ElCapitan's 2011-2012 NHL Thread

stevex · 01-15-12, 08:13 PM

Good job with keeping every thing up to date Capitan...

Rough start, but it will most likely get better in the 2nd half of the season

ElCapitan · 01-16-12, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by stevex

Good job with keeping every thing up to date Capitan...

Rough start, but it will most likely get better in the 2nd half of the season

Thanks, Steve. Yeah, it's been a rough start. Hopefully we can minimize the damage in the 2nd half.

ElCapitan · 01-16-12, 12:10 PM

1/16 Plays

Early game today.

V1 Buffalo Sabres (B) ML +195 (1.03 to win 2) (5Dimes)
V1 Buffalo Sabres (B) PL -145 (5.00 to win 3.45) (5Dimes)

V1 Nashville Predators (A) ML -113 (1.13 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 Nashville Predators(A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.13 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Boston Bruins (B) ML -170 (5.15 to win 3.03) (5Dimes)
V2 Boston Bruins (B) PL (fav, play ML) (5.15 to win 3.03) (5Dimes)

oklahoma · 01-16-12, 03:33 PM

just got in the preds play at 12:58

nice win

ElCapitan · 01-17-12, 02:08 PM

1/16 Results

Originally posted by ElCapitan

Early game today.

V1 Buffalo Sabres (B) ML +195 (1.03 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V1 Buffalo Sabres (B) PL -145 (5.00 to win 3.45) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V1 Nashville Predators (A) ML -113 (1.13 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 Nashville Predators(A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.13 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Boston Bruins (B) ML -170 (5.15 to win 3.03) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V2 Boston Bruins (B) PL (fav, play ML) (5.15 to win 3.03) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 45(A)-24(B)-10(C) (-15.24) SERIES: 35-8 (2 pending)
V1 PL: 45(A)-18(B)-3(C) (-67.81) SERIES: 41-3 (1 pending)

V2 ML: 50(A)-28(B)-13(C) (+4.83) SERIES: 42-8
V2 PL: 50(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-6.63) SERIES: 48-2

ElCapitan · 01-17-12, 02:32 PM

1/17 Plays

V1 Minnesota Wild (B) ML +180 (1.77 to win 3.18) (5Dimes)

V1 Ottawa Senators (A) ML +117 (1 to win 1.17) (5Dimes)
V1 Ottawa Senators(A) PL -245 (2.45 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Calgary Flames (A) ML +170 (1 to win 1.7) (5Dimes)
V2 Calgary Flames(A) PL -170 (1.7 to win 1) (5Dimes)

greally311 · 01-17-12, 08:38 PM

Hate to be a pest but the minn ml is a c bet....just trying to help out

ElCapitan · 01-18-12, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by greally311

Hate to be a pest but the minn ml is a c bet....just trying to help out

You are correct. Thanks for the catch. I do a lot of copy/pasting and sometimes miss one. I'll update this in the results post.

ElCapitan · 01-18-12, 10:28 AM

1/17 Results

Originally posted by ElCapitan

V1 Minnesota Wild (C) ML +180 (1.77 to win 3.18) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V1 Ottawa Senators (A) ML +117 (1 to win 1.17) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 Ottawa Senators(A) PL -245 (2.45 to win 1) (5Dimes)*WIN*

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Calgary Flames (A) ML +170 (1 to win 1.7) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Calgary Flames(A) PL -170 (1.7 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 46(A)-24(B)-11(C) (-15.84) SERIES: 36-9 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 46(A)-18(B)-3(C) (-66.81) SERIES: 42-3 (1 pending)

V2 ML: 51(A)-28(B)-13(C) (+3.83) SERIES: 42-8 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 51(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-5.63) SERIES: 49-2

ElCapitan · 01-18-12, 10:34 AM

1/18 Plays

V1 Buffalo Sabres (C) ML +195 (1.55 to win 3.03) (5Dimes)
V1 Buffalo Sabres (C) PL -145 (12.25 to win 8.45) (5Dimes)

V1 Florida Panthers (A) ML +100 (1 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 Florida Panthers (A) PL -300 (3 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Washington Capitals (A) ML +115 (1 to win 1.15) (5Dimes)
V2 Washington Capitals (A) PL -250 (2.5 to win 1) (5Dimes)

johncrud · 01-18-12, 12:36 PM

all C bets have lost this year?

ElCapitan · 01-18-12, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by johncrud

all C bets have lost this year?

For V1, 3 of 4 have lost on the PL, and 9 of 12 have lost on the ML.

For V2, 2 of 8 have lost on the PL, and 8 of 13 have lost on the ML.

johncrud · 01-18-12, 02:42 PM

It was confusing at first. Since you wrote 3(C) on your record, that led me believed this system had 3 winning series ended at C so far. When I search back all the series that ended with C games, they were all losses.

Kev the Brit · 01-18-12, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by johncrud

It was confusing at first. Since you wrote 3(C) on your record, that led me believed this system had 3 winning series ended at C so far. When I search back all the series that ended with C games, they were all losses.

So far, yes, all 3 V1 C Bets have lost. Tonight is the 4th C Bet.

Andy3568 · 01-18-12, 10:11 PM

...and another C loss. Unbelievable!

Kev the Brit · 01-19-12, 05:14 AM

Over the past few years I've found that the first 90% of the JM season (all sports) is only preliminary to the last 10%. In those last few series, I have been able to consolidate all of the residual lost money that I hadn't already recovered and still achieve an overall target of 1 unit per series for the season. However, a profit cannot be achieved this year with 4 series failures.

So, I will now bump up my targets by a moderate amount until mid-March and then I will calculate the final targets to recover all of my lost stakes to take me back to zero loss (no profit either).

ElCapitan · 01-19-12, 10:09 AM

1/18 Results

And the bloodbath continues...

Originally posted by ElCapitan

V1 Buffalo Sabres (C) ML +195 (1.55 to win 3.03) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V1 Buffalo Sabres (C) PL -145 (12.25 to win 8.45) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V1 Florida Panthers (A) ML +100 (1 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V1 Florida Panthers (A) PL -300 (3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Washington Capitals (A) ML +115 (1 to win 1.15) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V2 Washington Capitals (A) PL -250 (2.5 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 47(A)-24(B)-12(C) (-18.39) SERIES: 36-10 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 47(A)-18(B)-4(C) (-78.06) SERIES: 43-4

V2 ML: 52(A)-28(B)-13(C) (+4.98) SERIES: 43-8 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 52(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-4.63) SERIES: 50-2

ElCapitan · 01-19-12, 10:12 AM

1/19 Plays

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Calgary Flames (B) ML +160 (1.25 to win 2) (5Dimes)

ElCapitan · 01-20-12, 02:26 PM

1/19 Results

Originally posted by ElCapitan

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Calgary Flames (B) ML +160 (1.25 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 47(A)-24(B)-12(C) (-18.39) SERIES: 36-10 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 47(A)-18(B)-4(C) (-78.06) SERIES: 43-4

V2 ML: 52(A)-29(B)-13(C) (+6.98) SERIES: 44-8
V2 PL: 52(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-4.63) SERIES: 50-2

ElCapitan · 01-20-12, 02:29 PM

1/20 Plays

V1 Florida Panthers (B) ML +100 (1.18 to win 2) (5Dimes)

Kev the Brit · 01-21-12, 12:33 PM

1/21 has Columbus as a V1 play. However, Columbus is the worst road team, so its not an official JM play.

ElCapitan · 01-21-12, 02:36 PM

1/20 Results

Originally posted by ElCapitan

V1 Florida Panthers (B) ML +170 (1.18 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

Record:
V1 ML: 47(A)-25(B)-12(C) (-19.57) SERIES: 36-10 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 47(A)-18(B)-4(C) (-78.06) SERIES: 43-4

V2 ML: 52(A)-29(B)-13(C) (+6.98) SERIES: 44-8
V2 PL: 52(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-4.63) SERIES: 50-2

ElCapitan · 01-21-12, 02:42 PM

1/21 Plays

V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) ML +101 (1 to win 1.01) (5Dimes)
V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) ML +285 (1 to win 2.85) (5Dimes)

V1 Florida Panthers (C) ML +138 (2.30 to win 3.18) (5Dimes)

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 San Jose Sharks (A) ML +140 (1 to win 1.40) (5Dimes)
V2 San Jose Sharks(A) PL -205 (2.05 to win 1) (5Dimes)

greally311 · 01-21-12, 10:34 PM

Cap with all of these pointless empty net goals, have you ever looked into
Playing the home team-1.5?

ElCapitan · 01-22-12, 12:12 AM

I have not.

ElCapitan · 01-22-12, 12:15 AM

1/21 Results

Originally posted by ElCapitan

V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) ML +101 (1 to win 1.01) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (A) PL +285 (1 to win 2.85) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V1 Florida Panthers (C) ML +138 (2.30 to win 3.18) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 San Jose Sharks (A) ML +140 (1 to win 1.40) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 San Jose Sharks(A) PL -205 (2.05 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 48(A)-25(B)-13(C) (-17.39) SERIES: 37-10 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 48(A)-18(B)-4(C) (-77.05) SERIES: 44-4

V2 ML: 53(A)-29(B)-13(C) (+5.98) SERIES: 44-8 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 53(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-3.63) SERIES: 51-2

ElCapitan · 01-23-12, 11:53 AM

There were no plays for Sunday, 1/22.

ElCapitan · 01-23-12, 11:58 AM

1/23 Plays

V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (B) ML +195 (1.03 to win 2) (5Dimes)

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 San Jose Sharks (B) ML -168 (3.36 to win 2) (5Dimes)

V2 Winnipeg Jets (A) ML +111 (1 to win 1.11) (5Dimes)
V2 Winnipeg Jets (A) PL -265 (2.65 to win 1) (5Dimes)

adidas-b 88 · 01-23-12, 07:31 PM

This is my first time seeing the jm nhl posts, is there a back test for the past couple of years. This jm system seems like a flop. I know it did well two years ago but last and this year seems horrible...

ElCapitan · 01-24-12, 12:21 PM

1/23 Results

Originally posted by ElCapitan

V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (B) ML +195 (1.03 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 San Jose Sharks (B) ML -168 (3.36 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V2 Winnipeg Jets (A) ML +111 (1 to win 1.11) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Winnipeg Jets (A) PL -265 (2.65 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 48(A)-26(B)-13(C) (-18.42) SERIES: 37-10 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 48(A)-18(B)-4(C) (-77.05) SERIES: 44-4

V2 ML: 54(A)-30(B)-13(C) (+1.62) SERIES: 44-8 (2 pending)
V2 PL: 54(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-2.63) SERIES: 52-2

ElCapitan · 01-24-12, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by adidas-b 88

This is my first time seeing the jm nhl posts, is there a back test for the past couple of years. This jm system seems like a flop. I know it did well two years ago but last and this year seems horrible...

You'll have to check with Kev the Brit but I believe the V1 system has done well more than the last two years. V1 was profitable last year but V2 killed all of that.

But yes, this year is horrible for both.

ElCapitan · 01-24-12, 12:31 PM

1/24 Plays

V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (C) ML +155 (1.95 to win 3.03) (5Dimes)

V1 Nashville Predators (A) ML +130 (1 to win 1.3) (5Dimes)
V1 Nashville Predators (A) PL -220 (2.2 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 San Jose Sharks (C) ML -105 (5.63 to win 5.36) (5Dimes)

V2 Winnipeg Jets (B) ML +205 (0.98 to win 2) (5Dimes)

adidas-b 88 · 01-24-12, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by ElCapitan

You'll have to check with Kev the Brit but I believe the V1 system has done well more than the last two years. V1 was profitable last year but V2 killed all of that.

But yes, this year is horrible for both.

that sucks man, hopefully you guys can recover some of the amounts you lost by the end of the season. Best of luck to all

ElCapitan · 01-25-12, 11:20 AM

1/24 Results

Originally posted by ElCapitan

V1 Columbus Blue Jackets (C) ML +155 (1.95 to win 3.03) *LOSS* (5Dimes)

V1 Nashville Predators (A) ML +130 (1 to win 1.3) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 Nashville Predators (A) PL -220 (2.2 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 San Jose Sharks (C) ML -105 (5.63 to win 5.36) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V2 Winnipeg Jets (B) ML +205 (0.98 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

Record:
V1 ML: 49(A)-26(B)-14(C) (-19.07) SERIES: 38-11
V1 PL: 49(A)-18(B)-4(C) (-76.05) SERIES: 45-4

V2 ML: 54(A)-31(B)-14(C) (+6.00) SERIES: 45-8 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 54(A)-17(B)-8(C) (-2.63) SERIES: 52-2

ElCapitan · 01-25-12, 11:22 AM

1/25 Plays

V1 Detroit Red Wings (A) ML -147 (1.47 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 Detroit Red Wings (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.47 to win 1) (5Dimes)