I went 9 for 9 last night on O/U NHL! Here's how it works -->

Scully · 11-03-11, 01:17 PM

Originally posted by joedell

what time do you think you will posting your plays?

It's very easy to figure out the plays on your own using his system method once you've done it once or twice.

psychofking · 11-03-11, 01:32 PM

teach mehow to use it, from where get stats and which stats to use?

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 01:35 PM

I am starting to use the GF/GA for away games and home games seperately. I will be looking at the goalies for those games aswell. Tonight will be a good test with so many games to look at. I will post my picks an hour before the first game starts. Lots of opportunity for parlays tonight.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by psychofking

teach mehow to use it, from where get stats and which stats to use?

Its pretty easy just look at some of the previous posts.

psychofking · 11-03-11, 01:58 PM

tried, but not that numbers i get. and if you cant show onecalc example, maybe you can post three hours beforefirst play?;/ because my time is gmt+2.

Riceboi · 11-03-11, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by sbcash

to play devils advocate for a minute - do you guy really think these wagers are +EV with the juice they carry? im not saying you won't hit the vast majority of these - in fact you *should* hit the majority, but i'm not sure this is +EV in the long run.

so far spankmythighs (LOL @ name) is 63 out of 73 which is 86% win rate. To be profitable assuming avg juice is -350 per game (usually it's lower than that) and you bet the same amount every game, you would need about an 80% win rate to be profitable. This system is profitable as of now since he started. Will it be profitable for the whole season? I don't know (nobody knows), but it's looking good so far for 73 games in. All I know is i'm tailing until it starts failing hard.

psychofking · 11-03-11, 03:22 PM

allright, i get it. thanks and BOL

Coach Potato · 11-03-11, 03:59 PM

so let me see if i got this right. For example take the islanders/jets game tonight; the jets GF is 2.6 and their GA is 3.6. The islanders GF is 2.0 and their GA is 2.4. You add those numbers up (2.6 + 3.6 + 2.0 + 2.4) and you get 10.6. Then you divide 10.6 by 2 which is 5.3 and because this munber is less than 5.5 you will play under 6.5 goals in the islanders/jets game.

Is that right?

Riceboi · 11-03-11, 05:41 PM

spankmythighs where are ya?

AceKingHigh · 11-03-11, 05:51 PM

No plays for today?!

sbcash · 11-03-11, 05:56 PM

jeez it really couldn't be simpler for ya'll to find this out. 1) find a website that has hockey stats. 2) perform the 4th grade arithmetic on p 1 of this thread. Using totals (no home/away splits) I yield:

Jets - Under
Duckers - Under
Devils - Over
Leafs - Over
Hawks - Under
Flames - Under
Canucks - Under
Preds - EXACTLY 5.5 - splits yield under result tho
Penguins - Under
Oilers - Under

BOL guys!

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 05:58 PM

Little late but here are the first 7 games:

WPG at NYI UNDER 6.5
ANA at NYR OVER 4.5
NJ at PHILI OVER 4.5
TOR at CBS OVER 4.5
FLA at CHI OVER 4.5
CAL at DET UNDER 6.5
VAN at MINN UNDER 6.5

Let's get'em. Hope u guys were close to this.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 05:59 PM

Will have the other 3 games shortly.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by sbcash

jeez it really couldn't be simpler for ya'll to find this out. 1) find a website that has hockey stats. 2) perform the 4th grade arithmetic on p 1 of this thread. Using totals (no home/away splits) I yield:

Jets - Under
Duckers - Under
Devils - Over
Leafs - Over
Hawks - Under
Flames - Under
Canucks - Under
Preds - EXACTLY 5.5 - splits yield under result tho
Penguins - Under
Oilers - Under

BOL guys!

Looks like we have a couple differences. I used GFH/GAH and GFA/GAA for the averages.

Wrestler31 · 11-03-11, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Little late but here are the first 7 games:

WPG at NYI UNDER 6.5
ANA at NYR OVER 4.5
NJ at PHILI OVER 4.5
TOR at CBS OVER 4.5
FLA at CHI OVER 4.5
CAL at DET UNDER 6.5
VAN at MINN UNDER 6.5

Let's get'em. Hope u guys were close to this.

any parlays? Or you taking them each around -260?

Riceboi · 11-03-11, 06:12 PM

i parlayed a bunch of different combinations into 2 or 3 teamers, best of luck to all of us.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 06:12 PM

Actually it was a little less than that. I didn't parlay any but parlays on nights like tonight using 2-4 games would be a gd idea.

Riceboi · 11-03-11, 06:46 PM

come on flyers and devils, score lol.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 07:30 PM

Well so far so gd. 2 games won already in the 2nd period. NJ just tied it at 2 so that will be a winner and TOR going crazy on Columbus. 2-0 for the night so far. Need NYR and Anaheim to start scoring.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 07:42 PM

Here are my other picks for the night:

NAS at PHX UNDER 6.5
PITT at SJ OVER 4.5
EDM at LA UNDER 6.5

joedell · 11-03-11, 09:06 PM

only 1 loss and thats the rangers game everything else good so far though lets get these last 3

Wrestler31 · 11-03-11, 10:01 PM

SpankMyThighs where do you get your stats from? Mine were a bit off of yours..

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 10:13 PM

Last 3 are looking gd so far. I will take a 9-1 night. These big nights are nail biters! @Wrestler I am just looking at each teams schedule and then seeing how they do on the road if they are playing a road game and seeing how they are doing at home if playing at home. I just use the goals for away games if they are playing away and the same for home games.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Little late but here are the first 7 games:

WPG at NYI UNDER 6.5

ANA at NYR OVER 4.5

NJ at PHILI OVER 4.5

TOR at CBS OVER 4.5

FLA at CHI OVER 4.5

CAL at DET UNDER 6.5

VAN at MINN UNDER 6.5

Let's get'em. Hope u guys were close to this.

Ja!

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 10:17 PM

Having a good night on the ties aswell.

Riceboi · 11-03-11, 10:22 PM

hey spank, what book do you use? 5dimes let's me change the totals but the juice isn't as low as yours.

spankmythighs · 11-03-11, 10:28 PM

Originally posted by Riceboi

hey spank, what book do you use? 5dimes let's me change the totals but the juice isn't as low as yours.

Partybets or Gamebookers. They are solid grade B books. They are affiliated with Party Poker. Never had a problem with withdrawals.

psychofking · 11-04-11, 02:05 AM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Little late but here are the first 7 games:

WPG at NYI UNDER 6.5
ANA at NYR OVER 4.5
NJ at PHILI OVER 4.5
TOR at CBS OVER 4.5
FLA at CHI OVER 4.5
CAL at DET UNDER 6.5
VAN at MINN UNDER 6.5

Let's get'em. Hope u guys were close to this.

i got this under, what is your's calc? i got (4.75 + 4.25)/2=4.5

jonathanmills65 · 11-04-11, 04:03 AM

what would you do if they move there lines to 5.5 o/u?

spankmythighs · 11-04-11, 06:44 AM

Originally posted by psychofking

i got this under, what is your's calc? i got (4.75 + 4.25)/2=4.5

I used all of the away game averages for Florida and all of the home game averages for Chicago and came up with Florida GFA-2.71/GAA-2.57 and Chicago GFH-4/GAH-3.

spankmythighs · 11-04-11, 06:51 AM

Well another great night going 9-1! I don't like losses but they will happen. That brings my record to 72-11 for the last 2 weeks. Not bad if I do say so myself. Hope you guys are cashing this. I know my book doesn't allow for US players so I hope there is a book that is similar out there. Sounds like some guys are using 5dimes instead. Don't be afraid to send some points my way. Thanks guys and let's keep rockin'!

Time2Score · 11-04-11, 09:21 AM

This is rather interesting...Keep up the good work! Will be checking back in tomorrow to see if any of my plays match yours.

EasyPicks · 11-04-11, 10:03 AM

spank,

pls put also the units total in front of the record. 72-11 is greatly appealing and this could misleading some new guys who just arrive to the forum or to this thread (not knowing the juice involved in every bet).

with that said, I think u are doing a very good job.

sbcash · 11-04-11, 10:08 AM

last night was my first time using this system - straight bet on each plus a 2x round robin parlays. won all but 1 which was a push. i have to say i am still skeptical about this due to the juice, but am giving it a shot. good stuff!

sbcash · 11-04-11, 10:31 AM

also, under this system i am comparing the totals (home + away) to the respective home/away splits as spank is now doing. sometimes this produces a conflicting result - e.g. under this system, tonights habs/sens match-up is an OVER when using total GF/GFA but UNDER when looking at respective home/away splits. The following match-ups tonight have consistent results for both the totals and splits:

Caps/Hurricanes
Canucks/Blues
Avs/Stars

i am putting a straight bet on each as well as a round robin.

good luck all!