Thanks Pags....6-1 really sweet. With my Arkansas play went 7-1 on college....best weekend of the season for me. Good thing I decided to follow all your plays this weekend instead of just the one planned originall...Wisconsin which turned out to be the only loser. FYI is the first week I played only your picks (plus Arkansas). Looking for another good week. Best of luck!!
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UAB is a classic "under the radar" team. terrible for years. pretty good this year.Comment -
Play Number Three:
Kentucky +13 (-102) for 3 unitsComment -
Play Number Four:
SMU +7 (+100) for 3 unitsComment -
Play Number Five:
Utah State +10 (-103) for 3 unitsComment -
I'm thinking one of your plays will be wisky...look good so far pagsComment -
bigcat1,
marabdl86,
JimmyJet,
congrats...
polson22,
I see you workin'...
cashflow50,
won't be on Wisconsin this week...Comment -
SMU for the third str8 week Lets Get It!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Comment -
mcnugget84,
that's what I'm talking about!...
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Really liking the Kentucky line and the way that team is playing. Surprised you aren't on the Badgers.....best of luck again this week.Comment -
Pags thanks for the money last week.
Does it feel good? Yeah. It does.
Let's get it again this week.
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Hey pags,
Congrats on a success last week. Already likin your 5 plays so far again. I know its goin to be another killer weekend.
If you don't mind my asking, any insight on Minnesota +16.5, Notre Dame +12, or Arizona St. -3?
--I really think Minn can hang with PSU and do not think they're actually too bad of a team. I think this is just flat out too many points.
--Notre Dame has a lot of talent and I believe will lose to USC, however I really think they can keep it within a TD.
--ASU has a great D and Washington's D is nothing to get excited about. I really think this is will be a big difference-maker.
Thanks for your time, your work is always appreciated, lets get 'em this weekend!!!
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Play Number Six:
Louisville +11.5 (-101) for 3 unitsComment -
Pags, what is the lowest number you would take Louisville at? I have it at +10.5 now. Thanks!
And good luck!Comment -
MSUSpartan32,
jelllo,
you're welcome...it's just what I do man, it's just what I do...Comment -
bypp,
out of the three games I think Minnesota is the most solid, although I wouldn't touch the game...I'd like to think Notre Dame is an alright play, but I just don't like betting against Pete Carroll and USC...a good friend of mine, gyno, really likes ASU this week although I do not have a strong opinion on the game...gyno knows his stuff though...
oda11,
I would still play Louisville at 10.5...
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Thank you!
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I lean to Minn and ASU the most. I really like them. I do agree going against USC and Pete Carroll is kind of unsettling. I struggle to get a read on Notre Dame. Sometimes I think theyre really growing and developing and other times they just confuse me. Thank you very much for the input, I really appreciate it. GL!!!!Comment -
Pags would you still play Utah St. at +9?Comment -
bypp,
blunt5619,
yes...Comment -
most of these lines for your picks are moving in favor of you on my book with exception of maybe 2-3 gamesComment -
aznjeff07,
...waiting for my last game to hit a key number...not sure it's going to get there but we'll see...
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jc but why the smu play? that one has me worriedComment -
aznjeff,
I'll have my thoughts on the game on Thursday...Comment -
ok sorry, i remember you posting reasons why but couldn't remember whenComment -
aznjeff,
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thanks for your effors pags! it's much appreciated
quick question: I'm working with a 100u bankroll. I put 1u on SMU +7. My line just moved to 7.5. Would you recommend tossing another one on?Comment -
Nicely done last week. You said you expected a great weekend, and you certainly weren't wrong. Think we get the same results this weekend too?
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ImBettor,
my advice would be to stick with the play and not add more to it, as I'm not a big believer in adding to a play just because you can now get a better line...if you planned on it being a one unit play, which it appears you did, then stick with it...
shrax,
...I think you already know the answer...
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yea, normally I stick to this method of thought as well, but 7 to 7.5 is one of the most significant .5 point line movements you can get. The extra value is a tad exponential, right?ImBettor,
my advice would be to stick with the play and not add more to it, as I'm not a big believer in adding to a play just because you can now get a better line...if you planned on it being a one unit play, which it appears you did, then stick with it...
shrax,
...I think you already know the answer...Comment -
imbettor,
of course anytime you can get 7.5 compared to 7 it adds value...the way I looked at this game is that I felt it lost significant value at 6.5, thus 7 was a key number for me...I've learned not to be greedy over the years in grabbing lines, make a line that you think is fair value for a game and play the game at that number or close to it...most of the times in the past when I would get greedy, waiting for a line to go up a point, the majority of the time it would work against me...just speaking from experience...Comment -
Great Week Pags...looking forward to the write-ups as usualComment -
superman,
...glad to hear it, just as I look forward to seeing your avatar each week
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