ElCapitan's 2011-2012 NHL Thread

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  • ElCapitan
    SBR MVP
    • 08-19-08
    • 2129

    #596
    12/5 Results

    Originally posted by ElCapitan
    V2 Play - tracking only

    V2 Phoenix Coyotes (A) ML +140 (1 to win 1.4) (5Dimes) *WIN*
    V2 Phoenix Coyotes (A) PL -225 (2.25 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

    V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (A) ML +105 (1 to win 1.05) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
    V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (A) PL -280 (2.8 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
    Record:
    V1 ML: 22(A)-11(B)-5(C) (-2.45) SERIES: 19-3
    V1 PL: 22(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-55.22) SERIES: 20-2

    V2 ML: 27(A)-11(B)-4(C) (+21.81) SERIES: 25-1 (1 pending)
    V2 PL: 27(A)-6(B)-3(C) (+5.28) SERIES: 25-1 (1 pending)
    Comment
    • ElCapitan
      SBR MVP
      • 08-19-08
      • 2129

      #597
      12/6 Plays

      V1 Carolina Hurricanes (A) ML +115 (1 to win 1.15) (5Dimes)
      V1 Carolina Hurricanes(A) PL -260 (2.6 to win 1) (5Dimes)


      V2 Play - tracking only

      V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) ML +185 (1 to win 1.85) (5Dimes)
      V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) PL -155 (1.55 to win 1) (5Dimes)

      V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) ML +100 (2 to win 2) (5Dimes)
      V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) PL -285 (10.83 to win 3.8) (5Dimes)
      Comment
      • EasyPicks
        SBR MVP
        • 10-21-11
        • 3804

        #598
        ouch!

        It's still doable to get back in the green on the PL?
        Comment
        • thelimit0310
          SBR MVP
          • 01-24-11
          • 1233

          #599
          If youve chased and lost the full -55 units thus far there aren't enough series to completely recover.
          Comment
          • Bet Striker
            SBR Hustler
            • 10-25-10
            • 68

            #600
            Originally posted by oklahoma
            not quite. i dont remember how his record works but it shows 22-11-5. so playing straight up isnt the way to go. you damn well would not be 19-3 +17units.

            You have to remember this is a Chase system. I was referring to the system record. By that's what I meant and that's he gets his record and it shows positive units even with the series losses.
            Comment
            • ElCapitan
              SBR MVP
              • 08-19-08
              • 2129

              #601
              Originally posted by ElCapitan
              V1 Carolina Hurricanes (A) ML +115 (1 to win 1.15) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
              V1 Carolina Hurricanes(A) PL -260 (2.6 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*


              V2 Play - tracking only

              V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) ML +185 (1 to win 1.85) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
              V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) PL -155 (1.55 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

              V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) ML +100 (2 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
              V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) PL -285 (10.83 to win 3.8) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
              Record:
              V1 ML: 23(A)-11(B)-5(C) (-3.45) SERIES: 19-3 (1 pending)
              V1 PL: 23(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.22) SERIES: 21-2

              V2 ML: 28(A)-12(B)-4(C) (+18.81) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)
              V2 PL: 28(A)-7(B)-3(C) (-7.10) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)
              Comment
              • ElCapitan
                SBR MVP
                • 08-19-08
                • 2129

                #602
                12/7 Plays

                V1 Carolina Hurricanes (B) ML +135 (1.48 to win 2) (5Dimes)
                Comment
                • jcygts6
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-05-09
                  • 3316

                  #603
                  Thanks boss
                  DO WORK + KROW OD
                  do work! do work! do work! do work!
                  od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                  Comment
                  • Win89
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-06-11
                    • 157

                    #604
                    You guys think the V2 ML will do much better than where it is now considering last season totaled out at -11 units and +21 the year before?
                    Comment
                    • Kev the Brit
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-25-09
                      • 2027

                      #605
                      Originally posted by Win89
                      You guys think the V2 ML will do much better than where it is now considering last season totaled out at -11 units and +21 the year before?
                      It might work, or it might not. The V2 system has no restrictions on it. Chase any team on the road for 3 games or more. When JM brought it out, 2 seasons ago, he did not say anything about its pedigree or back testing.

                      However, when you think about it, how did JM (or whoever) arrive at the V1 system? I reckon he backtested all teams on the road and recognised that only cross conference games produced the required reliability. This would suggest that V2 (no conference restriction) was filtered out as unreliable. For this reason I do not play the V2. I think last season was out of character.

                      Kev
                      Comment
                      • cubfan2121
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 02-24-08
                        • 188

                        #606
                        Can someone scan through and check what the record of back to back games are?
                        Tampa bay got killed yesterday while playing back to back and carolina is going back to back today as well

                        Im not sure if the thread is on this site but there is a flat betting b2b road system that is hitting 63%
                        Basicly you fade a team thats on the road b2b games

                        maybe a possible tweak would be to either to stay away from b2b or reduce unit size
                        Comment
                        • cubfan2121
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 02-24-08
                          • 188

                          #607
                          here is the b2b fade system from covers
                          covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101173524
                          Originally posted by cubfan2121
                          Can someone scan through and check what the record of back to back games are?
                          Tampa bay got killed yesterday while playing back to back and carolina is going back to back today as well

                          Im not sure if the thread is on this site but there is a flat betting b2b road system that is hitting 63%
                          Basicly you fade a team thats on the road b2b games

                          maybe a possible tweak would be to either to stay away from b2b or reduce unit size
                          Comment
                          • oklahoma
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-22-10
                            • 602

                            #608
                            canes
                            Comment
                            • ElCapitan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-19-08
                              • 2129

                              #609
                              12/7 Results

                              Originally posted by ElCapitan
                              V1 Carolina Hurricanes (B) ML +135 (1.48 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                              Record:
                              V1 ML: 23(A)-12(B)-5(C) (-1.45) SERIES: 20-3
                              V1 PL: 23(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.22) SERIES: 21-2

                              V2 ML: 28(A)-12(B)-4(C) (+18.81) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)
                              V2 PL: 28(A)-7(B)-3(C) (-7.10) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)
                              Comment
                              • ElCapitan
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-19-08
                                • 2129

                                #610
                                12/8 Plays

                                Big day today!

                                V1 Dallas Stars (A) ML +170 (1 to win 1.70) (DSI)
                                V1 Dallas Stars (A) PL -162 (1.62 to win 1) (5Dimes)

                                V1 Vancouver Canucks (A) ML -130 (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes)
                                V1 Vancouver Canucks(A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes)


                                V2 Play - tracking only

                                V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) ML +115 (1.74 to win 2) (DSI)
                                V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) PL -250 (6.38 to win 2.55) (DSI)

                                V2 Florida Panthers (A) ML +168 (1 to win 1.68) (5Dimes)
                                V2 Florida Panthers (A) PL -165 (1.65 to win 1) (5Dimes)

                                V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) ML +145 (2.76 to win 4) (DSI)
                                V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) PL -210 (30.72 to win 14.63) (DSI)
                                Comment
                                • GGPLAYER
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-26-09
                                  • 2981

                                  #611
                                  thanks
                                  Comment
                                  • jcygts6
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-05-09
                                    • 3316

                                    #612
                                    Fantastic night¡¡¿
                                    DO WORK + KROW OD
                                    do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                    od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                    Comment
                                    • ElCapitan
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-19-08
                                      • 2129

                                      #613
                                      12/8 Results

                                      Originally posted by ElCapitan
                                      V1 Dallas Stars (A) ML +170 (1 to win 1.70) (DSI) *LOSS*
                                      V1 Dallas Stars (A) PL -162 (1.62 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

                                      V1 Vancouver Canucks (A) ML -130 (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                      V1 Vancouver Canucks(A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*


                                      V2 Play - tracking only

                                      V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) ML +115 (1.74 to win 2) (DSI) *LOSS*
                                      V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) PL -250 (6.38 to win 2.55) (DSI) *WIN*

                                      V2 Florida Panthers (A) ML +168 (1 to win 1.68) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                      V2 Florida Panthers (A) PL -165 (1.65 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

                                      V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) ML +145 (2.76 to win 4) (DSI) *WIN*
                                      V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) PL -210 (30.72 to win 14.63) (DSI) *WIN*
                                      Record:
                                      V1 ML: 25(A)-12(B)-5(C) (-1.45) SERIES: 21-3 (1 pending)
                                      V1 PL: 25(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.84) SERIES: 22-2 (1 pending)

                                      V2 ML: 29(A)-13(B)-5(C) (+22.75) SERIES: 27-1 (1 pending)
                                      V2 PL: 29(A)-8(B)-4(C) (+11.08) SERIES: 28-1
                                      Comment
                                      • ElCapitan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-19-08
                                        • 2129

                                        #614
                                        12/9

                                        V2 Play - tracking only

                                        V2 Colorado Avalanche (C) ML +140 (2.67 to win 3.74) (5Dimes)
                                        Comment
                                        • jcygts6
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-05-09
                                          • 3316

                                          #615
                                          Any plays?
                                          DO WORK + KROW OD
                                          do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                          od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                          Comment
                                          • thelimit0310
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-24-11
                                            • 1233

                                            #616
                                            Dallas Stars B bet today +1.5
                                            Comment
                                            • Kev the Brit
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-25-09
                                              • 2027

                                              #617
                                              ElCapitan,

                                              Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

                                              Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

                                              Kev
                                              Comment
                                              • Win89
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-06-11
                                                • 157

                                                #618
                                                That's a good point. Anyways San Jose is also a V2 [A] bet.
                                                Comment
                                                • allidoiswin89
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-22-11
                                                  • 915

                                                  #619
                                                  Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                  ElCapitan,

                                                  Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

                                                  Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

                                                  Kev
                                                  not true
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Siresco
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-29-10
                                                    • 334

                                                    #620
                                                    Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                    ElCapitan,

                                                    Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

                                                    Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

                                                    Kev
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lennytia
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                      • 31

                                                      #621
                                                      Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                      ElCapitan,

                                                      Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

                                                      Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

                                                      Kev
                                                      add the two sets of figures together if thats the way you want to play.
                                                      best recorded seperate as it is
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thelimit0310
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-24-11
                                                        • 1233

                                                        #622
                                                        The official V1 bet for yesterday was Dallas Stars +1.5, I hope you guys took that as it did pass.

                                                        The next series isn't until the 13th. Hopefully Capitan will be back for them!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • oklahoma
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-22-10
                                                          • 602

                                                          #623
                                                          Originally posted by thelimit0310
                                                          The official V1 bet for yesterday was Dallas Stars +1.5, I hope you guys took that as it did pass.

                                                          The next series isn't until the 13th. Hopefully Capitan will be back for them!
                                                          as well as Dallas ML, i only play the v1 moneyline and Dallas was a B bet.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jcygts6
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-05-09
                                                            • 3316

                                                            #624
                                                            Yup
                                                            DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                            do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                            od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 1gamer
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-09-11
                                                              • 723

                                                              #625
                                                              Is San Jose a V2 (B) bet today?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ElCapitan
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-19-08
                                                                • 2129

                                                                #626
                                                                12/9 Results

                                                                Originally posted by ElCapitan
                                                                V2 Play - tracking only

                                                                V2 Colorado Avalanche (C) ML +140 (2.67 to win 3.74) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
                                                                Record:
                                                                V1 ML: 25(A)-12(B)-5(C) (-1.45) SERIES: 21-3 (1 pending)
                                                                V1 PL: 25(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.84) SERIES: 22-2 (1 pending)

                                                                V2 ML: 29(A)-13(B)-6(C) (+20.08) SERIES: 27-2
                                                                V2 PL: 29(A)-8(B)-4(C) (+11.08) SERIES: 28-1
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ElCapitan
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-19-08
                                                                  • 2129

                                                                  #627
                                                                  12/10 Plays/Results

                                                                  Originally posted by ElCapitan
                                                                  V1 Dallas Stars (B) ML +135 (1.48 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                                                  V1 Dallas Stars (B) PL -225 (5.90 to win 2.62) (5Dimes) *WIN*


                                                                  V2 Play - tracking only

                                                                  V2 Edmonton Oilers (A) ML +125 (1 to win 1.25) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
                                                                  V2 Edmonton Oilers (A) PL -240 (2.4 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

                                                                  V2 San Jose Sharks (A) ML -105 (1.05 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
                                                                  V2 San Jose Sharks (A) PL -300 (3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
                                                                  Record:
                                                                  V1 ML: 25(A)-13(B)-5(C) (+0.55) SERIES: 22-3
                                                                  V1 PL: 25(A)-10(B)-2(C) (-52.22) SERIES: 23-2

                                                                  V2 ML: 31(A)-13(B)-6(C) (+18.03) SERIES: 27-2 (2 pending)
                                                                  V2 PL: 31(A)-8(B)-4(C) (+9.68) SERIES: 29-1 (1 pending)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ElCapitan
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-19-08
                                                                    • 2129

                                                                    #628
                                                                    12/11 Plays

                                                                    V2 Play - tracking only

                                                                    V2 San Jose Sharks (B) ML +122 (1.68 to win 2.05) (5Dimes)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jcygts6
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-05-09
                                                                      • 3316

                                                                      #629
                                                                      Gracias
                                                                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • edh1011
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-02-09
                                                                        • 907

                                                                        #630
                                                                        san jose really screwed us tonight
                                                                        Comment
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