Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014
Collapse
X
-
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#386Comment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
-
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#388As much as I like the games that popped out at me and with checking
Calmeat's chart/consensus and the 5 categories. Chi line is too high and
I'm walking away today with no bet.
Mitch and I feel the game doesn't fall into our perimeters.
GLTA
Ali & MitchComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#389So this was my 2nd bet of 3game chase so it would end up being more. Depends on what you are gonna do if you are only gonna play my 3 plays then i would do say 2% of BR for each bet totaling 6%. If all 3 win then next night i would do the same. Otherwise i would chase the bets. If you want i can post my actual plays with money attached. Let me know. CHI looking good right now. I also played this one with my local for 50 i think this would be the most i was ever up on the local bookComment -
jnsbanmanSBR Wise Guy
- 01-08-11
- 526
#390Just realized I forgot to post my plays... I had All "B" bets today CHI was the main play (Win %, Cons, High Avg Lead) and BOS for High Odds.Made close to 10% tonite.
Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#391and just to let you know ill be doing family things this weekend and traveling back home on sunday (2 hour drive from inlaws) so ill do my best to get the plays out. I may not have the time to post my plays but just know I am only playing
Top game win%
Top consensus game win%
Highest Avg Lead (for regulation)
Top 70% game (if there is one)
So Jason usually posts his plays and those teams will 99.9% of the time be the same as mine he just plays more categories then i do.
It also looks like i can finally up my Units. (im playing 2.5% of BR is a unit now)
Old unit size = 2.50
new unit size = 3.42
And just for record keeping on my end as well. with 2.50 a unit im +39.88u, I am going to keep track now with the new unit size until the next unit change.Comment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#392So this was my 2nd bet of 3game chase so it would end up being more. Depends on what you are gonna do if you are only gonna play my 3 plays then i would do say 2% of BR for each bet totaling 6%. If all 3 win then next night i would do the same. Otherwise i would chase the bets. If you want i can post my actual plays with money attached.
Last night I put down 2% BR on CHI REG, and 4% on CHI ML. Both came off for a rough gain of 3%.
First night of the "new regime", trying to be disciplined! Chased a 3 team parlay for 4% lol Came off tho, BOS, PIT, DAL, but that isn't the pointIf it hadn't come off, i would have won 2/3 bets last night and lost 1% of my BR. Instead, I gained 13% of my BR, so I guess I got lucky.
MUST GAIN MORE PATIENCE!!!Comment -
jnsbanmanSBR Wise Guy
- 01-08-11
- 526
#393Hey guys what I got for today is
LAK 4% (win %, 70%+, top consensus, high avg lead)
LAK -0.5 in reg 1% (high avg lead)
ANA 1% (high odds between -140 and -199)Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#394This is what I have for games that pop out after crunching numbers; as always I'm waiting for Calmeat's chart/consensus/categories that would fall within our guidelines:
TB
BOS
CHI
ANA
LA
Be back later.
Ali & Mitch
Gr8 job to all of you yesterday.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#395doing family things going to rerun system in 30-45 minutes with the latest updates then ill post.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#397Alright here we go (little upset i was hoping for LAK to be Consensus but oh well)
Consensus
DET
TBL
BOS
NJD
ANAComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#398So today my plays
Top Game Win% = LAK $3.42(1u)
Top Consensus Game win% = ANA $3.42 (1u)
Highest Avg Lead = LAK $3.42 (1u)Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#399Kings it is - line a bit high -165
GLTA
Ali & MitchComment -
jnsbanmanSBR Wise Guy
- 01-08-11
- 526
#400Crap... I assumed LAK would be consensus... Throws off my bets. Now do I throw another 1% on Ana???Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#401Family back on the road, I've crunched my numbers. A couple of games the lines are too high and one team hasn't played for nine days.
MON
PIT
TB
CO
ANA
Just waiting for Calmeat now.
Be back later.
Ali & MitchComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#402Just got home and rushing to get the plays out hopefully soonComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#403will update in a bit
AVG lead bet going to MTLComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#405So unfortunately MTL would have been the Top Con Game win% bet
I was able to get the MTL Regulation bet in for Highest Avg lead but nothing else.
VAN will be B bet for Top Win%
Sorry about that 2 hour drive turned into 3.5 hour drive on the PA Turnpike todayComment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#406One question Calmeat, what is Form %?
Thanks
AliComment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#407The games are not falling into our guidelines. I think no play today unless I do a dog:
ANA
GLTA
Ali & MitchComment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#408I've had my 4% on VAN ML. I got lucky that I didn't get the picks until after Montreal had started or I'd have chucked some money on them, caught a break I guess as they got stuffed.
Won some nice cash on the NFL tonight, so put a cheeky extra 4% on Isles and Ducks 2 team parlay. Pays out 6/1. Crazy!Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#409Yeah u lucked out on the MTL game. I was in a rush and played it. I actually really dont like the AVG Lead unless its 7 or above but went with MTL and that sucked. Oh well hopefully VAN can pull it out.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
#410I've had my 4% on VAN ML. I got lucky that I didn't get the picks until after Montreal had started or I'd have chucked some money on them, caught a break I guess as they got stuffed.
Won some nice cash on the NFL tonight, so put a cheeky extra 4% on Isles and Ducks 2 team parlay. Pays out 6/1. Crazy!
Go man go!
Ali & MitchComment -
jnsbanmanSBR Wise Guy
- 01-08-11
- 526
#411Hey guys.. Totally missed today. Was out and about. I missed MTL thankfully. And put it all on VAN so nice big win today. Also have some on SJS as well so far so good.Comment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#412Ha, as if it was the Ducks that cost me and not the Isles!
Still, good day yesterday! 5 game parlay on the NFL made £3 into £11, in game live bet of Penguins in reg at 1-1 made £1 into £2, Canucks won and made £1 into £1.70, and so close to having that 2 team ANA/NYI bet come off!
Gives me a bit more bank roll to work with, so that's always good.Comment -
jnsbanmanSBR Wise Guy
- 01-08-11
- 526
#413Nice work rumpleComment -
jnsbanmanSBR Wise Guy
- 01-08-11
- 526
#414Well another short card... He is what I go so far
Van ML 2.68% to win 2%
Det ML 1% to win 1.03%
Det Regulation ML 1% to win 1.03%
And possibly Chi 1.4% to Win 1% if the odds stay over -140 (Looking for movement in our favor)Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#415Going to be running system at 2:30 should have picks around 3.
And always know Jason is going by my preliminary numbers so sometimes they do change.Comment -
mitch51SBR MVP
- 05-15-12
- 4587
-
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#417mitch yeah EST.
Form Factor is Goals For and Goals against last 4 games. So if in the past 4 games a team has been blowing other teams away then their form factor will be high. A way to see if a team is hot or not.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#41912/30/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 35-31 +$70
Silver($5.00) = 61-67 -$66.75
Bronze($2.50) = 56-45 +$3.84
Game Win %
ML= 309-218 58.63%
ML(Regulation)= 240-69 77.67%
O/U= 70-59 54.26%
Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 60-54 52.63%
55-59%= 78-56 58.21%
60-64= 73-54 57.48%
65-69%= 58-42 58%
70+%= 42-10 80.77%
Consensus 155-98 61.26%
DET
CHI
VAN
Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#420My plays
TGW = Top Game Win %
TCGW = Top Consensus Game Win %
AVL = Highest Avg Lead
TGW - VAN (-140) (A) $3.42
TCGW - VAN (-140) (A) $3.42
AVL - DET (+155) (C) $7.87(risking)Comment
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code