It's gonna be a cold one in Stillwater
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Comment -
My boy Phil Steele is on over in lsu and Fresno.Comment -
adding
2* Texas A&M/LSU over 73' (-105)
CFB Week Thirteen updated card
2* Michigan/Iowa first half under 23'
2* Texas A&M/LSU over 73' (-105)
1* Rice TT over 40' - LOSERComment -
yea same..still played them +8 tho. if baylor comes in and blows out a ranked team on the road, let alone beats one so be it.. wanna play mizzou but i get incredibly skeptical of them this time of year and now everyone expects them to win, scary but think they can pull it off..Comment -
adding
2* Moneyline Parlay: Duke + Michigan State (-110)
CFB Week Thirteen updated card
2* Michigan/Iowa 1H under 23'
2* ML Parlay: Duke + Michigan State (-110)
2* Texas A&M/LSU over 73' (-105)
1* Rice TT over 40' - LOSERComment -
ASU/UCLA, think that's good for 70+ and spread is right on, Sun Devils by a FG.
ASU chicks, so hot.Comment -
Been traveling all morning. BOL today Biff!Comment -
Sparty v Bucky should be a great Big10 champ game.
I am tailing Aggies/Bayou Bengals over. But not ready to jump off the team total overs v that A&M D so I will sprinkle some on LSU over TT.
Meyer runs it up today. Bucky might score 70 on IU today. It's high but I'm playing OSU over TT.
Warming up to Vandy +3 tonight.Comment -
Biff, what's your model projecting for Colorado St/Utah St? Sneaky play Utah St over 34 TT.Comment -
adding
2* Ohio State team total over 58
CFB Week Thirteen updated card
2* Michigan/Iowa 1H under 23' - LOSER
2* ML Parlay: Duke + Michigan State (-110) - WINNER
2* Texas A&M/LSU over 73' (-105)
2* Ohio State TT over 58
1* Rice TT over 40' - LOSERComment -
Biff, I think Mizzou loses one of next two. I'm going to play Ole Miss tonight if it loses then chase by playing A&M next weekend. Plus I'm playing Vandy +3 tonight as well. Are you looking at any other games tonight?Comment -
CFB Week Thirteen final card
2* Michigan/Iowa 1H under 23' - LOSER
2* ML Parlay: Duke + Michigan State (-110) - WINNER
2* Texas A&M/LSU over 73' (-105) - LOSER
2* Ohio State TT over 58 - LOSER
1* Rice TT over 40' - LOSER
1-3 -5.5u
CFB YTD: 55-59 -14.83uComment -
penetrate this shit. taking the day off from burning money, gonna go to Browns game and drink myself clean.Comment -
Biff , love some of these upcoming matchups these next couple weeks and interested in what you got brewin....pumped for a full day of games on Thursday and Friday....lots of weather issues that will greatly affect totals....need your input! does your model include weather factors or is it something you factor in on your own just before kickoff?
Also Im loving MSU this season and am gonna most likely pick them to upset ohio state.....thoughts on that one?Comment -
What's up, Smut? I've been focused more on sides than totals this week. Last week in my big pool and i am positioned to make some noise, so my thoughts are primarily ATS. That said, like Ole Miss/MSU under, Clemson/S Carolina over at first glance. I hope to have some more time for totals later tonight/tomorrow. For Thursday, thinking about 2* Horns -4' and 1* Ole Miss/MSU under 53'.
Friday is one of my favorite days of the year (along with new years day and first day of NCAA tourney). Don't love a lot of plays that day at the moment though. Like Iowa, but that's now +2. Like Fresno despite line move, also Pitt and Wazzu. Pitt side currently my favorite play Friday.
Saturday looks great. Missou, Bama, UNC, OSU look good, and USC, ND, Baylor and Noles look like possibilities.
As for weather, i definitely consider it. I apply that after running the general model (i might adjust model for slightly lower number of plays based upon weather). Wind is a bigger deal than cold so far as reducing scoring in my book. Cold and/or wet turf can help scoring as much as it hurts - depends upon whether or not the teams tackle well. A team like Indiana gets worked on wet turf, but Sparty does not.
Can't blame you for liking Sparty vs OSU. I'm big OSU fan, but i'm not blinded by fanship. Dantonio has a great defense that could stop OSU. Much as I love my Buckeyes, I'm not clamoring for them to get a shot at Bama. Saban will embarass them. Bama vs Noles is the game that any rational football fan wants. I love OSU and i wish that this team were title material but in my humble opinion they don't have what it takes to beat Bama. Then again, if Urban has what it takes to get into a wayback machine and plant Jameis Winston's DNA, who's knows if there is a limit to his powers?Comment -
Early leans
TH
Texas -4'
Ole Miss/MSU under 53'
FR
Iowa +2
Fresno -7'
Wazzu +16'
Pitt +3
SAT
Noles -27
OSU -16
UNC -6
Baylor -12
Bama -10'
Missou -4'
Clemson +5'
Clemson/S Carolina over 58
ND +15
Arizona +11
USC -3Comment -
nice glad you like Iowa, I had them circled too and with your lean its good enough for me to be my 2unit bet this week....
figured might as well wait on it though see if we can get +3 or better, its not like +2 is gonna go the other way by much +1 or pk em no difference than +2....or just ML, can easily win this game,
Pitt ahh you know I love my U and they play well against soft teams like pitt but theyre too inconsistent team for me to bet on right now....
I was leaning the other way in missou, think they just beat up on hurt teams like uga and ten, Worley was out the game they put up only 3 pts on them...johnny football will keep the game close with some backyard magic, missou defense isn't that much improved, last year johnny laid 59 on em....
besides that I have USC circled too that matches up with your card....haven't looked into games that much though gonna get some work in tmrw and Friday night....Comment -
I generally root for the U as well, but they are beat up, haven't covered since GT game October 5th, and generally don't play that well in the cold (Friday's high temp in Pittsburgh will be 32 degrees). I am a big fan of Pitt coach Paul Chryst (former Wisconsin OC).
I think that Missou is for real, their pass rush will get to Manziel, and most importantly, Manziel will let down a bit himself now that he will not be winning the Heisman. The body language on the entire A&M team was pretty sad in the 2H against LSU. We'll have to agree to disagree but Missou is one of my favorite sides this weekend.Comment -
CFB Week Fourteen
2* Texas -4' (-107)
1* Ole Miss/Mississippi State under 53Comment -
Happy Thanksgiving to all and my sincere thanks for everyone's contributions to an enjoyable (albeit not profitable, unfortunately) thread. Have a great day with your families and friends. Safe travels to anyone on the road.
Heading out to play hoops. Back later to maybe add something for NFL.Comment -
You and yours also Biff.Comment -
NFL Week Thirteen
2* Raiders team total over 20 (+105)
1* Stillers/Ravens under 41 (-108)Comment -
Yeah - I like MU also. I've been going very easy in BB and doing half way decent. Badgers have been helping. Probably won't go head first for a while.Comment -
I like ole piss a lot. No Russell or Prescott.Comment -
hope you left some room for some pie hair lets kick some ass tonight
gl bro]\
hope your day was great glComment -
have the texaas under as well glgl
the balt scares me tail up my man glComment
Good to see you Rick. Not playing any college hoops today, but if i did, Marquette would be at the top of my list. Happy Thanksgiving pal.
