Johno's 2013 AFL Season Long Thread

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  • johno35
    SBR MVP
    • 10-19-11
    • 1123

    #491
    Saints +18.5 - 1 unit
    Brisbane +15.5 - 1 unit
    Comment
    • johno35
      SBR MVP
      • 10-19-11
      • 1123

      #492
      GWS +79.5 - 1 unit
      Under 186.5 - 1 unit
      Comment
      • johno35
        SBR MVP
        • 10-19-11
        • 1123

        #493
        Essendon 1st Half -20.5 - 3 units
        Essendon -42.5 - 3 units
        Comment
        • hossa8110
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-20-12
          • 242

          #494
          my book has em -39 and a hook on essendon
          Comment
          • johno35
            SBR MVP
            • 10-19-11
            • 1123

            #495
            It may be a juicy bait hook but after showing some signs of form the dogs have really fallen away. We will find out in a couple of hours
            Comment
            • gohabsgo
              SBR MVP
              • 03-19-10
              • 1903

              #496
              Any take on the freemantle -15.5 line?
              Looks low to me, smelling a trap, west coast eagles +15.5 the play?
              Comment
              • johno35
                SBR MVP
                • 10-19-11
                • 1123

                #497
                Originally posted by gohabsgo
                Any take on the freemantle -15.5 line?
                Looks low to me, smelling a trap, west coast eagles +15.5 the play?
                Yeah I'm not comfortable with that line, I think the right play is Freo 1-39
                Comment
                • johno35
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-19-11
                  • 1123

                  #498
                  Freo 1-39 $2.05 - 1 unit
                  Over 163.5 - 1 unit
                  Comment
                  • johno35
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-19-11
                    • 1123

                    #499
                    Has been a win one lose one round this week. If Freo and the over hits I should be in the positive
                    Comment
                    • johno35
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-19-11
                      • 1123

                      #500
                      Updated Record:

                      101 wins - 95 losses

                      1 unit plays -8.89
                      3 units plays +29.36
                      5 unit plays +23

                      Overall +43.47 units

                      Just over 2 units profit for the week for 5 profitable weeks straight. Didn't see a great deal of good opportunities this week so I played conservatively, be back next week for more
                      Comment
                      • rohan22no
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 07-20-11
                        • 365

                        #501
                        Originally posted by johno35
                        Updated Record:

                        101 wins - 95 losses

                        1 unit plays -8.89
                        3 units plays +29.36
                        5 unit plays +23

                        Overall +43.47 units

                        PORN!

                        Loving it Johno, awesome record, keep it up!!
                        Comment
                        • whist
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 07-12-13
                          • 7

                          #502
                          Nice work mate. who would've thought a freo game would go over 200 points?
                          Comment
                          • johno35
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-19-11
                            • 1123

                            #503
                            Originally posted by whist
                            Nice work mate. who would've thought a freo game would go over 200 points?
                            Probably wont happen again the rest of the year! I figured both teams have important back men out and good forward lines, it was going to be hard for Freo to shut down the Eagles
                            Comment
                            • johno35
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-19-11
                              • 1123

                              #504
                              Some close lines this week, I'm really liking Brisbane -29.5 over Melbourne, I also like Carlton and Sydney. Anyone got any good leans?
                              Comment
                              • therealdealau
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-12-10
                                • 3227

                                #505
                                I like North Melb/Richmond/Collingwood and I'm also leaning on your boys to get up over Port...thoughts?
                                Comment
                                • johno35
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-19-11
                                  • 1123

                                  #506
                                  It's hard to know what the saints are going to bring. We have been playing ok but for only 3 quarters, Cornes getting rubbed out will help. I will probably stay away from that one. Why you like Melb and North? Carlton are fighting to get in the eight and North are gone after last week. The Lions have been playing some pretty decent footy the last few weeks also
                                  Comment
                                  • johno35
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-19-11
                                    • 1123

                                    #507
                                    Carlton 1-39 $2.80 - 1 unit
                                    Over 195.5 - 1 unit
                                    Comment
                                    • Bawth
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-25-13
                                      • 131

                                      #508
                                      Does anyone know why pinny doesnt offer totals for AFL? They have futures, props, handicap, and money line but no totals.
                                      Comment
                                      • johno35
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-19-11
                                        • 1123

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by Bawth
                                        Does anyone know why pinny doesnt offer totals for AFL? They have futures, props, handicap, and money line but no totals.
                                        Not too sure why, that is why I don't use them, I go for bet365, they have totals out early in the week
                                        Comment
                                        • johno35
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-19-11
                                          • 1123

                                          #510
                                          Cracking game of footy! Up 2.8 units, great start to the weekend
                                          Comment
                                          • dRavidC
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-11
                                            • 2516

                                            #511
                                            fortune favours the brave, well done mate
                                            Comment
                                            • MiddleMan
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-26-13
                                              • 673

                                              #512
                                              I consider Betstar to be the best bookie I use, and I still hold that thought. But there are a few examples of why I can understand why the average/casual punter my have some reservations. I'm a stickler for going through individual transactions of both my bank statements and betting summaries to make sure everything is in working order. Other people who aren't as dedicated to investigating bet results and transaction records probably won't be able to recommend them as a great bookie.

                                              Tonight I took Geelong -21.5 in the VFL and it was settled as a loss (they won by 43 points), and it's only because I entered the live chat that they fixed the error.

                                              It's not the first time I have had to enter live chat to get them to fix up an error. Earlier in the year I backed "any other player" to score the most goals in the Geelong and Bulldogs game, and Harry Taylor kicked the most goals and he wasn't listed. It was only due to me entering the live chat that they corrected the mistake, as it was initially settled as a loss.

                                              Also, late last year, I deposited $200 into my betstar account and it wasn't until the next week that I realised $400 had been taken out of my bank account (two separate $200 transactions), yet I had only been credited with a $200 balance. Again, I had to get on live chat to alert them of the error, which they fixed straight away.

                                              Their customer service is very, very good and their promotions are the best around. Betstar suits me down to a tee, because I always double check to make sure bets are settled correctly and mistakes won't get past me. I record every single transaction down to eliminate these potential errors from happening.
                                              Comment
                                              • hedgejob
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-21-09
                                                • 2561

                                                #513
                                                Round of the dogs again? GC/STK/MEL/WC all a chance.
                                                Comment
                                                • johno35
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-19-11
                                                  • 1123

                                                  #514
                                                  Originally posted by hedgejob
                                                  Round of the dogs again? GC/STK/MEL/WC all a chance.
                                                  Could be mate, I don't think Melbourne have any chance though. Eagles will struggle against the Swans but you never know
                                                  Comment
                                                  • johno35
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-19-11
                                                    • 1123

                                                    #515
                                                    Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                    fortune favours the brave, well done mate
                                                    Cheers mate, there was a lot at stake for Carlton tonight
                                                    Comment
                                                    • johno35
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-19-11
                                                      • 1123

                                                      #516
                                                      Hawks/Dogs under 187.5 - 3 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • johno35
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                        • 1123

                                                        #517
                                                        Essendon 1st Half -31.5 - 3 units
                                                        Under 198.5 - 3 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vinnie Paz
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-27-12
                                                          • 12177

                                                          #518
                                                          Essendon total now at 202.5. Reason to be worried?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • johno35
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-19-11
                                                            • 1123

                                                            #519
                                                            I'm not worried, GWS only average 65ppg, I think they will be lucky to kick that today. If it was in Melbourne I wouldn't have touched it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • therealdealau
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-12-10
                                                              • 3227

                                                              #520
                                                              Good call on Carlton and the over johno you are on fire mate
                                                              Comment
                                                              • johno35
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-19-11
                                                                • 1123

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by therealdealau
                                                                Good call on Carlton and the over johno you are on fire mate
                                                                Thanks mate, Essendon not looking good today, that might burn a few punters
                                                                Comment
                                                                • johno35
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-19-11
                                                                  • 1123

                                                                  #522
                                                                  GC/Collingwood over 162.5 - 1 unit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TwoWays
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                                    • 13145

                                                                    #523
                                                                    johno, what's up with the underdogs in afl. last week i think overall if you played straight dogs it ended -1. But the week before last and this week the dogs are killing it. Is this the tendency this year?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Shazzadude
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-28-12
                                                                      • 443

                                                                      #524
                                                                      Cheers for the 3 point totals plays Johno. I multied $100 on both of them
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • johno35
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                                        • 1123

                                                                        #525
                                                                        Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                                        johno, what's up with the underdogs in afl. last week i think overall if you played straight dogs it ended -1. But the week before last and this week the dogs are killing it. Is this the tendency this year?
                                                                        I think it shows just how close the competition is, anyone in the top 14 can challenge. GC in particular have been impressive, you just have to be on the right side at the right time, makes it hard
                                                                        Comment
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