Hels' NRL Thread -- Let's Drive this Shit!!

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  • Domestic
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-10-09
    • 6323

    #211
    Late money should be on the Rabbitohs, I think I will take Sharks plus the points just before kickoff.
    Shaping up as being a very low quality game.
    Comment
    • waco66
      SBR MVP
      • 04-14-09
      • 1645

      #212
      Im taking Rabbitohs ML.
      Comment
      • TwoWays
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-24-10
        • 13145

        #213
        Do we have a lean on the Rabbitoh/Sharks game? It's hard to figure out who's worst, since they both are horrible.
        Comment
        • kingfish28
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-13-10
          • 572

          #214
          Looks like a very ugly game tonight fellas. Haven't had the chance to look at past games but what do you guys think of the under in this one 38.5?
          Comment
          • Samuraifan
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-14-10
            • 364

            #215
            My book has the o/u at 39.5, I tempted to take the under.
            Comment
            • Domestic
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-10-09
              • 6323

              #216
              Locked in Sharks +2. Not overly confident but I think the Sharks home advanatage will work in their favour and hopefully Trent Barret can get them over the line.
              I really have no idea about the total on this one, common sense says it goes under and I live in Sydney where there is a chance of rain/storms tonight.Forecast for Monday evening
              Patchy rain, and the chance of a thunderstorm. Light to moderate
              northwest to northeast winds.
              Precis: Patchy rain. Chance thunderstorm.
              Comment
              • Samuraifan
                SBR Sharp
                • 03-14-10
                • 364

                #217
                Thanks for the update Domestic, with that in mind, I think i will place a space wager on the under total. BOL for us all!
                Comment
                • Ace_of_Spades
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-14-09
                  • 13518

                  #218
                  Tough game to pick a winner in. The +2.5 points might just be the margin of win if the Rabbits do win at all.
                  Comment
                  • hels
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-12-09
                    • 8767

                    #219
                    There definitely isn't a consensus on this game and actually quite surprised to see Domestic on Sharks+2. Their ML is at 2.28 (Betfair) and +2 is at Even money (Pinnacle). Thinking that a 2 point Souths win=refund and only a 1 point victory or tie (both quite unusual) result in the +2 paying over the ML is quite a bit of juice to spend. Just wondering your thinking behind this play Domestic

                    This makes me think, do the Souths have someone who has a history of kicking field goals? Just did some investigating and found Chris Sandow kicked a field goal in 2008 to beat NQ. I'm probs thinking too much into this....

                    I can only lean towards the Under, and I'm happy to see the lines come out 38.5 - 40.5 and the U40.5 at TAB is at 1.75. That's definitely a positive sign!!
                    Comment
                    • kingsr
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-23-10
                      • 1983

                      #220
                      I think she Souths will roll tonight. If the rain holds up we could see a Souths 13+ score.

                      Sharks are woeful in attack, if Souths hold them out defensively, they win. If the Rabbits aren't prepared to defend, Sharks may win by a small margin, with a score like 14-12.


                      Souths -2 for me. It hurts and I don't wanna bet on this game, but a mate offered me even money on souths -2 and I'm a degenerate bored fuker on a Monday night!
                      Comment
                      • Domestic
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-10-09
                        • 6323

                        #221
                        So did you end up taking the under hels?
                        Comment
                        • hels
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-12-09
                          • 8767

                          #222
                          Originally posted by Domestic
                          So did you end up taking the under hels?
                          In right now
                          Sharks/Rabbitohs U38.5 $100 to win $185

                          Has anyone else made their plays official??
                          Comment
                          • hels
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-12-09
                            • 8767

                            #223
                            late money on souths

                            $200 to win $362 ML Souths
                            Comment
                            • Domestic
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-10-09
                              • 6323

                              #224
                              Originally posted by hels
                              In right now Sharks/Rabbitohs U38.5 $100 to win $185 Has anyone else made their plays official??
                              Apart from Tigerbalm and myself I don't think so, a lot of people staying away from this game I think.
                              Hope souths win by a point for our sake, lol.
                              Comment
                              • kingsr
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-23-10
                                • 1983

                                #225
                                Im on under too! And souths -2
                                Comment
                                • kingsr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-23-10
                                  • 1983

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by Domestic
                                  Apart from Tigerbalm and myself I don't think so, a lot of people staying away from this game I think.
                                  Hope souths win by a point for our sake, lol.

                                  Read my post
                                  Comment
                                  • kingfish28
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-13-10
                                    • 572

                                    #227
                                    Had the under in the betslip only to change my mind the last sec. I'm on the over but may make an in play on the under if it looks that way. BOL all
                                    Comment
                                    • hels
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-12-09
                                      • 8767

                                      #228
                                      First try was absolutely weak defense but the pace of the game is pointing towards an Under. Neither side looks overly impressive to start off.
                                      Comment
                                      • hels
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-12-09
                                        • 8767

                                        #229
                                        2nd try was even weaker defensively.... lol. I still don't mind the Under though, I can't believe both teams are going to play this asleep the whole game on the defensive end.
                                        Comment
                                        • kingfish28
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-13-10
                                          • 572

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by hels
                                          2nd try was even weaker defensively.... lol. I still don't mind the Under though, I can't believe both teams are going to play this asleep the whole game on the defensive end.
                                          Very weak defence both of them that's where my thinking on the over *** from but with no confidence at all.
                                          Comment
                                          • hels
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-12-09
                                            • 8767

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by kingfish28
                                            Very weak defence both of them that's where my thinking on the over *** from but with no confidence at all.
                                            the way they're playing the only way tries will be scored is from defensive carelessness. However, there's already been 2 of them.. lol
                                            edit: make that 3
                                            double edit: make that 4
                                            Last edited by hels; 03-29-10, 03:31 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • kingfish28
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 03-13-10
                                              • 572

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by hels
                                              the way they're playing the only way tries will be scored is from defensive carelessness. However, there's already been 2 of them.. lol
                                              edit: make that 3
                                              Make that 4. How bad are the sharks.
                                              Comment
                                              • hels
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-12-09
                                                • 8767

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by kingfish28
                                                Make that 4. How bad are the sharks.
                                                That's why I got the Souths. The Sharks premier side would have difficulty contending with the U20s
                                                Comment
                                                • kingfish28
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-13-10
                                                  • 572

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by hels
                                                  That's why I got the Souths. The Sharks premier side would have difficulty contending with the U20s
                                                  your not wrong hels there a joke, the melb or rich of the nrl
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hels
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-12-09
                                                    • 8767

                                                    #235
                                                    Originally posted by kingfish28
                                                    your not wrong hels there a joke, the melb or rich of the nrl
                                                    2 official season long plays:
                                                    1) fade broncos
                                                    2) fade sharks

                                                    this game is seriously the poorest I have seen all season. Hopefully tonight gets the Sharks Monday Night requirements out of the way. They have lots of to improve on (e.g., everything).

                                                    If anyone wants to make a fun bet for sbr points:

                                                    O/U before Sharks win a game -- week 10
                                                    O/U before Sharks score 20 points in one game -- week 10
                                                    Last edited by hels; 03-29-10, 03:46 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TwoWays
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                      • 13145

                                                      #236
                                                      I decided to lay off this game. Would have loved some action; there will be other opportunities later this week. GL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TwoWays
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                        • 13145

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by hels
                                                        2 official season long plays:
                                                        1) fade broncos
                                                        2) fade sharks
                                                        Guess this means sharks are thus far the worst team in NRL. Fade sharks for the foreseeable future.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kingfish28
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 03-13-10
                                                          • 572

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by hels
                                                          2 official season long plays:
                                                          1) fade broncos
                                                          2) fade sharks
                                                          No doubt there. Broncos to young and now injuries and the sharks well there just shit. They have no idea how to get over the line
                                                          Comment
                                                          • t4_ever
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-20-09
                                                            • 762

                                                            #239
                                                            Lucky i bet South win.. and dint go for under ..!!!

                                                            Good luck to all who bet Under
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Samuraifan
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 03-14-10
                                                              • 364

                                                              #240
                                                              I got a under bet too, looking fairly promising atm.

                                                              $172 u39.5 to win $326.80
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Domestic
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-10-09
                                                                • 6323

                                                                #241
                                                                Had a good feeling about sharks after that initial try, would help if the sharks full back could catch the ball.
                                                                Aparty from that flurry of tries in the first 20 mins, scoring has slowed down considerably, any of you guys on the under going to hedge?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hels
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-12-09
                                                                  • 8767

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by t4_ever
                                                                  Lucky i bet South win.. and dint go for under ..!!! Good luck to all who bet Under
                                                                  Thanks mate!!! I hope the Souths ML holds on for us!!

                                                                  The Broncos young players were all adrenalin week 1 where weeks 2 and 3 have showed us their true colours. Hopefully they're overvalued these next few weeks and all of us can cash in on their past reputation. They play on the road vs. the Roosters Friday night and I expect to see Sydney put out a solid performance. I often wonder how often teams 'pick their spots' and which games they really focus on and go all out for. Anything over 1.40 on their ML and I'll play it hard. However, expecting to see Sydney-8.5 and ML at 1.33.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kingfish28
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-13-10
                                                                    • 572

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by Domestic
                                                                    Had a good feeling about sharks after that initial try, would help if the sharks full back could catch the ball.
                                                                    Aparty from that flurry of tries in the first 20 mins, scoring has slowed down considerably, any of you guys on the under going to hedge?
                                                                    I'm on the over and was thinking of hedging. Just noticed I had a multi from the epl, NBA today and last leg south Sydney which I forgot about so mite just ride it out.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Domestic
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-10-09
                                                                      • 6323

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by kingfish28
                                                                      I'm on the over and was thinking of hedging. Just noticed I had a multi from the epl, NBA today and last leg south Sydney which I forgot about so mite just ride it out.
                                                                      Nice stuff, good luck on the multi.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hels
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-12-09
                                                                        • 8767

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by Domestic
                                                                        Had a good feeling about sharks after that initial try, would help if the sharks full back could catch the ball.
                                                                        Aparty from that flurry of tries in the first 20 mins, scoring has slowed down considerably, any of you guys on the under going to hedge?
                                                                        I don't think I will hedge this. Souths will probably slow it down and lull the Sharks too sleep. I also can't see the Sharks scoring more than one try this half and unless Cronulla's defense does some more self-exploding the Souths will play quite conservatively.

                                                                        Of course I'm trying to self-persuade that the Under 38.5 was the best play pregame
                                                                        Comment
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