2013 NHL Picks

[Chaosiam]

Well there is some pretty interesting games today!

What do we think about Habs-Tor? Cotes?
And what about Caps-Philly? I think I like Caps more Although they are back to back.
Maybe Fasth has recovered from melt down and is ready to show some good game. So Ana ml if Fasthe is in net.
Detroit ml

Thoughts, opinions?

[Kpn]

Over on wash/philly, wash to win, montreal to win and under, anaheim to win and over, detroit to win and over.

[Chaosiam]

Over on wash/philly, wash to win, montreal to win and under, anaheim to win and over, detroit to win and over.

On the same path with you at the moment

[cotes17]

Well there is some pretty interesting games today!

What do we think about Habs-Tor? Cotes?
And what about Caps-Philly? I think I like Caps more Although they are back to back.
Maybe Fasth has recovered from melt down and is ready to show some good game. So Ana ml if Fasthe is in net.
Detroit ml

Thoughts, opinions?

Obviously taking the HABS!!

[Seeing Stars]

Well there is some pretty interesting games today!

What do we think about Habs-Tor? Cotes?
And what about Caps-Philly? I think I like Caps more Although they are back to back.
Maybe Fasth has recovered from melt down and is ready to show some good game. So Ana ml if Fasthe is in net.
Detroit ml

Thoughts, opinions?

Caps and Philly, can we really be considering this?? Was has been better lately but....

Cotes, this is a true hated rival in Canada? I just wanna know MTL won't be uninterested...

Choa, Fasth has been so good this season, that's what caught me by surprise. But truthfully, I believe its the play of LA that has greatly improved.

[Seeing Stars]

Well there is some pretty interesting games today!

What do we think about Habs-Tor? Cotes?
And what about Caps-Philly? I think I like Caps more Although they are back to back.
Maybe Fasth has recovered from melt down and is ready to show some good game. So Ana ml if Fasthe is in net.
Detroit ml

Thoughts, opinions?

I think I would take LA -1 to better the odds and ride with them since they are streaking ...

[Seeing Stars]

Obviously taking the HABS!!

MTL/TOR UNDER
WAS/PHI OVER

either of those???

[cotes17]

Caps and Philly, can we really be considering this?? Was has been better lately but....

Cotes, this is a true hated rival in Canada? I just wanna know MTL won't be uninterested...

Choa, Fasth has been so good this season, that's what caught me by surprise. But truthfully, I believe its the play of LA that has greatly improved.

Yeah man habs and leafs are the biggest rival in Canada for sure. Going to be such a good game I think, seeing as habs lost 6-0 last time they are going to come out hot

[cotes17]

Yesterday

4-2 +$336

Ytd: 116-119-6 +$1,120.40

[Huckleberry Pig]

Alright guys, the best way I could get this on here was to print out the main part of the spreadsheet and then scan it as a pdf and put it on here. I have gone through and broken down every 2nd game of a back-to back to better predict the outcome of future 2nd games of back-to-backs. I have incorporated where the first leg of the back-to-back was played and what the result was so that we can see if there are any trends that jump out. There are quite a few cells I have hidden that calculate the percentages you see on the 3rd page of the spreadhseet. The gray line you see for the Capitals is just a reminder for myself to put in the info of that game after tonight. It has no effect on the numbers until I enter them in after it happens tonight. Let me know what ya'll think...

By Team:
NHL B-2-B.pdf

By Date:
NHL B-2-B by Date.pdf

[Huckleberry Pig]

Early lean:

Capitals @ Flyers, Flyers ML (-145) - teams on the second leg of a B2B coming off a home win are 4-12 on the road in the second game. out of those 12 losses, 9 have come by two goals or more. The Capitals are 1-1 in the second leg of a B2B but are 0-1 on the road. I like the Flyers to take this one. Odds are in their favor and they are at home. Think they will be motivated as they do not want to go 1-3 in their four-game home stand. Also, though the Capitals have been playing better lately, they are only 2-6 on the road. Tempted to take the Flyers PL here.

Captials @ Flyers, Over 5.5 (-130) - The last 5 Flyers games have gone Over. Three of the last 6 Capitals games have gone Over. The Capitals have only had one road game all year stay under 5 goals and have gone over 5 goals four out of eight games. Also, the Over is 20-8-3 in their last 31 matchups. I think this will be a high scoring match.

[bigbadbruins22]

kitchen sink on the o5.5 for me, gl all

[Huckleberry Pig]

Second Lean:

Predators @ Ducks, Ducks ML (-130) - Think this is pretty good value here. Ducks are 6-1 at home, including their last 6. They beat the Predators there earlier in the season when it was the 2nd leg of a B2B. Think they will beat them here with a days rest. The Preds have been playing somewhat poor as of late, losing 4 of their last 6 including their last 3 road games. I like the Ducks at home here against a struggling Predators team.

Predators @ Ducks, Over 5 (+105) - Not as confident in this one as I am the Ducks pick but I do like the odds here at +105. Ducks are one of the highest scoring teams in the league while the Predators have been a mess on Defense lately, giving up 8 goals in their last 2 games. The Preds have also given up 10 goals in their last two road games. Liking the Over.

[Huckleberry Pig]

3rd and Final Lean:

Redwings @ Kings, Kings PL (+200) - Quite a bit of juice on the ML for the Kings, but a nice payout on the PL which has gone 4-0 in their last 4 games. Kings are playing extremely well as of late and I look for this to continue against the Red Wings. Red Wings are coming off 2 straight wins but have only won 2 games on the road all year. I like the hot team here.

Redwings @ Kings, Kings ML (-160) - More of an insurance bet here. Juice is high but if you are extremely confident in the Kings but not by more than one, I'd take the ML for a little insurance.

Redwings @ Kings, Over 5 (-115) - Kings have scored 23 over their last 7 while the Redwings have scored 12 in their last 2. Kings have been solid on Defense but with a Detroit team that has scored quite a few goals lately I like the Over here for at least a Push.

[Seeing Stars]

3rd and Final Lean:

Redwings @ Kings, Kings PL (+200) - Quite a bit of juice on the ML for the Kings, but a nice payout on the PL which has gone 4-0 in their last 4 games. Kings are playing extremely well as of late and I look for this to continue against the Red Wings. Red Wings are coming off 2 straight wins but have only won 2 games on the road all year. I like the hot team here.

Redwings @ Kings, Kings ML (-160) - More of an insurance bet here. Juice is high but if you are extremely confident in the Kings but not by more than one, I'd take the ML for a little insurance.

Redwings @ Kings, Over 5 (-115) - Kings have scored 23 over their last 7 while the Redwings have scored 12 in their last 2. Kings have been solid on Defense but with a Detroit team that has scored quite a few goals lately I like the Over here for at least a Push.

Good work Huck, nothing is a 100% but this is great stuff.....and even then, a feeling is a real lean.

I agree with the LA win and -1 is what I was thinking to lower odds in my favor, WAS/PHI OVER nice.

[Seeing Stars]

Second Lean:

Predators @ Ducks, Ducks ML (-130) - Think this is pretty good value here. Ducks are 6-1 at home, including their last 6. They beat the Predators there earlier in the season when it was the 2nd leg of a B2B. Think they will beat them here with a days rest. The Preds have been playing somewhat poor as of late, losing 4 of their last 6 including their last 3 road games. I like the Ducks at home here against a struggling Predators team.

Predators @ Ducks, Over 5 (+105) - Not as confident in this one as I am the Ducks pick but I do like the odds here at +105. Ducks are one of the highest scoring teams in the league while the Predators have been a mess on Defense lately, giving up 8 goals in their last 2 games. The Preds have also given up 10 goals in their last two road games. Liking the Over.

Don't know if Rinne is in goal but it hasn't mattered ....OVER was good when they last played Stars by multiple goals.

[Seeing Stars]

Yeah man habs and leafs are the biggest rival in Canada for sure. Going to be such a good game I think, seeing as habs lost 6-0 last time they are going to come out hot

HABS... TOR at home, payback.....

[Huckleberry Pig]

Good work Huck, nothing is a 100% but this is great stuff.....and even then, a feeling is a real lean.

I agree with the LA win and -1 is what I was thinking to lower odds in my favor, WAS/PHI OVER nice.

thanks stars... any thoughts on the spreadsheet? anything you'd change or anything i could add?

[Huckleberry Pig]

It appears phillyflyers is on all the same plays as I am tonight... not good

[Seeing Stars]

It appears phillyflyers is on all the same plays as I am tonight... not good

NOT GOOD, i might fade it then, let me look through these threads....

[Seeing Stars]

thanks stars... any thoughts on the spreadsheet? anything you'd change or anything i could add?

I couldnt pull it up on my laptop, but its probably due to my software, might need to update pdf files...

[Chaosiam]

thanks stars... any thoughts on the spreadsheet? anything you'd change or anything i could add?

I have more confidence to go with Detroit and Caps.. But what other guys think?

[Seeing Stars]

I have more confidence to go with Detroit and Caps.. But what other guys think?

Chao, I miss your insight, you were rolling for awhile....

Backup goalie for LA tonight

I am just hesitant on WAS, B2B and Philly better at home but it is the Flyboys.....still thinking OVER.

[Seeing Stars]

It appears phillyflyers is on all the same plays as I am tonight... not good

I went and looked through several threads and not much on here about OVER, might just be a GOOD play....

[Seeing Stars]

Obviously taking the HABS!!

I DID....

[High3rEl3m3nt]

GL gents...really hoping Habs win!! burn leafs, burn.

[cotes17]

GL gents...really hoping Habs win!! burn leafs, burn.

Got the right man! Hope we kick their ass tonight!!

[cotes17]

Here's my picks tonight

Mtl ml -108 $162 to win $150
Caps ml +129 $100 to win $129
Caps/Philly O5.5 -125 $125 to win $100
Anaheim ml -130 $130 to win $100

GL guys

[cotes17]

I would just like to say that's some excellent work Huck. Both your write ups and the spreadsheets. Keep it coming man. I can't take Philly tonight, the have burnt me so many times and I have to say, the caps looked strong last night and OV is starting to pick it up. If he keeps it going they will get on a roll. And plus the caps are a huge underdog here so I have to take a shot

[Huckleberry Pig]

Official Picks 2/27/13:

Capitals @ Flyers, Flyers ML (-145) - teams on the second leg of a B2B coming off a home win are 4-12 on the road in the second game. out of those 12 losses, 9 have come by two goals or more. The Capitals are 1-1 in the second leg of a B2B but are 0-1 on the road. I like the Flyers to take this one. Odds are in their favor and they are at home. Think they will be motivated as they do not want to go 1-3 in their four-game home stand. Also, though the Capitals have been playing better lately, they are only 2-6 on the road.

Captials @ Flyers, Over 5.5 (-130) - The last 5 Flyers games have gone Over. Three of the last 6 Capitals games have gone Over. The Capitals have only had one road game all year stay under 5 goals and have gone over 5 goals four out of eight games. Also, the Over is 20-8-3 in their last 31 matchups. I think this will be a high scoring match.

Predators @ Ducks, Ducks ML (-130) - Think this is pretty good value here. Ducks are 6-1 at home, including their last 6. They beat the Predators there earlier in the season when it was the 2nd leg of a B2B. Think they will beat them here with a days rest. The Preds have been playing somewhat poor as of late, losing 4 of their last 6 including their last 3 road games. I like the Ducks at home here against a struggling Predators team.

Predators @ Ducks, Over 5 (+105) - Not as confident in this one as I am the Ducks pick but I do like the odds here at +105. Ducks are one of the highest scoring teams in the league while the Predators have been a mess on Defense lately, giving up 8 goals in their last 2 games. The Preds have also given up 10 goals in their last two road games. Liking the Over.

Redwings @ Kings, Kings PL (+200) - Quite a bit of juice on the ML for the Kings, but a nice payout on the PL which has gone 4-0 in their last 4 games. Kings are playing extremely well as of late and I look for this to continue against the Red Wings. Red Wings are coming off 2 straight wins but have only won 2 games on the road all year. I like the hot team here.

Redwings @ Kings, Over 5 (-115) - Kings have scored 23 over their last 7 while the Redwings have scored 12 in their last 2. Kings have been solid on Defense but with a Detroit team that has scored quite a few goals lately I like the Over here for at least a Push.


Don't like betting the Flyers, but screw it... taking them here

[Huckleberry Pig]

I would just like to say that's some excellent work Huck. Both your write ups and the spreadsheets. Keep it coming man. I can't take Philly tonight, the have burnt me so many times and I have to say, the caps looked strong last night and OV is starting to pick it up. If he keeps it going they will get on a roll. And plus the caps are a huge underdog here so I have to take a shot

Thanks man. Unfortunately I do all that hard work then PhillyFlyers ends up with the same damn picks lol. bad news there. Needless to say I'm worried about tonight. Found it odd that I went with 3 overs but that's just how I felt. Hoping for a + night. GL guys!

[rustie]

Excellent work Huck going to have to study these for sure ,thanks for sharing

P.s are you going to update these s we go ?

Good luck all

Cheers

[Huckleberry Pig]

Excellent work Huck going to have to study these for sure ,thanks for sharing

P.s are you going to update these s we go ?

Good luck all

Cheers

I'll be updating it every day and posting it on here (likely in the morning). Hope this spreadsheet can start getting me some W's. Have gone 12-7 my last 3 days (4-2, 4-2, 4-3) of picks (havn't picked since thursday) so hoping I can keep it up. We shall see. Glad I'll be able to watch some games tonight!

GL mates!

[Seeing Stars]

Good day men, lotta info and insight differing opinions and reasonings. Keep it up and where's my boots ???? I'm heading to Toronto tonight wearing my Carboneau jersey

[Huckleberry Pig]

And just like that 1-0 flyers