Felt like I deserved to win this week. I don't know, weird day for me. Just hoping to keep protecting those 30+ units of profit and hit my big weeks every so often.
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ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#216
did you see the end of the Stanford game? Kid took a knee on the 5 yard line instead of scoring the TD.
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#217
Rutgers +13 (3x)
Loving this play so grabbing it now. Schiano will find a way to get this team bowl eligible and even though Rutgers has lost three straight they could have won two of those games. They played very tough against South Florida and Syracuse (teams that both beat Cincy). Cincinatti coming off of three straight losses in much less impressive fashion. The average score of those losses is 35-15. They have been embarrassed by West Virginia and Syracuse the past two weeks. This Rutgers defense still gets no credit even though they have only allowed over 28 points once this year (to Pittsburgh). They have kept six opponents this year to 20 points or less. Cincy has only beaten one BCS team this year (Louisville by 8) and I just don't see how they give 13 to any team, especially one with the defense Rutgers has.
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Aussiecapper101
SBR MVP
09-04-10
2220
#218
Originally posted by ronjon619
did you see the end of the Stanford game? Kid took a knee on the 5 yard line instead of scoring the TD.
really? I would have been skitzzin
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Bacon
SBR Hustler
09-01-10
86
#219
BJ,
Didn't play all your plays las sat, but went 3-2 with the ones i did play. Ready for another good week from you. I know you're a Rutgers fan, but am tailing you on the play. Thanks for the picks. I still cant believe the stanford ending Pisses me off beyond belief Never should have layed down Always take the td Would have been up 2 scores Very fishy!!! Anyway...any thoughts on nebraska -3.
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ronjon619
SBR MVP
09-06-09
3675
#220
Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
really? I would have been skitzzin
yeah, that one hurt. Stanford up 4 and driving. He breaks the line of scrimmage clean / untouched and he goes to his knee and doesn't score and I'm holding a Stanford -4.5 ticket.
Why the love for Baylor? The game last week should have been 48-14 had A&M not had 3 TDs called back and another come up 1 yard short to end the first half.
Baylor has lost by double digits to every top 25 team they have played.
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kiknit
SBR High Roller
12-20-09
116
#225
Originally posted by isg2010
Why the love for Baylor? The game last week should have been 48-14 had A&M not had 3 TDs called back and another come up 1 yard short to end the first half.
Baylor has lost by double digits to every top 25 team they have played.
Host is on a 6-0 and +103pts ATS run in Oklahoma games...Ok lost their last two road games by a combined 69-46 score which was -30ATS.
Baylor lost their last 2 aslo but racked up almost 1000yds and an avg of 44ppg. Seems like the right place for Baylor to turn it on and around...at least for this week
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#226
Originally posted by isg2010
Why the love for Baylor? The game last week should have been 48-14 had A&M not had 3 TDs called back and another come up 1 yard short to end the first half.
Baylor has lost by double digits to every top 25 team they have played.
A few reasons. Looking at the past history in this match up isn't fair because I have this Oklahoma team as the worst in a long time and I have this Baylor team as the best a real long time. Baylor was winning that game 30-14 in the 2nd quarter before getting pounded for 28 unanswered points. Yea, A&M made some mistakes but you can't put that on Baylor. Baylor was 12/21 on 3rd down, racked up over 500 yards, and had 78 penalty yards of their own. The bottom line is I think Oklahoma is hiding behind their home field advantage. If you throw out the Texas game (completely neutral field) they have played just three games on the road. They beat a bad Cincinnati team by just two points and then lost to A&M and Missouri. Oklahoma will struggle against Griffin. They have a habit of letting scrambling QB's find running room and Griffin is a much better passer now then when they saw him back in 2008. OU is only running for about 3.5 yards per carry this year and without a running game that can run up and down the field they may struggle to keep up with a good Baylor offense. OU is allowing over 30 points per game on the road and I don't think it is fair to say they are 7 points better then Baylor. If Baylor doesn't win this game it will come down to the final possession but I see no reason why Baylor can't win here.
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isg2010
SBR High Roller
09-28-10
126
#227
I understand your logic, but having grown up in this area, there are certain truths I am trying to help you with (I tried last week by telling you not to take Texas). Baylor is Baylor. They won't beat good teams and OU is a good team (anyone top 30 is a good team). Even though OU has struggled on the road (A&M & Mizzou are very respectable home opponents), they won't struggle with Baylor. Baylor wanted to beat A&M much worse than they do OU and put all of their emotion into last week. They won't play at the same level this week. I have made good money on Baylor this year when they played lesser opponents. OU is not a lesser talent.
Tough week. Rutgers was the biggest play and anytime you back a team +13 an they put up 38 points you expect to win. Nebraska loss was tough. Felt like there would have been a lot more hope had Martinez not got hurt. This week is either going to be huge or terrible. Lot's of lines look way off from my lines. Either the books are on or I am. Good luck.
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#238
Rutgers +3 (3x)
Go ahead, call me biased. I don't know what it is but all my big plays seem to involve Rutgers. Whether it be fading them (vs UNC) or backing them (Cincy) they seem to always find a way onto my card. The thing is here, Rutgers defense isn't even close to as bad as it played last week and I am chalking it up to just one of those games. It probably was a good thing in hindsight because a guy like Schiano won't just send them out there an hope they wake up. He will be spending every minute with this team to show them why they got 69 points hung against them last week. Rutgers has owned this match up since Brian Brohm left winning the past two meetings by a combined score of 97-28. The key to this game will be the Rutgers run game. They haven't done anything all year but I think this Louisville run defense is very susceptible to the Wildcat package that Rutgers will run out there as well as the power running game Rutgers tries to employ with Martinek. Expecting a big performance from the Rutgers defense against a very standard Louisville offense.
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#239
Ohio -3 -115 (1x)
Can't believe Ohio isn't favored by more then a field goal here. After a head scratching start to the season and an 0-3 start in which they were upset by Toledo, stomped by Ohio State, and just came up short against Marshall they have rattled off 8 straight wins. Last weeks win @ Temple as ten point dogs showed a lot of what this team is made of. Not only are they 8-3 on the year but they are also 8-3 against the number this year. Kent State on the other hand is 3-7 on the year. They beat pathetic Akron and Bowling Green teams as well as the disappointing Ball St program. They are also 3-7 against the spread. Over the last three games Kent St is allowing 37 points per game and well over 400 yards per game. Boo Jackson should cause this defense fits all day and lead a good and red hot Ohio program to another win.
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#240
Eastern Michigan +24 (1x)
That is a lot of points.
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#241
East Carolina +1 (2x)
This team is good enough to hang with UNC for a half, have Virginia Tech on the ropes, and beat North Carolina State. So how are they dogs at home that lost @ UTEP and was embarrassed at home by Houston? I don't get it, it should be a high scoring, fast paced affair but ECU is the better team here. The better teams don't always win but I had ECU as a five point favorite. I will take the six points my way and let's see what happens. Hopefully Davis can throw for another five touchdowns and not turn it over.
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#242
Toledo -3 -120 (1x)
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#243
Alabama/Auburn u58 (5x)
Strongest play of the year right here for me. This is the Iron Bowl. How do you post a total of 58? This is a rugged SEC rivalry. No match up has gone over 58 points since 1976. That is a long ******* time ago. So why are we jacking up the total 14 points above where it should be? Oh yea, Cam Newton. Sure Newton has made short work of Georgia, Chattanooga, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Kentucky, Arkansas St, and UL Monroe. But what about teams with respectable to good defenses? They played LSU and only put up 24 in a 24-17 win. Clemson held them to 27, Mississippi State held them to 17, and South Carolina held them to 35. The best defense in that group is LSU, and guess what? Alabama's defense is much better then that. It also should be concerning that this will be Auburns 4th road game and after playing weak SEC teams on the road (Miss, Kentucky) lately after playing @ Mississippi State back in Week 2. Alabama takes pride in smothering these offenses. The high flying Arkansas offense was held to just 20 points and Florida to just six points. They play the run so well that I think Cam Newton will be forced to try to beat them with his arm. I just don't see it happening. Alabama wins 21-14.
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aman86
SBR MVP
08-29-09
3115
#244
Emu is bad what's 24 points, ecu has been choking lately best to lay off or take the over no? And Nama game should be a shoot out. Bamas running game isn't up to par this year and they will put points up on auburbs d.. And when was the last time this match up had newton?? Everyones gonna be on the under and that's ok by me
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GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#245
Originally posted by aman86
Emu is bad what's 24 points, ecu has been choking lately best to lay off or take the over no? And Nama game should be a shoot out. Bamas running game isn't up to par this year and they will put points up on auburbs d.. And when was the last time this match up had newton?? Everyones gonna be on the under and that's ok by me