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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23424

    #211
    Originally posted by harthebar
    How is the contest going guys ....... Sorry. Summer time is way to busy. Lifeguard in does have its good points.... playing the ponies isn't one ofvthem. Lol
    G L to all
    hey hart.. work before pleasure as they say.. I'm only competing against myself in here which is fine.. trying to get a good result over the 75 plays.. fun challenge
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23424

      #212
      R1 #6 non finisce mai (5-2)
      ________
      R2 #1 entry (4-1)

      both parts and the 1 one of those expensive rel/ped types.. fts

      ___________

      R4 #2 scatjack (8-1) play 46

      fts scat daddy out of stakes placed gone west mare.. nice ped.. not an ex/ped horse

      ___________

      R5 #3 overdramatic (8-1)

      described some of the things I like in my ? in str thread

      R8 #3 super allison (8-1)

      3rd off 9 month layoff and her last reminds me of the sprint race she ran in the bouwerie (nyb stakes) where she dropped and stretched next out to win..this a move this trainer excels at and carlos martin having an excellent saratoga so far..ran in a nyb stakes here last year and had a troubled trip ..at least 2 horses came out of that race to repeat

      R9 #4 eucalyptus (12-1)

      same trainer as R5 and similar mo..long layoff,horse who showed talent in limited starts last year..lrl works including last over training track here and 1st start for this trainer... clm 40k n2L seems like a good spot for him and admittedly would feel bad if he won and I didn't have it
      Last edited by JBEX; 08-14-17, 12:49 PM.
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23424

        #213
        added R4 R5
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23424

          #214
          added R8 R9
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23424

            #215
            decided between R4 and R8 gonna go with the former as play 46
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23424

              #216
              play 46

              out

              606
              13.1
              161.40

              11/4




              R1 #1 kremlin (4-1)

              similar cicumstances to big win 2 back..running line and two weeks exactly between races

              R2 #7 d'ambrosio (5-2)

              R4 #5 b three (15-1)

              has beyers on dirt that fit vs these..think he'll benefit from last turf effort with cutback,drop and surface switch

              R5 #10 ten eyck (8-1)

              homebred fts has win early and turf pedigree ..outside posts do well at this distance

              R6 #1 full salute (7-2)

              R8 #1 rooftop view (20-1) play 47

              horse seems to be back in shape after 2 non-efforts..back numbers from last year would get it done here..trainer has excellent roi's in many categories that apply

              R9 #6 schott (6-1)
              Last edited by JBEX; 08-16-17, 07:45 PM.
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23424

                #217
                added 3 plays
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23424

                  #218
                  play 47

                  4th @ 15-1


                  621
                  13.2
                  161.40

                  11/4
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23424

                    #219
                    R1 #1 friend of liberty (6-1)

                    back in 4 days off the claim (if he's not scratched) and trainer 8/24 first off.. jumping up to 32k from 20k claiming..has back numbers that get it done here.. biggest concern is assmussen dropped her to 20k off a 50k clm two back.. have a hunch that was just to get a win up there but could be a negative for sure.. finished 2nd by a neck having a wide trip last out

                    R2 #8 saratoga colonel (2-1)

                    R5 #3 paynter's prize (15-1) play 48

                    first year sire paynter (20k) could really motor.. dam was a stakes winner and has 1 winner from as many starters.. the dpi for that runner was very high so even though he wasn't a stakes winner must have been a decent runner.. trainer having a great meet and gets jose ortiz.. may get a little lost in here with some of the other big peds,trainers and others who've run decent already
                    Last edited by JBEX; 08-17-17, 01:30 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #220
                      Get em today
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23424

                        #221
                        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                        Get em today
                        thanks kid
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23424

                          #222
                          R5 play 48 (above)

                          R8 #6 court dancer (5-1)

                          R9 #1 held accountable (8-1)

                          think this is a very weak field between pedigrees and the ones who've run.. like the pedigree on this one and the fact he's a newbie
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23424

                            #223
                            saratoga R5

                            surprised they let the huge pedigree'd clement firster go off 10-1..6-1 ml and I thought would be lower at post time.. nice $54 exacta with one of the two chalks who surrounded him for a $106 triple
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #224
                              Nice hit in the 9th
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23424

                                #225
                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                Nice hit in the 9th

                                thanks kid
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23424

                                  #226
                                  R1 #2 undercutter (15-1)

                                  could see this first time gelding waking up at this level.. comes in off almost a year layoff and had to deal with breaking from the rail in big fields two and three starts backs.. won in 2nd career race off 3 month layoff last year



                                  R3 #5 empress of the nile (8-1)



                                  R4 #3 chubby master (9-2)

                                  last year..7/22 ..clm.. 25kn3l.. 6.5f..beyer 73..5th
                                  back.. 8/18..clm 14kn3l..7f.. 2nd by half length

                                  this year.. 7/23..clm 25k n3l.. 6.5f..beyer 72..5th
                                  back today.. clm 14kn3l..7f..????

                                  similar running lines



                                  R5 #5 lemoona (6-1)

                                  2yof msw turf 8.5f.. mott first timer by lemon drop kid (distance. turf).. cost 170k and for the info shown a lot of money.. not a ridiculous amount but definitely more than avg.. if it were belmont wouldn't pick but saratoga a different story..



                                  R6 #8 mominou (15-1) play 49

                                  combo ex/ped (slightly) speed pedigree and castellano rides for toner.. nice works




                                  R9 #5 blue prize (6-1)

                                  like the back class in argentina and both efforts here solid




                                  R10 #6 outrageous bet (6-1)

                                  has had extreme posts (inside or outside.. 1 post away I count) in his last 8 races..lands the 6 hole today.. seems to like turf sprinting
                                  and placed reasonably here. this jock has won at big prices for this trainer.. solid work pattern including a bullet 3f at bel 3 days ago
                                  Last edited by JBEX; 08-20-17, 03:36 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23424

                                    #227
                                    added R6 R9
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23424

                                      #228
                                      added R10
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23424

                                        #229
                                        play 48 49 both out

                                        644
                                        13.1
                                        161.40

                                        11/4



                                        ​back with picks for today
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23424

                                          #230
                                          R1 #1 ever young (5-1)
                                          R2 #1 thin dress (8-1)
                                          R3 #3 marnesia big girl (3-1)
                                          R4 #3 tres charmant (2-1)
                                          R5 #9 patriot drive (4-1)


                                          R6 #3 run and go (9-5)
                                          R7 #7 converge (8-5)


                                          R9 #3 bankers holiday (8-1) play 50

                                          guessing they've earned about 50-60k since the claim last year for 40k.. up for a 50k tag here and they'll be a 30k winner's share so like the math for running him here... if he's anywhere near his ability last year very capable vs these including a neck loss here with a very wide trip
                                          at same distance.. what put it over the top for me is trainer joe sharp 9/32 with a big roi coming off an over 180 day layoff



                                          chalky i know
                                          Last edited by JBEX; 08-21-17, 01:52 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23424

                                            #231
                                            finished card
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23424

                                              #232
                                              R9 play 50 and did writeup
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23424

                                                #233
                                                play 50

                                                4th

                                                650
                                                13.0
                                                161.40

                                                11 /4
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23424

                                                  #234
                                                  R1 #5 miguel grau (15-1)

                                                  this would fall under my similar running lines lead to success angle..last line to me looks similar to 8/6 here
                                                  last year which was followed by a good 2nd at 10-1 at belmont (going 3/16 further also)..also similar to 4/23/16
                                                  line. .gonna give him a break on soft turf following that race and then won by just shy of 10 lengths after that at 10-1..trainer valentine goes back a long way with hurdlers
                                                  off the top of my head but 0/25 jock crimin..hmm not so much ..ehh have a little fun lol


                                                  R3 #6 elusive mischief (9-2)

                                                  75k stud out of a placed dam and first foal to race. .350k BIG BUCKS..already hit with 2yo fts by into mischief earlier this meet although that was dirt..cost about the same if I remember correctly. .solid works including a bullet 4f bg out of 57 works 2 back

                                                  other note : #9 devine entry (6-1) at 100k is also ex/ped. .by new sire point of entry (dynaformer turf) out of an elusive quality mare (turf speed)..jose ortiz.. who's that !! ha ha..linda rice
                                                  Last edited by JBEX; 08-22-17, 06:07 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23424

                                                    #235
                                                    R6 only opinion 256 should get you through 1st leg

                                                    R7 #9 red curls (30-1)

                                                    trainer,owner,breeder (lambholm is his)0/35 this year including 0/6 at this meet..like this filly as a bomb mainly cause of her pedigree. curlin out of a stakes winning forest wildcat mare who has only raced on turf so far..3rd off 2.5 month layoff and 2 turns should be ok with that sire

                                                    more later

                                                    R8 #5 renown (10-1) play 51

                                                    4 wins last year at 12f including a listed and grade 3 stakes among them.. respectable 3rd in this race last year.. same last race at delaware prior to coming here in 2016.. belmont gold cup at 2 miles a little much 2 back.. ran evenly back of the pack behind a slow pace
                                                    in last.. think he's going to be overlay here


                                                    R9 #7 cliffs of dover (10-1)

                                                    wide posts last 3 starts.. ran evenly last out off 8+ month layoff and comment was " rank restrained to back". in prior two starts was on the front end of a closers track (according to drf)... prior to that a win at saratoga on the turf.. blinkers added 6 back seems to have made a big difference with this gelding.. saez has had success riding for trainer 3/11..positive roi


                                                    R10 #7 nut nut (8-1)

                                                    wide trip breaking from 13 post last time and caught behind a slow pace 2 back.. all 2nd's 2-4 back. I'd take 8-1 in a heartbeat on this one
                                                    Last edited by JBEX; 08-23-17, 03:23 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23424

                                                      #236
                                                      added R6 R7
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23424

                                                        #237
                                                        added R8 R9 and will have a pick for the last
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23424

                                                          #238
                                                          added R10
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-17-07
                                                            • 52143

                                                            #239
                                                            Get em today
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JBEX
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-02-12
                                                              • 23424

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                              Get em today
                                                              you too kid
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23424

                                                                #241
                                                                added play 51 in R8
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23424

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                  R6 only opinion 256 should get you through 1st leg

                                                                  R7 #9 red curls (30-1)

                                                                  trainer,owner,breeder (lambholm is his)0/35 this year including 0/6 at this meet..like this filly as a bomb mainly cause of her pedigree. curlin out of a stakes winning forest wildcat mare who has only raced on turf so far..3rd off 2.5 month layoff and 2 turns should be ok with that sire

                                                                  more later

                                                                  R8 #5 renown (10-1) play 51

                                                                  4 wins last year at 12f including a listed and grade 3 stakes among them.. respectable 3rd in this race last year.. same last race at delaware prior to coming here in 2016.. belmont gold cup at 2 miles a little much 2 back.. ran evenly back of the pack behind a slow pace
                                                                  in last.. think he's going to be overlay here


                                                                  R9 #7 cliffs of dover (10-1)

                                                                  wide posts last 3 starts.. ran evenly last out off 8+ month layoff and comment was " rank restrained to back". in prior two starts was on the front end of a closers track (according to drf)... prior to that a win at saratoga on the turf.. blinkers added 6 back seems to have made a big difference with this gelding.. saez has had success riding for trainer 3/11..positive roi


                                                                  R10 #7 nut nut (8-1)

                                                                  wide trip breaking from 13 post last time and caught behind a slow pace 2 back.. all 2nd's 2-4 back. I'd take 8-1 in a heartbeat on this one
                                                                  very wrong..opened 5-2 but inching up..7-2 about 20 mtp
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23424

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                    very wrong..opened 5-2 but inching up..7-2 about 20 mtp
                                                                    whole field between 5-2 and 5-1
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23424

                                                                      #244
                                                                      play 51

                                                                      out

                                                                      654
                                                                      12.8
                                                                      161.40


                                                                      11/4



                                                                      1st half of card up soon
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23424

                                                                        #245
                                                                        R1 #9 casino markets (20-1)
                                                                        R2 #5 la contessa (5-2)
                                                                        R3 #3 baratti (6-1)
                                                                        R4 #4 born for a storm (3-1)
                                                                        R6 #3 frost delay (15-1)

                                                                        more later
                                                                        Comment
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