the ducks got a break on high-sticking......no goal for sj, otherwise 2-0
DG's 2010-2011 NHL Thread
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eric14tsuiSBR High Roller
- 10-19-10
- 187
#3396Comment -
sapidocSBR MVP
- 03-25-10
- 1273
#3397Comment -
sapidocSBR MVP
- 03-25-10
- 1273
#3399Seriously this is what we wanted by the Flames. Its like these two late games went reverse for us.Comment -
DennisGreenSBR Posting Legend
- 11-27-08
- 18369
#3400Yeah man 1st period plays continue to fcuk me over. 0-3 on them today. Hard to just quit them since I did so well on them last year.Comment -
sapidocSBR MVP
- 03-25-10
- 1273
#3401If you have an edge, stick with it. I don't really know hockey enough to figure out these 1st period bets, but I do like when you pick up on some dogs for value, seems those are doing well this year for you. Keep it up DG.Comment -
DennisGreenSBR Posting Legend
- 11-27-08
- 18369
#34022-4 -$101 on the dayComment -
BlueJaysSBR Wise Guy
- 08-05-09
- 581
#3403First period: Over 5 - Under 2 yesterday, so should have been a good day for OVERs Dennis. You just picked the wrong ones!Comment -
JempaSBR High Roller
- 01-21-10
- 123
#3404Today I smell the unders will reign.Comment -
DurdenSBR Wise Guy
- 09-17-09
- 750
#3405NJ thx for a couple winnahs, i gave you a few ptsComment -
VegasPlayerSBR MVP
- 07-27-09
- 3676
#3406Some pretty significant streaks building right now - Fade or Follow?
OTT, LAK, ANA W 4
WAS W 5
STL W 7
NAS L 5
TOR L6
NYI L7Comment -
fletch49SBR Sharp
- 04-12-10
- 407
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Maxi_EVSBR Wise Guy
- 05-11-10
- 535
#3409
Time to chase against winning teams. I'm on the road now, but I collected great NHL stats in the past seasons because I wanted to create a chase system using those kind of streaks...I have all this at home, I'll try to post later, but I can already tell you that It was profitable to jump in after a W4 streak and to chase for 3 games against the team in a standard Martingale betting structure.Comment -
Maxi_EVSBR Wise Guy
- 05-11-10
- 535
#3410Time to chase against winning teams. I'm on the road now, but I collected great NHL stats in the past seasons because I wanted to create a chase system using those kind of streaks...I have all this at home, I'll try to post later, but I can already tell you that It was profitable to jump in after a W4 streak and to chase for 3 games against the team in a standard Martingale betting structure.Comment -
Maxi_EVSBR Wise Guy
- 05-11-10
- 535
#3415Here it is:
I backtracked down to 2005.
- Martingale 3 steps after a team WON3:
a) bet against the team
b) the team has to be favorite in 2 of its 3 next games so you will mostly bet on dogs
+EV = 2.78% (you bet on a dog 2 of the 3 games)
+EV = 25% (you bet on a dog all 3 games)
THIS SYSTEM WINS 87.6% OF THE TIME
-Martingale 4 steps after a team won 3:
a) bet against the team
b) the team has to be favorite at least 2 times in the next 4 games so you will be betting on dogs at least 2 times
+EV = 4.64% (you bet on a dog 2 of the 4 games)
+EV = 19.98% ( you bet on a dog 3 of the 4 games)
+EV = 48.71% (you bet on dogs in all 4 games)
THIS SYSTEM WINS 94.04% OF THE TIMEComment -
lolguy999SBR MVP
- 01-28-10
- 3070
#3416My 2 fav home teams right now: DUCKS and theHABS
. Since ducks are playing home against the struggling islanders, i say POD! Take the ducks!
NYI is no good on road games and ducks have crushed team after team when they're fav. Take them while they're still hotComment -
lolguy999SBR MVP
- 01-28-10
- 3070
#3417Since ducks was an unstable team last year and do not have too many prospects their line is reasonably ok for the time being... but as we can see it's already starting to riseComment -
FlaxMartinSBR MVP
- 08-13-10
- 2148
#3418When will your plays be up dude?Comment -
DennisGreenSBR Posting Legend
- 11-27-08
- 18369
#3419Official Wednesday Plays
STL (-109) Pinnacle $109 to win $100
FLA -0.5 (+112) Pinnacle $100 to win $112
BUF/NJ Over 5 (-130) bwin $260 to win $200 (P.O.D.)
That's it for today. Not a whole lot I really like.Comment -
mister beeSBR High Roller
- 04-23-09
- 199
#3420Here it is:
I backtracked down to 2005.
- Martingale 3 steps after a team WON3:
a) bet against the team
b) the team has to be favorite in 2 of its 3 next games so you will mostly bet on dogs
+EV = 2.78% (you bet on a dog 2 of the 3 games)
+EV = 25% (you bet on a dog all 3 games)
THIS SYSTEM WINS 87.6% OF THE TIME
-Martingale 4 steps after a team won 3:
a) bet against the team
b) the team has to be favorite at least 2 times in the next 4 games so you will be betting on dogs at least 2 times
+EV = 4.64% (you bet on a dog 2 of the 4 games)
+EV = 19.98% ( you bet on a dog 3 of the 4 games)
+EV = 48.71% (you bet on dogs in all 4 games)
THIS SYSTEM WINS 94.04% OF THE TIMEComment -
ScamArtistSBR Sharp
- 09-23-10
- 459
#3421Tough looking board tonightComment -
lolguy999SBR MVP
- 01-28-10
- 3070
#3422Fcuk i cant seem to find if halak is playing tonight or not... if so take the blues who's on a hotter roll than any other teamComment -
FlaxMartinSBR MVP
- 08-13-10
- 2148
#3424Taling as alwaysComment -
Maxi_EVSBR Wise Guy
- 05-11-10
- 535
#3425
Nothing happens when you fail. You start over with another series. The results are LONG TERM EXPECTATION calculations.
This is something mathematic based on 5 NHL seasons. I am myself a HATER of CHASING SYSTEMS...I don't like the VARIANCE that comes with it. I put those number together cause I was curious if there was something to do with those streaks.Comment -
Cicima6709SBR MVP
- 09-12-10
- 1023
#3426Over 5 is at -160 for me. What do you think of over 5.5 at +125?Comment -
inflamesSBR Wise Guy
- 06-08-09
- 711
#3427whoa, over 5 odds sucked at pinnacle! thanks for the plays tho and BOLComment -
DennisGreenSBR Posting Legend
- 11-27-08
- 18369
#3429Yeah that's a lot of juice to play up to you guys. Over 5.5 has good value, I just like the idea of a push with the 5 total as you just need 2 goals a piece and you're guaranteed a push.Comment -
BetterBiznessSBR Hall of Famer
- 05-20-06
- 5737
#3430Comment
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