Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

calmeat · 12-16-13, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by mitch51

Capitals

TB under 5.5

Blackhawks

You too!

mitch51 · 12-16-13, 10:47 AM

Hey, we like to see lots of cheerleaders in this thread. I have a feeling they'll keep coming.

GL
Mitch & Ali

jnsbanman · 12-16-13, 12:05 PM

Hey Mitch... Do you have the history of your picks? If so just a thought here... Stack em against Calmeats consensus picks. When yours and his match how are they performing... I suspect very well.

I notice the last couple days they have won. WSH yesterday... Goal being 1 or 2 solid picks a day.

OG Dego · 12-16-13, 01:26 PM

I want to tail this! Keep posting, and Thanks!!!

jnsbanman · 12-16-13, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by OG Dego

I want to tail this! Keep posting, and Thanks!!!

Good decision!! Things are going well here!!!

mitch51 · 12-16-13, 03:32 PM

Here's my crunched

number games I like:

BlueJackets -120
BlueJackets UNDER 5 +125

Penguins -165
Penguins OVER 5.5 +100

Blues -145
Blues OVER 5.5 -105

Avalanche -145
Avalanche OVER 5.5 +110

No PL's, no high odds and very few parlays.

Games I'm betting and hope these match up with Calmeat's.

BlueJackets -120
Blues -145
Blues OVER 5.5 -105

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

calmeat · 12-16-13, 04:03 PM

12/16/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 30-23 +$93
Silver($5.00) = 52-56 -$56.25
Bronze($2.50) = 44-39 -$4.78

Game Win %
ML= 257-186 58.01%
ML(Regulation)= 205-51 80.08%
O/U= 60-50 54.55%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 51-44 53.68%
55-59%= 62-48 56.36%
60-64= 55-49 52.88%
65-69%= 52-35 59.77%
70+%= 38-9 80.85%

Consensus 120-79 60.30%
PIT
STL

calmeat · 12-16-13, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Here's my crunched

number games I like:

BlueJackets -120
BlueJackets UNDER 5 +125

Penguins -165
Penguins OVER 5.5 +100

Blues -145
Blues OVER 5.5 -105

Avalanche -145
Avalanche OVER 5.5 +110

No PL's, no high odds and very few parlays.

Games I'm betting and hope these match up with Calmeat's.

BlueJackets -120
Blues -145
Blues OVER 5.5 -105

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

My second system says CBJ if that helps. And COL

mitch51 · 12-16-13, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by calmeat

My second system says CBJ if that helps. And COL

Thanks Calmeat

Ali & Mitch

mitch51 · 12-16-13, 04:36 PM

The line was too high on Pit to take.
As we both say kooooooolarooooo!
Ali & Mitch

Originally posted by calmeat

12/16/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 30-23 +$93
Silver($5.00) = 52-56 -$56.25
Bronze($2.50) = 44-39 -$4.78

Game Win %
ML= 257-186 58.01%
ML(Regulation)= 205-51 80.08%
O/U= 60-50 54.55%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 51-44 53.68%
55-59%= 62-48 56.36%
60-64= 55-49 52.88%
65-69%= 52-35 59.77%
70+%= 38-9 80.85%

Consensus 120-79 60.30%
PIT
STL

Rumplebeanskin · 12-16-13, 05:57 PM

Just posted my biggest bet ever on St Louis Pittsburgh parlay. Here's to hoping!

mitch51 · 12-16-13, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by Rumplebeanskin

Just posted my biggest bet ever on St Louis Pittsburgh parlay. Here's to hoping!

Koooolarooo and GL.

Mitch & Ali

calmeat · 12-16-13, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by Rumplebeanskin

Just posted my biggest bet ever on St Louis Pittsburgh parlay. Here's to hoping!

Hope it hits Rumple

NavsPicks · 12-16-13, 06:37 PM

STL pit parlay won't hit.. Not something u wanna bet big on. Rather take my chances with the jackets

Rumplebeanskin · 12-16-13, 06:48 PM

Big for me still isn't very big

Managed to build some bank roll up last few night, so why not try something a bit more exotic?

And I'm of the opinion STL and PIT are pretty solid picks, others here are to. Not saying it's nailed on, just wondered what it was you didn't like about it?

Rumplebeanskin · 12-16-13, 10:19 PM

Oh man. Gutted!

Ah well, back to building up bank roll

mitch51 · 12-16-13, 10:27 PM

Ugggg!

Blues

BlueJackets

Blues OVER 5.5

A

in the wrong direction. Tomorrow's another day!

Ali & Mitch

calmeat · 12-16-13, 10:49 PM

Sorry to hear guys

@Rumple that was a tough one really thought you were gonna get that one
for me and Jason

PIT ML

PIT REG

Rumplebeanskin · 12-17-13, 03:49 AM

The OT was all Ottawa, but I thought the Blues would hang on for a SO once they killed off the 4 on 3.

Was a real good game though, very even. Last 3/4 minutes of regulation anyone could have won it.

Pretty shattered at work today, being in the UK. Blues game finished a bit after 3am, alarm went off at 7. And £20 out of pocket for the privilege!

RollinDo · 12-17-13, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by mitch51

Ugggg!

Blues

BlueJackets

Blues OVER 5.5

A

in the wrong direction. Tomorrow's another day!

Ali & Mitch

Tailed you guys for the 1st time last night...bad timing I guess.
Not givin' up on you guys though. Let's get 'em tonight!

jnsbanman · 12-17-13, 11:12 AM

I am going to spill the beans on my betting strategy using the awesome information Calmeat is providing to us.

I have 5 categories... Top Win%, 70%+, Top Consensus, High Avg Lead OT Incl, High Avg Lead Reg.

Each category I bet to win 1% of my BR or a 5% of my BR daily on a 3 game chase.

So for example yesterday the play in all 5 categories as Pittsburgh. So I placed 4 bets to win 1%(Reg + OT) of my BR each and then 1 bet to Win 1% (In Regulation). Pittsburgh won in Regulation so I won 5% of my BR.

Doing this your BR will increase by 100% every 20 wins. I have been using/tracking this strategy since November 19th and if you count each of my "categories" as its own "system" i am running 90-31 straight up with 0 3 games series losses.

My basic rules for betting are if the OT odds are greater then -200 then I bet all bets as Regulation only to reduce the juice paid.

Most of the time this equates to only 1 bet per night, occasionally it ends up being 2 teams.

Let me know if this is unclear and I will answer best I can

mitch51 · 12-17-13, 12:26 PM

Thanks jnsbanman

Mitch & Ali

Originally posted by jnsbanman

I am going to spill the beans on my betting strategy using the awesome information Calmeat is providing to us.

I have 5 categories... Top Win%, 70%+, Top Consensus, High Avg Lead OT Incl, High Avg Lead Reg.

Each category I bet to win 1% of my BR or a 5% of my BR daily on a 3 game chase.

So for example yesterday the play in all 5 categories as Pittsburgh. So I placed 4 bets to win 1%(Reg + OT) of my BR each and then 1 bet to Win 1% (In Regulation). Pittsburgh won in Regulation so I won 5% of my BR.

Doing this your BR will increase by 100% every 20 wins. I have been using/tracking this strategy since November 19th and if you count each of my "categories" as its own "system" i am running 90-31 straight up with 0 3 games series losses.

My basic rules for betting are if the OT odds are greater then -200 then I bet all bets as Regulation only to reduce the juice paid.

Most of the time this equates to only 1 bet per night, occasionally it ends up being 2 teams.

Let me know if this is unclear and I will answer best I can

jnsbanman · 12-17-13, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

Thanks jnsbanman

Mitch & Ali

Your welcome... Hope this helps

mitch51 · 12-17-13, 03:02 PM

High Avg Lead OT Incl, High Avg Lead Reg.

Where was this on the chart? We weren't sure.

Thanks
Mitch & Ali

Originally posted by jnsbanman

Your welcome... Hope this helps

calmeat · 12-17-13, 03:44 PM

12/17/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 30-24 +$83
Silver($5.00) = 53-56 -$51.25
Bronze($2.50) = 44-40 -$8.28

Game Win %
ML= 258-188 57.85%
ML(Regulation)= 206-51 80.16%
O/U= 61-50 54.95%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 51-45 53.13%
55-59%= 62-48 56.36%
60-64= 55-50 52.38%
65-69%= 52-35 59.77%
70+%= 39-9 81.25%

Consensus 121-80 60.20%
WPG
BOS
ANA
STL
CHI
COL
LAK

calmeat · 12-17-13, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

High Avg Lead OT Incl, High Avg Lead Reg.

Where was this on the chart? We weren't sure.

Thanks
Mitch & Ali

Mitch,
I believe jason is saying he is finding the Highest Avg. Lead and playing it in both REG and Full game. I am only playing Highest Avg Lead in regulation.

So for last night PIT was ML - cause of the highest game win % and also PIT in REG since they had the highest avg lead. Jason is doing both OT and REG for that one. AVG lead is to the left of GAME WIN %

mitch51 · 12-17-13, 03:49 PM

Originally posted by calmeat

Mitch,
I believe jason is saying he is finding the Highest Avg. Lead and playing it in both REG and Full game. I am only playing Highest Avg Lead in regulation.

So for last night PIT was ML - cause of the highest game win % and also PIT in REG since they had the highest avg lead. Jason is doing both OT and REG for that one. AVG lead is to the left of GAME WIN %

Thanks Calmeat

Mitch & Ali

calmeat · 12-17-13, 04:05 PM

So tonight i am doing the 70% or above for ML 1 unit (ML is high),
1u highest game win% for REG since juice is -200+ and then also
highest avg lead for a unit

jnsbanman · 12-17-13, 04:13 PM

I have LAK -0.5 in Regulation $50 to win $40 (6.25% to win 5%).

mitch51 · 12-17-13, 04:42 PM

These are the games I like:

WPG Jets
TB Lightnings
TOR MapleLeafs
BOS Bruins
CHI Blkhawks
LA Kings

This is one of those days we totally agree - betting:

LA Kings

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

mitch51 · 12-18-13, 01:10 AM

Kings WHOOOOOHOOOOOO

Mitch & Ali

jnsbanman · 12-18-13, 07:38 AM

Originally posted by mitch51

Kings WHOOOOOHOOOOOO

Mitch & Ali

and thats +5% !!!

Mitch your picks turned out not too bad either 4-2! Nice

calmeat · 12-18-13, 10:05 AM

Originally posted by jnsbanman

and thats +5% !!!

Mitch your picks turned out not too bad either 4-2! Nice

mitch51 · 12-18-13, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by jnsbanman

and thats +5% !!!

Mitch your picks turned out not too bad either 4-2! Nice

Thanks jnsbanman and calmeat.

Ali

jnsbanman · 12-18-13, 12:07 PM

Now to find a winner today...