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i just checked and you're right - the o-line coach Stoutland is coaching. wtf, i had seen multiple places that Golden was coaching. bah. that doesn't change my mind (not that i can get a refund on my 4* U -2' anyway). the important thing is that Shannon is not coaching. we've already had a couple of teams do well in bowl season with coaches who will be gone after the bowl (NIU, MD). i have Miami as 5+ points better on talent alone. Miami's d-line vs freshman QB for ND decides it, freshman QBs can be awful in bowls. BOL whatever you decide - thanks the info re: Golden. embarrassing.Comment -
whaddya know, Clemson and the under remains on life support at the half. c'mon, Tigers, 23-17.Comment -
Derp.Comment -
Clemson looks like absolute dogshit. i loved the shot of Kyle Parker trying to find a seat on the bench.Comment -
3* USF/Clemson - LOSER
fak.Comment -
Christ, twilight - what do YOU think of the games? you had a lot better read on Sun Bowl that i did. fak.
adding
4* Michigan/Mississippi State over 59
3* Michigan State/Alabama over 52
lines aren't getting any better on these. also lean unders in NU/TT, PSU/UF, UConn/Oklahoma, and UConn plus points, but will wait on those. this is looking like an 0-3 abortion of a start to the day. bah. oh well. time to start drinking. happy new year to all. my new year's resolution is to use 5Dimes reduced juice more often. it's truly a holiday blessing.Comment -
biff- maybe try and get a 2nd half play on ND to hedge? my book is lame and i can't do that..
definitely tailing your ass on FSU..
right now i'm about put something quick down on central florida.. georgia is not good enough to be favored by a TD..Comment -
1* ucf +7
3* fsu +3Comment -
hey, thanks for the thought. actually, once i have multiple losses on the day, i generally pack it unless i have other plays i've already planned on (though i do play a lot more 2H hedges and such in college hoops - much more comfortable reading 2Hs there). still have 3* on FSU and 3* on Buckeyes in Bloomington, which could take a lot of sting out of this horrendous start. part of me is considering throwing an extra unit on each, but even that feels a little desperate, and man have i had some bad days pressing. as Bill Clinton famously said to Monica Lewinsky (when she complained that they weren't together enough), "everyday can't be sunshine."
plus, i like a lot of totals tomorrow, plus Wisky, may end up with 5-6 plays tomorrow. fwiw, i capped UCF/UGA as UGA, 38-34 and loved the over before the line movement downward. i think that UCF is a live dog, BOL to you.Comment -
nice.. man biff, i always respect your opinion, but you gotta tell me: how can you possibly like wisconsin tomorrow?? i feel like the only one who is thinking TCU is gonna blow them out. EVERYBODY has got wiscy, especially the ppl who i always look to help for!Comment -
you really like TCU, huh? well, i'll be the first to admit that i can be a Big Ten apologist, but unlike Boise, i like TCU. TCU is good, athletic and physical, but Wisconsin is the most physical team in the country. TCU hasn't been tested for 4 quarters, and Wisky has put away many a team in the second half. Wisky had some weaknesses on defense in the middle of the year, but other than Borland being out for the season, is as healthy there as they have been. TCU's speed at the skill positions will give Wisconsin some trouble at times, but don't outclass them on the lines, but as far as style of play, Wisky owned the Big Ten spread teams this season (and i admit - there's a big difference between TCU and Michigan, Indiana and Northwestern, but those teams did literally nothing). a big part of that is that Wisky can play up tempo if they wish because Tolzein is incredibly accurate and efficient passing. i actually thought that a lot of people liked TCU and was glad everytime i saw someone post a big play on them (you are right that the public is on UW by a wide margin, which blows). Wisconsin +3 is my favorite pick of the bowl season (then Auburn, then West Virginia, which sucked). the way today has gone, my liking Wisconsin may be a great sign for you. i think that Wisky will play their game and will prevent TCU from playing theirs, and i don't think that TCU will be in shape for what Wisky is bringing. if you like TCU, i would play the over rather than TCU. BOL to you though - like i said, after the Sun Bowl, i should be asking what you think.Comment -
0-3 start, -11u. gave back that nice Wednesday. FSU pending. at least Ohio State hoops off to decent start.Comment -
4* Penn State/Florida under 48
starting to drop, 48 looks like best it's going to get.Comment -
2-2 tonight, I knew UGA would screw me.
15-7 on the season. I swear, I will get it going right. Tomorrow is a pretty tough day minus the TCU game.
I am going to stick with my picks I posted yesterday.
Up 3 units for the bowl season so far.
Good call on the ND pick Terror.Comment -
Actually, I am going to tail you Biff and go with Penn/FLA UNDER 41 instead of picking UF.Comment -
1-3 -8u yesterday, 10-7 +5.6u for the bowls so far. fortunately, FSU plus OSU hoops took a lot of the sting out of the early losses, and i went contra to my own advice and put more on both right before their respective starts. back on track today.
5* Wisconsin +3
4* Penn State/Florida under 48
4* Michigan/Mississippi State over 59
3* Michigan State/Alabama over 52
leaning NU/TT under, UConn/OU under, UConn +16', not sure yet what i'll play there.
TicketCity Bowl total now up to 61 most places, and if it drops between 10:30 and 11, i may play the under. NU redshirt freshman QB Evan Watkins is much more of a pocket passer than was Dan Persa (real shame that Persa's not here, would make this a great game). Persa was a big part of NU's running game, as their backs are pretty weak. this is an under spot for NU (under Fitzgerald, in games as a 7'-14 dog, games average 51.6; if you drop the Wrigley game this year, which was weird and first game without Persa, that drops to 48.3). i cap this game as TT, 28-21. my concern is that without Persa's running, this becomes a pure passing game because TT's pass defense is so bad (makes me think that Fitz maybe changes his normal blueprint for game like this (relatively big dog) making my spot theory inapplicable/less applicable). going to take the dog for a walk and think it over, but if that total drops, could be hard to resist.
BOL to all today. Happy New Year, enjoy one of the best days of the college sports year (right up there with the first two days of the tourney and the day after Thanksgiving).Comment -
good man. make sure you get it at 48, though, heh heh. seriously, i like Penn State to cover, but since it's Urban's last game (supposedly), i think that UF will be motivated enough to find a way to win. regardless, gameplan should be really conservative given how much better the defenses are than the QBs and the fact that both coaches really want the W. UF, 20-17.Comment -
4* UConn +16'
locked this in before line drops. Greek still 16' but most others 16 and trending downward. UConn is an outstanding dog, one of the better tackling teams around and should be able to keep this within 7-10 at worst. Oklahoma, 28-20.Comment -
3* Northwestern +8'
the more i looked at it, the more i liked NU but was less certain about the total due to TT's terrible pass defense and the fact that NU will probably pass more than usual due to lack of Persa.
updated card
5* Wisconsin +3
4* Penn State/Florida under 48
4* Michigan/Mississippi State over 59
4* UConn +16'
3* Northwestern +8'
3* Michigan State/Alabama over 52Comment -
Get off Wisky T-Biff
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heh heh, yeah, i know TCU is a big play for you, houli. i think that Paul Chryst and his offensive line are going to tear TCU's face off. they are the most physical team in the country, and as good as TCU is, i don't think that they can withstand four quarters of the Wisky running game. BOL to you today and Happy New Year.Comment -
Biff, i think you changed my mind about wisconsin. and after looking @ your plays today i think that i am going to tail them all hahaha..
happy new years, mang. after yesterday you've gotta be due for a good one.Comment -
not sure about northwestern though, without persa i'm not touching them. the numbers probably say they're the pick but they just DO NOT pass the eyeball test without persa. w/ persa theyre sick, though..Comment -
ok, pressure's on. hope that i have a good day. happy new year to you too. as for Northwestern, my thought is that Fitzgerald will tweak the offense for more passing and that Watkins will play solid with the extra prep time. he has a cannon, and TT's pass defense is awful. that said, i'm not talking you into tailing, i hate losing enough as it is, and Watkins did not look very good against Illinois or Wisconsin. the line movement has me feeling good about it. NU's system has been successful plugging in new QBs in the past. BOL to us today.Comment -
BOL, line movement is definitely working for you here.Comment -
Good luck Biff......I like the Northwestern play
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3* wisky +3
2* texas tech -7
2* penn st./florida U 48
2* mich st./bama O 51.5
2* michigan/miss. st. O 60Comment -
i would play uconn too if it was still at like 16 or 17 but i think 14 is too close for comfort and i dont wanna buy more than a hook..Comment -
i hear you on the UConn number, twilight. BOL to you today. we'll bang heads on the TicketCity Bowl then be on same page the rest of the day. maybe TT ends up winning by 8...Comment -
I am getting screwed in Mich, NW, and Penn/UF. This may be my first losing day of the bowl season
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WOW Biff - thanks for the NU pick. A blind ass tail by me that I never till the final gun thought we'd win - LOLComment -
Nailed the NW pick, glad I got it at the +9. No way I am getting this Mich pick, though.Comment
