Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

[mitch51]

How do you determine your regulation games from your chart?

Thanks

Mitch & Ali

[calmeat]

How do you determine your regulation games from your chart?

Thanks

Mitch & Ali

Well honestly i kinda just go by game win % if its really high say 70% or above i may try reg if juice is really bad on full game. Sometimes ill look at the AVG lead column and say something above .7 might be worth a regulation bet.

[calmeat]

12/10/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 28-21 +$83
Silver($5.00) = 48-48 -$27
Bronze($2.50) = 37-36 -$14.91

Game Win %
ML= 230-167 57.93%
ML(Regulation)= 184-45 80.35%
O/U= 54-45 54.55%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 45-40 52.94%
55-59%= 56-44 56%
60-64= 48-42 53.33%
65-69%= 45-33 57.69%
70+%= 37-7 84.09%

Consensus 102-67 60.36%
CBJ
OTT
WSH
DET
STL
CHI
SJS

[mitch51]

Thanks calmeat

BOL

Mitch & Ali

[calmeat]

12/11/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 28-21 +$83
Silver($5.00) = 48-50 -$39.75
Bronze($2.50) = 41-37 -$7.03

Game Win %
ML= 237-171 58.09%
ML(Regulation)= 190-46 80.51%
O/U= 56-48 53.85%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 49-40 55.06%
55-59%= 57-44 56.44%
60-64= 50-45 52.63%
65-69%= 45-33 57.69%
70+%= 37-8 82.22%

Consensus 106-70 60.23%
CHI
ANA

[jnsbanman]

[livan33]

Great night, Calmeat. Well done!

[calmeat]

thanks for the pts!. glad it was a good night. needed to recover from the reg loss of SJS the other night.

[mitch51]

thanks for the pts!. glad it was a good night. needed to recover from the reg loss of SJS the other night.

You bet. My wife said OVER 5.5 Blkhawks and also Ducks. She took a too.

GLTA today

Mitch & Ali

[jnsbanman]

Thats awesome your wife is into capping mitch

[mitch51]

Thats awesome your wife is into capping mitch

She's been unbelievable at hockey as that's her speciality. She's a killer at baseball, too. I tried to get her to cap the NBA and she said no. She's around 60% in hockey.

Mitch

[jnsbanman]

Sweet be sure to post her MLB plays. I dont basketball either.

[calmeat]

12/12/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 29-21 +$93
Silver($5.00) = 49-50 -$34.75
Bronze($2.50) = 42-37 -$4.53

Game Win %
ML= 240-171 58.39%
ML(Regulation)= 193-46 80.75%
O/U= 56-48 53.85%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 49-40 55.06%
55-59%= 57-44 56.44%
60-64= 50-45 52.63%
65-69%= 47-33 58.75%
70+%= 38-8 82.61%

Consensus 108-70 60.67%
MTL
OTT
STL
DAL
CGY
PHX
BOS
SJS

[mitch51]

Thanks calmeat
My wife had the same consensus picks as you except for CGY.
GLTA
Mitch & Ali

12/12/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 29-21 +$93
Silver($5.00) = 49-50 -$34.75
Bronze($2.50) = 42-37 -$4.53

Game Win %
ML= 240-171 58.39%
ML(Regulation)= 193-46 80.75%
O/U= 56-48 53.85%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 49-40 55.06%
55-59%= 57-44 56.44%
60-64= 50-45 52.63%
65-69%= 47-33 58.75%
70+%= 38-8 82.61%

Consensus 108-70 60.67%
MTL
OTT
STL
DAL
CGY
PHX
BOS
SJS

[Rumplebeanskin]

I put a nice 6 team parlay on last night:

Ottawa
St Louis
Phoenix
San Jose
Boston

Aaaaaaaand



Montreal

In fact, had 3 bets last night, all parlays. Missed all 3 by 1 result.

[jnsbanman]

Mitch if your wife doesnt mind and Bob if you dont mind... Mitch post your wifes picks.

Rumple - tough loss on MTL last night. that would have been a sweet hit. IMHO those kind of parlays will bury you.

[RollinDo]

I put a nice 6 team parlay on last night:

Ottawa
St Louis
Phoenix
San Jose
Boston

Aaaaaaaand



Montreal

In fact, had 3 bets last night, all parlays. Missed all 3 by 1 result.

I myself tend to get crazy with 5 or 6 way parlays.
Lost one last night in which 5 hit, but Denver Broncos (ML) lost.

[mitch51]

She deicided to go with Canadiens, Stars

and Bruins.

Uggggggh she says

BOLTA


Mitch & Ali

p.s. She hasn't capped anything yet today and she always sees how she does with calmeat.

[calmeat]

Mitch if your wife doesnt mind and Bob if you dont mind... Mitch post your wifes picks.

Rumple - tough loss on MTL last night. that would have been a sweet hit. IMHO those kind of parlays will bury you.

no problem with me.

Yeah tough ones. i ended up going with STL and PHO both in regulation. so turned out ok for me. Im a little hesitant on todays plays was feeling really good with FLA but with WSH backup in im not sure anymore. I should have the plays up soon.

[calmeat]

12/13/13
Value Plays
Gold($10.00) = 29-21 +$93
Silver($5.00) = 50-54 -$49.50
Bronze($2.50) = 42-38 -$7.03

Game Win %
ML= 246-176 58.29%
ML(Regulation)= 198-47 80.82%
O/U= 57-48 54.29%

Game Win % breakdown
50-54%= 50-42 54.35%
55-59%= 59-46 56.19%
60-64= 50-46 52.08%
65-69%= 50-33 60.24%
70+%= 38-8 82.61%

Consensus 114-72 61.29%
PIT
WSH

[mitch51]

We rarely do this but due to the small card or the lines too high my wife says it's parlay time:

Pens/over 5 parlay=risky business

She agrees with calmeat's consensus picks.

GLTA

Mitch & Ali

[Rumplebeanskin]

I myself tend to get crazy with 5 or 6 way parlays.
Lost one last night in which 5 hit, but Denver Broncos (ML) lost.

I rarely do them, and I only drop £1 on them tops. I'm no big spender

Montreal cost me 1 bet, Denver ML cost me another, Denver missing the Over cost me the third. Close call. Gone VAN, WSH, PIT tonight. Looks good to me. Washington I think stand best chance of letting me down. £3 pays £12 tho, so here's to hoping!!

[calmeat]

i went with pit reg and wsh ml. hope they hit. Also started doing fanduel its my third try tonight to win some money. Heres my lineup i felt good about it so that normally means ill end up last

LW	David Perron EDM @ VAN
LW	Chris Kunitz PIT v NJ
RW	Alexander Ovechkin WAS @ FLA
RW	Pascal Dupuis PIT v NJ
C	Ryan Kesler VAN v EDM
C	Mikhail Grabovski WAS @ FLA
D	Jason Garrison VAN v EDM
D	Olli Maatta PIT v NJ
G	Philipp Grubauer WAS @ FLA

[Rumplebeanskin]

Washington I think stand best chance of letting me down. £3 pays £12 tho, so here's to hoping!!

Nailed it lol

Why don't I listen to myself with these things?! Haha!

I'm guessing you all put 3/4/5 individual bets on per night? I always pick my favourite 2/3 and parlay them. The amount you win for a single bet just seems small, but I guess they add up

[mitch51]

Nailed it lol

Why don't I listen to myself with these things?! Haha!

I'm guessing you all put 3/4/5 individual bets on per night? I always pick my favourite 2/3 and parlay them. The amount you win for a single bet just seems small, but I guess they add up

Just a parlay and it was a win/push.
Later
Mitch

[mitch51]

Sweet be sure to post her MLB plays. I dont basketball either.

It's just to the point where the spreads are so sharp in everything but baseball and hockey that no one can make any money. Thank God for the MLB and NHL.

Mitch & Ali

[mitch51]

Canadiens, Coyotes, lean on Bruins. No totals today, too up and down.

GLTA

Mitch & Ali

[calmeat]

consensus
CGY
NJD
CHI
PIT
PHX
COL

[Rumplebeanskin]

Chicago Toronto, you don't get many 70% games any more, form on their side to. 70% games are pretty much money, 80% plus winners.

Pretty crazy result!! Even more surprising is I didn't back Chicago, that's usually something I'd do hahaha

[calmeat]

haha yeah i know i really didnt expect that. i had a gut feeling that they were due for a letdown. Of course i backed them, i have been betting a unit on the highest game win%,Highest consensus game win%, Top Largest lead (bet is regulation), and gold plays. So CHI was pretty much all my bets.

[mitch51]

All I do is crunch numbers manually, no programs to use.

I like these:
Capitals
Capitals under
Lightning
Lightning under
Canadiens
Rangers
Blackhawks
Ducks too high otherwise bet (I don't do PL's)

But betting only:

Capitals
Under 5.5 TB
Blackhawks

I hope they are what Calmeat comes up with in his program.

GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[calmeat]

Consensus
WSH
DET
MTL
CGY
ANA

[mitch51]

Capitals
TB under 5.5

Blackhawks

[calmeat]

DUCKS ML and REG!!

[mitch51]

DUCKS ML and REG!!

Way to go.

Mitch & Ali