Pags' Plays 9/27

**laxdjock** · 09-27-08, 10:27 AM

I'm on your side for: Oak St., C Mich, Wisc., and Col. I can't see picking CAL and giving that many points....but I tend to stay away from any lines that are more than 3 TDs. I like 'bama, but that probably has more to do with UGA screwing me than 'bama actually being able to win it.

**Jesse Black** · 09-27-08, 12:11 PM

Hey Pags,
Thank you for sharing with the group.

**gopherbroke** · 09-27-08, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by pags11

gopherbroke,

I appreciate your weather update...the way I look at is that I'm playing Duke against UVA...I think Duke is good and UVA isn't...I'm not sure the weather changes my opinion on all of that...I also believe when it's wet it favors the better offensive team because they know where they are going, the defense doesn't...seriously bro, have you seen Virginia play yet this year?...

Sorry pags, but I guess I have to turn this question around to you. Seriously bro, have you seen Duke play yet this year?

O.K., granted, I have now had a chance to watch only 30 minutes of Duke football, but I'm not sure why this team--offense, defense, special teams or coaching--would have made your rather selective list of favorites to bet. They are tied 3-3, but this should have been no more than a fg spread, and I'm not sure which team should have been the favorite.

BTW, while Thadius Lewis might be a lot of things (i.e., a good student, son, brother, humanitarian, husband/boyfriend, father, etc.), it is a bit of a stretch to label him a "good" QB let alone a "flat-out stud". He has no touch on his passes. He has one speed: rifle. He appears to not be an accurate passer. He's not discriminate, though. He throws behind receivers, short-hop and sail his throws alike. It appears he has a difficult time recognizing coverages or feeling pressure. The coaching staff obviously doesn't trust him either, as you can tell they are scripting plays for him (i.e., "your first and only read will be the slot/back/end...", etc.).

There are some teams that seem to be terrific in the underdog role. Duke may be one of those teams, but IMO, they are not yet worthy of playing as favorites...anywhere...maybe to anyone...but surely no team in their own conference.

Hopefully they come out and play like their hair is on fire and this covers...I'm not holding my breath...I'm more worried about Mary pissing down their leg...

**masr** · 09-27-08, 01:58 PM

4th Qtr

DUKE -24
VIRG- 3

**shrax4** · 09-27-08, 01:59 PM

Pags has seen Duke play. And that's why he made the bet.

**xyzky** · 09-27-08, 02:32 PM

Nice start Pag's, keep knocking them down!

**icemantbi** · 09-27-08, 10:38 PM

I knew you would bounce back today Pags. Great day today!

Thanks for the winners

**BuddyBear** · 09-27-08, 10:39 PM

Another amazing day for Pags. Keep up the good work Coach.....

**SoonerBS** · 09-27-08, 10:42 PM

Great day as always, my friend, now we're cooking!!!

**BuddyBear** · 09-27-08, 10:42 PM

Originally posted by gopherbroke

Sorry pags, but I guess I have to turn this question around to you. Seriously bro, have you seen Duke play yet this year?

Yes he has. The better question you might want to ask is have you seen Virginia play this year?

Coach wasn't born yesterday. He knows Duke football sucks, but he also knows that if Duke is a favorite against anyone then the other team must be pitiful beyond words. Here is where all that film watching comes in handy.

**seaborneq** · 09-27-08, 11:23 PM

Great day Pags.

**gopherbroke** · 09-27-08, 11:53 PM

Very nice day, pags. Good work.

Apparently some of the peanut gallery took my post above as an insult. I think you know better.

Now, BuddBear, I don't care how many posts you have or how many skins you seem to think you have on the wall, I wasn't talking to you, nor was I attacking pags, so you have no reason to "defend" him. If you read a few posts above the one you quoted, pags DID ask whether I had seen UVA play, and I stated I had: vs USC. If YOU would have watched the 1H of today's game, you would seriously wonder which team should have been favored. The offense was terrible (especially Thad Lewis). The defense was scuffling. The special teams were sloppy. Some of the coaching decisions were suspect, most notably the decision to go for a fake punt instead of changing field position.

Additionally, had you watched the game, you'd also realize that UVA losing two of it's main contributors on defense in the 2H (most notably, Clint Sintim, who spent more time in Duke's backfield during the 1H than most anyone else on the field) had a SIGNIFICANT impact on the outcome. Injuries are a part of the game.

I'm glad the game hit and wouldn't call it lucky.

But if you think for one second that the reason "Coach" decided to play Duke was "he knows Duke football sucks, but he also knows that if Duke is a favorite against anyone then the other team must be pitiful beyond words", you just insulted the man you obviously hold in such high regard.

Again, very nice day today, pags. I appreciate your hard work and effort. You made me (and a lot of people) some money today.

**DrLuck** · 09-28-08, 12:25 AM

congrats on your day pags...

**clowncar** · 09-28-08, 02:22 AM

Wonderfully capped football today , pags.

Sharps are allowed to win too , I guess.

Look forward to next week.

**pags11** · 09-28-08, 02:45 AM

5-2 w/l, +9.0 units on the week...

19-16 w/l, +9.0 units on the season...

**pags11** · 09-28-08, 02:59 AM

detroit,

sorry you disagreed on those...hope you did alright today...

freak,

thanks brother...congrats on a great day yourself...

drluck,

thank you very much...hope you faired well today...

lax,

those were some of the same reasons I didn't play Bama this week as well...

jesse,

thank you for saying that...hope that you did well today...

gopherbroke,

hopefully you got to watch that entire Duke game today and saw what I saw...

masr,

shrax,

thanks man...hope that you had a good day today...

xyz,

thank you very much...hope you had some winners today...

iceman,

thanks for having confidence in me, I really appreciate it...glad you enjoyed some of the picks...

buddybear,

thank you for all of your support...I truly appreciate it...

soonerbs,

you are a quaility individual my friend...thank you...congrats as well on a great week...

seaborn,

thank you very much...hope that your day went well..

dr. luck,

thank you for the well wishes...hope that you had some winners today...

clowncar,

thank you sir...yeah it was fun to be on the winning side of a few of these games...

**voiceofreason101** · 09-28-08, 03:02 AM

a very nice day indeed sir

**sparticus** · 09-28-08, 03:23 AM

Excellent work as usual, keep it up, Good Winnings.

**hawk 5** · 09-28-08, 09:24 AM

**Dbldown11** · 09-28-08, 09:44 AM

hahaha.....sorry but this is all way way way too funny

good day though pags

**Jacey** · 09-28-08, 09:45 AM

Nice day, you made me some money sir

**ohmigods** · 09-28-08, 10:21 AM

Well done capping week 5 pags
and thanks

GL tonite capping week 6 opening lines

**Lout84** · 09-28-08, 10:45 AM

Good work pags!

**BuddyBear** · 09-28-08, 10:51 AM

Great work Coach. I really like how you did the writeup this week. It's truly amazing. I know you know that you are a larger than life figure in the gaming forum world, yet you also understand that you are part of a larger community and that we are all interdependent to a large degree. And yet you go out of your way, as a high profile posting leader in the gaming forum community, to share the insights and analysis of other posters. We are truly blessed to have such a dynamic and charasmatic and charitable guy like you here at SBR.

**BuddyBear** · 09-28-08, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by gopherbroke

Very nice day, pags. Good work.

Apparently some of the peanut gallery took my post above as an insult. I think you know better.

Now, BuddBear, I don't care how many posts you have or how many skins you seem to think you have on the wall, I wasn't talking to you, nor was I attacking pags, so you have no reason to "defend" him. If you read a few posts above the one you quoted, pags DID ask whether I had seen UVA play, and I stated I had: vs USC. If YOU would have watched the 1H of today's game, you would seriously wonder which team should have been favored. The offense was terrible (especially Thad Lewis). The defense was scuffling. The special teams were sloppy. Some of the coaching decisions were suspect, most notably the decision to go for a fake punt instead of changing field position.

Additionally, had you watched the game, you'd also realize that UVA losing two of it's main contributors on defense in the 2H (most notably, Clint Sintim, who spent more time in Duke's backfield during the 1H than most anyone else on the field) had a SIGNIFICANT impact on the outcome. Injuries are a part of the game.

I'm glad the game hit and wouldn't call it lucky.

But if you think for one second that the reason "Coach" decided to play Duke was "he knows Duke football sucks, but he also knows that if Duke is a favorite against anyone then the other team must be pitiful beyond words", you just insulted the man you obviously hold in such high regard.

Again, very nice day today, pags. I appreciate your hard work and effort. You made me (and a lot of people) some money today.

This is all irrelevant. The fact of the matter is that Duke got the cover. I did not even watch one moment of the game nor did I need to. Nobody was insulting you....i was just asking a rhetorical question. Coach knows what he is doing. Second-guessing is not needed and especially asking such a demeaning question like "have you watched Duke play yet"....of course, he's watched Duke play. In fact, he's watched every 1A team play this year. He watches film on all these games. But I understand where you are coming from Gopherbroke....

**bosterosoy** · 09-28-08, 02:31 PM

Well capped, born with some serious talent.

**gopherbroke** · 09-28-08, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by BuddyBear

Great work Coach. I really like how you did the writeup this week. It's truly amazing. I know you know that you are a larger than life figure in the gaming forum world, yet you also understand that you are part of a larger community and that we are all interdependent to a large degree. And yet you go out of your way, as a high profile posting leader in the gaming forum community, to share the insights and analysis of other posters. We are truly blessed to have such a dynamic and charasmatic and charitable guy like you here at SBR.

Originally posted by BuddyBear

This is all irrelevant. The fact of the matter is that Duke got the cover. I did not even watch one moment of the game nor did I need to. Nobody was insulting you....i was just asking a rhetorical question. Coach knows what he is doing. Second-guessing is not needed and especially asking such a demeaning question like "have you watched Duke play yet"....of course, he's watched Duke play. In fact, he's watched every 1A team play this year. He watches film on all these games. But I understand where you are coming from Gopherbroke....

**MexicanStallion** · 09-28-08, 04:12 PM

Great bounce back. Congrats on a nice week

**francescosol** · 09-28-08, 04:28 PM

great job page, and fantastic week

i waiting with suspance the 10/4 picks

**atlsportsfan** · 09-28-08, 05:57 PM

Need to thank you as well pags. That Oklahoma State pick saved my day yesterday, I was too late getting the Duke game in and picked Indiana, then went with Marshall and Colorado. I havent watched OSU all year but was convinced by your write up and loaded up on them to end my night a winner. They covered by 31 baby

**BigD** · 09-28-08, 06:01 PM

nice work

**pags11** · 09-28-08, 06:50 PM

voiceofreason,

thank you my friend...I believe you had a good week too...

sparticus,

thanks for your support...always have respect for my elders...

hawk,

thanks bud...

dbldown,

thank you...

jacey,

appreciate it...good to hear you made some money...

ohmigods,

thanks very much...already working on it bud...

lout,

thanks bud...

buddybear,

thanks again...

bosterosoy,

I appreciate you saying that man...

gopher,

stallion,

thank you sir...it was a better day for sure...

frances,

thanks very much my international pal...

atls,

glad you like the Oklahoma St. pick...

bigd,

thank you...

**jgm1967** · 09-29-08, 09:29 AM

fantastic week pags.I really wish you had a newsletter,you put so much more effort into this than most of the services and newsletters I have purchased over the years.

You have always been one of the main reasons I came to this forum and the gathering of all the info this week you did is exactly why I come here.Great job

**pags11** · 09-30-08, 01:08 AM

thanks very much jgm...

**Patrick McIrish** · 09-30-08, 07:59 AM

Well done Pags, let's do it all over again this week.