SB and Friends. Thread.

[Smutbucket]

Full Card for tmrw.....might add a play or 2 in the morning.....anyone got anything to add about these games/concerns? reason to hedge? double down??? I do a lot of work for my picks, although Im not one for writeups (cant reveal my secrets ), I like discussing plays if someone feels inclined enough to question/add discussion....


10/6/12
Florida Gators +3 (-125) Risking 2.5 units to win 2 units
6.5 pt 3 team Teaser. Boston College -3.5 / Texas Tech +13 / Miss. St -4 Risking 1 units to win 1.6 units
Miss. St -10 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Ohio St./Nebraska Over 55.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Vanderbilt +7.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Penn State ML (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit
Buffalo +14.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit


Best of Luck to everyone on this very awesome saturday of college football we have today.....

[Smutbucket]

Adding.

UConn +7 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit

was leaning this way and exhoosiers RLM agrees....

[2daBank]

good looking card bro...gl today

[joco]

damn danny im opposite ur plays on a lot. i like under 57 in the ohio st game...and i like lsu ML...other than that i liked vandy buffalo and penn st plays but didnt touch em. im takin maryland -6.5 (bought the hook) marshall +4 and bowling green -5...i liked duke as well but the line is sketchy

also i took rutgers -6.5 opposite ur uconn play :/

[Smutbucket]

good luck joco. hows ur football season been going? tracking units?

This penn state game is frustrating as hell.....dominated first half and down by 4......last drive by northwestern was kept alive by possibly the worst pass interference call Ive ever seen.....so frustrating to see that kinda garbage....

BC starting to run away with it as I expected....once again the massive amount of cappers on this forum backing a team (Army) scared the shit out of me and I stayed away.....(except in teaser).......

joco, uconn got a real tough D so its gonna be hard to cover on that one, Id be suprised if rutgers get a TD at all in 2nd half....uconn good under team for the future....make a mental note

[joco]

i havnt been keeping track. nfl been good to me so far tho...except monday night football...terrible

[Smutbucket]

Adding. UF (Pk) 2nd Half. -110 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

[Smutbucket]

Adding. Georgia Tech (+4.5) 2nd Half. -110 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


Paul johnson....

[Smutbucket]

joco your my new magical hedge-hog....I think when me and you disagree on a pick you win like 75% of the time....freaking just post your disagreements and a reason, before game time from now on and i will freaking hedge, u asshole....after start time.....although uconn wasnt bad pick, offense/special team stupid turnovers, Defense did its job, held them to 19 pts with that spread only needed to get 12 pts outta offense but they couldnt even do that....

[Smutbucket]

Full Card for tmrw.....might add a play or 2 in the morning.....anyone got anything to add about these games/concerns? reason to hedge? double down??? I do a lot of work for my picks, although Im not one for writeups (cant reveal my secrets ), I like discussing plays if someone feels inclined enough to question/add discussion....


10/6/12
Florida Gators +3 (-125) Risking 2.5 units to win 2 units - WIN
6.5 pt 3 team Teaser. Boston College -3.5 / Texas Tech +13 / Miss. St -4 Risking 1 units to win 1.6 units - LOSS
Miss. St -10 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit - WIN
Ohio St./Nebraska Over 55.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - WIN
Vanderbilt +7.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit - WIN
Penn State ML (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit - WIN
Buffalo +14.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit - WIN


Best of Luck to everyone on this very awesome saturday of college football we have today.....

Adding.

UConn +7 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit - LOSS

was leaning this way and exhoosiers RLM agrees....

Adding. UF (Pk) 2nd Half. -110 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - WIN

Adding. Georgia Tech (+4.5) 2nd Half. -110 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - LOSS


Paul johnson....

7-3 +4.85 units......another good saturday....lets keep it rollin into tmrw.....I already got majority of my picks for tmrw thought out, just gotta look over a few things....probably post in a couple hrs....

anyone got any games they really like tmrw?

[Smutbucket]

Thread YTD Results:
35-22-4 +13.05 units

[Smutbucket]

NFL.....short card....got a couple other games I might add tmrw morning depending on some things....Im freaking exhausted need to pass out.....

10/7/12
Steelers ML (-170) Risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit
Dolphins +4.5 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Dolphins ML (+155) Risking .5 units to win .78 units
Carolina Panthers ML (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 unit

best of luck all, let me know if anything sticks out to anyone/and why

[SportsPedagogy]

NFL.....short card....got a couple other games I might add tmrw morning depending on some things....Im freaking exhausted need to pass out.....

10/7/12
Steelers ML (-170) Risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit
Dolphins +4.5 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Dolphins ML (+155) Risking .5 units to win .78 units
Carolina Panthers ML (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 unit

best of luck all, let me know if anything sticks out to anyone/and why

I like Steelers cause their defense is back to healthy and Big Ben is having a good season. I also like the Carolina pick. Seattle is not as good on the road and Cam Newton is not typical cornerback. He throws alot of big plays and I foresee a bit hitting. Good luck.

[Smutbucket]

its quarterback....YOU IDIOT....haha jk (im sure just oversight, i do that type-a shit missspelling/grammer all the time)....pedagogy, welcome to the thread, and I am glad to have your input. Ya I def. think carolina gets it done, this seattle D hasnt seen a mobile QB in a bit, even last year when they played phil, vick was out.....

wish I would waited on these picks all of em cept steelers are moving in my favor

adding.
2 team 6.5 pt teaser. Denver +13.5 and Giants -2. Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units

thinking about taking these games without extra teaser pts too....anyone agree....maybe not denver but I think giants roll over these browns today.....

[joco]

im on the same nfl plays as u!!! pittsburgh 2x carolina 1x tennessee +5.5 1x and i was considering dolphins as well lol. were either gonna have a good day or terrible day together danny

[SportsPedagogy]

haha. it was early here in Denver when i typed it.

I am on the Patriots -6.5, but I think the Broncos should be okay with 13.5 ... I just remember how the Pats put up 41, and 45 vs Broncos last year. I think it will be closer this year... 35-24 type of game ?

[Smutbucket]

what an annoying ass loss in CAR, getting stopped at 1 yard line, came newton unable to complete a 7 yard pass to a wide open player in endzone......that kinda shit just drives me nuts...oh well, gonna slay the books next weekend again....waiting for DEN to go final for results.....altough mcgahee just dropped a wide open easy 4th and 1 convert that woulda helped alot with my cover.....

[Smutbucket]

NFL.....short card....got a couple other games I might add tmrw morning depending on some things....Im freaking exhausted need to pass out.....

10/7/12
Steelers ML (-170) Risking 1.7 units to win 1 unit - WIN
Dolphins +4.5 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit - WIN
Dolphins ML (+155) Risking .5 units to win .78 units - WIN
Carolina Panthers ML (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 unit - LAME LOSS
2 team 6.5 pt teaser. Giants -2 and Denver +13.5 Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units - WIN

best of luck all, let me know if anything sticks out to anyone/and why

4-1 +2.43 units

Adding.
New Orleans -3 (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

yaaa boyyy. cash the saints......was a little worried at first since the saints couldnt defend the screen and norv is type-a coach to exploit weaknesses all game long like that.....

weekend results: 12-4 +8.28 units

Thread YTD Results:
40-23-4
+16.48 units

[Smutbucket]

spreadsheet results:

Risked: $10.55 86.65u

Won: $5.00 45.43u

Lost: -$3.50 -26.40u

Net: $1.50 19.03u

Win Percentage 66.15% | 43-22-6

[Melda]

K, im here and will follow along, any play on the game tonight?

[Smutbucket]

Not for me....I just stay away from games like this, when teams are on obvious hot streak/cold streak......

Banker, though, someone I really trust for NFL picks, is teasing the under with houston, which isnt a bad idea....you can read his picks/explanations here....http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...season-p6.html

I will give you my early gem for next weekend.....hurry up and get on it....because you wont be able to get at this value for long....shit its already been on the move like crazy......I just locked it in......


10/13/12
Florida -7 (-135) Risking 2.7 units to win 2 units

(buy the pts down to 7 just to be safe, well worth the .25 cents IMO, although florida should blow them out, better to be safe, than sorry)

[bane]

Thanks for the insight on FL. Locked at -7.5, went back to include in a parlay and it's already -8. You weren't kidding about the line movement.

[Smutbucket]

my book had it as 8 bout I bought the pt for .25 cents (an expensive pt)....Im not one to study line movement or anything, but my guess would be it reaches the 10 range by the end of the week.....

Vandy held UF to a close 5pt game last year, but that was a completely different UF team, brantley was QB, not to mention rodgers somehow had 0 turnovers, that wont happen against this D, Muschamp will make sure of it.....

also got another early gem or 2 I already see, but am waiting a bit to see which way the line moves....

[Smutbucket]

Locking these in all now. Got some work done early and really love this saturday coming up. Anyone got thoughts on these games?

10/13/12
Florida -7 (-135) Risking 2.7 units to win 2 units (same bet as earlier, not doubling down just clarifying)
Texas +4 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Alabama -23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit

Texas will get to Landry and throw em off his game, even look for a blocked punt on special teams too.....

Alabama vs Missouri should be a rediculous big blowout, Im not one to lay this many points, but this is absolutely rediculous mismatch, as we all know, missouris weakness is their line, alabamas strength is their d-line, not to mention we got a freshman QB probably coming in for missouri, saban is gonna tear this team to shreds, literally,

also gonna pull the trigger on south carolina once I get the number I like, I wanna try to get at 4, without having to pay -140....

anyways Im passing out, any discussion/thoughts/disagreements would be much appreciated....

[FrattyCapper22]

Locking these in all now. Got some work done early and really love this saturday coming up. Anyone got thoughts on these games?

10/13/12
Florida -7 (-135) Risking 2.7 units to win 2 units (same bet as earlier, not doubling down just clarifying)
Texas +4 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Alabama -23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit

Texas will get to Landry and throw em off his game, even look for a blocked punt on special teams too.....

Alabama vs Missouri should be a rediculous big blowout, Im not one to lay this many points, but this is absolutely rediculous mismatch, as we all know, missouris weakness is their line, alabamas strength is their d-line, not to mention we got a freshman QB probably coming in for missouri, saban is gonna tear this team to shreds, literally,

also gonna pull the trigger on south carolina once I get the number I like, I wanna try to get at 4, without having to pay -140....

anyways Im passing out, any discussion/thoughts/disagreements would be much appreciated....

All of these look really good to me as well, Smut. Good work. Also, I hope you were able to stop by my thread last weekend. I was able to really get it going and looking to continue this week. Keep doing what you do.

[Smutbucket]

Nice work, Fratty, Ya I saw them picks, keep up the good stuff!

Had some time early in this week, got these picks all locked in....might add a pick or 2 late friday night/saturday morning

10/13/12
Florida -7 (-135) Risking 2.7 units to win 2 units
Texas +4 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Alabama -23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Mississippi -5.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Syracuse +7.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit


Notes on Line movement, on my book, Gators are now at -10, so we made the right move buying early!

also I bought miss at -5.5 at 9pm today at my book, right now its sitting at -7....so if your able to hop on at -5.5ish now, hurry up and do so!

looking forward to saturday fellas....lets keep up the good streak.....

[CappinTerp]

Hey Smut how ya doing.? Short on time but really like TT over UWV.............will do a post on it soon...................................g l

[Smutbucket]

Yo terp, whaazzzzzzap. Doing real well, Im kinda on a vacation/transition time right now in my life and Im stuck at my parents house out here in florida. freaking got nothing to do all day except handicap, got no license out here/all my friends got jobs where they work 9-5 all day, so Im trying to keep busy any way I can, been just doing a lot of handicapping to pass the time, ya let me know what you think of uwv, was gonna add them to my card actually, banker likes em too,

Full Card.
10/13/12
Florida -7 (-135) Risking 2.7 units to win 2 units
Texas +4 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit
Texas ML (+130) Risking 1 unit to win 1.3 units
Alabama -23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Mississippi -5.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Syracuse +7.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit
Syracuse ML (+240) Risking .5 units to win 1.2 units
South Carolina +3.5 (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 units
West Virginia -5.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit


Think this is gonna round off my card, really dont see any other games that stick out to me, Ive really dug into these games and feel pretty confident in them. If you want in-depth anaylsis of LSU/South Carolina game, I went into detail about why Im picking them in the thread "Tigers or Gamecocks".....got my first crazy parlay of the year too, started a thread about it, pretty much texas ml, wvu -5.5 and sc +3.5, hope it hits, will make this weekend awesome, anyways gotta stick to the script and play it safe and conservative though, tried not to get too carried away with this card, but so much GOOD ACTION I couldnt resist, really looking forward to seeing what happens this saturday.....Best of Luck all

[CBASS]

Gl to you Smut. I'm against you on two games. I played LSU and TTech....hope you have a good weekend.

[Smutbucket]

Thanks CBASS,

if anyones intrested on a little writeup/anaylsis on Texas/Oklahoma game, I put one together (because Im bored as hell, we only got 1 TV with NFL network in my parents house and theyre using it for the damn debate, freaking assholes) in my buddy blackeyeshamus's thread (plus hes up over 40 units on season so good reason to check it out) heres the link. http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...2012-a-p8.html

[joco]

dammit dan i dont like any of ur picks except ole miss! im steering clear of all the other games ur playin. im gonna play uconn -5.5, bowling green -7, miami +7.5 and possibly rutgers... also like under 49 in the louisville/pitt game and over 57 in kent state/army

[Smutbucket]

ya I kinda like miami, but afraid my bias will play a part. Im going to FSU/Miami game next weekend so Im almost certain ill be betting them next weekend depended on the line (probably just do over, miamis an over machine), cant go to a football game without having money on it, I really like syracuse tho, lookout for rutgers, perfect position to get upset here IMO. even with your record of beating my picks, I cant hedge out of this one, too many things I like about it.

uconn isnt a bad pick, ive stated before how much I like their defense, think they'll hold to low scoring game, question is will their offense start clicking? bowling green i dunno anything about.

[Smutbucket]

Adding:

Kansas St./Iowa St. Under 48 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit

[Smutbucket]

Adding.

Akron Team Total Over 24.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit