CFB Week Twelve
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67
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Got some totals for you to look at: NC/VA Over, Kent St/BG Over, Tennessee/Vandy Over, Miami(OH)/CM Over, Wake/ND Under, Syr/Mizzou Under, Utah State/La Tech Over and North Texas/ULM Over.
For Sides I like: NC, FL Atl, Kent St, Miss St, Buff, Penn St, K State, Wash, San Jose State, and Utah State
Check em out and let me know what you like......Comment -
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67 - LOSER
bahComment -
i've only capped about a dozen games, but i will likely be on UT/Vandy over, NCSU/Clemson over, Clemson TT over, Oregon TT over/game over, Duke/GT over. also like Wake/ND under. will be capping for a good chunk of tonight. will try to check out UNC/UVA total at lunch and post up with thoughts.Comment -
adding
2* NC State/Clemson over 64'
2* Clemson team total over 40
2* Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 60
2* Stanford/Oregon over 65
2* Oregon team total over 42'
CFB Week Twelve updated card
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67 - LOSER
2* NC State/Clemson over 64'
2* Clemson team total over 40
2* Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 60
2* Stanford/Oregon over 65
2* Oregon team total over 42'Comment -
adding
2* North Carolina team total over 32'
CFB Week Twelve updated card
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67 - LOSER
2* North Carolina TT over 32'
2* NC State/Clemson over 64'
2* Clemson TT over 40
2* Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 60
2* Stanford/Oregon over 65
2* Oregon TT over 42'
BOL to all tonight.Comment -
2* UNC TT over 32' - WINNER
1-1 -0.2u start. will post the rest of my CFB card tomorrow morning when Legends reduced juice lines become available.Comment -
Biff, you think the rain will impact the Oregon/Stanford over much? Figure the weather won't phase the Ducks on turf but... dunno about Stanford.Comment -
Hey Biff what do you think about the TT for Airforce O 40.5? Rainbows give up 40 points game almost every week and their rush D is awful!Comment -
adding
2* Northwestern +7 (-105)
2* Duke/Georgia Tech over 67'
2* Kansas State -12
CFB Week Twelve updated card
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67 - LOSER
2* North Carolina TT over 32' - WINNER
2* Northwestern +7 (-105)
2* NC State/Clemson over 64'
2* Clemson TT over 40
2* Duke/Georgia Tech over 67'
2* Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 60
2* Stanford/Oregon over 65
2* Oregon TT over 42'
2* Kansas State -12Comment -
it probably makes me like the Ducks TT a little better than the game over, but not a major difference. i had expected some rain initially when i capped the game, and it should accentuate the Ducks' quickness advantage.. i'd be much more concerned with significant wind than rain.Comment -
didn't cap either game tonight (dinner plans), but i can definitely see why you'd like AF TT over. Hawaii is completely feckless, and in the cold weather and altitude, AF can probably name their number and that number should be 40+. my biggest concern would be that Hawaii completely doesn't show up and Air Force is content to win 31-7/35-10. BOL whatever you decide, hope you hit.Comment -
It's senior night for AF, whatever that means. Hopefully they'll be scoring style points and enjoying themselves.
Great point about strong winds vs just rain. I'm on Northwestern & K State as well. Terrible at picking over/under so I tail yours sometimes. Thanks for the picks!!Comment -
what is the YTD here?Comment -
47-43-1 +3.21u CFB season to date before this week (1-1 -0.2u this week with 8 plays pending)
30-29 +0.64u NFL season to date
so, nothing special, though it's worth noting that i was down about -22u CFB and -10u NFL in late September, so things have been generally positive since a miserable start.Comment -
senior night is weird. i've heard some guys say that they view it as a positive factor and other guys say that it's a negative (someone did so earlier this week with respect to Northern Illinois, and he was right that Toledo covered; of course, that doesn't speak to causation). for a disciplined team like Air Force, i'd think that it's either neutral or positive. i like betting games with service academies because you can generally rely upon a consistent predictable performance. i'm guessing that AF on senior night will be very similar to AF in most other home games.
the key with weather, in my mind, is how the game plan changes. if this game were in Palo Alto on grass, i'd be concerned about the rain. in Eugene, on turf, my guess would be that Oregon will try to use their speed and the wet conditions to their advantage early - lots of read option, misdirection, play action (kinds of plays that get bigger slower Stanford heading one direction then having to make quick change of direction on wet turf). on Stanford's side, defensively, i'm guessing that they've heard the verb "contain" about 1,000 in meeting rooms this week. containing OU's offense in these conditions will be even more difficult for Stanford, i believe. on the other side, i'd imagine that the weather will lead to a conservative ground attack to control the clock from Stanford - so no change from if the weather was normal. the key is how quickly Oregon starts. in the end, one of the most important factors for my over plays will be the coin-toss. if UO gets the ball first and gets off quickly, Stanford won't be able to bleed clock for long.
haha, i actually find that i'm more comfortable with totals than sides. hey, whatever works for you. glad to hear that you like NU and K State. really wanted to unload on K State with a bigger play, but man do i hate it when my biggest play is on road chalk.Comment -
yo biff, good luck this weekend, nice looking card, although I disagree a bit on clemson team/game total/ think clemson struggles to put up points in this batttle, this'll be the most difficult defense they have to face...last year boyd struggled too with them, All I got on that one is NC state +17, so hopefully we both hit, with you on kstate, the amount this team has been undervalued by the books this season is really a
to me.....intrested in seeing how this kain colter does against mich st., I am really liking mich st. more and more I watch them, more likea tru offense than most of the B1G, but colter also looked very good what I watched from him against mich, but that was mich defense....so....lets see how he holds up against a real defense, hes def tough and very athletic QB,
Good luck
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what's up smut. yeah, hopefully we both hit on Clemson game. for what it's worth, i think that NC State will get theirs on Clemson, which is why i like over. good buddy of mine played hoops at Clemson and is a huge fan. we've been talking about this one, it's one Clemson had circled on their calendars after last year. i think Clemson will move the ball but we will see. Sparty hasn't beaten up on anyone. you can either view it as the books "sending a message" with the line or think it's NU being undervalued because they've notably choked away so many games this season. i think it's the latter. my numbers have NU as better team than MSU, primarily because Sparty's offense has been atrocious. i think MSU probably wins by a FG, but i like NU at +7. BOL this weekend, pal, thanks for your thoughts.yo biff, good luck this weekend, nice looking card, although I disagree a bit on clemson team/game total/ think clemson struggles to put up points in this batttle, this'll be the most difficult defense they have to face...last year boyd struggled too with them, All I got on that one is NC state +17, so hopefully we both hit, with you on kstate, the amount this team has been undervalued by the books this season is really a to me.....intrested in seeing how this kain colter does against mich st., I am really liking mich st. more and more I watch them, more likea tru offense than most of the B1G, but colter also looked very good what I watched from him against mich, but that was mich defense....so....lets see how he holds up against a real defense, hes def tough and very athletic QB,
Good luckComment -
adding
2* Kent State/Bowling Green 1H under 23'
2* Miami-Ohio/Central Michigan over 63 (-105)
a day without MAC totals is like a day without sunshine.
CFB Week Twelve updated card
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67 - LOSER
2* North Carolina TT over 32' - WINNER
2* Northwestern +7 (-105)
2* Kent State/Bowling Green 1H under 23'
2* Miami-Ohio/Central Michigan over 63 (-105)
2* NC State/Clemson over 64'
2* Clemson TT over 40
2* Duke/Georgia Tech over 67'
2* Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 60
2* Stanford/Oregon over 65
2* Oregon TT over 42'
2* Kansas State -12Comment -
Biff if you get a chance let me know your thoughts on ecu/tulane over 61 if you have any opinions on it. ecu should be able to get into the 40's and tulane will throw all day.Comment -
Hey Biff,
Any thoughts at all on the OSU/UW game? I like the Northwestern pick and who could stop going with overs in the Oregon games - lol.Comment -
hey, Rick, what's up, pal? i think that OSU/UW side is one of the most unplayable sides this week. play on that game is over but i'm just gonna watch and enjoy. Bielema and UFM despise each other, and either one will prick it up it given the opportunity. if either team gets consecutive turnovers, i think the other team takes the game. this game is as fragile as an egg. i think that Badgers win by a TD, something like 34-27, but honestly, either team could win 40-20. in my pools, i took Wisky side, but man i will not be rooting that way.
Sparty has only won by a TD+ twice this year, both times vs directional Michigans in September. BOL today Rick.Comment -
Guess I'll just enjoy - even the over is scary. You know which side I'll be rooting for Pal - Good Luck!Comment -
adding
2* Ole Miss +19 (-102)
CFB Week Twelve updated card
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67 - LOSER
2* North Carolina TT over 32' - WINNER
2* Northwestern +7 (-105)
2* Kent State/Bowling Green 1H under 23' - WINNER
2* Miami-Ohio/Central Michigan over 63 (-105)
2* NC State/Clemson over 64'
2* Clemson TT over 40
2* Duke/Georgia Tech over 67'
2* Ole Miss +19 (-102)
2* Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 60
2* Stanford/Oregon over 65
2* Oregon TT over 42'
2* Kansas State -12
Kent/BGSU 1H went from looking like easy winner to white-knuckle affair. glad to have cashed that one, phew.Comment -
i didnt do much today, no time during week and slept in today,,,,jumped on the clemson totals with you, you knocked that shit out of the park brother!Comment -
CFB Week Twelve final card
2* Toledo/Northern Illinois over 67 - LOSER
2* North Carolina TT over 32' - WINNER
2* Northwestern +7 (-105) - WINNER
2* Kent State/Bowling Green 1H under 23' - WINNER
2* Miami-Ohio/Central Michigan over 63 (-105) - LOSER
2* NC State/Clemson over 64' - WINNER
2* Clemson TT over 40 - WINNER
2* Duke/Georgia Tech over 67' - LOSER
2* Tennessee/Vanderbilt over 60 - LOSER
2* Stanford/Oregon over 65 - LOSER
2* Oregon TT over 42' - LOSER
2* Kansas State -12 - LOSER
6-7 -3.3u
53-50-1 -0.09u season to date.Comment -
NFL leans
Eagles TT over 20 (lean Eagles but like this better)
Clowns +7'/CLE/DAL over 43'/Clowns TT over 18
GB/DET over 52'/Pack TT over 27'
NYJ/STL under 41
Bucs -1'
NO/OAK over 54'
SD/DEN over48'
Pats TT over 31 -120/IND/NE over 54
Ravens -3Comment -
NFL Week Eleven
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104)Comment -
Biff, is this w/ Haden out or do you like the play either way?Comment -
what's up, bane? well, the play is based upon the belief that Haden is not well, and that given that it's oblique injury, even if he plays, he will less than 100% and could tweak it and be out at any time. i don't think they'll play him. Browns are short-handed in defensive backfield as it is, so i think they'll sit injured Haden rather than play him at less than 100% and risk losing even more depth at any time with a re-injury (because keeping Haden active means one less reserve DB). so, even if Haden plays, i like it, but the Browns fan inside me feels pretty good that he sits.Comment
