Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

[jnsbanman]

Preliminary system numbers say Rangers. He should be re running the system in a bit.

[calmeat]

12/20/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 32-27 +$70
Silver($5.00) = 54-60 -$67.50
Bronze($2.50) = 47-41 -$2.28

Game Win %
ML= 271-197 57.91%
ML(Regulation)= 217-53 80.37%
O/U= 66-56 54.10%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 52-47 52.53%
55-59%= 67-51 56.78%
60-64= 59-51 53.64%
65-69%= 53-38 58.24%
70+%= 41-9 82%

Consensus 130-85 60.47%
NYR
CHI

[jnsbanman]

So for today a I am in for

NYR ML Risking 3%
NYR -0.5 in Reg Risking 1%
CHI ML risking 0.5%

[mitch51]

I did the number crunching and none of them look good enough to bet.

Ana
Rangers
Chi

So I will decline on betting today also after seeing calmeat's chart.

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

Ah damn rangers wasnt feeling good about them. oh well onto tomorrow. i will try to get the numbers early

[MathMan]

interesting. good stuff


PEACE!

[mitch51]

Big game day tomorrow guys! Let's look for a .



Ali & Mitch

[jnsbanman]

Yea... Didn't like yesterday at all. But played what it told us to.
Today I got
STL ML for high win%, 70%, and high consensus
PIT -0.5 reg high avg lead
looks like SJS for highest odds between -140 and -199

[mitch51]

I'm crunching the 3 early games.

Be back lata.

Ali & Mitch

I'm liking Pit (line too high)
Phx
LAK
but haven't seen the chart for betting.

Ali

BTW, Mitch said it was your birthday Calmeat and to have a HaPpY BiRtHdAy from both of us.

[calmeat]

Heres what i got so far. Its my bday today so im really hoping for a bday present from the gambling gods.
Consensus
PIT
PHX
LAK
BOS
TBL
ANA
STL
SJS

[Rumplebeanskin]

Heres what i got so far. Its my bday today so im really hoping for a bday present from the gambling gods.
Consensus
PIT
PHX
LAK
BOS
TBL
ANA
STL
SJS

Going for one big roll over tonight I think, keep me interested all night. The numbers aren't so bad, so let's rock it!

£5 on Pittsburgh Regulation
Total Winnings put on LA ML
Total Winnings put on Boston ML
Total Winnings put on St Louis ML

Hopefully by about 6am I'll be doing pretty good! Or it'll all be over before the Kings even start haha

And Happy Birthday dude, have a quality day!! Thanks for all the hard work!

[DEUCED]

Happy bday meat! Gl

[calmeat]

Going for one big roll over tonight I think, keep me interested all night. The numbers aren't so bad, so let's rock it!

£5 on Pittsburgh Regulation
Total Winnings put on LA ML
Total Winnings put on Boston ML
Total Winnings put on St Louis ML

Hopefully by about 6am I'll be doing pretty good! Or it'll all be over before the Kings even start haha

And Happy Birthday dude, have a quality day!! Thanks for all the hard work!

Thanks... Yeah so i am doing PIT REG STL ML and then also doing a parlay with PIT ML BOS REG and STL ML

I think the strongest play tonight (from my gut) is Boston. Could that team really lose to BUF 2 times in a row and this game at home. I highly doubt it.

[mitch51]

After crunching the numbers on all the games these are the ones that pop out:

Pit (line too high)
LAK
BOS (line too high)
TB
ANA
STL
SJ

I have to check Calmeat's chart and decide on what to bet.


Ali

[mitch51]

Heres what i got so far. Its my bday today so im really hoping for a bday present from the gambling gods.
Consensus
PIT
PHX
LAK
BOS
TBL
ANA
STL
SJS

OMG, I can't believe I lined up with all your consensus picks except PHX after I finished crunching my numbers. Too kool. Now I'm checking the categories.

Thanks Calmeat and Jns for the info and chart to improve our betting!!!!!!!

Be back in a few with our picks to bet.

Ali

[RollinDo]

I will miss your posts and picks HMG. You are a cool dude...happy for you that you are one of few who has stayed in the + in sports betting...and made a nice profit! Thanks for all your help, encouagement, and sports knowledge!

[mitch51]

STL Blues have it...

GLTA

Let's have a winning day for all and HAPPY BIRTHDAY again Calmeat


Ali & Mitch

[jnsbanman]

1 chase down 2 to go! Go STL and SJS!

[Rumplebeanskin]

Woot! 1/1, and carrying £8.33 to bet on the Kings ML.

Their goalie has to lose at some point, hopefully not tonight tho!

[Rumplebeanskin]

Oof, that was a tense one!!!

I'll take my £13.09 and keep marching on. Come on Boston!! No way the Sabres beats anyone twice this season haha

[mitch51]

Oof, that was a tense one!!!

I'll take my £13.09 and keep marching on. Come on Boston!! No way the Sabres beats anyone twice this season haha

Good work and continued success on last two!!!

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

[QUOTE=Rumplebeanskin;20619368]Oof, that was a tense one!!!

I'll take my £13.09 and keep marching on. Come on Boston!! No way the Sabres beats anyone twice this season haha[/QUOTE

Was out most of the day but was keeping track of the plays on my phone i saw it was a close one and thought you must have been on the edge of your seat.

Im rerunning the system today and putting in all the proper goalies and updating the lines to see if there were any significant changes. Sorry i know its a little late but thought i would now that i have some time.

[calmeat]

so here is the updated sheet for the day (i know a little late). Question is for my records should i go by this updated sheet or the sheet i put out in the A.M.?

[mitch51]

so here is the updated sheet for the day (i know a little late). Question is for my records should i go by this updated sheet or the sheet i put out in the A.M.?

We would think the one you put out this morning. Looking good.

Mitch & Ali

[calmeat]

ok yeah ill just have to note on my end the changes cause so far the updated card is a sweep since emery changed philly win%. along with keeping track on the card i put out need to keep track of how the actual system performs when all the updates to goalies and lines are made.

[mitch51]

ok yeah ill just have to note on my end the changes cause so far the updated card is a sweep since emery changed philly win%. along with keeping track on the card i put out need to keep track of how the actual system performs when all the updates to goalies and lines are made.

Good going, you're all over it.

Mitch & Ali

[calmeat]

10-1 so far with SJS 2-2 in the third. 11-0 with the updated card. Hit my bets including my parlay which i played with my local as well so Happy Bday for me. Now when something like this happens i tend to tread lightly this upcoming week. Especially tomorrow where there is only 2 games.

7-0 Consensus with SJS tied 2-2, cmon sharks!

Hope everyone else had a great day!

[mitch51]

Quick peek tonight I think VAN. I will know in the morning.

Great day!

Ali & Mitch

[jnsbanman]

PIT, STL, SJS

[mitch51]

Way to go guys! on the .

Ali & Mitch

[Rumplebeanskin]

Looks like a pretty great night all round, Cal should have a birthday every day!!

I got 3 winners, PIT, LAK and BOS, but wasn't awake by 3am to put the winnings on the Blues. Still, I'll take what I got for an evening's work, no complaints from me!!

[calmeat]

10-1 so far with SJS 2-2 in the third. 11-0 with the updated card. Hit my bets including my parlay which i played with my local as well so Happy Bday for me. Now when something like this happens i tend to tread lightly this upcoming week. Especially tomorrow where there is only 2 games.

7-0 Consensus with SJS tied 2-2, cmon sharks!

Hope everyone else had a great day!

Overall last night
11-1 (12-0 with the updated card)


8-0 on consensus.

4-0 on bets placed

What a very good day.I have to figure out a way to get out the most updated card to really see how the system performs when its all correct.

[jnsbanman]

Well another short card. I got VAN ML for 2% (high win % and cons), NYR ML 1% (high avg lead),NYR -0.5 in Reg 1% (high avg lead), and VAN ML 0.5% (high odds)

[mitch51]

Last nights quick peek confirms the Canucks after crunching the numbers but with the line too high, I'll walk away.
I would need to see Calmeat's chart to further confirm with all 5 categories if the line was to drop.

Van (line too high)
Minn (lean)

Everyone did a super job with their 's yesterday.

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

Heres what i got today
Consensus
NYR
VAN