Rugby and league 2011

Meyhem · 08-15-11, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by RLF

Still can't find a team list for the Tasman/Auckland game, anyone got one?

TEAMS:
Tasman: 1. Fai Mika, 2. Quentin MacDonald, 3. Sam Prattley, 4. Pablo Heuete, 5. Joe Wheeler, 6. Liam Squire, 7. Shane Christie, 8. Mark Bright, 9. Steve Alfeld, 10. James Marshall, 11. Lucky Mulipola, 12. Andrew Goodman (capt), 13. Kieron Fonotia, 14. Robbie Malneek, 15. Tom Marshall.

Reserves: 16. Francis Smith, 17. Craig Moore, 18. Tevita Kolomatangi, 19. Vernon Fredricks, 20. Shawn Begg, 21. Jack Umaga, 22. Mitchell Scott, 23. Hamish Cochrane.

Auckland: 1. Tom McCartney (capt), 2. Ash Dixon, 3. Tevita Mailau, 4. Josh Townsend, 5. Steve Luatua, 6. Peter Saili, 7. Sean Polwart, 8. Chris Lowrey, 9. Toby Morland, 10. Piers Francis, 11. Charles Piutau, 12. Teddy Stanaway, 13. Hadleigh Parkes, 14. Joe Rokocoko, 15. Brent Ward.

Reserves: 16. Pauliasi Manu, 17. Charlie Faumuina, 18. Liaki Moli, 19. Sam Henwood, 20. Alby Mathewson, 21. Gareth Anscombe, 22. Francis Saili, 23. Angus Ta'avao.

As benny said its not that bad of a team, if they chuck Mathewson/Ancombe on early enough i can see them taking this easy, They lost 2 seasons ago when they took tasman lightly down south so they should of learnt there.

RLF · 08-15-11, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by Beniphone

I know the AB's got a heros welcome in SA and Smith/Steyn are out

That's a good thing for the Saffers

Alright what's the play for this game, I'm thinking Auckland 1-12

Meyhem · 08-16-11, 12:08 AM

Originally posted by Meyhem

Auckland dropped to 1.55, you will nearly beable to hedge out with profit before the kickoff i think

1.47 now with 2 1/2 hours to go

lines gone from 3.5 to 6.5

Duff85 · 08-16-11, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by Meyhem

1.47 now with 2 1/2 hours to go

lines gone from 3.5 to 6.5

Setting up a little middle here at the moment. I got Auckland-3.5, hoping to put Tasman+7.5 or more on the other side.

Duff85 · 08-16-11, 12:22 AM

One derivative market I want to put some work in on is First Team to Score. There is a direct relation between the team's win probability and their probability of scoring first in the game, but the important question is how much are they related. Will be one I will be pouring over in December I guess when I get some time off.

hawley · 08-16-11, 01:01 AM

Originally posted by Meyhem

1.47 now with 2 1/2 hours to go

lines gone from 3.5 to 6.5

Geez glad i grabbed some of that 3.5 / $1.65 this morning

Decent middling opportunity though

SaffaCappa · 08-16-11, 01:18 AM

AUckland getting POUNDED!!!

Gee · 08-16-11, 01:18 AM

I just took it 4.5 at sportbet.

showtiime · 08-16-11, 01:27 AM

auckland 1-12 lock n load

Meyhem · 08-16-11, 01:49 AM

Sounds like the Otago vs Manawatu game will be pushed back a fortnight due to the turbos being stuck in palmy, grrr

Beniphone · 08-16-11, 02:25 AM

1.42 Auckland now

Pitty about the Otago/manawatu game, was loving Otago for that

Duff85 · 08-16-11, 02:34 AM

Auckland-3.5 and Tasman+6.5.

4, 5, or 6 point Auckland win ftw.

benrama · 08-16-11, 02:35 AM

Originally posted by s2230011

Lucky to get away with the Doggies win, I was even luckier I decided to play them at half time, so that ben baraba try on HT saved me, I played the under for alot more, I really liked it.

After the game, i thought I will have a look at the Man City game and TAB decided that the odds of Man City winning the first half was $1.55, but then Man City/ Man City for HT/FT, was $1.50 ?! figure that out ??? it pi$$ed me off so I took Draw/** for $4, and I got up this morning for a lucky surprise, it was a small bet, but still made me feel good.

Anyway, the point of the story how the hell do these odds make any sense at all ??? anyone ?

Nope, doesn't make any sense, there's less chance of a HT/FT hitting than a HT hitting so the odds should always, in every instance be higher for HT/FT. Just a dodgy line sent out by the TAB, wouldn't be the first time

Duff85 · 08-16-11, 02:40 AM

Nice try for the Makos. Loved the post try celebration.

Meyhem · 08-16-11, 02:52 AM

Aucks looking pretty shaky, think they will need to put on someone like Mathewson early to win this

Gee · 08-16-11, 02:59 AM

auckland look gone.

tasman all over them.

edit:

every time i say something about rugby, either league or union, the opposite happens. Auckland score 2 tries in 5 minutes to go up 15-10 with a kick pending. Such a fukn degen... pretty sure I said I was done with this shit last week!

Go Auckland!

Meyhem · 08-16-11, 03:08 AM

hopefully auckland keep it up so tasman get a decent HT spread

Meyhem · 08-16-11, 03:22 AM

3.5 halftime spread

Hopefully we see some of Aucklands depth come on

Duff85 · 08-16-11, 04:17 AM

Makos deserved to win.

Beniphone · 08-16-11, 04:29 AM

Yep lol, should of stuck with my first instinct. Great work by the bookies, completely suckerd me into it with a nice price

RLF · 08-16-11, 07:33 AM

How did Anscombe miss that kick.

I put a live bet on the draw @ 10 with about 10 to go. Cheering when they scored 3 mins after the siren.

SaffaCappa · 08-16-11, 08:00 AM

Counties -4.5 for me next.

Beniphone · 08-16-11, 05:00 PM

I've been playing counties ever since nani came back, 2 covers so far, I think they get it done tonight aswell.

Line came at 1.57 then went to 1.60, wonder if it's worth holding out abit to see if the spread drops a point

Beniphone · 08-16-11, 05:27 PM

SAF have named their side, the match up that has me worried as a AB fan is the fullbacks, Lambie vs Dagg, lambie is such a smart kicker for someone so young and Dagg is coming of an injury (his quad being ripped off the bone), I'm not sure if he will beable to match him when it comes to kicking, especially in South Africa

I still think the Allblacks take it, this team has been given an opportunity to play in the biggest rugby competition, they will step up.

Beniphone · 08-16-11, 07:27 PM

Disregard that other post, if your gonna play counties now is the time

showtiime · 08-16-11, 10:02 PM

could it be a blow out?

tempted with 1-12 counties again

Meyhem · 08-16-11, 11:12 PM

anything is possible with this harbor team

RLF · 08-17-11, 12:06 AM

Counties -5.5 you reckon? Might stick with the 1-12

showtiime · 08-17-11, 12:37 AM

does anyone else have major problems loading the previews section on the itm cup site??

it's always majorly sluggish on safari.. kind've annoying.

Beniphone · 08-17-11, 12:38 AM

The HT/FT is not bad either considering how slow harbor usually are to start. They have been playing quite bad the weeks that they have been in the headlines with mccalister leaving the club, now he has officially left it will be interesting to see how they go

RLF · 08-17-11, 12:39 AM

Originally posted by showtiime

does anyone else have major problems loading the previews section on the itm cup site??

it's always majorly sluggish on safari.. kind've annoying.

Yep the whole ABs sites are down.

Beniphone · 08-17-11, 12:40 AM

Itmcup site has been town/having problems the last 48 hours or so, I think there trying to do the rescheduling of the games since the Otago/manawatu
Game got posponed

Beniphone · 08-17-11, 12:44 AM

I emailed tab.co.nz again about them not having totals for the nrl/itm cup games, they said it's because "the weather always changes which effects the totals"........ Bahaha, really? That's why you change the Total...

Duff85 · 08-17-11, 12:53 AM

lol... pretty poxy excuse. do they expect us to believe they create their own numbers? :-) For ITM Cup yes, everything else they are just setting what the home books are (with extra juice).

Meyhem · 08-17-11, 12:55 AM

Haha, it looks like they are trying to tempt people with SAF this week from the email they sent out