I went 9 for 9 last night on O/U NHL! Here's how it works -->

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  • spankmythighs
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-10
    • 2884

    #1
    I went 9 for 9 last night on O/U NHL! Here's how it works -->
    I didn't want to start doing this till they were about 10 games in on the season. Here is what I do:

    A) I only use GameBookers.com for these bets because they offer O/U between 4.5 and 6.5
    B) Take the total GF and GA average for both teams and add them together. Then divide them by 2. If it equals less than 5.5 go with UNDER 6.5. If it is greater than 5.5 go with the OVER 4.5.
    C) I would advise mainly single bets but I have hit alot of parlays aswell. Last night hit a 9-game parlay with 12-1 odds.

    I started doing this last Sat. and will post my record so far for the year in my next post. Here are tonights plays:

    Phili VS. MTL --- OVER 4.5 -250
    Col VS. CAL --- UNDER 6.5 -227
    StL VS. VAN --- OVER 4.5 -250

    3-game parlay --- +282


    GL all. I play every game, every night.
    sbr
  • MrShrink
    SBR MVP
    • 01-19-10
    • 1054

    #2
    Originally posted by spankmythighs
    I play every game, every night.
    Comment
    • NYSportsGuy210
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-07-09
      • 11347

      #3
      Interesting theory. Keep me updated.
      Comment
      • spankmythighs
        SBR MVP
        • 01-26-10
        • 2884

        #4
        I am 26 - 1 currently on this system using single bets. I am 3 - 1 on parlays which include every game on the night so last night I was 9 for 9 and last Sat. I was 14 for 14!
        sbr
        Comment
        • Baqu
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-09-10
          • 130

          #5
          Good luck with the run spankmythighs, hope you gonna crush it all season long
          Comment
          • Cicima6709
            SBR MVP
            • 09-12-10
            • 1023

            #6
            Look into maybe home GA/GF and road GA/GF? Might make it a bit more accurate too?

            This early into the season though, wouldnt one 7 goal game or a few shutouts really swing the average a LOT?

            Curious how this does. good luck.
            Comment
            • spankmythighs
              SBR MVP
              • 01-26-10
              • 2884

              #7
              Originally posted by Baqu
              Good luck with the run spankmythighs, hope you gonna crush it all season long
              Thanks man! Between this system and On3's system, should be able to cash in.
              sbr
              Comment
              • Romanov
                SBR MVP
                • 10-08-10
                • 4137

                #8
                jesus christ, as if the book didn't take into account average fukking goals scored
                Comment
                • spankmythighs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-26-10
                  • 2884

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Cicima6709
                  Look into maybe home GA/GF and road GA/GF? Might make it a bit more accurate too?

                  This early into the season though, wouldnt one 7 goal game or a few shutouts really swing the average a LOT?

                  Curious how this does. good luck.
                  Good point. I will take a look at the home and away GA/GF.
                  sbr
                  Comment
                  • supr_villn
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-16-11
                    • 990

                    #10
                    only true system is finding & being 1 w/ the fugazi ..
                    everything else is more or less just throwing darts

                    ps

                    u have the exact totals i do 2nite ..
                    although i haven't seen the lines yet !



                    THAT SAID ,,
                    GO GET 'EM

                    Comment
                    • supr_villn
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-16-11
                      • 990

                      #11
                      just looked again & we have different totals
                      Comment
                      • spankmythighs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-26-10
                        • 2884

                        #12
                        It's all good. Hope we all have a gd night!
                        sbr
                        Comment
                        • spankmythighs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-26-10
                          • 2884

                          #13
                          Will be doing this in baseball next spring aswell full-time. I just turned pro in golf and will be using this as a crutch so to speak for extra spending money.
                          sbr
                          Comment
                          • OperatorX
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-21-09
                            • 1516

                            #14
                            Oh I think I get it, so the teams that score more goals on average should be favorites to hit the overs!
                            Comment
                            • erk419
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 10-19-11
                              • 1

                              #15
                              Interesting, the sportsbook I'm using has all three games at 5.5 tonight so what would you suggest in this case?
                              Comment
                              • Boxing Champ
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-11-11
                                • 3358

                                #16
                                Originally posted by erk419
                                Interesting, the sportsbook I'm using has all three games at 5.5 tonight so what would you suggest in this case?
                                Switch to a different book.....5Dimes
                                Comment
                                • BigDofBA
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-30-09
                                  • 19313

                                  #17
                                  It looks like you're buying a goal and paying outrageous juice.

                                  Gl with that.
                                  Comment
                                  • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-17-09
                                    • 11939

                                    #18
                                    Way to much juice on those plays.
                                    Comment
                                    • bfritsc3
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 10-11-11
                                      • 169

                                      #19
                                      is gamebookers.com the only site that allows you to do the 4.5 and 6.5??
                                      Comment
                                      • 70kgman
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-31-10
                                        • 4354

                                        #20
                                        Sounds like you are off to a good (lucky) start. But I am sure that is a losing proposition over any kind of long term sample size considering how you come up with your numbers and the fact you are using season averages only which will become less and less relevant as the season progresses..

                                        If you are going to use just that one angle to cap the games and want a tip, this would be a lot more a accurate than just adding up the teams GF/GA and dividing by two...Take the average GF/GA of all the teams which is currently 2.56. Then take the four individual GF/GA averages from the two teams playing and create a +/- off that 2.56 number. If it was Boston/Montreal, it would look like -0.31, -0.18, -0.31, +0.56 which adds up to -0.24, then add that to the 2.56 x 2 which equals 5.09.
                                        Comment
                                        • puckhead31
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 03-14-11
                                          • 564

                                          #21
                                          last night, lucky goals happened.

                                          early in the season, this system wont last with hockey

                                          sorry but its true
                                          Comment
                                          • pickemtowinem
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 03-03-11
                                            • 1446

                                            #22
                                            If its working for u, that is awesome. But paying -250 on a 1 goal differential is pretty juiced up.
                                            Continued success with this though.....cant argue with 9-0 and 14-0 nights.
                                            Good luck!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • ferrarif2399
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 09-24-11
                                              • 42

                                              #23
                                              I like those a lot. Wish my site could change the o/u like that. Question for the masses: Do you guys like Philly 1.5?? I took it and think they may put 7 goals on them, personally.
                                              Comment
                                              • spankmythighs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-26-10
                                                • 2884

                                                #24
                                                I know the juice is a little high but it works. I am placing some bets with only a half point to track. I am risking enough in each game to win $50 so right now as it stands I am 26-1, +23.5 units since Saturday. We will see how it goes. Little risky since it would take approx. 2.5 wins to recoup a loss but right now I have some breathing room so I will go with it. The parlay bets have increased my bankroll aswell. I like Gamebookers because its easy to upload funds and it only takes a few hours to transfer the money to my Moneybookers.
                                                sbr
                                                Comment
                                                • Bswitz32
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 07-24-09
                                                  • 460

                                                  #25
                                                  I like this. 5dimes allows you do go 4.5 and 6.5 so will be watching this one

                                                  tHANKS
                                                  Comment
                                                  • fjordo
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 1298

                                                    #26
                                                    Pinnacle offers the buying and selling of points too. Half points, as well as whole.

                                                    The STL/VAN game, I would rather play over 5 @ -174, than over 4.5 @ -278

                                                    Would equate to a few pushes, but would greatly lower your losses.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • spankmythighs
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-26-10
                                                      • 2884

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by fjordo
                                                      Pinnacle offers the buying and selling of points too. Half points, as well as whole.

                                                      The STL/VAN game, I would rather play over 5 @ -174, than over 4.5 @ -278

                                                      Would equate to a few pushes, but would greatly lower your losses.
                                                      True enough. I took all the same bets with the extra half point aswell. I got STL/Van @ -250 over 4.5 and over 5 @ -160. I think I will play both to see what happens and minimize any losses.

                                                      Phili VS. MTL OVER 4.5 ---- WIN
                                                      Phili VS. MTL OVER 5 ------ WIN
                                                      sbr
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lilb999
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-13-10
                                                        • 997

                                                        #28
                                                        Phil/mtl over 5? U never posted that ;P
                                                        Comment
                                                        • NYSportsGuy210
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-07-09
                                                          • 11347

                                                          #29
                                                          You went 2-1 on three extremely high juiced bets. That means you broke even.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sawyer
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-01-09
                                                            • 7761

                                                            #30
                                                            You're killing the value this way. You're paying too much to buy one goal.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shearer
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-23-07
                                                              • 35

                                                              #31
                                                              yes i agree with sawyer and one things gamebookers are crap in generaly
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RED
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-07-09
                                                                • 245

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Sawyer
                                                                You're killing the value this way. You're paying too much to buy one goal.
                                                                Not if you parlay a few of the plays, it pays just fine.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • spankmythighs
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-26-10
                                                                  • 2884

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by RED
                                                                  Not if you parlay a few of the plays, it pays just fine.
                                                                  Off night but like RED says, if I add a few parlays here and there it offsets my losses. Sure I broke even last night but I was up $450 the night before so I'm not discouraged. Looking forward to a better night tonight.
                                                                  sbr
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ebbearsfb1
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-07-08
                                                                    • 18815

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Best way to do is parlays... 2 or 3 games
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BroDog73
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-09-11
                                                                      • 349

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                                      You went 2-1 on three extremely high juiced bets. That means you broke even.
                                                                      Actually he lost money. He says he bets $50 per game. That means he lost $25 (50+50-125). Does anyone really believe he went 9-0 and 14-0? Come on guys!! Especially when the 1st night he posts, he goes 2-1???
                                                                      Comment
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