoid a 0-2 start to the season but the Wildcats simply outclass them in every category you can think of. I'll take the best team in the comp at these odds any day. It's almost a no-brainer play. But it's always tough for road teams in the NBL so 2 units is the max risk for me today.
                                                Comment
                                                • binomial
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 08-02-10
                                                  • 507

                                                  #199
                                                  I agree this looks pretty obvious. Only concern is perth have racked up major travel lately - they played in Broome in stupid heat two weeks ago, then to NZ last week and now to Townsville.

                                                  Hopefully Friday to Sunday is long enough for them to be fresh and ready to go.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MrXYZ
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-18-11
                                                    • 2342

                                                    #200
                                                    I think they'll get it done today. Next 3 games are on the road as well: Melbourne Tigers, Wollongong Hawks & Adelaide 36ers. It's a crazy schedule, but the 36ers are the only team with a chance to beat them.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MrXYZ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                      • 2342

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                      Round 2
                                                      Sunday
                                                      TOWNSVILLE CROCODILES vs PERTH WILDCATS
                                                      WILDCATS ML @1.85 x2The Crocs are desperate to avoid a 0-2 start to the season but the Wildcats simply outclass them in every category you can think of. I'll take the best team in the comp at these odds any day. It's almost a no-brainer play. But it's always tough for road teams in the NBL so 2 units is the max risk for me today.
                                                      CASH IT! WILDCATS SMASH THE CROCS! FINAL SCORE: 82-58


                                                      Too easy.

                                                      Today: 1-0 +1.70 units
                                                      NBL season record: 6-4 +4.0 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MrXYZ
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                        • 2342

                                                        #202
                                                        Round 3
                                                        Friday
                                                        SYDNEY KINGS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                        TAIPANS ML @2.05 x1
                                                        Game Total OVER 152.5 x1

                                                        Taipans road double sees them visit to the Sydney Kings, with the Adelaide 36ers tomorrow night. I'm expecting them to be too strong for the inconsistent Kings in a high scoring game.

                                                        It's near impossible to win 2 road games back to back in the NBL. Players lack the conditioning for b2bs & Taipans have little hope against the 36ers (who got hammered by the Breakers last week). They'll have to settle for a 1-1 split in Round 3. Maybe they'll try to get a big lead against the Kings to rest their starters in the 4th quarter. So it'll be interesting to see how this game plays out.

                                                        Good luck.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • davopnz
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-12-12
                                                          • 1736

                                                          #203
                                                          any love for the breakers?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MrXYZ
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-18-11
                                                            • 2342

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by davopnz
                                                            any love for the breakers?
                                                            They should win easily, but I'm not sure about covering -9.5 though. Crocs will try to grind it out.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MrXYZ
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-18-11
                                                              • 2342

                                                              #205
                                                              Cash those 2 winners!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MrXYZ
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-18-11
                                                                • 2342

                                                                #206
                                                                Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                                Round 3
                                                                Friday
                                                                SYDNEY KINGS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                                TAIPANS ML @2.05 x1
                                                                Game Total OVER 152.5 x1 @1.90
                                                                Taipans road double sees them visit to the Sydney Kings, with the Adelaide 36ers tomorrow night. I'm expecting them to be too strong for the inconsistent Kings in a high scoring game.

                                                                It's near impossible to win 2 road games back to back in the NBL. Players lack the conditioning for b2bs & Taipans have little hope against the 36ers (who got hammered by the Breakers last week). They'll have to settle for a 1-1 split in Round 3. Maybe they'll try to get a big lead against the Kings to rest their starters in the 4th quarter. So it'll be interesting to see how this game plays out.

                                                                Good luck.


                                                                Taipans win 88-68, cashing both plays. Too easy! As expected they led from start to finish. Kings were set to bury the over, but then a late comeback + a meaningless 3 pointer ensured a sweep for the night.

                                                                2-0 +1.95 units
                                                                NBL season record: 8-4 +5.90 units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MrXYZ
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-18-11
                                                                  • 2342

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Saturday
                                                                  ADELAIDE 36ERS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                                  Game total OVER 156.5 @1.90 x 0.5

                                                                  Small play on the over is it for me in this game. 36ers should cover -4.5 but the Taipans could upset. The line seems off & it's best to stay on the sidelines.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MrXYZ
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-18-11
                                                                    • 2342

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                                    Saturday
                                                                    ADELAIDE 36ERS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                                    Game total OVER 156.5 @1.90 x 0.5

                                                                    Small play on the over is it for me in this game. 36ers should cover -4.5 but the Taipans could upset. The line seems off & it's best to stay on the sidelines.
                                                                    Cash that over! Final score 85-81 for another easy winner. I hope some of you guys followed my advice and sidestepped a typical NBL tough beat as the 36ers failed to cover.

                                                                    Today: 1-0 +0.45 units
                                                                    NBL season record: 9-4 +6.35 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nosaij
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-16-12
                                                                      • 986

                                                                      #209
                                                                      any plays for todays game?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MrXYZ
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                                        • 2342

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Originally posted by nosaij
                                                                        any plays for todays game?
                                                                        Passed on the Tigers/Wildcats game. I might have a play for Hawks/Crocs.
                                                                        Comment
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