I made a big play on Canberra-3.5 $200 to win $375 
Let's get this game going!!
Let's get this game going!!
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big late money in on Canberra!!! definitely happy about thatComment -
there's been lots of mistakes either way kingfish. Not the prettiest of matches. The Broncos have had about 5 good chances to score but haven't seemed to be able to get close. Both of Canberra's tries were really nice ballwork and weak defence. If the game continues how it has so far we should be alright
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cheers mate just saw the live scores. Well if it keeps up like this we should be right matethere's been lots of mistakes either way kingfish. Not the prettiest of matches. The Broncos have had about 5 good chances to score but haven't seemed to be able to get close. Both of Canberra's tries were really nice ballwork and weak defence. If the game continues how it has so far we should be alright
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In play... Under 40.5 $100 to win $200
had to hedge... hopefully there won't be a 42 or 44 scoreComment -
omg... hahahhaha... how did corey norman miss the convo????? hahahah... 5 metres off centre
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Nice win tonight hels, congrats on the big play and in game under. I was confident on the under in this game and the line. Awesome result I cashed on both bets. Bit of study this week and round 3 here we come.Comment -
If your interested there is a thread that Nocode1 has started for the afl. He was in the lakerboy thread and he has one now so maybe if you like jump in and have a look before round 1Comment -
Is it ok to smoke in here?Comment -
It is a simple yes or no answer kingfish.Comment -
Maybe you were wondering what I wanted to light up kingfish! A cigar. Not many 3rd graders lighting up cigars now are there hels?Comment -
We only smoke crack in this thread. Take your cigar to a different thread
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At least you two Kings are cool. Thanks.Comment -
How long before kickoff do they normally put the over/under totals up?
Centrebet even has the 'pick your own line' up as of now, but no totals.
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been awol somewhat this week from the 'other sports' forum as I've had a week busy as!!! Ready to get back into the NRL and excited for the AFL beginning tonight I think I will jump in the nocode1 thread kingfish I was thinking of starting my own AFL thread but it's good to be a part of others as well and just as fun!!
About pittsburg player I don't quite understand his ill regards. In one of the comeback lakerboy appreciation threads, post 1 said something to the effect of, "I'm hitting 75% of the time with your bets lakerboy!!! When are you coming back?? I love you!!" (something like that) it was completely positive and only compliments. post 2 was pittsburg player talking completely sarcastically and bullheaded saying, "are you sure it was 75%, let us know exactly if was 74% or maybe 76% percent ... blah blah blah" I quoted pittsburg player in post 3 saying, "what is this, 3rd grade?" or something like that. Basically I just get sick of all the haters and people who purposely go about chugging the hater-ade. Anyhow, pittsburg player sent me a pm after i wrote post 3 requiring me to make another post in the forementioned thread apologising for what I said. I disregarded his request.
Back to NRL, any early leans???Comment -
Totals are usually up:
Friday night games -- Friday morning
All Saturday games -- Friday evening
All Sunday games -- Saturday evening
Monday nighter -- Monday morning
These are just averages and of course you will find some sites putting the OU up earlier. At Betfair they have the Dragons/Cowboys total at 38.5 but no one has layed yet so there isn't anyway to put guarantee money on what you want to play. As well Betfair's totals have already been up to 4 points off what the most common total is.Comment -
ML: 3-5 -$334
PS: 3-3 -$101
OU: 9-2 +$680 OU Leans 1-0
Year to Date +245Comment -
Centrebet and Sportingbet usually don't put up their totals until the day of kick off just to make sure there isn't rain or anything.Comment -
Ok thanks guys,
My initial lean for Tigers/eels game is either an eels win, line (-4.5) or the over (currently 40.5 on betfair). Tigers have to be desperate for a win, but Eels seem to have their number, winning 9 of the last 10. I'm guessing it will be a high scoring game, so have to go with the over if the total stays around the 40 mark.
Dragons just too flawless at the moment, I think their defence will frustrtate the cowboys. Dragons seem to get off to great starts, while cowboys play catchup in the second half. I think dragons cover the line of 8.5, but another cowboys comback in the second half makes me think dragons halftime/fulltime is the better bet?Comment -
Dragons will fire hard 1st half then shut the game down as they normally do. Halftime fulltime looks good.
Parra is the bet, but I can never trust the EELS, will they show up? Take the over for sure!Comment -
I'm with everyone else here as the wests looked disorganised and out of place last week. Starting off 12-0 I thought my wests/wests bet was a great play... hmmm, I supposed I missed something there. Kingfish made a great play having sydney 1-12 winning margin for the outcome, as well as playing canberra/brisbane under in the monday nighter
The Eels should come out full of life and energy after their comeback victory (we'll forget about the 5 yard forward pass on the crucial try and just let them run full of confidence) Fuifui will be his usual energizing, motivating, bone-shattering self and probably break at least 3 ribs on the Wests team. Over/Under 3 broken ribs on the Tigers due to trying to tackle Fuifui Moimoi currently set at 1.92 for the Over. He's a freaking terror on the field and I would seriously duck and cover if I saw him running towards me. Call me a pussy but I think this would be the intelligent decision
I have to say I was quite impressed with NQ's comeback last week. It showed alot of determination and heart. They are a good team when they're clicking but only when they're clicking. If they're outta whack then they may as well look forward to hanging out with the Sharks in the basement. The Dragons defense just seems impenetrable. Giving up only 18 points in the first 2 games of the season... pretty impressive. The only way the Cowboys will score is thru linebreaks from their own half or thru kicks over/thru the first line of defense. They won't be able to pound the ball close to the tryline as StG's D will shut them down time after time. I expect huge amounts of creativity coming from NQ which will actually cause an opportunity for an inflated scoreline either from success or crucial mistakes leading to runbacks. The Cowboys know that they can't win Defensively so they'll be on the attack the entire game and will lose only due to their own mistakes. Another reason to be careful of the total is having Soward/Thurston kicking penalties and conversions. Both are very very very good (I don't think Thurston ever misses) so if tries are scored the conversions won't be wasted. I'm definitely not saying this will be an Over play but I do think there could be a possibility.Comment -
paramatta have become a team with huge emphasis on defence so i dont think they hammer this tigers team at home. so im paying the juice with tigers +12.5 at 1.40. Also like your over callComment -
Very risky imo. 1.40 in a multi is ok but not to lay juice on. Good luck bro!Comment -
Quick question Wade, do you think the Tigers have the ability to win this matchup, or is your main thinking that they'll lose but not by more than 12?
I know that we were both in lakerboy's thread and I remember him once saying something like, "I don't play the dog's spread cuz I'm expecting them to lose but not by the points given. I only play the dog's spread cuz I think they have a good chance of winning"
If you are thinking they're going to lose but keep the game close, Eels 1-12 is 3.05 at Betfair and 3.10 at TABComment -
Exactly hels, that was my reason last week for a couple of 1-12 plays especially the roosters, didnt think tigers would get hammered but didnt expect them to win. Thinking need a good start tonight if they get it tigers could hurt on the scoreboard. Have a look later again then post my plays, good luck all
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but checking live scores, go raiders yeah hope we both get something back
