AFL opening spreads

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  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #876
    Cats are rolling, played this one strictly off movement and so far looking like the right play
    Comment
    • Alt75
      Restricted User
      • 07-02-10
      • 573

      #877
      No probs.

      Wonder if brettels was on the -9.5 1Q, was eyeing that and thought I've played 8 bets already, leave it at that for the day.

      I don't know what I was thinking with Demons +45.5. I didn't think it would be this bad and Melbourne would bounce back a bit from last week and keep it a respectable 30-40 points. As for the total Cats will probably kick near on 190 themselves...
      Comment
      • donkson
        SBR Sharp
        • 03-12-11
        • 411

        #878
        You don't win many totals by half time, lmao.
        Comment
        • Gee
          SBR MVP
          • 04-08-10
          • 4547

          #879
          Middle on dogs.

          1x on 18.5 at +250.

          and they kick two goals in a row, so the price is gone.

          won't add it to my spreadsheet, but cheering for eagles 1-18 here!
          Comment
          • Duff85
            SBR MVP
            • 06-15-10
            • 2920

            #880
            Come on Doggies! Back in it!
            Comment
            • Gee
              SBR MVP
              • 04-08-10
              • 4547

              #881
              lol. glad for the middle.

              scores are level!! eagles were up 50. its going to be a break even game...
              Comment
              • Alt75
                Restricted User
                • 07-02-10
                • 573

                #882
                You called locks on the Eagles too early man
                Comment
                • Gee
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-08-10
                  • 4547

                  #883

                  yup, jinxed myself. What a comeback.

                  Still hoping for an eagles miracle here, but i cant complain. +3x on the afternoon.
                  Comment
                  • Gee
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-08-10
                    • 4547

                    #884
                    Nope, they were a lock!

                    What an afternoon. +8x! (assuming saints win... and I'll hedge pretty quickly if they are close, but i don't see it happening.

                    I will be on the hawks later on i'm pretty sure for 2x. Will confirm after going over a few other things.
                    Comment
                    • Alt75
                      Restricted User
                      • 07-02-10
                      • 573

                      #885
                      I'm probably going 0-4 on my initial leans on the spreads and totals. Lucky the 3Q line on Cats -18.5 covered those, was a freakin nailbiter, 2 goals in the last 2 minutes got it over. Remember what I said about pulling the trigger on live games. Cats win the first half by 19 goals and then 3rd Q Melbourne show up and Cats were lucky to win the q by 4.

                      Damn half a point on the Eagles game, last week they screwed me by 1 point.
                      Comment
                      • Gee
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-08-10
                        • 4547

                        #886
                        I've got 2x on Saints -41.5 and 1x on Dockers +12.5 for 1x.

                        RLM on Dockers game. I'm not going against that at this time of year, but not betting more than 1x against my capping either. Should be a no play, but I want action after such a great afternoon
                        Comment
                        • Lookingtostart
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-25-11
                          • 1584

                          #887
                          What a difference a point makes. I got Eagles at 7.5 on pinnacle and 8.5 on bet365!
                          Comment
                          • Mirar Baseball
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-05-10
                            • 1263

                            #888
                            ...
                            Last edited by Mirar Baseball; 07-30-11, 07:00 AM. Reason: nm
                            Comment
                            • Gee
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-08-10
                              • 4547

                              #889
                              lts. yeah. hope you had more on the 7.5!

                              I'm going to be on the Cats -46.5 for 3x today.

                              I will also be on Port for 1x or 2x. Leaning under in that one too...
                              Comment
                              • Mirar Baseball
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-05-10
                                • 1263

                                #890
                                Cats? Yesterday's cats?
                                Comment
                                • slappa
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 04-14-11
                                  • 70

                                  #891
                                  Think he meant the Pies. Lets just hope it goes like the Geelong game yesterday.
                                  Comment
                                  • Gee
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-08-10
                                    • 4547

                                    #892
                                    lol, yeah pies.

                                    I think i actually typed pies before then changed to cats I'm going mad.

                                    i got 2x on under 174.5 and port +7.5 too.

                                    Bombers playing a great game of footy. pies are chucked. at least its an enjoyable game though. they are going to put up 300!!
                                    Comment
                                    • brettels
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-04-10
                                      • 3376

                                      #893
                                      Back in it this week! Been having a go at tennis and got robbed!
                                      Comment
                                      • southern_son
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-31-11
                                        • 7

                                        #894
                                        Drop by my thread all and take a look
                                        Comment
                                        • brettels
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-04-10
                                          • 3376

                                          #895
                                          Post up some odds I can't do it phone!
                                          Comment
                                          • Gee
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-08-10
                                            • 4547

                                            #896
                                            1. ST KILDA 1.12 -43.0 : 2.10 -38.5 : 1.92
                                            2. FREMANTLE 6.35 +34.0 : 2.10 +38.5 : 1.92

                                            1. CARLTON 1.12 -43.0 : 2.10 -38.5 : 1.92
                                            2. MELBOURNE 6.35 +34.0 : 2.10 +38.5 : 1.92

                                            1. GEELONG 1.01 -82.5 : 2.09 -77.5 : 1.92
                                            2. GOLD COAST 16.65 +73.0 : 2.09 +77.5 : 1.92

                                            1. ESSENDON 1.94 -4.0 : 2.11 +1.5 : 1.92
                                            2. SYDNEY 1.87 -6.5 : 2.09 -1.5 : 1.92

                                            1. PORT ADELAIDE 16.65 +69.5 : 2.11 +74.5 : 1.92
                                            2. COLLINGWOOD 1.01 -79.0 : 2.09 -74.5 : 1.92

                                            1. BRISBANE 1.66 -11.5 : 2.10 -6.5 : 1.92
                                            2. ADELAIDE 2.23 +1.5 : 2.10 +6.5 : 1.92

                                            1. HAWTHORN 1.12 -43.0 : 2.10 -38.5 : 1.92
                                            2. NORTH MELBOURNE 6.35 +34.0 : 2.10 +38.5 : 1.92

                                            1. WEST COAST 1.09 -47.0 : 2.10 -42.5 : 1.92
                                            2. RICHMOND 7.50 +38.0 : 2.10 +42.5 : 1.92
                                            Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 04-15-15, 12:12 PM. Reason: image does not exist
                                            Comment
                                            • Gee
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-08-10
                                              • 4547

                                              #897
                                              Thats the best I can do without a screenshot.

                                              Yet again we have a stack of very hard to beat lines...

                                              I think Carlton are the best bet at first glance... not touching either of the 70+ spreads... jeez... and I thought West Coast v Pies last year at 74.5 was huge (Eagles were in front at half time too) and not to be seen again.
                                              Last edited by Gee; 08-02-11, 02:58 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • brettels
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-04-10
                                                • 3376

                                                #898
                                                North melbourne +38.5 is a possibility

                                                cats at skilled stadium can cover that line

                                                might have to be a PYOL weekend
                                                Comment
                                                • kingsr
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-23-10
                                                  • 1983

                                                  #899
                                                  How ugly are the lines getting at the back end of the season YUK!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Lookingtostart
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-25-11
                                                    • 1584

                                                    #900
                                                    I like St kilda, freo can't play in melbourne at all, saints are improving.
                                                    I like brisbane as well, if craig was still there, that would be even better. Eagles are a bit risky, even though I think they should win by over 100 points. If you knew they were going to play for 4 quarters than I'd take them any day over richmond
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TwoWays
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                      • 13145

                                                      #901
                                                      The line margins wouldn't be so wide in these match-ups if there isn't such a large gap between the top seven and bottom ten teams. It really looks like another undefeated weekend though.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Alt75
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-02-10
                                                        • 573

                                                        #902
                                                        Originally posted by Gee
                                                        Thats the best I can do without a screenshot.

                                                        Yet again we have a stack of very hard to beat lines...

                                                        I think Carlton are the best bet at first glance... not touching either of the 70+ spreads... jeez... and I thought West Coast v Pies last year at 74.5 was huge (Eagles were in front at half time too) and not to be seen again.
                                                        Sorry I was slack this week

                                                        Print screen, ctrl-v into mspaint, select tool and copypasta into a new paint project is the easiest way to screen dump a webpage without browser addons etc. The imgur plugin doesn't work due to some new frames the pricks on centrebet have added.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Lookingtostart
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-25-11
                                                          • 1584

                                                          #903
                                                          More recent ones^
                                                          Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 04-15-15, 12:14 PM. Reason: image does not exist
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brettels
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-04-10
                                                            • 3376

                                                            #904
                                                            love the old names LTS, i don't think anyone will adapt to patersons.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Alt75
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 07-02-10
                                                              • 573

                                                              #905
                                                              No Ablett for the Suns this week



                                                              Cats line is out to -88.5 now
                                                              Comment
                                                              • donkson
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 03-12-11
                                                                • 411

                                                                #906
                                                                Call me stupid but I actually like Port +73.5. Not sure if I'll take it though.

                                                                I'm beginning to think that betting props and QT/HT markets etc are to way to go with AFL, the amount of stupidly short MLs and pretty hard to pick lines is making things annoying.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Alt75
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 07-02-10
                                                                  • 573

                                                                  #907
                                                                  Agreed donkson, Saints, Carlton, Hawthorn and West Coast way too short but it makes sense the bookies aren't taking a risk on the ML's with those games considering their competition and locations, brettels and Gee have been doing pretty well with the 1Q's and TT's. Those large spreads are a pain in the ass indeed.

                                                                  Going to be interesting to see the Cat's TT and Total on that game after last week.

                                                                  TT 150.5 Total 220.5 - 230.5 is my guesstimate.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • donkson
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 03-12-11
                                                                    • 411

                                                                    #908
                                                                    Yeah totals are definitely good also.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lookingtostart
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-25-11
                                                                      • 1584

                                                                      #909
                                                                      Looked at some future bets, I think this one has great value, I got:
                                                                      Player To Win Coleman Medal 2011?
                                                                      2913. T. Cloke 4.850 Risking 5.00 to Win 19.25 AUD
                                                                      Last edited by Lookingtostart; 08-03-11, 07:05 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Alt75
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 07-02-10
                                                                        • 573

                                                                        #910
                                                                        1Q Lines from Sportsbet
                                                                        Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 04-15-15, 12:15 PM. Reason: image does not exist
                                                                        Comment
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