MrXYZ's NBL thread

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  • That Guy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-13-12
    • 973

    #106
    cheers mate..
    any plays for the other games tonight?
    Looking at the O154 on the Blaze v Hawks game if they can back it
    Comment
    • MrXYZ
      SBR MVP
      • 02-18-11
      • 2342

      #107
      I'm on the over in the Blaze/Hawks. Posting it soon.
      Comment
      • MrXYZ
        SBR MVP
        • 02-18-11
        • 2342

        #108
        Sunday 26 February
        Gold Coast Blaze vs Wollongong Hawks
        Game Total OVER 154.5 @1.90

        Rolling with the over. The books have set it 2 points under Friday's game with the expectation of fatigue and & both teams making adjustments slowing down the pace. I still think this game goes over though it'll be a close call.
        Comment
        • MrXYZ
          SBR MVP
          • 02-18-11
          • 2342

          #109
          Perth Wildcats vs Cairns Taipans
          Taipans +8.5 @1.91

          Although Perth are near impossible to beat at home, the Crocs dropped today's vital game against the Kings. Taipans can leapfrog them into the top 4 with a win, ensuring they'll be very competitive & giving them a good shot at covering the points. It still could end up a blowout to the home side, making it the riskiest play of the round.
          Comment
          • MrXYZ
            SBR MVP
            • 02-18-11
            • 2342

            #110
            Originally posted by MrXYZ

            Sunday 26 February
            Sydney Kings vs Townsville Crocs
            game total under 165.5 @1.90

            Gold Coast Blaze vs Wollongong Hawks
            Game Total OVER 154.5 @1.90

            Perth Wildcats vs Cairns Taipans
            Taipans +8.5 @1.91
            Another clean sweep to finish of the round! Kings were able to grind out low scoring win, Taipans with a huge upset & Blaze/Hawks over hit by 2.5 points.

            Updated Record: 31-28-1 52.5%
            Comment
            • garygroundwork
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-12-12
              • 729

              #111
              top work mate
              Comment
              • garygroundwork
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-12-12
                • 729

                #112
                like anything this weekend???
                Comment
                • MrXYZ
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-18-11
                  • 2342

                  #113
                  Originally posted by garygroundwork
                  top work mate
                  Thanks! I'll have one or 2 plays this round.
                  Comment
                  • MrXYZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 2342

                    #114
                    Saturday 03 March
                    GOLD COAST BLAZE vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                    Game Total OVER 151.5 @1.90

                    Comment
                    • That Guy
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-13-12
                      • 973

                      #115
                      Cheers mate.
                      Could only get 153 at my book but took it.
                      Good luck!
                      Comment
                      • garygroundwork
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-12-12
                        • 729

                        #116
                        Originally posted by MrXYZ
                        Saturday 03 March
                        GOLD COAST BLAZE vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                        Game Total OVER 151.5 @1.90

                        Comment
                        • hawley
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-10-10
                          • 14270

                          #117
                          That over was almost too easy
                          Comment
                          • That Guy
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-13-12
                            • 973

                            #118
                            good work!
                            made up for a dog night on the NRL.. much appreciated
                            Comment
                            • MrXYZ
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-18-11
                              • 2342

                              #119
                              Thanks for the kind words, it's awesome to see you guys cashed the easy money on the total. This play just about rescued my night after a shocker on the NRL. lol.
                              Comment
                              • That Guy
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-13-12
                                • 973

                                #120
                                Any plays tonight mate?
                                Comment
                                • MrXYZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-18-11
                                  • 2342

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by That Guy
                                  Any plays tonight mate?
                                  I got a couple of leans, not sure if I'll play them.
                                  Comment
                                  • MrXYZ
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-18-11
                                    • 2342

                                    #122
                                    Sunday 4 March
                                    PERTH WILDCATS vs NZL BREAKERS
                                    Game Total OVER 160.5 @1.90

                                    It's a sharp number and hopefully both teams will shoot reasonably well enough to get this over the line. I could see this going into OT so I'm laying off picking a side. The game of the round, it deserves to be broadcast live in this country.

                                    GOLD COAST BLAZE vs SYDNEY KINGS
                                    KINGS +9.5 @1.91

                                    b2bs are rare in the NBL, and although it's possible the Blaze win this by double digits, the Kings have shown enough since Heal's arrival for me to take a shot at them covering the points.
                                    Comment
                                    • MrXYZ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-18-11
                                      • 2342

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                      Saturday 03 March
                                      GOLD COAST BLAZE vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                      Game Total OVER 151.5 @1.90

                                      Sunday 4 March
                                      PERTH WILDCATS vs NZL BREAKERS
                                      Game Total OVER 160.5 @1.90

                                      GOLD COAST BLAZE vs SYDNEY KINGS
                                      KINGS +9.5 @1.91
                                      As predicted Wildcats/Breakers went into OT with a 101-99 scoreline easily cashing the total. Then the Kings put on a brave performance, surviving Kazzouh's injury & Deleon's blitz to go down 90-83 to the Blaze.

                                      Another perfect round in the NBL, very happy with the turnaround in fortunes.

                                      Updated Record: 34-28-1 54.8%
                                      Comment
                                      • That Guy
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-13-12
                                        • 973

                                        #124
                                        thanks mate.. appreciate your work!
                                        Comment
                                        • garygroundwork
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-12-12
                                          • 729

                                          #125
                                          here here !
                                          Comment
                                          • MrXYZ
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-18-11
                                            • 2342

                                            #126
                                            Friday 9 March
                                            SYDNEY KINGS vs WOLLONGONG HAWKS
                                            Game Total OVER 158.5 @1.90

                                            Both teams are out of the playoff race for the year, making it a good opportunity to take the over. A reasonable shooting % should see enough points to get it home with room to spare. However this is the NBL and we've seen some shocking displays all year.

                                            Good luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • garygroundwork
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-12-12
                                              • 729

                                              #127
                                              u r on a roll mate
                                              Comment
                                              • MrXYZ
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-18-11
                                                • 2342

                                                #128
                                                Sunday 11 March
                                                PERTH WILDCATS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                Game Total OVER 151.5 @1.90

                                                A crucial game for both teams & I'm expecting a fairly low scoring game, though at this number we have an excellent chance to cash the over by 4-6 points.
                                                Comment
                                                • That Guy
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-13-12
                                                  • 973

                                                  #129
                                                  any action on NZ vs GC tonight?
                                                  Over / under looks really sharp at 164.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MrXYZ
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-18-11
                                                    • 2342

                                                    #130
                                                    I passed on that game, too much of a coin toss. We had a run of great value over plays but it looks like the books are starting to adjust their totals. Playoffs around the corner so we might see some lower scoring games this round.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MrXYZ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                      • 2342

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                      Friday 9 March
                                                      SYDNEY KINGS vs WOLLONGONG HAWKS
                                                      Game Total OVER 158.5 @1.90

                                                      Sunday 11 March

                                                      PERTH WILDCATS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                      Game Total OVER 151.5 @1.90
                                                      2-0
                                                      Updated Record: 36-28-1 56.25%

                                                      The streak continues! Let's try to keep it going today.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MrXYZ
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                        • 2342

                                                        #132
                                                        Saturday 17 March
                                                        SYDNEY KINGS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                        Game Total OVER 152.5 @1.90

                                                        Their last encounter was a low scoring game with neither team cracking 70 points. Since then Heal's coaching has revitalized the Kings while Taipans are fighting for a playoff spot. They should be too much for the visitors & jump out to an early lead. If so we'll need them to carry the load to get this one over the line.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MrXYZ
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-18-11
                                                          • 2342

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                          Saturday 17 March
                                                          SYDNEY KINGS vs CAIRNS TAIPANS
                                                          Game Total OVER 152.5 @1.90
                                                          I had this one being close & the over was dead until the Taipans went for quick scoring & fouls to get them back in the game with less than a minute to go. Got lucky this time & winning the streak lives on.

                                                          Books are putting out sharp numbers this week. It's been fun to smash them for setting their totals too low for the past few weeks but it looks like they've woken up. I scraped home by 1.5 points and over backers in the 36ers/Blaze game got one of the toughest beats in a while when a 83-84 score killed their 167.5 play.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • garygroundwork
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-12-12
                                                            • 729

                                                            #134
                                                            well played again.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Shifty107
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-05-10
                                                              • 1582

                                                              #135
                                                              Any play for Melbourne v Wollongong tonight bro. Was thinking of taking the Hawks on the money line but both teams really have nothing to play for.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MrXYZ
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-18-11
                                                                • 2342

                                                                #136
                                                                Thanks.

                                                                No play on the Tigers/Hawks. Two crap teams with nothing to play for. The books have the total set at 155.5. A sharp number as they know we expect both will struggle to get to 80, tempting under backers, yet at the same time a good shooting effort and some relaxed defense could sneak the over home.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MrXYZ
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-18-11
                                                                  • 2342

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Agree with you Shifty, the value play is Hawks ML. Though it's a pointless game, the Tigers could decide to go all out for a win to entertain the home fans.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hawley
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-10-10
                                                                    • 14270

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Hey pal you been actively following the NBL.

                                                                    Just wanted to look ahead to next weekend and get your thoughts on this. The Breakers basically can choose their first round playoff opponents IMO as I think they can take the Crocs on the road on friday.

                                                                    With that being said who do you think they want to play first round?

                                                                    I think the Breakers would rather play the Crocs as the Blaze are much more dangerous and capable of scoring in bunches on any given day. That being said the way the Breakers dismantled the Blaze the other night makes me wonder if they even mind who they face.

                                                                    Basically what I am thinking is the Breakers win against the Crocs on friday then take it easy / rest players against the Blaze on sunday to ensure the Blaze face the Wildcats in the first round.

                                                                    There is a pretty good chance the Breakers just play hard both games and take whatever result happens but I think this is worth thinking about.

                                                                    It blatantly happened in the final round last season when the Crocs rested in the final game against the Taipans but that was a different scenario slightly.

                                                                    Let me know your thoughts anyway. Being the NBL it is hardly worth a big play regardless but I am interested to see what you think
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hawley
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-10-10
                                                                      • 14270

                                                                      #139
                                                                      this article explains what I tried to explain with that massive dribble last night

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MrXYZ
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                                        • 2342

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Thanks for the heads up Hawley. NZ Breakers would much rather face the Crocs in the opening round as they are the weakest of the finalists. Taipans deserved that 4 spot. But as we saw, their season ended thanks to an epic fail against the Kings. Of all teams. Typical lol moment in the NBL.

                                                                        Gold Coast are the dark horse this year & I think they have a genuine shot at a first round upset. The Breakers would me far more confident about retaining the champtionship if Perth was knocked out of the race.

                                                                        I'm expecting a few high scoring games this week and it'll be interesting to see what the books come up with.
                                                                        Comment
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