CFB 2012 (also NFL)

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1541
    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
    i love the 1H under angle and i think that we should discuss how to refine a bit for next year. in my mind, ECU/ULL and Cincy/Duke were simply two games on my list from beginning of bowls where knew i wouldn't have wanted any part of any under (Nevada/AZ, Purdue/Okie State, Baylor/UCLA, WVU/Cuse, A&M/Oklahoma being others). simply by adding a filter involving defenses' opposition TDs/play or points/play, you might weed out the teams that can't tackle (Nevada, AZ, ECU, ULL, Duke all bad in those stats). definitively a subject for further attention. i will pull together some thoughts and shoot you a pm.
    sounds good...yea there were a few i just left alone simply cause didnt have the stomach as the defenses were terrible for both teams but for doing somewhat blindly with a little capping it did well and think it has for last several years so def think we can make it even better with a little effort..
    Comment
    • BiffTFinancial
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-29-09
      • 22670

      #1542
      Originally posted by Madison
      Yeah made the 3U play when I first posted to avoid something stupid happening. When I went back for more under and parlay no lines 10-15 minutes before ko. Books must have been getting pounded.

      As far as not playing rule #1 for me is "let the plays come to you, don't force/over handicap". Play came to me mid-afternoon. This is especially beneficial in volume sports like BB and baseball. Applying this in baseball the last 2 years has worked wonders for me. You know me by now. I'm the anti-volume guy.
      to be fair, the Texans upset changed circumstances and did "bring the play to you" so i definitely get that.
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #1543
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        sounds good...yea there were a few i just left alone simply cause didnt have the stomach as the defenses were terrible for both teams but for doing somewhat blindly with a little capping it did well and think it has for last several years so def think we can make it even better with a little effort..
        definitely. another filter to consider is different approach for games involving a BCS conf team, as under trends between two non-BCS teams are well-documented. started to pull together thoughts yesterday but NFL took over my day (and that was fine). will get it together this week and shoot to you via pm. always best to discuss these issues when fresh in mind.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #1544
          Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
          definitely. another filter to consider is different approach for games involving a BCS conf team, as under trends between two non-BCS teams are well-documented. started to pull together thoughts yesterday but NFL took over my day (and that was fine). will get it together this week and shoot to you via pm. always best to discuss these issues when fresh in mind.
          good deal,,,no rush since we have a year to work on it,,lol...rode with you on vandy..applying the 1st half under/2nd half thing to the usc/gt gm, 31.5 seems pretty damn high, i know gtech will run some clock and i read that the winds were pretty high where they playing which hopefully limits usc passing gm as i know gtech prob cant do it, lol...
          Comment
          • mbcoutinho
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-28-11
            • 181

            #1545
            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
            New Years Eve (plays all previously posted, but to make things clear)
            5* Vanderbilt (4* Vandy -6.5, 1* Vandy -7 -115)
            2* Iowa State -1'
            2* LSU -6

            BOL to all today.
            Thanks Biff, made it easy for us...
            Comment
            • Smutbucket
              SBR MVP
              • 03-14-08
              • 3996

              #1546
              good luck today buddy, didnt get chance to look into tulsa game at all, just laying off myself, been real busy this whole week with work....

              just added up my NFL totals for season and Im right about where you are . +3.5 units ish.... which is a victory in my book for the NFL, lol
              Comment
              • SilverTongueFox
                SBR MVP
                • 11-23-10
                • 2338

                #1547
                Biff - way to 'finish the drill' in NFL reg. season. And boom, big winnah on Vandy! Congrats!
                Comment
                • svenodds
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-12-09
                  • 1790

                  #1548
                  Nice hit on Vandy

                  Happy New Year
                  Comment
                  • Madison
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-16-11
                    • 6445

                    #1549
                    Nice call on Vandy. I kept hoping for the 6.5 and never got it. Took a small tease (what else) with your other pick LSU.
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #1550
                      Originally posted by mbcoutinho

                      Thanks Biff, made it easy for us...
                      Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                      Biff - way to 'finish the drill' in NFL reg. season. And boom, big winnah on Vandy! Congrats!
                      Originally posted by svenodds
                      Nice hit on Vandy

                      Happy New Year
                      Originally posted by Madison
                      Nice call on Vandy. I kept hoping for the 6.5 and never got it. Took a small tease (what else) with your other pick LSU.
                      cheers, boys! Vandy winner woot! nice to hit my one and only 5* play of the season. don't stick my nose out like that often and glad we hit. nice to have all those turnovers and an opponent that plays as dumb as the Detroit Lions.

                      cmon Cyclones.
                      Comment
                      • BiffTFinancial
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 22670

                        #1551
                        Originally posted by Smutbucket
                        good luck today buddy, didnt get chance to look into tulsa game at all, just laying off myself, been real busy this whole week with work....

                        just added up my NFL totals for season and Im right about where you are . +3.5 units ish.... which is a victory in my book for the NFL, lol
                        nice job, Smut! NFL is really tough for me and i wanted to bad to finish positive after two negative weeks put me in the red. every once in awhile, things work out...
                        Comment
                        • hondo5
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-01-09
                          • 402

                          #1552
                          Ia state is azz...no business being in this game
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #1553
                            Happy New Years Biff!
                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #1554
                              Originally posted by hondo5
                              Ia state is azz...no business being in this game
                              2* Iowa State -1' - LOSER

                              Bad pick. Sided with Big 12 over CUSA, failing to realize that Cyclones perhaps belong in CUSA. bad call by me on this one. Tulsa was clearly the better team.

                              resisting urge to add 1u to LSU, gonna stay with 2u there.
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #1555
                                Originally posted by Dexter
                                Happy New Years Biff!
                                right back atcha, Dexter. Happy New Years to you in NYC!
                                Comment
                                • tmoneymonsta
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 11-28-11
                                  • 14

                                  #1556
                                  Tailed you on that Vandy pick. Big thanks! BOL on LSU tonight (tailing that one too)
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #1557
                                    Originally posted by tmoneymonsta
                                    Tailed you on that Vandy pick. Big thanks! BOL on LSU tonight (tailing that one too)
                                    sorry we did not have better results. once Watkins was out, i felt pretty good about things, and am very surprised at LSU defense being unable to bring this home when they should've been able to focus on Hopkins with Watkins out. oh well, onward and upward.
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #1558
                                      2012-13 Bowls updated card
                                      5* Vanderbilt (4* Vandy -6.5, 1* Vandy -7 -115) - WINNER
                                      3* BYU (2* BYU -2', 1* BYU -3 -115) - WINNER
                                      3* UCLA (2* UCLA -2' (-105), 1* UCLA -3) - LOSER
                                      2* Utah St -10 - WINNER
                                      2* East Carolina/Louisiana Lafayette over 64' - WINNER
                                      2* Washington/Boise State under 46 - LOSER
                                      2* Cincinnati/Duke over 60' (-105) - WINNER
                                      2* Bowling Green +7 (-102) - LOSER
                                      2* Syracuse TT over 33' - WINNER
                                      2* TCU/Michigan State 1H under 20' - WINNER
                                      2* Iowa State -1' - LOSER
                                      2* LSU -6 - LOSER
                                      1* Nevada +10 - WINNER
                                      1* Nevada TT over 35' - WINNER
                                      1* Washington/Boise State 1H under 21' (+100) - LOSER
                                      1* Central Michigan/Western Kentucky 1H under 28' (-105) - LOSER
                                      1* UCLA TT over 41 - LOSER
                                      1* Air Force/Rice over 62' (-103) - LOSER

                                      9-9 +3.98u
                                      Comment
                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-29-09
                                        • 22670

                                        #1559
                                        New Years Day leans
                                        Northwestern +1/ML +101 [MSU just got hit pretty hard a few minutes ago]
                                        NU TT over 27
                                        MSU TT under 27'

                                        Okie State TT over 44
                                        Purdue/Okie State over 70'

                                        Michigan +4'
                                        UM/SCAR under 47'/1H under 23' -105
                                        Cocky TT under 26

                                        UNL +8'
                                        UNL/UGA under 61'/1H under 30' -105

                                        Wisky +5
                                        Wisky/Tree under 47'/1H under 23' -105
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #1560
                                          New Years Day Bowls
                                          2* Michigan/South Carolina 1H under 23' (-105)
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #1561
                                            will be on Rose Bowl 1H under also. it's sitting at under 23' -105 right now. i seriously doubt that it makes it to 24, but would really be kicking myself for playing it here if it did. will be have to watch line in case it drops.
                                            Comment
                                            • Rick22
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-29-09
                                              • 2200

                                              #1562
                                              Good luck today Biff. Let's finish with a bang! Go Badgers.
                                              Comment
                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 22670

                                                #1563
                                                Originally posted by Rick22
                                                Good luck today Biff. Let's finish with a bang! Go Badgers.
                                                morning, Rick. like Badgers, think they have decent shot to win outright. that said, i think that the 1H being conservative is the best angle here, but heaving on Badgers in my pools. wife's folks are at the game, shot me a pic of Biff's car from Back to the Future last night all decked out for Rose Bowl. i'm not as into attending live sports events as i used to be, but i really want to get to the Rose Bowl one day.
                                                Comment
                                                • HOT WINGS
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-29-10
                                                  • 8055

                                                  #1564
                                                  Biff add your Nebraska lean. Its a winner! Happy new year pal
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 22670

                                                    #1565
                                                    adding

                                                    2* Wisconsin/Stanford 1H under 23' (-105)

                                                    New Years Day Bowls updated card
                                                    2* Michigan/South Carolina 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                    2* Wisconsin/Stanford 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                      • 22670

                                                      #1566
                                                      Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                      Biff add your Nebraska lean. Its a winner! Happy new year pal
                                                      Happy New Year to you too Hot Wings! finalizing noon early games but will be making UNL decision before long.

                                                      standard day long appetizers and booze for new years. hanky pankies, tortilla soup and nachos, and... yesterdogs!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 22670

                                                        #1567
                                                        adding

                                                        2* Oklahoma State team total over 43

                                                        New Years Day Bowls updated card
                                                        2* Oklahoma State TT over 43
                                                        2* Michigan/South Carolina 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                        2* Wisconsin/Stanford 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HOT WINGS
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-29-10
                                                          • 8055

                                                          #1568
                                                          Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                          Happy New Year to you too Hot Wings! finalizing noon early games but will be making UNL decision before long.

                                                          standard day long appetizers and booze for new years. hanky pankies, tortilla soup and nachos, and... yesterdogs!
                                                          Yeah man can't wait to snack some more and have another cocktail or two this afternoon. Going to parents so grandpa and grandma can keep kids entertained! Haha anyways good luck!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #1569
                                                            adding

                                                            1* Northwestern/Mississippi State over 54

                                                            New Years Day Bowls updated card
                                                            2* Oklahoma State TT over 43
                                                            2* Michigan/South Carolina 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                            2* Wisconsin/Stanford 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                            1* Northwestern/Mississippi State over 54
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #1570
                                                              Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                              Yeah man can't wait to snack some more and have another cocktail or two this afternoon. Going to parents so grandpa and grandma can keep kids entertained! Haha anyways good luck!
                                                              have fun. my favorite days of the year: new years day, friday and saturday after thanksgiving, first two days of NCAA tourney. honorable mention: sundays before Memorial Day/Labor Day.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SilverTongueFox
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-23-10
                                                                • 2338

                                                                #1571
                                                                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                have fun. my favorite days of the year: new years day, friday and saturday after thanksgiving, first two days of NCAA tourney. honorable mention: sundays before Memorial Day/Labor Day.
                                                                Biff, it's not really a gambling op but let's not forget Sunday at the Masters.

                                                                BOL today. Happy New Year!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 22670

                                                                  #1572
                                                                  adding

                                                                  1* Northwestern/Mississippi State over 54

                                                                  New Years Day Bowls updated card
                                                                  2* Oklahoma State TT over 43
                                                                  2* Northwestern/Mississippi State over 54
                                                                  2* Michigan/South Carolina 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                                  2* Wisconsin/Stanford 1H under 23' (-105)

                                                                  that'll do it for me. like Nebraska and under but can't pull the trigger there.

                                                                  BOL to all today. enjoy.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                                    • 22670

                                                                    #1573
                                                                    Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                                                    Biff, it's not really a gambling op but let's not forget Sunday at the Masters.

                                                                    BOL today. Happy New Year!
                                                                    no doubt, SilverTongueFox. that is a great day indeed.

                                                                    BOL to you too, pal. Happy New Year!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                                      • 22670

                                                                      #1574
                                                                      adding

                                                                      2* Wisconsin +4 (-105)

                                                                      New Years Day Bowls updated card
                                                                      2* Oklahoma State TT over 43 - WINNER
                                                                      2* Northwestern/Mississippi State over 54 - PUSH
                                                                      2* Michigan/South Carolina 1H under 23' (-105) - LOSER
                                                                      2* Wisconsin/Stanford 1H under 23' (-105)
                                                                      2* Wisconsin +4 (-105)

                                                                      1-1-1 -0.1u start
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jinxpro13
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-31-12
                                                                        • 1434

                                                                        #1575
                                                                        hate seein you on wiscy biff.. gl either way bud
                                                                        Comment
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